Britain at risk of electricity rationing before general election

From NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT

By Paul Homewood

The Net Zero lunacy gathers pace:

From the Telegraph:

Britain risks electricity rationing by the next general election unless its fleet of ageing gas-fired power stations is urgently upgraded, a new report has warned.

More than a dozen of Britain’s gas-fired power stations are so old that they may not last until the end of the decade and key parts required to upgrade them take years to arrive on order, energy consultancy Watt-Logic said.

It called on Ed Miliband, the Energy Secretary, to face up to the threat amid growing concern over UK power supplies, which still rely largely on gas despite the expansion of renewables.

“Without urgent action to secure dispatchable generation and stabilise the gas network, the UK faces escalating risks of supply shortfalls and widespread system failures well before 2030,” the report warns.

“It will be difficult to meet existing demand without rationing, let alone any additional demand from electrification.”

About a third of the UK’s electricity is generated by gas-fired power plants – but on windless days, this proportion can double.

Kathryn Porter, from Watt-Logic, warned that in five years time – just after the next general election – many of those gas plants could be offline and there are currently no plans to replace them.

She said a third of the fleet had been built in the 1990s and “while most received upgrades in the 2000s, in most cases this did not involve replacing rotors [a key component prone to wear]”.

“This means the anticipated retirement dates are becoming imminent and there is no replacement and minimal upgrade plans in place,” she added.

It means the risk of electricity rationing during the winter months will increase over the next five years – peaking between 2028 and 2031 – because of the loss in energy production.

The loss will be made worse by the planned shutdown of the UK’s ageing nuclear stations. Eight of the 10 remaining reactors face closure before or in 2030.

Full story here. 

We have been warning this would happen for years.

But still NESO and DESNZ continue to bury their heads in the sand and gaslight us:

Responding to the report, a Neso spokesman said: “Great Britain has one of the most secure energy systems in the world… our engineers are confident Britain’s grid will continue to operate safely and securely as more renewables connect to the network in the years ahead.”

A spokesperson for the Department for Energy Security and Net Zero said: “The National Energy System Operator,  has been clear the faster we decarbonise, the more secure we are.

“Gas will continue to play a key role in our energy system as we transition to clean, more secure, homegrown energy.

“That’s why we are also delivering the biggest upgrade to Great Britain’s electricity network in decades to deliver clean power by 2030 and beyond.”

Yes, we used to have “one of the most secure energy systems”, but we certainly have not now. As for more renewables making us more secure, NESO know this is untrue.

It was them who warned in their Clean Power 2030 report in 2024 that we would still need our full fleet of gas power stations for many years to come. They know full well that wind and solar power cannot supply all of the power we need day in, day out, even with contributions from nuclear, biomass and imports.

You can triple wind and solar power capacity, but three times nothing is still nothing.

Miliband knows that the real problems will start to kick in after the next election, so he will do his utmost to destroy the country before then, knowing he won’t have to face the consequences.

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strativarius
January 12, 2026 6:26 am

Britain at risk of electricity rationing before general election.

That isn’t even the half of it. But it is big. Contrary to what is touted across the media, the last few weeks haven’t exactly suited the warming narrative, in fact, the homeless protocols kicked in – when it goes below [net] zero – which means the homeless get taken in to shelter for the duration of the cold snap and then turfed out on the streets again. How cool is that?

Starmer could have sacked Miliband and he flunked it, famously. The last WUWT round-up opined that “it is a shame we are stuck with Miliband”. If Starmer were not a Cnidarian we might well have been freed of mediaeval Miliband. But we are where we are. And the latest prognostications indicate:

Miliband ‘to miss net zero targets by 15 years’
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2026/01/12/miliband-to-miss-net-zero-targets-by-15-years/

Happy New Year.

Nick Stokes
January 12, 2026 6:35 am

What a silly scare story beat-up! Telegraph – Jonathan Leake – Kathryn Porter. The echo chmber echoing. Porter is Watt-Logic, and Watt-logic is basically a blog. There is nothing else there. And this is just her opinion, amplified beyond belief.

strativarius
Reply to  Nick Stokes
January 12, 2026 6:38 am

What a silly scare story

Says “our man” in the UK…

Reply to  Nick Stokes
January 12, 2026 6:49 am

This is the normal modus operandi for most energy stories here. Scaring people into thinking that they sit in the cold and dark, eating bugs.

Frankemann
Reply to  MyUsernameReloaded
January 12, 2026 7:20 am

Well, you self righteous buffoon, that is exactly what my old mother in law did. Well minus the bug part. An elderly woman sitting alone in the dark in her apartment, afraid to turn on the lights and heating because of people like you. But it is all for the good of the planet? Ehh? Do you have any idea of the suffering you are imposing?

SxyxS
Reply to  Frankemann
January 12, 2026 8:09 am

He is fine as long he can force other people to use his pronouns.

Reply to  SxyxS
January 12, 2026 8:18 am

Sorry, I forgot we are scared of that too.

