Amicus Brief of Naomi Oreskes … er, “Expert Report” Redux 5: the Conservation Law Foundation v Shell version

From the Gelbspan Files

Russell Cook

The famous Marc Morano asked me in person while I was at the April 8-9 Heartland Institute climate conference if I knew whether if Naomi Oreskes was still active. Wish I had the answer right then – yes, she is. I know that now because the Court Listener website, which I inadvertently ran across while trying to learn more about the Ramirez v Exxon lawsuit, turns out to be even more useful than I first thought.

While the official court document that’s the topic of this blog post is not an actual amici curiae filed by Naomi Oreskes and her pals, it just as well may be. It has all the tell-tale indicators that it could be one of those if she applied it to the many other lawsuits filed by the San Francisco law firm Sher Edling, of which she’s already filed amici briefs (plural!) for their California plaintiffs, and for Baltimore, Minnesota, the pair of Hawaii filings, and Washington DC. Funny thing here, I found this one when I dropped in a phrase search for “reposition global warming” within the Court Listener website’s search window – it put out results for all of the “ExxonKnew” lawsuits I’ve already dissected …. plus also this mystery 2025 Conservation Law Foundation v Shell lawsuit which I’d never heard of before April 26th. Neither its July 2021 initial complaint nor its February 2022 amended complaint (not available for free download at Climate Listener, but publicly available the Climate Policy Radar collection) fit my 2-part definition of an “ExxonKnew” lawsuit because this one never really says Shell Oil knew about its products causing global warming, and there’s no hints at all within it that the energy industry ran disinformation campaigns to deceive the public about what the ‘industry knew.’

Leave it to Naomi Oreskes to insert the specific points about ‘industry disinfo campaigns’ into the CLF v Shell lawsuit via her “Expert Report” she submitted for it…. which inadvertently reinforces how she is not actually an expert on this angle at all, but also how her enslavement to unsupportable political accusations could torpedo all of the actual “ExxonKnew” lawsuits.

Since this report of hers seems at first glance to borrow from her original California amici curiae, I’ll return to the checklist format for this dissection like I did with my 2023 one for her Washington DC brief.

So, to see if this “Expert Report” qualifies as a ‘boilerplate copy Oreskes amici brief or not, we need to have just how similar it is to those prior filings of hers:

✓ Ye olde supposedly ‘smoking gun’ industry “reposition global warming” memos – PDF file page 91– which are falsely attributed to the Western Fuels Association “Information Council for the Environment” (“ICE)” public relations campaign because the people running that campaign rejected the whole memo proposal containing that idiotic phrase. Although she rewords what was last seen in her Washington DC amici, her bit here is a repetition of her standard inept labeling of the actual ICE public relations campaign – “Information Council for the Environment,” not on. No secret about it, his overall accusation been her cornerstone ‘evidence’ for her claim about ‘industry-run disinfo campaigns’ ever since 2008, repeated far more prominently by her outside of these Friends of the Court briefs in her 2021 UK Guardian article about ‘forgotten* oil industry disinfo ads’(* she didn’t get the ICE name right at all there, plus the two ‘ads’ in her article there were not forgotten; they were never published anywhere in the first place – but that’s a whole other story). And … just like all her prior amici filings, she oddly leaves out her beloved ‘newspaper advertorials’ evidence in this “Expert Report.”

One more thing surrounding the following bit, which is repeated from Oreskes’ two prior amici briefs, the D.C. one and the Hawaiian pair the bone-headed mistake of attributing the “reposition global warming” phrase to a letter written by Dr Patrick Michaels, which I first pointed to in my dissection of her California brief. Who knows why Oreskes and her inept law firm filing assistants keep repeating that blunder, but it at least serves potentially as proof that Oreskes does not read my GelbspanFiles blog at all.

