Leaving The Ice Pack Behind
Guest post by Steven Goddard
2009 Arctic ice extent has jumped into a big lead over the previous four years. Danish Meteorological Institute Ice Cover April 21, 2009
NSIDC shows Arctic extent continuing to close on the 1979-2000 mean
http://nsidc.org/data/seaice_index/images/daily_images/N_timeseries.png
AMSR-E data shows Arctic extent extending it’s lead at a seven year high :
http://www.ijis.iarc.uaf.edu/seaice/extent/AMSRE_Sea_Ice_Extent.png
Global sea ice continues to move up towards a twenty year high.
http://arctic.atmos.uiuc.edu/cryosphere/iphone/images/iphone.anomaly.global.png
Meanwhile, US Energy Secretary (and Nobel Prize winner) Dr. Steven Chu warns of impending California flooding due to polar ice melt:
PORT-OF-SPAIN, Trinidad and Tobago — Caribbean nations face “very, very scary” rises in sea level and intensifying hurricanes, and Florida, Louisiana and even northern California could be overrun with rising water levels due to global warming triggered by carbon-based greenhouse gases, Energy Secretary Steven Chu said Saturday.
In order to highlight the “very, very scary” danger California faces, I created some frightening visualizations of what California may look like once flooded with water from Arctic ice, which – as we are told by top government officials – is melting at a record pace. If you are squeamish, look no further – this is indeed scary stuff.
Here is what the Santa Ana UHI Station may look like after being flooded :
And most frightening is what might happen to Mt. Whitney after the next Biblical flood:
If these pictures don’t scare you into buying a hybrid (or even better an aquatic car) I don’t know what will.
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Not Tiger Sharks, for the love of God! Have you no mercy?
Forget science, I will tax you for breathing and I will control your life. 44 days and counting.
Every month NSIDC comments on what has happened to Arctic sea ice the previous month. Usually there are asides which show support for the hypothesis of anthropogenic global warming; why I have never discovered, but to me they detract from what are, otherwise, very good scientific reports. I will be reading the reoprt in early May, about what happened in April, with considerable interest.
I’ve recently realised that it’s not just the word “anomaly” that makes my eyes glaze over, graphs have the same effect. Still, they’re very pretty with all those lovely colours, enough to brighten even the dullest life.
Then there IS hope that we can still get temperature readings from Santa Ana!
I’m sure that this data will eventually be adjusted to be more in line with ‘reality’.
I noticed yesterday that the 2009 sea ice extent was about to exceed that measured for 2003. Does this make the news? of course not. It seems everything appears to be correlating quite nicely with the behavior of the sun…you know…that thing that actually SUPPLIES all of the heat to the Earth, but this is not nearly as riveting as man-made global warming I suppose.
I think that most of the readers here expected a line for 2009 that was close to 2003. But I have a question:
Does anyone know what causes the uptick that seems to occur in early June of several years?
Mike
PS Santa Anna seems to be greatly improved under AGW.
US Energy Secretary Steven Chu is suffering from a very, very advanced case of cognitive dissonance caused by an equally serious case of political agenda based confirmational bias…
Am I going to be the first one to mention the ancient greek (and Nobel Prize winner 😉 ) Archimedes, and his principle?
Just when you thought it was safe to go back on the ice – CATLIN II
http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2009/apr/18/carbon-neutral-greenland-expedition
More Brits blundering about on the ice.
Say what? Come on, what is this guy smoking? And where can I get some?
Steven Goddard:
Steven Chu’s condition aside, it should be very interesting to follow the blue line on the NSIDC chart and see if it intersects with the 1979-200 average over the next couple of months.
Data on the Norwegian Arctic Roos/Nansen site show the same development.
its true that global sea ice took a significant decline from ’03 to ’07, but since has been on the incline…even well above average. its a shame that this will never get reported.
and can someone tell me what kind of credentials Mr. Chu has to back up his position as energy secretary?
I am going to mail a cookbook to Dr. Walt Meier: “101 Ways to Cook Crow”
I have a feeling his diet will consist largely of crow this summer after that alarming story he posted on NSIDC on April 6.
Dr. Chu is an excellent physicist, but he is sold on an environmental agenda. The global warming stuff is well outside his laser physics background (he share a Nobel Prize for that).
*shared* not share. Thinking too fast for my ability to type.
> Say what? Come on, what is this guy smoking? And where can I get some?
That’s not fair. The smoke sessions in the Oval Orifice are only at 10am and 2pm. (The other sessions are in the family residence.)
Hope some countries in the world will not follow this new creed you americans have created. Why is it so you manage for inventing kind of weird beliefs?
You are the ones now who are privileged for having within your frontiers the majority of green clerics, green saints and even the Green Pontiff himself.
You have originated the problem so, we people of the world, expect from you also the solution.
Say what? Come on, what is this guy smoking? And where can I get some?
Dude. He’s speaking from Trinidad. What do you think he’s smoking?!
tetris,
I expect that the NSIDC trend will continue to converge. The reason being that the current (very small) deficit is almost entirely in the Sea of Okhotsk, which is normally the first place to melt.
Where does one go with updates like this?
I like to share these updates with my Blue friends here in Oregon, the home of new NOAA head Jane Lubchenco.
They have their own blog called BlueOregon.
http://www.blueoregon.com/2009/04/global-warming-put-up-or-shut-up.html
Unfortuantely their latest global warming thread entititled,
“Global Warming: Put Up or Shut Up”
doesn’t allow denialist posts.
This is their warning.
Note to commenters: We have had dozens of posts where global-warming deniers infest the comment threads. This time, the thread is open to those who accept science. Although we almost never try to prune threads of dissentors (it goes against our mission) I do plan to delete denier-trolls. There’s room here for reasonable people to disagree about what to do, but I’m not letting the threads get hijacked by trolls again–you’ve had your say, and we understand your position.
Most if not all of these folks, while avoiding all contradicting science are eager to accept every fabrication the AGWers imagine.
They had two threads buying Lubchenco’s fabricated ocean dead zone-AGW connection.
http://www.blueoregon.com/2008/02/dead-zones-and.html
http://www.blueoregon.com/2006/08/the_oregon_dead.html
No doubt they will accept any explaination for the growing sea ice extent as long as it retains their faith in AGW.
Replying to…
Power Engineer (08:29:40) :
[…]
and can someone tell me what kind of credentials Mr. Chu has to back up his position as energy secretary?
Dr. Chu is a nuclear physicist. My understanding is that he is quite brilliant in his field.
Out of his field, he seems to be totally lost. His knowledge of climate science seems to be even worse than Holdren’s…Maybe even worse that Browner’s. Dr. Chu was also surprised to learn that the Energy Secretary plays a role in oil policy…
The day before, reporters asked him about OPEC output levels after a speech to a group of utility regulators. He responded that the issue was “not in my domain.”
http://firstread.msnbc.msn.com/archive/2009/02/20/1803006.aspx
Malcolm,
Nice weather for a Greenland expedition. -65F (-54C) forecast for Wednesday in the central portion of the ice sheet.
http://www.wunderground.com/cgi-bin/findweather/getForecast?query=72.58000183,-38.45000076
Well this is a real problem for the IPCC, something will have to be adjusted so people will believe they cause global warming, maybe they will send bombers to blow up the ice?
Meanwhile look at this letter to the EPA
http://www.iceagenow.com/CO2_essential_to_the_health_and_well-being_of_our_bodies.htm
Co2 is actually good for people too O.o