October, a time for great pumpkins, but not higher US temperatures this time around.

In our last climatic episode from NCDC we had: NOAA: September Temperature Above-Average for the U.S.
The average September temperature of 66.4 degrees F was 1.0 degree F above the 20th Century average.
This month’s NOAA climate press release hasn’t been issued yet, but it will be interesting to see what they say about it.
In the meantime, using the NCDC database, you can come to your own conclusion about what October 2009 was like and if it matches what the upcoming October climate press release will say.
Have a look at this:

Note the yellow highlighted area and the October 1901-2000 average:
October 2009 50.80 degF Rank 3
October 1901 – 2000 Average = 54.77 degF
That makes October 2009 in the USA almost 4 degrees F colder than the 20th century October average.
You can try the plotting and ranking web tool out yourself here.
So we can call October 2009:
The third coldest on record
The 111th warmest on record
It will be interesting to see what descriptors NOAA/NCDC uses when they issue their climate press release for October, which should be any day now.
h/t to WUWT reader “Crosspatch”
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Don’t worry… if it’s colder it’s just weather. If it’s warmer, it’s climate.
🙂
Nice !
a tiny hurricane in the gulf. LOL
the weather is not climate dept.
Looks like they got the warming trend number about right, .4°C/century!
REPLY: Sorry wrong units, NOAA deals in F not C. -Anthony
Oops, they’re using °F, so the trend is .22°C/century.
Sorry that I do not have the links, but I’ve noted that the South West seems tp be way above average. The DMI temperature graph just took a dramatic upward jag…. does that mean a dramatic displacement of cold arctic air toward lower latitudes? Context is everything…. I’m just glad that a temperate Fall in New England has replaced a miserable summer. Sorry for you guys in the high country.
The US is such a bellwether for the PDO and jet stream. You would have to be blind to not see that oscillation signal in the temp tracing.
When are you guys over there going to drop F and go to C ? F is a silly temperature scale !
Andy
I knew it was going to be close. I constructed this over the first couple days of October and posted it on the 6th over on my website.
——–
A record cold October 2009?
Posted by: sullivanweather, 3:40 PM GMT on October 06, 2009
For 95% of the contiguous United States the first 5 days of October has started below normal, with about half the country decidedly so, running 5-12 degrees subpar. For much of the Western US and Northern Plains this is a marked change from the month of September when temperatures ran 4-8 degrees above normal for the month. Several locations even recorded their warmest or second warmest September on record. The reason for the record warmth was an anomalously strong ‘Rex block’ over Canada that was bookended by a pair of equally persistent areas of troughiness; one over the Gulf of Alaska and another over Greenland which were both responsible for numerous areas of cyclogenesis during the Month of September (see fig.2). But near the end of the month things began to change.
…(more text and images)
With so much of the country expected so far below normal through the first two week of the month, will the record for the coldest October on record fall?
To answer we need to look back at the coldest October on record – 1925. Does this October bear any resemblance to October of that year? Thus far, yes.
http://www.wunderground.com/blog/sullivanweather/comment.html?entrynum=234
How about Klondike Cold?
Robert E. Phelan (22:31:08) :
I was thinking the same thing. That warm water in the North Atlantic is still working on the Arctic Ocean, and we get the return flow of Arctic Breath air.
Gotta love that quiet Sun!
…and using the same web site, the wettest October.
Hang on a minute folks…….it hasnt been Hansenised yet. Wait till the adjustments are in!!
The data will be flipped upside down to produce the third warmest October ever!
And which makes (assuming it’s ALL CO2 driven) forcing as something like .7C/CO2 doubling – not the 3C that the IPCC tells us we should be using.
rbateman (22:55:41) :
Thank you. Over the last year New England seems to have escaped the extremes prevalent in other areas, although this past summer seemed close to being the summer without a summer. The arctic temperatures and ice formation do not look, at first glance, like precursors of exteme cold, but I kind of wonder if the arctic is not drawing in heat….
Ahh… maybe sociologists should stick to what they think they know… but I am ordering more number 2 heating oil next week.
Meanwhile from the blunt end of Sol III we have had the coldest October in 64 years:
http://www.scoop.co.nz/stories/AK0911/S00059.htm
Anthony,
Is that trend line before or after that October data?
er, that should read: “that latest October data”?
Strange thing weather. Here in Milford Haven a lot of mornings during September were at 4C, decidedly chilly. For October I was seeing 13C a lot. Very much warmer month. Now for November the last three mornings, and right now, are at 7C. The forcast is heavy rain this morning but nothing happening. Even the clouds don’t look right for heavy rain.
I have a great idea for a new poem. It starts like this:
“When the snow is on the punkin, beets frozen in the ground . . . ”
Those “scientists” can adjust the temperatures to be any temperature they want the temperature to be.
Here in South Australia they are predicting a record-breaking 5 days of 35C in October over the next week. No doubt this will be claimed as proof of AGW.
However, the current record of 4 consecutive days was set in 1894. This will hardly be mentioned and no-one will ask how the old record was set before we put all that nasty CO2 in the atmosphere.
http://tvnz.co.nz/national-news/coldest-october-since-1945-in-nz-3107957
even the local met people have admitted things are cooling !
Well the temperatures may be chilly but the climate in the Australian Government is certainly hotting up:
http://www.theaustralian.com.au/rudd-accuses-climate-change-sceptics-coalition-of-reckless-bet-on-climate-change/story-e6frgczf-1225795135536
See the speech here:
http://www.theaustralian.com.au/news/nation/the-pms-address-to-the-lowy-institute/story-e6frg6nf-1225795141519
Rudd invokes the perilous climate that our kids and grandkids will face yadda, yadda, yadda. He is clearly positioning himself for the UN World Government should a Copenhagen Treaty manage to build one…
Robert E. Phelan (22:31:08) :
Sorry that I do not have the links, but I’ve noted that the South West seems tp be way above average.
I may not be a link but yes, it is way to hot down here and I am sick of it already!