✓ Ye olde American Petroleum Institute “victory will be achieved” memos – PDF file page 87 – however, unlike what she did for her prior 2023 D.C. one and her 2022 Honolulu / Maui pair, and all of her previous briefs, she does not cite Kert Davies’ Center for Climate Investigations’ Climate Files website in this one. Instead, she inexplicably cites a quote straight out of the 2017 “Smoke & Fumes” report (hold that thought about the name of that report for a few paragraphs here), which itself in turn cites an Inside Climate News (ICN) page link for the victory memo. The ICN page link merely has a clickable link to a PDF file, which goes to nine pages of degraded photocopy scansnone of which indicate who the source for the scans is. But as I showed in my July 6, 2024 blog post, ICN’s nine pages of scans, with all of their little photocopy dust marks, are identical to Kert Davies’ Climate Files nine page scans set, and his Climate Files scans are the same as his 2013 Greenpeace scans set – not similar; identical.

That all right there for this “Expert Report” of hers is what’s known as a citation cascade. Such things have the hugely suspicious appearance of trying to bury the original source out of sight. Why not say the “victory” memo comes from Greenpeace?

One more thing surrounding this bit: Naomi Oreskes knows better than this strange new switcheroo. Regarding this “Expert Report,” her signature under penalty of perjury page is signed May 1, 2025 – just short of 25 months after she filed her April 7, 2022 Honolulu / Maui amici pair, where her source in that pair, as I showed in my screencapture above, is clearly Kert Davies. But the problem is deeper. I wrote a whole blog post about her ‘embracing’ of the “victory” memo when she had basically avoided it for years, and showed that in a 2025 Declaration she submitted to just the Honolulu case, she again directly cited Kert Davies’ Climate Files as the source for the “victory” memo, albeit while quoting different sentences from that same memo, and her signature under penalty of perjury page is signed May 8, 2025 – just seven days after she signed her ‘expert report’ for CLF v Shell.

So, her inexplicable switcheroo for her “Expert Report” is ever more a reckless thing to do, since one day sometime relatively soon, major investigators may comprehend how Davies has long been associated with all four accusation elements about ‘skeptic scientist shills on the payroll of the fossil fuel industry.’

🚫 Missing from this “Expert Report” of hers is what was seen in her prior amici briefs (as I noted in my dissection of her Minnesota version):  the “Willie Soon accusation.” How odd. Is this an indication of forgetful oversight on her part … or that she has figured out her accusation has no merit?

What is another element that returns from those prior filings of hers, however? Here comes that name which I suggested to ‘hold that thought about’ …..

✓ citation of a 2017 “Smoke & Fumes” report – PDF file pages 48 onto 49 – where Oreskes references Stanford Research Institute (SRI) report that supposedly ‘proves’ the oil industry knew for certain back in 1968 that the burning of their products caused global warming. Her bit on that in this “Expert Report” is worded differently than what appeared in her prior 2023 Washington DC amici but it still repeats the same ‘lack of full disclosure’ problem. Just as I did for in my dissection of her Washington DC amici, I’ll direct readers here back to my Dec 15 2022 blog post where I showed how the very same “Smoke & Fumes” report she cites concerning the 1968 SRI report is arguably basic disinformation effort on her part, because the “Smoke & Fumes” report omitted highlighting how the 1968 SRI report contained specific wording clearly showing its authors weren’t certain at all whether burning fossil fuels was going to lead to warming or cooling. Who was the author of the “Smoke & Fumes” report? Carroll Muffett …. who thanks both Naomi Oreskes and Kert Davies for contributing to his report. That Muffett, seen in an effort to portray Exxon as corrupt alongside …… wait for it ……. Kert Davies.

One more thing surrounding this bit: Naomi Oreskes is free to include the mention of Dr Roger Revelle as alleged proof that the American Petroleum Institute ‘knew’ about the harm of global warming as far back as 1968 … but Dr Revelle nevertheless recanted his position on CO2 being a major driver if man-caused global warming in 1992.

Naomi Oreskes is the gift that keeps on giving.

Now – arguably – this “Expert Report” she offers to support the Conservation Law Foundation v Shell lawsuit does not contain quite enough tell-tell indicators for it to be labeled an outright boilerplate copy of her prior amici filings, but it comes close enough to raise questions about how it was assembled, particularly regarding its few inconsistencies with her prior filings.

But there’s one new angle to Naomi Oreskes being seemingly oblivious to the political suicide of re-using her amici briefs template, which I wasn’t expecting to find.

