Another £150 Billion For Net Zero–OBR

From NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT

By Paul Homewood

The Office for Budget Responsibility has published its latest Economic & Fiscal Outlook, following the Chancellor’s Spring Statement this week. The Outlook contains details on the Government’s tax and spending plans for the next five years.

It offers a stark reminder of how much we are already spending on Net Zero and how much this will increase in coming years.

Starting with Ed Miliband’s Department of Energy Security and Net Zero (DESNZ) itself, RDEL, day-to-day spending, is running at £2 billion a year. On top of that, CDEL or capital spending adds up to £53 billion for the five years to 2029/30:

https://obr.uk/efo/economic-and-fiscal-outlook-march-2026/

A total of £60.7 billion, pretty much all of which could be saved if the Department was shut down, as it should be.

The OBR also include in their figures what are called “Environmental Levies”. These are levies added to energy bills because of government policy. They are all directly or indirectly subsidies for renewable energy. (Note that the Renewable Heat Incentive, which pays subsidies to households to fit renewable heat systems, such as biomass boilers, is funded out of taxation.)

These various subsidy schemes are expected to cost £15.2 billion, rising to £19.8 billion in five years’ time.

Levies are paid via our energy bills, while DESNZ costs are funded through taxation. But one way or another, we will be paying more than £150 billion in the next five years for the obsession with Net Zero.

We can add to these costs the climate change levy, an environmental tax introduced in April 2001. It applies to the non-domestic use of certain forms of energy, including electricity and gas, with the primary aim of encouraging businesses to improve energy efficiency and reduce greenhouse gas emissions. This raises £1.8 billion a year currently and impacts the rest of us through higher prices.

Similarly with the Emission Trading Scheme, which raises over £3 billion a year. This penalises electricity producers and heavy industry for using fossil fuels. This tax directly impacts the price we pay for electricity. It has been estimated that the ETS alone is adding 10% to electricity bills, as it increases the cost of gas generation, which in turn tends to set the wholesale price.

Both the CCL and ETS are damaging the competitiveness of UK industry.

These costs are only the tip of the iceberg, as far as Net Zero is concerned. They are only the items that appear on the government’s balance sheet.

They do not include, for instance, the £80 billion OFGEM have said needs to be spent in the next five years on the electricity grid, specifically to make it Net Zero ready. Or the £200 billion which has been estimated to upgrade the electricity distribution network, the low-voltage system which brings power into our towns and homes, and which will be needed to cater for the extra electricity we will need for electric cars and heat pumps.

Nor does it include the costs imposed on households and businesses, forced to pay for unaffordable heat pumps, electric cars and decarbonisation nonsense.

Get notified when a new post is published.
Subscribe today!
5 3 votes
Article Rating
Subscribe
Notify of
1 Comment
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments
March 10, 2026 2:50 am

What a brilliant piece. The full costs of the craziness of the UK Net Zero project are not usually visible together in one place because they are scattered through the economy in lots of ad hoc measures. Homewood has done a great public service by summarizing the full picture..

The fundamental problem the UK has is that, as this piece shows, its committed itself to very high energy costs. There is no way around this. Add up all the costs and wind and solar cost far more than conventional. This then feeds somewhat into prices and generally into business costs. The traditional Labour approach to such issues was lower consumer prices and raise business prices. They have now noticed that if you do this, the result is businesses start to go under, lay people off, move production out of the country.

So their solution is now to do a U-turn and raise consumer prices to lower business prices. And then to fund a cap on consumer costs out of general taxation.

It will work after a fashion in its own terms, but the fundamental problem is that Net Zero is imposing these costs on the economy as a whole and all this is just moving them around from one place to another. The only solution to the real problem is to repeal the Climate Change Act, and abolish all the other emission targets, not just the electricity generation ones.

Instead what they have done is close down domestic gas and oil production just ahead of an energy crisis caused by a Middle East war, yet another of them, and also closed down their gas storage, so they are looking at two days gas supply on hand. And the consequence of their energy policy is closing refinery capacity, not just exploration and production of oil and gas, so expect gasoline price rises and shortages.

Craziness. A couple of months ago heating oil was priced at about 65p per liter. Right now its just under 140. The government is now looking at ‘protecting’ heating oil users in the same way they ‘protect’ gas users (about 85% of homes). Its total incompetence, abetted by Miliband’s fanaticism. And its going to end very badly, probably initially in the first week in May at the Council elections, which they have failed in their attempt to postpone.

The UK, as I have said before, is the Canary in the Net Zero coal mine. Its attempting the impossible with lots of contradictory inconsistent measures, and its failing slowly. Its going to carry on failing slowly until it fails fast, which it will one of these days or years.

Watch out then. They believe themselves to be calm, reasonable, pragmatic and polite. But there is something quite different not far under the surface.