EU Decarbonization Is a Security Threat for the West

by Dr. Samuel Furfari

The Dutch Ministry of Defense has published its Energy Security Roadmap, a national strategy to ensure that its armed forces have reliable energy supplies. While produced by a single NATO member, the document reflects a broader reality: Energy security is inseparable from military power.

The “roadmap” defines energy security as the continuous availability of reliable and affordable energy for both peacetime activities and military operations. It explicitly references NATO’s “single fuel policy,” which standardizes military logistics around liquid fossil fuels, particularly kerosene, to guarantee interoperability between allied forces. Currently, more than 95% of Dutch military aircraft, ships, and vehicles are powered by hydrocarbons.

Nonetheless, the European Union’s (EU’s) decarbonization proponents continue to demonize fossil fuels and advance wind and solar technologies that account globally for slightly more than 3% of energy supplies after two decades of subsidies. Even the Dutch document pays homage to EU decarbonization, but the need for liquid hydrocarbons will not be satisfied by climate rhetoric.

The bottom line for U.S. policymakers is that EU energy policy must be considered in assessing the continent’s defense capability.

The significance of the Dutch security document extends beyond military logistics. It is a wakeup call that energy is not simply an environmental or economic issue. It is fundamentally an issue of national security. Armed forces, industrial production, transportation networks, and critical infrastructure all depend on abundant and reliable energy. Without it, military readiness, economic strength, and national autonomy decline.

Throughout history, energy has been the foundation of state power. Nations with secure access to affordable energy possess stronger economies, greater military capabilities, and more freedom of action. Nations dependent on external suppliers expose themselves to coercion and worse.

Global energy trends reinforce these facts. According to the 2026 Statistical Review of World Energy, 86% of global primary energy consumption was fed by fossil fuels. Despite growth in renewable technologies, the world remains overwhelmingly reliant on oil, natural gas, and coal. Many major powers are adapting to this reality, as the Brussels bureaucracy seems to ignore it.

China, for example, is expanding renewable generation while simultaneously building new coal capacity and securing control over supply chains for strategic minerals. This strategy prioritizes energy availability and resilience as foundations of national power. China is strengthening both its economic position and its long-term security.

This intersection of energy policy with defense capability may be an existential crack in the EU’s “green” facade. The European Union remains heavily dependent on imported energy and critical raw materials, while many industries face significantly higher energy costs than competitors in the United States and Asia. Rising costs have contributed to pressures on steel, chemicals, and manufacturing, industries that form the backbone of a nation’s defense.

Armies require fuel, but they also need steel, chemicals, machinery, shipbuilding capacity, electronics, and advanced manufacturing. A nation that struggles to sustain competitive industrial production will have difficulty producing tanks, munitions, drones, aircraft, and warships at the scale required in a crisis.

As the EU has demonized fossil fuels in the name of climate policy, industrial electricity prices have risen to about twice U.S. levels and about 50% above China’s. Last year, steel output fell to its lowest level since 1960. ThyssenKrupp is cutting 11,000 jobs from its steel division, and that is just one example. This deindustrialization is incompatible with a robust defenseand sovereignty.

NATO’s military capabilities depend not only on budgets and troop numbers but also on the energy supplies and industrial foundation that support them. The Dutch strategy implicitly recognizes that operational readiness begins with energy security.

The United States has reinforced its strategic position through abundant domestic oil and gas production, which supports both economic growth and projection of military power. Meanwhile, Europe refuses to take full advantage of domestic energy reserves, clinging to economically destructive policies that can only undermine the security of the West.

The lesson of the Dutch Energy Security Roadmap is that energy security is a prerequisite of national security. An alliance that seeks to deter adversaries and maintain sovereignty cannot afford to overlook that connection.

Dr. Samuel Furfari has been teaching energy geopolitics since 2003 and served as an official at the Directorate-General for Energy of the European Commission for 36 years. He is the author of more than 20 books on energy policy and geopolitics.

This commentary was first published at Daily Signal August 26.

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6 Comments
August 27, 2026 10:18 am

“Currently, more than 95% of Dutch military aircraft, ships, and vehicles are powered by hydrocarbons.”

What powers the remainder of <5%? Do the Dutch operate any nuclear-powered ships? Do they have fleets of EVs for military staff? Are they counting battery-powered drones as aircraft?

Scissor
Reply to  David Dibbell
August 27, 2026 10:55 am

Ethanol

Jeff Alberts
Reply to  Scissor
August 27, 2026 11:11 am

Isn’t that still hydrocarbons?

August 27, 2026 10:47 am

That national defense requires liquid fuels is self evident. All Europeans, not just the Dutch, therefore have a fundamental defense problem. As does Japan and Taiwan. For example the total fuel stockpile in Japan (both public and private) is only about 200 days consumption without wartime usage increases. If I know that, China also knows that. And Biden was foolish to draw down the SPR for political reasons.

Jeff Alberts
Reply to  Rud Istvan
August 27, 2026 11:12 am

Trump is still drawing down the SPR.

Beta Blocker
August 27, 2026 10:56 am

Over the last two decades, Europe’s politicians, Canada’s politicians, and Australia’s politicians have made decisions which — for all practical purposes — have the ultimate effect of surrendering their energy, their industrial, and their economic security to the Chinese.

It is not likely these European, Canadian, and Australian politicians will change course. And even if they did change course tomorrow afternoon, another two decades of hard work would be needed to put their energy and economic security positions back where these were at the end of the 1990’s.