Up at the top of this blog post, I noted how I found her “Expert Report” by searching for the “reposition global warming” within the Court Listener website. When I entered just her name into that court docs site’s search window, it turned up a pile of cases I already knew about, along with its top result being a 2025 Colorado Supreme Court hearing which I was only aware of via various news reports, concerning the Boulder v Suncor Energy “ExxonKnew” lawsuit. Her name was within a string of other names which were just the name list in her standard amici briefs. The bit that the Court Listener site revealed turned out to be what the Colorado Supreme court was presented:

For [meaning law firm representing them] Amici Curiae Robert Brulle, Center for Climate Integrity, Justin Farrell, Benjamin Franta, Stephan Lewandowsky, Naomi Oreskes, Geoffrey Supran, and the Union Of Concerned Scientists: … Keller Rohrback LLP

Unlike all her prior amici briefs which were readily found on the internet, I can’t find her Colorado version amici curiae anywhere so far.

The question is, was it persuasive enough to the Colorado Supreme Court justices that they ruled against the defendant companies?

The next question beyond that is, since this case is now headed to the United States Supreme Court later this year, is whether this same unsupportable amici curiae will be dusted off and used once again to trick the SCOTUS justices into believing there really were ‘industry-led disinfo campaigns’ …… or will such an effort explode in Oreskes’ face for the first time ever?

I’ll repeat again what I said toward the end of my dissection of her 2023 Washington DC amici brief: Naomi Oreskes gets away with this because the people who should notice if they actually did their jobs properly — the legacy new media reporters — have never once questioned a word she says regarding how she got into this climate issue in the first place and what propelled her to become a self-proclaimed ‘expert’ on energy company disinformation campaigns.

The legacy new media reporters never once questioned the collective accusation sources behind the “crooked skeptic climate scientists” accusation. This rock-bottom journalism malfeasance problem is unsustainable. The crash of the entire situation could be epic, with worldwide repercussions.

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Rud Istvan
May 4, 2026 6:26 am

I have three degrees from Harvard. Some years ago I told the major gifts person who annually pestered me that I would consider a major gift only after Harvard fired Oreskes. Still waiting. And even tho President Claudine Gay was just forced to resign due to antisemitism and plagiarism, she is also still on the Harvard faculty despite her very questionable ‘scholarship’.
The Dean of Dunster House was very recently forced to resin as Dean because of blatant online racism, but is also still on the faculty. Only Larry Summers has been forced out completely—and that was only because of his deep Epstein associations.

Ron Long
Reply to  Rud Istvan
May 4, 2026 6:48 am

Rud, there was a time when Harvard and Yale (but not Colombia) were reputable Universities, and I presume you are from that era.

Rud Istvan
Reply to  Ron Long
May 4, 2026 6:52 am

Yes. My last degrees were in 1976 (JD/MBA four year joint program—three years of overlap with Mitt Romney).

Reply to  Rud Istvan
May 4, 2026 8:47 am

Reminds me of how I kept getting calls from my alma mater, U. Mass., Amherst. I usually just hung up on them but one day I said “I promise you 1 dollar”. A year later got another call and the guy said, “we’re still waiting for that dollar”. I told him, “keep waiting”. 🙂

KevinM
Reply to  Joseph Zorzin
May 4, 2026 3:11 pm

I told UMass that I was my own father and that my son had died a few months ago. They stopped calling.

KevinM
Reply to  Rud Istvan
May 4, 2026 9:10 am

Tangent to Rud’s comment of Claudine Gay and plagiarism – a lot of famous, high-achieving people have been outed as plagiarists during my lifetime. It seems like stealing other peoples words (thoughts/work) would have been an efficient, low risk strategy at the time they were doing it and in the places they were doing it. I think the next generation equivalent is going to be AI. How many top-performing students of today are presenting work written by AI – at the moment it seems like it would be efficient and low risk. How will it change my opinion of some yet-unknown future presidential candidate when I learn that an AI bot earned their big-name university degree for them? Will I care? I don’t know yet.

