By Steve Goddard
Eyjafjallajokull continues to erupt and is again shutting down British airspace:
A statement on the Nats website said the no-fly zone will be extended between 1pm and 7pm today to include Manchester, Liverpool, Carlisle, Doncaster, Humberside and East Midlands airports, all airports in Northern Ireland and Scottish airports, including Prestwick.
The animated image below shows the Met Office ash forecast for the next few days.
They are forecasting that by May 19 the ash cloud will move to the north. Their forecasts assume a constant eruption pattern and are based on modeled changes in wind patterns. Let’s see how they do.
Mt. St Helens erupted 30 years ago this week.
That volcano is stalking CRU for sure. It won´t rest until East Anglia is covered with ash. That´s Gaia revenge to those who said lies about her!
And…just wait for the Yosemite caldera to blow up….
They can’t predict the weather 4 days hence. They know the weather will be catastrophic 100 years from now.
Another event the models didn’t predict.
Iceland’s revenge…
An inconvenient fact, not to be confused with “An Inconvenient Truth,” which was also a spewing of hot, noxious gases from an ash hole.
I’m praying the Cameron government privatises the Met Office and the BBC. Then they’ll be forced to earn the public and private sector’s trust with decent science and journalism. They’ve abused our money and trust for far too long and it has cost the economy massively.
Would anyone have any links to seismic data for Katla, the neighboring, far larger volcano about 20 miles away? The last three times the current erupting volcano (which i cannot spell) has erupted, Katla has erupted within a year of the smaller volcano’s eruption ending. Katla’s eruptions tend to be far larger, around 10x the current one.
I’ve done a few searches, and all I’ve found so far is the results of monitoring the ice thickness, but no actual data for the seismic monitoring (and there are seismic stations for Katla). I assume there are tiltmeters as well.
Hrmm, it occurs to me that if the headlinbes for this eruption were written with the same blame-man zeal of AGW-biased artcicles that blame evereything on AGW, we’d be seeing the following headline: “Icelandic expansionism causes fear and disruptions across Europe. ”
And unlike most AGW-blame articles, that one would even be true, in a twisted sort of way. 🙂
From TimesOnline ( http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/uk/article7127706.ece ) comes the following story:
Now if only climate scientists could grasp the fact that there are cycles in the climate as well; cycles upon cyles upon cycles and so on, much more than just the obvious daily, annual, and decadal cycles.
Ascribing all this recent warming to CO2 is like ascribing an elephant’s movements to the fleas jumping on its backside.
I may be mistaken, but I believe jet engines have a zero tolerance policy when it comes to volcanic ash.
This dance may go on for years, even a decade?
Branson is pissed off about the new airport closures:
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-1278647/UKs-major-airports-close-today-wind-blows-ash-south-Iceland-volcano.html
“Enneagram says:
May 16, 2010 at 3:55 pm
That volcano is stalking CRU for sure. It won´t rest until East Anglia is covered with ash. That´s Gaia revenge to those who said lies about her!
And…just wait for the Yosemite caldera to blow up….”
Don’t you mean Yellowstone? Then there is Long Valley…
Just so you know, that resulted in the spewing of cold Root Beer all over my monitor.. 🙂
This is a left field question.
Has anyone seen a proposal for some sort of a filter dome over the eruption?
At its base, the cloud isnt so big. It might be cheaper to filter the ash out in
Iceland, than stop flights all over Europe. Think of a huge mesh of cables, supported by helium balloons outside the plume.
Then water could be sprayed into the ash cloud.
The St. Helens video is a wonderful reminder of the power of nature. Hard to believe this happened 30 years ago.
I got to take a tour of the devastation with my prof along with other grad students. We camped out on the south side while it was still erupting (albeit not much in Sept 1980). Our camp site had a lot of 1 to 2 inch pumice frags from one of the May post blast eruptive episodes.
I’ve been back twice since and am amazed at how fast nature is re-colonizing the blast area. Kind of shame that you can’t get on a lot of the back roads that were there in 1980 and 1996 when I visited, but if you know your roads there are still a few without locked gates on the south and west sides of the mountain. The Mud River Road on the SW side (out of Cougar, WA) gets you right up to some really cool lahar scars.
