From Belgium: New twist on the ‘Gore Effect’

Jos, one of WUWT’s readers abroad writes:

“It is very cold here in Beligium. This is from today’s edition of the flemish newspaper ‘De Standaard’:”

ait-in-belgium

You can find in online here, page 21 of the paper, and page 33 of the link below:

http://www.standaard.be/Krant/Beeld/?oDay=07&oMonth=01&oYear=2009

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75 thoughts on “From Belgium: New twist on the ‘Gore Effect’

  1. If we are entering into a Grand Minimum, can we start calling it GoreHansen Minimum? And, if enter into another mini ice age, can we start calling in the GoreHansen Pessimum Period? I really want to put a nose on these two clowns. Maybe we should add Mann, too. It may sound like a law firm, but what is the difference?

    Jeff Wiita

  2. Like I said before, the whole world is beginning to “GET” the AGW joke.
    Let the laughter begin.

  3. It should produce more CO2 which will help plants grow.

    Al Gore finally doing something useful!

  4. OT (Sorry): SolarCycle 24 has the newest Hathaway prediction. It supposed to start…any day now, and peak in 2013.

    Hey, I can play this too. Every six months, just make a new prediction. I’m a scientist!

  5. It would help if the Telegraph reporters (and presumably the sub-editors) understood anything about temperature. Look at Neil’s link and weep! They’re quoting degrees in minus F when presumably they mean minus C.
    No wonder these idiots in the MSM are getting given the runaround by the likes of Gore et al. They haven’t a b****y clue about weather, climate, or anything else as far as one can tell.

  6. Sam, you are absolutely right. If they don’t understand temperature and hence temperature conversion, how can they judge the pros and cons of AGW. No wonder they have been so uncritical of the AGW agenda.

  7. Sam,

    You are quite right. There is a lack of basic science education in the UK and the media reporters on most things that involve a smidgeon of science haven’t a clue. The BBC environment correspondents are just as bad. You would think (logically) that some knowledge of science would be a pre-requisite for these jobs. You can’t get much more basic than temperature. Mind you, most people in the media, the Government and it’s advisers don’t realise that energy and power are physically different concepts.

  8. I thought it was funny! I suspect the dvd could be melted to make a useful plant pot too!

    I know several comments have been made about apostrophe usage, spelling, & to some extent grammar (married to grandpa – the old ones are the best ones!). Here is a direct quote from a well known website, commenting with some authority on what will happen to the global climate by 2100, “By the same time, Australasia, Central America, & southern Africa is likely to see decreases in winter precipitation”. Note the unusual use of English, I know the modern idiom is in common use all over the place, but would have preferred to see the word ‘are’, & surely one could expect a little better from a multi-million pound taxpayer funded organisation, namely the BBC (which used to pride itself on its English usage) linked to the Met Office site. Google BBC Weather & go to Climate Change, very poor I thought but I won’t tell them. I also found it amusing that they state that, “In the tropics, it’s thought that some land areas will see more rainfall & others will see less”. Wow, what a prediction, I think even I could have done just as well with a wishy washy vague statement like that using a barometer & some seaweed & some second guessing!

  9. Several people have pointed out that Australia is experiencing hot summer weather at the moment. For what it’s worth, in my part of South Africa it has been cooler than usual for the time of year – at least that’s how it has felt. Those who love our hot summers have been complaining.

  10. I also live in Belgium, and it’s indeed very cold here. Last night it was -15 °C here in my garden and a high from -5°C over the day.
    The lowest temperature measured in Belgium was -23°C last night.
    This week, still a few nights will be around -10°C and he highs are forecasted to stay below freezing all day.

  11. From this month’s Physics World in the Once a physicist: Christine Rice column:

    What did you do after graduating?

    I started a DPhil in the atmospheric physics department at Oxford because I had some idealistic notion of contributing to the world’s knowledge of global warming and its potential dangers. I was rather dismayed to discover how fervently scientists on both sides of the climate-change argument could argue their particular thesis and manipulate the data to prove their conclusions. It seemed a little like religious faith — if you believed a thing to be true, then it could be — and I got the distinct impression that I was about to embark on the same process. Once I got stuck into being at the computer every day, I knew this was not the right place for me.