On the one hand it’s hard to fault people for reusing good, important ideas that exist in other people’s words. A good, important idea retains its goodness and importantness even when spoken by thieves (for a culturally older reference consider Satan quoting old testament scripture to trick Jesus).

On the other hand, where Cook’s article explores, what if someone makes a name for themselves by reusing ideas that are the opposite of good and important? Will a future judiciary that ‘got there’ by presenting work written by AI recognize that Oreskes has produced verbal refuse? That gets to the underlying question – does a reliance on reusing effort to gain efficiency indicate (sometimes? always?) a tendency to take the efficient (easy? sloppy?) route every time? If so, then where is AI leading the next generation?

My comment wanders so far because Cook did all the work needed to show O is a turd – no need to pile on by adding more language here. I like the tangent, rephrased as “If there is an Oreskes filing expert briefs in 2100” and I think there will be “then what will it look like, and how will they catch her?”

Russell Cook
Reply to  KevinM
May 4, 2026 12:08 pm

 …. Tangent to Rud’s comment of Claudine Gay and plagiarism ….

I was pleased when the guys at the Climate Litigation Watch titled their 1/22/24 blog post as “Originality Befitting an Ivy League President” in which they noted how they weren’t the only guys noticing a suspect amount of material in the “ExxonKnew” lawsuits being repeated – sometimes nearly word-for-word – among lawsuit filings made by law firms / law offices which supposedly had no direct relation with each other.

I’ve compiled a list of that stuff: “The Plagiarism Problem Plaguing the “ExxonKnew” Lawfare Lawsuits — Summary for Policymakers

Regarding ol’ Naomi herself, I can’t exactly fault her for reusing her amici curiae material she first put together back in early 2019. What I would fault her with is claiming to be an ‘expert’ on industry disinfo campaigns when there’s every appearance – in all I’ve seen of her work – that she was apparently fed bogus ‘industry docs’ material right around the time when she claims she discovered who the ‘merchants of doubt’ were (sometime around early- mid-2004 or potentially earlier, given her clear public position in 2003), but never checked the veracity of the accusations she was fed.

strativarius
Reply to  Rud Istvan
May 4, 2026 9:39 am

Harvard is but one progenitor of woke. I wouldn’t brag about it.

Reply to  strativarius
May 4, 2026 9:48 am

Don’t be envious.

But I bet their children also went to good universities. The whole academia bashing is reserved for the serfs that are there to serve without questioning.

MarkW
Reply to  MyUsernameReloaded
May 4, 2026 10:16 am

Ah yes, if party headquarters declares a University to be good, only serfs would disagree.

leefor
Reply to  MyUsernameReloaded
May 4, 2026 8:55 pm

So science should not be about scepticism but belief? Got it. 😉

Rud Istvan
Reply to  strativarius
May 4, 2026 9:53 am

I ceased all affiliation over a decade ago.
Both my daughter and son are also Harvard grads. She is not even considering sending her two sons to Harvard—they are already enrolled in the Colorado ‘Union’ program (a western university alliance). And my son’s daughter is definitely heading to Wake Forest following in her mom’s footsteps.

Scissor
Reply to  Rud Istvan
May 4, 2026 6:29 pm

More good news: a former convicted scientist from Harvard has defected to China to build AI super soldiers.

https://nypost.com/2026/05/02/us-news/former-top-harvard-scientist-defects-to-china-to-help-build-army-of-ai-super-soldiers/

May 4, 2026 7:12 am

GHE theory founders on two erroneous assumptions: 

1. Near Earth space is cold and without a GHE blanket Earth would be a 33 C colder, -18 C ball of ice.
Well, that is simply wrong. No GHE = no water/albedo & near Earth space stuff is heated to 400 K, 127 C, 260 F.

2. Earth’s surface upwells/radiates as a black body which is based on an imaginary, theoretical calculation (S-B at 16 C) which more than duplicates system energy (violates GAAP) out of thin air (Solar 1,368/4=342 & S-B at 16 C = 396 aka 116%)), 
shows more energy leaving surface than entering (396 leaving, 161 entering) violating LoT 1 
& energy moving from cold to warm (333 DWIR) without work violating LoT 2. Not that it matters: 396/333/63 is imaginary.

