Polar Bear Numbers Rising And Health Improving In Areas With The Most Rapid Sea Ice Decline

From the NoTricksZone

By Kenneth Richard

“[S]ea ice loss did not lead to a reduction in BC [body condition] among adult BS [Barents Sea] bears. Rather, after around 2000…both males and females of different reproductive categories increased in body condition for the following two decades.” — Aars et al., 2026

Thick sea ice is not a necessary condition for polar bear health and survival.

As local residents regularly observe, today polar bears successfully hunt bearded seal “when sea ice is absent.”

They also routinely feed on harbour seals, walrus, and reindeer throughout the summer.

Consequently, despite the expectation that a reduction in sea ice would harm polar bear populations, not only has the body condition (BC) of Svalbard bears improved since 2000, “the population has been increasing” for the last 50 years.

Interestingly, Svalbard polar bears – especially males – in the colder northern regions with thicker sea ice are in worse body condition (shown in blue) than bears in the warmer southern regions (red).

Image Source: Aars et al., 2026
Get notified when a new post is published.
Subscribe today!
5 11 votes
Article Rating
16 Comments
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments
Nick Stokes
February 3, 2026 6:12 pm

For once, Kenneth Richard reports a paper reasonably accurately.

But WUWT already did it, just 4 days ago.

leefor
Reply to  Nick Stokes
February 3, 2026 6:50 pm

Only reasonably?

Reply to  Nick Stokes
February 3, 2026 8:35 pm

He usually does..

Sparta Nova 4
Reply to  Nick Stokes
February 4, 2026 6:55 am

Yes, there was an article 4 days ago. So what?
This one goes deeper into the topic.
Given the alarmist claims, more than one article is needed to offset AI internet reference collection.

ResourceGuy
February 3, 2026 6:14 pm

It’s okay, the deluded youth corp with all those polar bear T shirts won’t notice and their money was already pocketed.

Quilter52
February 3, 2026 7:23 pm

Surely not? Another inconvenient truth?

February 3, 2026 8:43 pm

We never said the bears…it’s the seals that will die ’cause of climate change./s

February 3, 2026 9:45 pm

Arctic ice extent increased from 1940 until the mid 1970s so the decline is only an artifact of the start date. Arctic ice extent trend from 2007 to 2025 is now zero.

1000 years ago during the medieval warm period, Vikings colonised Greenland and farmed last that is permafrost today so we know for a fact the arctic was warmer back then.

following the MWP was the little ice age, which at its peak was brutally cold, crops failed, starvation was widespread, glaciers advanced rapidly and. arctic ice extent increased massively.

around the late 1600s, the LIA peaked and the planet has warmed sporadically ever since. All mostly natural with many historical precedents.

this has happened after the last 4 interglacials where temperature was up to 4c hotter than today and seas 7-9 metres higher than today.

Arctic ice extent today is probably about the same as it was in 1940.

IMG_0756
Reply to  Peter Rees
February 4, 2026 1:54 am

Arctic ice extent today is probably about the same as it was in 1940.”

Pretty much what the Russians think

Arctic-Sea-Ice-Alekseev-2016-as-shown-in-Connolly-2017
Reply to  Peter Rees
February 4, 2026 1:56 am

Arctic sea ice is probably in about the top 5-10% of the last 10,000 years..

LOTS of sea ice up there.

Robertvd
February 4, 2026 3:08 am

Why would Polar Bears and Seals want thicker ice? You know how complicated it is to make a hole in a 1m thick ice pack.

Sparta Nova 4
Reply to  Robertvd
February 4, 2026 6:56 am

Just ask an ice fisherman for confirmation.

February 4, 2026 1:28 pm

The idea that polar bears “need” sea ice has always been moronic.

Polar bears evolved to eek out survival in brutally cold conditions, they never “required” such conditions to survive.

The only real threat ever faced by polar bears was overhunting by humans. Once laws were established to protect them from that, they flourished, “global warming” be damned.

Gregg Eshelman
February 4, 2026 1:40 pm
Reply to  Gregg Eshelman
February 4, 2026 3:57 pm

…and your point is?

Reply to  Gregg Eshelman
February 4, 2026 4:30 pm

Absolutely NOTHING GRIM about that picture.

PBs often sleep on shore in summer and winter, and love mud.

This is perfectly natural behaviour.