Scarecrow Repair
Reply to  MyUsernameReloaded
January 12, 2026 9:31 am

No you didn’t You are so terrified that some stranger will not know what your morning pronouns are that you pass laws and send people to jail for misgendering you. You haven’t forgotten at all.

Ex-KaliforniaKook
Reply to  MyUsernameReloaded
January 12, 2026 11:49 am

There should be a pronoun for useful idiots.

Reply to  Ex-KaliforniaKook
January 12, 2026 2:01 pm

There should be a pronoun for useful idiots.”

Try “Luser” …. except that is reserved for useless idiots.

2hotel9
Reply to  MyUsernameReloaded
January 12, 2026 7:54 am

And the other spewer of lies toddles in right behind little nickee. Funny how that happens so often, almost like they are connected somehow.

Scarecrow Repair
Reply to  MyUsernameReloaded
January 12, 2026 7:58 am

Comments like yours and Nick’s are the norm for greenies who have no facts or logic behind the insults.

If you had facts and logic on your side, you’d use them. That you don’t shows weak minds without facts and logic.

Reply to  Scarecrow Repair
January 12, 2026 1:50 pm

of course… they won’t call “electricity rationing”

They will call it “load balancing” or something similar… where companies are asked to stop using electricity, and get paid by the government for doing so.

More tax-payer money to hide the problem that THEY (pronoun) have created.

Reply to  Nick Stokes
January 12, 2026 6:54 am

Wind power in the UK dropped to 1.9 GW for a while the other day.

Nick isn’t scared of blackouts. Why should he be? He doesn’t live in the UK.

In any case, who has ever heard of a nationwide blackout in a West European country (or two)? It’s unheard of!

strativarius
Reply to  stevencarr
January 12, 2026 7:00 am

who has ever heard of a nationwide blackout in a West European country (or two)

Nick Stokes claimed the British economy is ‘booming’ when it’s tanking badly and getting worse each month. That’s a tad Orwellian to me. What the yoof call gaslighting.

Funny how all the non UK residents know far more than we UK residents do. It must be a [middle] class thing?

Nick Stokes
Reply to  strativarius
January 12, 2026 7:15 am

That’s a tad Orwellian to me”
Well, it is indeed untrue. I made no such claim.

2hotel9
Reply to  Nick Stokes
January 12, 2026 7:55 am

You have more than once, little nickee.

strativarius
Reply to  Nick Stokes
January 12, 2026 9:32 am

Yes you did. It was hilarious

Reply to  Nick Stokes
January 12, 2026 7:00 am

OK, simple question for you.

Its UK, January 2028 or 2029. We are in day 8 of what will be a 10 day calm caused by the usual blocking high. Solar is producing nothing. Ed has got installed wind up to 100GW. Its sometimes producing under 5GW for several hours, and its averaging 15 for the whole 10 days.

Demand has risen a bit so its peaking at 55GW in the middle of the day. Current gas plant has gone offline. The nukes have finally been closed after an extension. Interconnect is delivering 10GW. Bio about 5.

You seem to be missing what, 30GW+.

Where is it going to come from? And if you can’t find it, how are you going to avoid rationing and blackouts?

Inquiring minds want to know. Lets hear it. The performance of wind is well documented on gridwatch, its not disputable. EDF has tried to close the nukes once, and its going to happen this time. What are you going to run the country on during one of the usual high pressure winter calm spells?

Reply to  michel
January 12, 2026 1:54 pm

What are you going to run the country on during one of the usual high pressure winter calm spells?”

They will run it on Islamic prayers, under strict Sharia law.

Reply to  Nick Stokes
January 12, 2026 7:04 am

Just write it down.

Demand 1pm on day 8 55GW

Generation

Wind
Solar
Gas
Nuclear
Bio
Hydro
Batteries

Total

2hotel9
Reply to  Nick Stokes
January 12, 2026 7:52 am

And more lies from little nickee.

Scarecrow Repair
Reply to  Nick Stokes
January 12, 2026 7:56 am

Then rebut the claims that the hardware will be worn out and long-lead-time parts need ordering and planning now.

Failure to even try to rebut indicates lack of faith in ability to rebut; ie, you know it’s right but you would lose face by admitting it.

ResourceGuy
Reply to  Nick Stokes
January 12, 2026 8:59 am

Bottom line: Wind lobbyists rule the UK and message management is a big part of the strategy for maintaining bad public policy. It reminds me of ObamaCare rollout with extensive contracts for online message management paid to advertising agencies and their subcontractors.

Reply to  ResourceGuy
January 12, 2026 9:30 am

When an administration can’t even roll out a simple web page, how can you expect them to roll out a healthcare plan for 300 million people.

Leon de Boer
Reply to  Nick Stokes
January 12, 2026 9:56 am

Unless it’s in some loony left wing news rag like the guardian it’s a beat up to Nick.

Now if you want to see a loony lefty beat up I give you
https://www.euronews.com/green/2026/01/07/why-scientists-are-worried-that-greenlands-prudhoe-ice-dome-could-melt-away-again

Oh no “it may only be a matter of time before it begins peeling back again from today’s human-induced climate change.”