K-T-Handout
Reply to  Nicholas Schroeder
May 4, 2026 9:16 am

Last winter in the Yukon and NWT temperatures plunged to -50° C, breaking all previous records. Could you prepare a graphic for a surface temperature of -50° C? How can the environment get so cold?

Reply to  Harold Pierce
May 4, 2026 8:19 pm

Cuz outer space is -270 and if you don’t have much water vapor or clouds blocking the view of that -270 sky, and no winds moving air in from warmer climes, plus nightime 22 hours or more a day….well the surface is gonna get real cold.

Reply to  Nicholas Schroeder
May 4, 2026 9:43 am

2 – Indeed, the Earth sureface can’t emit the energy it dosen’t have :

  • it can transfer to the atmosphere only the energy 161-17-80-40 = 24 W/m².

The trick is in the upward and backward fluxes between the ground and the atmosphere presented in the diagram :

  • they are not energy transfers, instead, their balance is.

Thus the upward energy transfer from the ground to the atmosphere is their balance, 356-333 = 23 W/m².
But the outgoing flux (which is an energy transfer from the atmosphere to space since almost nothing comes back from the deep space at 4k) is 169 W/m².

Thus, active gases in the IR spectrum cool the atmosphere by dissipating into space some 169-23 = 146 W/m².

2bis – the net absorbed 0.9W/m² (which translates to the difference between the 2 computed values above, 24 and 23 W/m²) is a joke :

  • some values used to compute this “imbalance” have uncercainties almost 20 times higher than the resulting value (some found it was even negative …). See Physicist John Clauser’s explanation about this pseudo science.
Sparta Nova 4
Reply to  Nicholas Schroeder
May 4, 2026 2:33 pm

I have repeatedly asked nicely that you stop using that graphic depicting a flat earth model.

Phillip Chalmers
Reply to  Sparta Nova 4
May 5, 2026 5:55 pm

It is a graphic in 2D. Maybe your brain cannot adapt to projections, don’t correct people who can, there are many of us.

Reply to  Nicholas Schroeder
May 4, 2026 4:45 pm

No Nich
if Earth had no atmosphere, no clouds, it’s Albedo would be about like the moon, about 0.13, and if it spins fairly fast so as not to cool or heat too much in one revolution (unlike the moon and more like the Earth)…
it would then average about 5C.
No to 400 K, not by a long shot….
Your black body comments simply show you don’t understand electromagnetic radiant energy as it relates to the heat energy of thermodynamics.
Your microwave can pump heat into your TV dinner without being hot. The EMR isn’t heat in the Carnot thermodynamics sense until it is absorbed by something. Using your methodology, your microwave breaks the 2nd Law. But really what is broken is “Schroeder’s Interpretation”.
The 396 and 333 are EMR, offsetting each other with 63 net we feel as IR “HEAT” from hot to cool…no broken law…

Reply to  DMacKenzie
May 4, 2026 8:07 pm

oops make that -5 C instead of +5

Phillip Chalmers
Reply to  Nicholas Schroeder
May 5, 2026 5:51 pm

Do not knock the greenhouse analogy. To test a novel idea, it was back-of-the-envelope calculations with a ridiculous set of premises.
Take a black globe without atmosphere and calculate theoretical temperature from sun input (static, not spinning) and then add a glass shell around it calculate theoretical temperature. A thought experiment to illustrate a concept not being considered at the time. A tiny piece of a puzzle on the way to partial understanding.

May 4, 2026 7:17 am

“Who knows why Oreskes and her inept law firm filing assistants keep repeating that blunder …”

Oreskes could not care less about truth.

KevinM
Reply to  Petit-Barde
May 4, 2026 9:20 am

I thought through the same sentence and got to the same conclusion – theres another reason to consider besides the unimportance of truth. What if the untruth is NOT a blunder and the ‘inept’ law firm keeps repeating it because the untruth is critical to the case? We can’t say whether it’s blunder or a lie because we don’t know what the writer is thinking. But I can keep my (wrong?) opinion of their unknown motive.