    (She’s now an Opera Singer!)

  12. We had -12c here in South England overnight. The coldest it’s ever been where I live in my long life was -14c back in the late 1970s. So only 2 degrees in it!

  13. Another benefit of global warming.
    ————————————————————-
    Learning by candlelight
    Alan Siddons

    http://canadafreepress.com/index.php/article/7341

    While enjoying a recent effect of Global Warming, a week-long blackout brought on by a freak ice-storm which devastated the central Massachusetts region, I had ample opportunity to contemplate how a candle’s flame behaves.

    A physical lid over a heat source decreases the zone of circulating air, thus reducing the cooling rate. But an open “lid” of gas that’s capable of absorbing radiant energy will convect around like any other gas, stealing heat and doing nothing else except radiating the very energy it has received by radiation, having zero power to confine it. Rather than limiting the area in which heat-loss occurs, then, a radiant absorber constitutes no barrier to radiation at all — it’s merely a second radiator that relays heat away. And, just as there’s no such thing as “back-convection” — where a flame makes itself hotter by the air currents it creates — or “back-conduction” — where a colder object raises the temperature of what it’s in contact with — there’s no such thing as “back-radiation.” Redirecting radiant energy back to the source cannot increase its temperature.

    In all its forms, heat spontaneously moves from a more intense zone to a lesser. What makes convection particularly dynamic and meddlesome is that a cool mass also keeps moving to the heat source—a double whammy.

    A lot can still be learned by candlelight.

  14. The 2009 International Conference on Climate Change will take place in New York City on March 8-10, 2009 (Sunday – Tuesday), at the Marriott New York Marquis Times Square Hotel, 1535 Broadway, New York, NY.

    http://www.heartland.org/events/NewYork09/program.html

    There will be four tracks of panel discussions:

    1. Paleoclimatology
    2. Climatology
    3. Impact of Climate Change
    4. Economics and Politics

    Confirmed Speakers
    The world’s elite climate scientists will be among the keynoters and presenters at the second annual International Conference on Climate Change March 8-10, 2009 in New York City.

    Headliners among the 70-plus scientists will be:

    William Gray, Colorado State University, leading researcher into tropical weather research.

    Richard Lindzen, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, one of the world’s leading students of dynamic meteorology, especially planetary waves.

    Stephen McIntyre, primary author of Climate Audit, a blog devoted to the analysis and discussion of climate data. He is a devastating critic of the temperature record of the past 1,000 years, particularly the work of Michael E. Mann, creator of the infamous “hockey stick” graph. That graph–thoroughly discredited in scientific circles–supposedly proved that mankind is responsible for a sharp increase in greenhouse gases.

    Arthur Robinson, curator of the Oregon Institute of Science & Medicine petition signed by more than 32,000 American scientists, including more than 10,000 with doctorate degrees, rejecting the alarmist assertion that global warming has put the Earth in crisis and is caused primarily by mankind.

    Willie Soon, Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics.

    Roy Spencer, University of Alabama at Huntsville, principal research scientist and team leader on NASA’s Aqua satellite.

  15. We Canucks take pride in our ability to withstand the cold, but this is ridiculous. A friend from Saskatchewan e-mailed the other day to let me know that it was -40 and ask me if I knew what was significant about that? I told her two things, first that at -40 Farenheit and Celsius are equal in terms of temperature, and that if it happens, it is a sign to move south. They had windchill of -50′s C. No thanks.

  16. How civilized mankind has become. Now we burn the message; three hundred years ago we would have burned the messenger.

    Hmmm — I wonder if Mr. Gore will be present in D.C. on 20 Jan. to demonstrate the Gore Effect…

  17. Hathaways new Solar Cycle Model: Start here! Start Now!
    In 5 years the spots will start rolling in.

  18. Peter,

    It’s a shame that Global warming has caused the -40 degrees. we need to try harder to lower CO2 emissions. I hope that your not over using any CO2 causing energy sources up there trying to stay warm.

  19. Nicht vergessen: Voting is allowed once every 24 hours. To vote today: click

    [The voting page takes a little while to load. Actual voting takes ~2 seconds.]