Arizona CJ
check this story:
http://scienceray.com/earth-sciences/conflicting-data-on-icelandic-volcano-katla-update-5210/
I find no earthquake data for on-shore Iceland for the last 30 days. Someone is trying to prevent panic.
If Katla blows it will be a trifecta, along with a cool PDO and solar minimum. The AGW signal will disappear forever.
Arizona CJ says:
May 16, 2010 at 4:58 pm
Would anyone have any links to seismic data for Katla, the neighboring, far larger volcano about 20 miles away?
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I have been watching this site on a frequent basis
http://en.vedur.is/earthquakes-and-volcanism/earthquakes/myrdalsjokull/
The close up is here
http://en.vedur.is/earthquakes-and-volcanism/earthquakes/myrdalsjokull/
Myrdalsjokull is the glacier on top of Katla
Arizona CJ says:
May 16, 2010 at 4:58 pm
Check this site- http://en.vedur.is/
or more directly at- http://en.vedur.is/earthquakes-and-volcanism/earthquakes/myrdalsjokull/
Arizona CJ
I found the site you are looking for:
http://hraun.vedur.is/ja/englishweb/vatnajokull.html
there have been two small quakes under the whole complex in the last 48 hours.
CodeTech says:
May 16, 2010 at 5:26 pm
jorgekafkazar says:
An inconvenient fact, not to be confused with “An Inconvenient Truth,” which was also a spewing of hot, noxious gases from an ash hole.
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Just so you know, that resulted in the spewing of cold Root Beer all over my monitor.. 🙂
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I think that one caused a lot of hot and cold spewing. Mine was hot tea. My poor computer has been getting a bath rather frequently lately.
Jet can clog-up, rocket engine not so.
Who is investing in sub-orbital flights??
if you look up climate realists article on http/climaterealists.com/5679 a very good article on icelandic volcanos. By Art Horn. May 9th. Al Gore should read it.
“u.k.(us) says:
May 16, 2010 at 5:03 pm
I may be mistaken, but I believe jet engines have a zero tolerance policy when it comes to volcanic ash.
This dance may go on for years, even a decade?”
You are mistaken – jet engines can operate in volcanic ash although there is a cost in extra wear – similar to operating in a sandstorm. There is a level at which the bulk of ash can cause damage to the engines and flameout but this is like flying directly into the most concentrated part of the cloud. In the main there is greater wear and bonding of melted ash to turbine blades causing inefficiencies.
Thus a decision has to be made at what level is it safe – i.e. the engines will fail if the cloud is penetrated – and at what level is it economically punitive – i.e. the engines won’t fail but will need expensive servicing after flight. There is considerable risk aversion in the regulatory bodies although the fly/no fly decision is not their decision to make. The airlines are the ones that make decisions about penetrating other weather hazards such as thunder showers and hail – and unlike volcanic ash these _have_ caused many fatal crashes. However, now CAA/NATS has made the decision it cannot be handed to the airlines to make as CAA/NATS will be concerned that they will be seen as ‘to blame’ if there is an accident. Unlike the aircraft operators, CAA/NATS has nothing to lose by banning flying and everything to lose by allowing it if there is an incident. Expect continual stringent ‘no-fly’ days for the foreseeable future.
Yeah,…theres yer problem, big rock mountain make fire smoke.
What we need is a giant kettle, pop it in the hot part, boil up some water, and tap the steam to drive a turbine.
The turbine would suck the vapours back towards the Volcannie, eventually smothering itself, in its own soot.
The more it belched, that faster it would affixiate, problem solved – all funding to my Nigerian Orphans account.
Stay tuned for an Inconvenient Truff Two, now with 1.3 dgrees per century AGW.
This is from my company’s flight operations manual:
In other words, see and avoid. That means airspace closure at night — which doesn’t last long at that latitude this time of year — is prudent.
But widespread closure is hysterical; Heathrow is the better part of 1,000 miles from E+15.