KevinM
Reply to  KevinM
May 4, 2026 9:21 am

“The “greater good” fallacy is the faulty argument that harmful, unethical, or rights-violating actions are justified if they benefit a majority or produce a better overall outcome. It is a critique of strict utilitarianism, often used to justify authoritarian control, sacrificing minority interests, or committing immoral acts for noble-sounding ends.”

A faulty argument? Do tell, great search engine.

Wow that last sentence uses blurry structure to reassign the negative aspects of utilitarianism to the critics of utilitarianism. The Internet is erasing classical moral thought.

Russell Cook
Reply to  KevinM
May 4, 2026 12:49 pm

One of my thoughts concerning the law firm Oreskes tasked with assembling her first amici filing was that she handed them a pile of more or less complete drivel that she’d assembled long ago, and crossed her fingers that some intern within the law firm would be smart enough to understand her assorted assertions and assemble them correctly in the ‘legalese language’ that these kinds of court filings require. I used the word ‘inept’ for her law firm in my dissection of her amici curiae for Minnesota v API, the supporting docs references for one of her primary accusations was clumsily left out of the filing. But there’s more – her first amici for the California lawsuits misspelled her fellow participant’s name “Robert Brule” with one “L” when it has two, and named one of the plaintiffs as “County of Imperial Beach” when the actual name of the plaintiff is “City of Imperial Beach.”

I’m thinking the assorted law firms’ personnel in the climate litigation lawfare efforts don’t actually give a rip about the issue, they’re just in it to collect their giant fees and/or alleged infusions of donor cash, or else they have huge dollar signs in their eyes if actually believe they will score humongous settlements from the defendants. This kind of lackadaisical carelessness leads to blunders like the (now dismissed) Puerto Rico v Exxon lawsuit getting a name in one of Greenpeace’s old photocopy scans utterly wrong (“E. Erie” when all the interns needed to do was go back a few pages in those same lousy photocopy scans and see the name – bottom of the letter – was “Bill Brier“), and then the still-current Oregon County of Multnomah v Exxon lawsuit interns simply plagiarized the blunder without questioning a word about the whole bogus ‘leaked memos’ accusation.

Reply to  Petit-Barde
May 5, 2026 8:28 am

She is that way because she is a leftist feminist democrat, about the worst possible person there is in America.

mleskovarsocalrrcom
May 4, 2026 7:36 am

Alarmists aren’t interested in facts. They thrive on creating fear and turmoil and they don’t care how they do it. The end justifies the means.

Laws of Nature
May 4, 2026 7:38 am

This is not rocket science, but actually very easy!
Bellow are two examples for solids in the atmosphere causing uncertainty for CMIP6 models.
Another well demonstrated factor causing uncertainty is the limited resolution for older climate models.

Even if scientists made statements 20 or 50 years ago, it would be necessary to reevaluate their statements based on our improved understanding how bad their models were lacking.
Using old statements without that correction is fraud.

A 2026 article about dust aerosols
https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2025MS005420
“””Despite the advancements, several challenges remain that hinder the model’s ability to accurately simulate the dust cycle with a physical basis, particularly in reproducing the dust size distribution.”””

Another one about falling ice:
https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2025GL120130?af=R
“””SON2’s detailed treatment of falling ice improves the realism of simulated temperature patterns and better captures the connections between clouds, radiation, and atmospheric circulation. SON1’s simplified approach fails to achieve these improvements. However, because SON2 models are underrepresented in CMIP6, their benefits are muted in the multi-model averages. “””

J Boles
May 4, 2026 8:11 am

How can someone use FF every minute of every day and then try to rob FF providers? The greedy, grasping, deranged far left, they need more than meds.

Russell Cook
Reply to  J Boles
May 4, 2026 11:14 am

The particular irony here with this woman – as I pointed out in my item #6 at my “Summary for Policymakers: Naomi Oreskes” – is how she’s a ski bunny. Carbon footprint the size of Texas for her to fly all the way from Boston to LA one time to meet in person with another ski bunny about the ‘lack of snow crisis.’ Her “Climate Accountability Institute” is not located in a reclaimed Boston urban blight area … it’s conveniently located right next to a ritzy Colorado ski resort.