  20. Howsit annabelle from a fellow south african!
    Too true, KZN has experienced below normal temps and above normal rainfall. the snow we had here in the natal midlands was apparently the most seen since 1890s and Durban had it’s coldest september on record!
    Couldn’t agree more, we have had barely any summer since 2007. The rain has been too much… not sure about the earlier post about predictions of low rainfall in SA in winter… clearly these scientists have never lived here lol

  21. This reminds me of the 1984 film, The Razor’s Edge, where Larry Darrell (Bill Murray) goes to Tibet to find the ultimate truth. The monk sends him up in the mountains with his books, where he finds that the ultimate truth is that the books make valuable heat when burnt.

  22. AGW – All Gone – Whoof! (in a puff of smoke). Don’t we wish.

    Just releasing that hot air.

  23. For those that say it is hotter in Australia, think again.

    We have record flooding in the north (yes it’s the wet season, but flooding like this is unprecedented), we have just had a December 1C cooler than the average, and so far in January there has been widespread cloud cover and generally cooler weather all over the eastern states except for a couple of days where it was warm but still didn’t go over 30C.

    This weather reminds me of the early 80′s where we have cool, very cool weather and heaps of rain for about 6 years straight.

  24. Benson in Oxfordshire is a good Met Office temperature site and did drop to -11.6C at 00hrs before warmer air and a touch of snow arrived from the north. (about -9C here)
    (not a GISS site nor is the dataset public)

    This is the Stevenson screen 51.620266° -1.098691°
    Choose whatever you use http://maps.google.com/ etc.

    Benson would have been classic RAF base layout with the met enclosure by the station ident and control tower, a poor location when buildings, aprons and runways are changed. This site would have been automated and moved… probably lowering apparent temperatures.

    Whereas Waddington is a primary and GISS
    53.175364° -0.523324°
    (http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/station_data/
    select RAW (show split datasets admitted to) and type in waddington)

    I hope their bandwidth will stand it, here is aerial photo of Waddington in 1945, a fascinating comparison.

    The control tower and ident is visible, possibly the met enclosure, so it has moved at least once.

    For good manners here is their home page
    467 463 RAAF SQUADRONS HISTORY

    http://www.467463raafsquadrons.com/

  25. FIX – There have been localised inland instances of over 30, but not in Melbourne and to have no days over 30 in Melbourne in January over a period of 8 days is strange.

  26. You can argue against an idea until you are blue in the face but the holders of it will be unmoved. But, once the idea is subjected to ridicule by satirists , then it is finished!

  27. Bill Marsh – I can see yours points but it depends on what starting point you frame this situation.

    The ‘goading’ of Russia by the United States began with the fall of the berlin wall and it hasn’t stopped since. America’s imperalism looks a lot more vivid to us Europeans (made all the more so with this Gas row) than it does from across the Atlantic. We are in the frontline now and opinions will change if this situation continues. Europe may start to look away from America out of practical needs. Who knows, a little more balance in power between the 2 might give us the breathing space this world needs at the moment.

    All the best

  28. I live about an hours drive out of Melbourne and am still using my comforter at night. Took the accompanying blanket off for one night then had to put it back again when it plummeted down to about 38F (last week). I don’t call that warm. Nights here are usually very cold and for the 8 years I’ve been living here there may have been 3 times that I did not need a comforter at night. In December, many people were complaining they still needed to put the heater on because it was so cold. I know I did. Days may be warm, but from 5 in the afternoon onwards, cool sets in. As I’m from NY, I really miss sitting out on the porch at night and enjoying the warm nighttime air, waiting to catch a cool breeze. Admittedly, hot, humid, 90+ nights in NY were terrible.
    And not all Australians are brainwashed into believing AGW. There’s a blog run by Andrew Bolt of the Herald Sun (I don’t know why his blog wasn’t nominated for the Weblog Awards, he’s hugely popular) and the most poular posts are anti AGW. There are many links to this blog from his site.

