Pielke Jr: Systemic Misuse of Scenarios in Climate Research and Assessment

Full PDF available here Roger Pielke University of Colorado Boulder Justin Ritchie University of British Columbia Date Written: April 21, 2020 Abstract Climate science research and assessments have misused scenarios for more than a decade. Symptoms of this misuse include the treatment of an unrealistic, extreme scenario as the world’s most likely future in the…

What’s the worst case? Emissions/concentration scenarios

Reposted from Climate Etc. Posted on March 28, 2019 by curryja | by Judith Curry Is the RCP8.5 scenario plausible? This post is Part II in the possibility series (for an explanation of the possibilistic approach, see previous post link).  This paper also follows up on a recent series of posts about RCP8.5 [link]. 3.…