Reply to  Russell Cook
May 4, 2026 10:27 pm

“ski bunny”? M’God, she’s enough to melt the snow instantaneously.

oeman50
Reply to  Streetcred
May 5, 2026 4:50 am

I wish WUWT had given me a warning before having that rather large picture of Ms. Oreskes suddenly appear on my screen. It unsettled my breakfast.

Dave Andrews
May 4, 2026 8:12 am

In its defence Shell only has to point out that when Hubert Lamb left the UK Met Office to set up the Climate Research Unit (CRU) at the University of East Anglia the University agreed to match the sum of money he had already raised for the CRU. That money came from Shell.

strativarius
May 4, 2026 9:38 am

The legacy new media 

Shurely shome mishtake?

Russell Cook
Reply to  strativarius
May 4, 2026 11:03 am

Oh, I hate it when I speed-read right past those kinds of errors. Thanks! – fixed both instances in the original blog post. No alcohol involved, so I’ll blame ClimaChange™ for increasingly causing such errors.

May 4, 2026 10:44 am

If Arrhenius laid out how CO2 warms in 1896 how can you possibly claim oil companies hid anything?

Russell Cook
Reply to  MIke McHenry
May 4, 2026 11:41 am

Conversely, how can a person claim the fossil fuel industry knew about the harm of global warming as far back as the 1970s when scientists laid out how the imminent threat was global cooling? Even Naomi Oreskes herself – prior to her major foray into the climate issue – confirmed this in her presentation paper for a science conference in mid 2004 before she concocted her 100% science consensus study.

Laws of Nature
Reply to  Russell Cook
May 4, 2026 9:25 pm

Both, Arrhenius and the models of the 70ties predicting global cooling fail to describe or model all relevant factors with the necessary accuracy to make useful predictions!
(Please look at my post from earlier today mentioning two publications from 2026 about solids in the atmosphere -dust and falling ice- not being considered in CMIP6 or any older models.

These are just two things missing in the description by Arrhenius or 70 models. Arrhenius and 70ties models also lack the resolution to image atmospheric processes like the aerosol-cloud interactions in the necessary detail (CMIP5 models also lack this).
In fact there is a very long list of relevant factors not considered by Arrhenius or 70ties models..

The resulting uncertainty simply kills all old statements. Arrhenius model is not precise enough, neither were 70ties models, reality is simply more complicated than they assumed, anybody saying differently these days, either does not know the current state of climate science or commits fraud.

Bob
May 4, 2026 4:25 pm

I don’t understand. If these reports are being used as evidence in court and they can be shown to be deficient or misleading how can they continue to be used? That doesn’t make sense to me I would think that all participants in the court proceedings would be under oath to only speak the truth. Not doing so would be breaking the law and those people should be prosecuted.

Russell Cook
Reply to  Bob
May 4, 2026 7:09 pm

Actually, the explanation is quite simple – and quite maddening at the same time. As I’ve shown at my GelbspanFiles dissections of the lawsuits (list here with links to each dissection), the accusation elements in these in one form or another are presented in the initial lawsuit documents or in Oreskes’ Friends of the Court briefs . . . . . . and they are never questioned. These haven’t gone to trial yet, so no jury has heard this trash. However, the defendant companies and their law firms have seen these, and unless they’ve kept it to themselves, I see no indication anywhere that they’ve done anything to verify whether the accusations hurled at them have any merit. They don’t. Neither the “reposition global warming” memo or the “victory will be achieved” memo were ever implemented anywhere by anyone, Dr Willie Soon was never paid $1.2 million or any other amount by Exxon, and two of the three ‘newspaper advertorials’ were never published anywhere while the third one that was published has its main text cropped out because there is no actual disinformation in it. No need to trust me on this, you can zoom in on the ad text here.

That’s what been driving me nuts ever since 2017 when the first trio of these that are still current were filed – defendants’ law firms should have hit that trio with Motions to Dismiss because the evidence does not prove in any way that industry-led disinformation campaigns happened.

Forrest Gardener
May 4, 2026 10:40 pm

Ugly is as ugly does. And there goes your proof.