  29. Some anecdotal cold weather news: In Hungary the temperature is expected to hit 20 below zero next weekend.

    According to a seasonal forecast, the monthly mean for January will be well below the long-term average, and it seems that we don’t have any chance for a mild February and/or March. http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/people/wwang/cfs_fcst/images/euT2mMon.gif

    Depsite of the cold weather, AGW propaganda keep going in my country. Today the Ministry of Environment has placed several ice sculptures of polar bears, penguins, african elephants and other ‘endangered animals’ in Budapest to warn the citizens for the importance of combating climate change.

    Here is a drowning polar bear, and some ‘advice to mitigate global warming’ in the background: href=”http://www.fntudosito.hu/upload/2898/pics/2722/P1070998.JPG_small.jpg”>http://www.fntudosito.hu/upload/2898/pics/2722/P1070998.JPG_small.jpg

  30. As far as humans and air temperature are concerned, I think that a cold winter is more acceptable to them than a cold summer. It will be interesting to see how next summer in the northern hemisphere will be.

  31. I’ve followed this graph all year and the blue line was never below the dotted line in October, why has it changed?

  32. “” Annabelle (08:14:37) :

    Several people have pointed out that Australia is experiencing hot summer weather at the moment. For what it’s worth, in my part of South Africa it has been cooler than usual for the time of year – at least that’s how it has felt. Those who love our hot summers have been complaining. “”

    Well Annabelle, those Australians tend to experience all kinds of weird things; after all they are on the crusty side of the pizza; but in this case there is a reason; looking at my calendar I see that it is the right time of the year for Australia to have hot summer weather; so don’t fret; this is what happens every year down there; it used to happen in New Zealand at the same time, but Australia is closer to the edge of the pizza where it tends to curl up and gett hotter than New Zealand.

    So don’t worry before we know it, the hot summers will come back topside so we can set fire to California again.

  33. I don’t think we’ve had a hot summer. We’ve definitely had a wet summer so far as it seems I’m always behind the lawn mower.

    It will be interesting to see if we get an actual wet season here in the northern rivers.

    as for Melbourne weather – I was there through a january in 2002 and I froze one day and cooked the next. :)

  34. Classic.
    Thanks, Anthony,
    I needed that. *click* *save as* *email to*
    It’s just too good to keep. It’s gotta go viral.

  35. “I’ve followed this graph all year and the blue line was never below the dotted line in October, why has it changed?”

    They discovered an error in their data some time back and had to go back and fix it.

  36. PeterT (17:02:57) :
    I’ve followed this graph all year and the blue line was never below the dotted line in October, why has it changed?
    http://nsidc.org/data/seaice_index/images/daily_images/N_timeseries.png

    Because the daily extent chart now shows the winter of 2006 to 2007 (dashed green line) not 2007 to 2008. NSIDC say that the graph will continue to show 2007, which went on to reach the lowest summer minimum in the satellite record.

    This is the chart that you recall:

  37. Not sure who is claiming it is hot in Australia. Here in Adelaide they are telling us it wont hit 35 deg until later this month and all the cafes down the Bay are complaining in the paper that they are losing money since it is too cool for people to sit outside at 11:30 at night like they normally do.

  38. To add to the anecdotal evidence from Australia. I’m in the mountains west of Sydney, typically about 5C less than Sydney. Definitely cooler than the average of the last 15 years, just a few hot days. We’ve enjoyed a wood fire several times in the few weeks before and after Christmas, most unusual. (No, we aren’t in danger of freezing to death, we just like fires and have plenty of fuel so light a fire whenever it’s cool enough to enjoy.)

    I think these anecdotal reports are very valuable for the general perception of watt’s actually up, of course along with Anthony’s more technical analyses. I remember well when I first saw the hockey stick I was seriously alarmed. But then I started thinking, why haven’t I noticed? This is meant to be global, where I am is on the globe, so why hasn’t it happened here? I checked out the historic data for places I know, just in case my personal temperature detectors had collapsed. Nothing of any significance. Maybe a slight increase in average, depending on where you start, but if so about the change I experience between about 7am and 7.10am most days.

    From different comments on this site that I’ve read today: it’s colder in Begium, UK, Eastern Europe, various part of the US and Canada, South Africa and Melbourne as well as where I am. Someone has to do some serious work to persuade me that all these observations are all anomalous and that the secret statistical witchcraft (weighted average mean with secret weights and secret data sampling and secret “adjustments”) is anything but fraud.