Sparta Nova 4
Reply to  Leon de Boer
January 12, 2026 11:33 am

Interesting snippet from the link:

To put this in perspective, Copernicus states that for every centimetre of sea level rise, around six million more people are exposed to coastal flooding.

1 cm = 0.4 in.

Reply to  Nick Stokes
January 12, 2026 1:08 pm

Oh dear.
I have always had a lingering doubt that you were merely ignorant and ill informed, but this is conclusive evidence that you are totally malevolent.

Kathryn is probably the most well informed person in the UK on energy matters.

You just did a bit of web searching and dreamed up some way to discredit her after that.
Oncee again the rancid Left attacks the man, not the message.

Reply to  Nick Stokes
January 12, 2026 1:50 pm

Uh-huh. I can’t help but notice you’re not refuting any part of this story with facts or logic.

Iain Reid
Reply to  Nick Stokes
January 12, 2026 11:19 pm

Nick,

if you can, critique her report. It is not scare mongering but simple facts obvious to anyone who understands grid operation.
I have to assume that does not apply to you?

heme212
January 12, 2026 6:41 am

well the grid tied micro-inverter on my small experimental array upped and died. cost me $175. that knocked out a year’s worth of kwh collection.

guess i’ll have to push bora bora back a bit.

David Wojick
January 12, 2026 7:01 am

Maybe they will make the rations sellable. It is the fashion. Called cap and trade. Plus they can tax them.

https://www.cfact.org/2025/12/03/new-yorks-climate-law-will-ration-fossil-fuels-and-tax-the-rations/

Neil Pryke
January 12, 2026 7:12 am

As if it were not bad enough having a UK government of inveterate and habitual liars and the highest energy prices in the world, we have the imposition of a level of uncertainty of supply that demonstrates real cruelty and hatred…

Scarecrow Repair
January 12, 2026 7:53 am

I can’t resist. It may be juvenile, but this needs updating:

But still NESO and DESNZ continue to bury their heads in the sand and gaslight us

But still NERO continue to bury their heads in DESNZ and sunlight us

2hotel9
January 12, 2026 7:56 am

Well, this is what the environistas wanted all along.

Gregory Woods
January 12, 2026 8:46 am

On the bright side, Brits will reach net zero more quickly.

StephenP
January 12, 2026 9:10 am

Maybe the politicians will actually realise what they have achieved when the lights actually go out.
As most seem to be trained in the classical languages the may eventually remember the expressions QED and RAS.
Quod erat demonstrandum and Reductio ad absurdum.
What was to be demonstrated and reduce to the absurd.
They seem to be ignorant of the first that they have set in motion and will realise the second when the whole energy edifice tumbles around them.
IIRC the Houses of Parliament and Whitehall have their own gas fired heating and electricity system, so as long as the gas supply keeps coming they won’t have any problems.

Reply to  StephenP
January 12, 2026 9:28 am

Whitehall will have diesel back up generators.

Ed Zuiderwijk
January 12, 2026 9:20 am

A gross dereliction of the duty of care. It will come back to bite them.

January 12, 2026 9:33 am

How to survive this?

A home in the country with a wood stove for heat. A nice little grove of hardwood trees of sufficient size you can take only the dead or diseased out for firewood. A nice Honda generator in the garage to keep the freezer and fridge going when the grid is down.

When the roof gets replaced, there’s going to be a battery solar system.

January 12, 2026 9:37 am

One phrase is missing:

The coupon for the10 KWh ration must also read: “If available
Non-dispatchable energy cannot be guaranteed.

BTW, Cnidarians are being insulted by the assertion Starmer is one.
Cnidarians have a dual-function mouth and anus; Starmer is only an anus.

mleskovarsocalrrcom
January 12, 2026 9:52 am

And the chickens come home to roost.

Bruce Cobb
January 12, 2026 10:18 am

“Please sir, I want some more”.

January 12, 2026 1:59 pm

“That’s why we are also delivering the biggest (most expansive) upgrade to Great Britain’s electricity network in decades to deliver (on occasion,) clean power by 2030 and beyond.”

And guess where the money’s coming from for that.

Alfred_Le_Petit_-_Poor_taxpayer_thank_the_Empire_cartoon_on_on_taxes_and_the_budget_-_by_A_Le_Pet_-_MeisterDrucke-1026835-52672665
iflyjetzzz
January 12, 2026 2:38 pm

My advice to those in the UK is to save up their money and buy a backup generator. Not cheap, but as more solar and wind come online (with reductions of reliable electrical sources), your power grid will get more unstable.
I would favor a backup generator over a portable generator, but a portable generator will work as long as it can produce enough electricity to power your refrigerator and electric heat pump (since I know most of you have converted over to electric heat pumps).

Bob
January 12, 2026 2:46 pm

It just couldn’t be more clear energy production and transmission is too important to be left to government. Government doesn’t have the knowledge to properly carry it off. In addition government is easily subject to dishonesty and corruption. Worse yet there is no one to regulate them. It is a bad bad deal.