    Great work WUWT.

  39. I’ll believe in AGW (Anthropogenic Global Warming) on the same day that one of its proponents explains to me why the polar ice caps on MARS have been shrinking for the last 20 years or so and why the same thing happening here on Earth is somehow “different.”

  40. I live in Melbourne and there certainly seems to be a disconnect between the headlines and reality. The BOM predicted a ‘long hot summer’ at the start of the spring and so far it has been cold. We’ve even had the heating on in January for the first time since we moved here 5 years ago.
    Compare this article yesterday from The Australian…

    http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,25197,24881875-11949,00.html

    …with todays high temperatures on the BOM website

    http://www.bom.gov.au/

    Adelaide 23.8 C
    Canberra 26.7
    Melbourne 19.8 C
    Perth 35.3C
    Sydney 22.4C

    Hmmmm.

  41. Grand Minimum called the “Hockey Stick Minimum”

    Cooling Period called the “GoreHansenMann Pessimum Period”

    I like it. *click* *save as* *email to*

    Start the satire boys and girls. That is the only way to stop AGW.

  42. Jeff Wiita (06:18:11) :
    If we are entering into a Grand Minimum, can we start calling it GoreHansen Minimum? And, if enter into another mini ice age, can we start calling in the GoreHansen Pessimum Period?

    There are three things that each get a name. The sunspot minimum. The cold period. The bad effects for society from the cold (pessimum).

    The sunspots ought to be called the Landscheidt Minimum because he predicted it.

    I like the sound of “The AlGore Cold Period” and the “Hansen Pessimum”

  43. The global temperature is probably on its way down, and this shift maybe cause a bit unusual waather pattern.

    The current global land temperature due to satellite data is about average since 1979. But regionally we have had well populated and rich (media important?) America and Europe with cold weather anomalies and Russia/Siberia with high temperature anomaly.

    Average land temperature on land since 1979 may be what you can have if the temperature is on its way down. The sea temperature I think is still the 6th warmest since 1979.

    The record cold weather at many places belongs to unusual regional weather patterns, but also we have hade a temperature peak and now just can wait and see what a silent sun will bring the next couple of years. If PDO and/or AMO also switch to a cold phase we may have a cold spring/sunner and food shortage next year, as well as at least one more cold winter?

    I think it will takes several years to reach a global temperature low since satellite temperature measurement started.

    (The CO2 hypothesis should have been burried already because of science opposing it, e.g. the positive total feedback, among lots of other things.)

  44. It’s time they turned off those damn great cooling fans they’ve got all over the hillsides, that CO2 thermostat is obviously broken…

  45. MG: from the Bloomberg link you provided:

    Wheat is the fourth-biggest U.S. crop, valued at a record $13.7 billion in 2007, behind corn, soybeans and hay, government figures show.

    Maybe not. According to ABC News article, the marijuana harvest brings more cash than corn and wheat combined.

  46. It’s not called Global Warming anymore, it’s called Climate Change. That way we can account for any abnormality and blame it on ourselves.

  47. I live in Central Australia, and we are NOT having a normal summer. It has been unusually cool here. The last two months we’ve had high temps as low as 24c nd not higher than 34c. This week it might break 38c, but that’s far better than the usual 40+ norm for this time of year. We’ve had our first real “spring” weather in many years! Last week we had snow in Tasmania. The same week they had of “winter like” temps in Victoria. Funny how the “cool” news doesn’t get out into the media….

  48. An excellent cartoon.
    Location: Townsville Queensland Australia.
    Yes we are experiencing a cooler summer than normal. A quick glance at my home weather station reveals that at the time of posting it is 31C outside with 58% humidity, overcast and a little drizzle about to fall. It is also a pleasant 26.6C inside with air conditioning.

    Normally it would be around 34 to 36C up to 40C but rarely over that.

    We have a cyclone forming about 800klm to my north west which will bring some welcome rain and that tends to cool off the region for a day or so and then the heat and humidity go throught the roof. 38C with 90% humidty. Bliss.

    We must be having a cooler than average summer because our cricketers have had a bloody awful start to the season by letting South Africa win 3 matches.

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