England Rainfall Trends 2025

From NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT

By Paul Homewood

For all the talk of droughts, last year in England rainfall finished well within normal bounds. The worst droughts were, of course, all prior to the Second World War.

Seasonally, spring was exceptionally dry, as would be expected with the record sunshine figures, though not as dry as 1893. Nor do the numbers suggest that springs are getting drier or droughts more common overall.

The other seasons were not exceptional in any fashion.

As we know there was a dry start to the year and a wet end. But is this sort of weather swing unusual?

Not really is the answer, as a comparison with 1929 shows.

Annual rainfall in 1929 was almost exactly the same as 2025, and just as last year, it was extremely dry until autumn. Indeed, it was 10% drier cumulatively by the end of summer than 2025.

From October through to December, and January 1930 too, the heavens opened. Rainfall for that period in 1929 was 38% greater than last year.

It’s a good reminder that, whatever weather we get, it has always occurred before!

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/climate/maps-and-data/uk-and-regional-series

5 11 votes
Article Rating

Discover more from Watts Up With That?

Subscribe to get the latest posts sent to your email.

Subscribe
Notify of
24 Comments
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments
Neil Pryke
January 8, 2026 2:07 am

When it rains…it’s wet…When it isn’t raining…it’s not wet…Nothing political…or scam…about it

Ron Long
Reply to  Neil Pryke
January 8, 2026 2:13 am

Neil, an additional view is that when there is a flood someplace, and a drought someplace, in between is “normal”.

strativarius
January 8, 2026 2:13 am

What a coincidence. This morning on BBC Radio 4 the BBC’s statistics guru – Tim Harford – aired his show, More or Less, in which he discussed climate change with an expert who told him: “We can calculate how much more rain we are getting because of climate change compared to what we should be getting

The sharper eyed among you will recognise that bolleaux as that of our old friend from Imperial College and the WWA…

Friederike Otto, Professor of Climate Science at Imperial College London
https://www.bbc.co.uk/sounds/play/m002phnb

There wasn’t any questioning at all. Not even a how do you calculate that? He sat back and listened to the gospel and then thanked her before closing the programme.

Is the weather getting weirder?

Her favourite new term appears to be Global Weirding.

What a total disgrace

atticman
Reply to  strativarius
January 8, 2026 2:47 am

You’d think that Imperial would be better than that.

strativarius
Reply to  atticman
January 8, 2026 2:55 am

I can think of one thing only that greases these wheels and that is money – and ‘international prestige’. Sorry, I can think of two things…

Imperial will have 11 researchers working on AR7, the highest number for any institution: Paulo Ceppi, Friederike Otto, Robin Lamboll, Emily Theokritoff, Raffaele Della Croce, Estefania Quenta Herrera, Jarmo Kikstra, Joeri Rogelj, Evangelia Katsou, Diego Armando Moya-Pinta and Alaa Al Khourdajie.Imperial News

ResourceGuy
Reply to  strativarius
January 8, 2026 3:40 am

Follow the money, Imperial edition

Sparta Nova 4
Reply to  Sweet Old Bob
January 8, 2026 8:26 am

It is not enough. Congress needs to pass a law forbidding reentry.

Reply to  Sparta Nova 4
January 8, 2026 10:09 pm

Not going to happen, based on today’s votes.

Colin Belshaw
Reply to  strativarius
January 8, 2026 5:35 am

How strange – not an English name amongst them.
Nevertheless, the good news is, for certain, the US taxpayer will not be paying a cent towards the AR7 endeavours of these massively self-important clowns.

strativarius
Reply to  Colin Belshaw
January 8, 2026 5:40 am

It’s a hub of diversity.

Reply to  Colin Belshaw
January 8, 2026 11:41 am

I was going to say that…but was skeert to!

Reply to  strativarius
January 8, 2026 10:08 pm

Such great English names!

rtj1211
Reply to  atticman
January 8, 2026 5:42 am

They get a lot of money from Bill Gates – telling the world they offer ‘billionaires’ opinions for hire’….

Reply to  atticman
January 8, 2026 10:08 pm

Like the COVID predictions?

Reply to  strativarius
January 8, 2026 10:07 pm

Probably not, but some of the prognosticators are getting weirder. (We’ve begun calling them “weather guessers”.)

strativarius
January 8, 2026 5:54 am

Off Topic

A British man running for Governor of California?

An excellent and informative interview, well worth watching if California mystifies you.

2hotel9
January 8, 2026 7:52 am

It rains? In England? Why, I have never heard such a preposterous thing!

Sparta Nova 4
Reply to  2hotel9
January 8, 2026 12:54 pm

True. England is notorious for FOG.

Sparta Nova 4
January 8, 2026 8:15 am

Story Tip:

Intense Winter Storm Grips Europe, Killing At Least 6
https://weather.com/news/news/2026-01-07-europe-snow-storm-goretti

Seems the problems are starting to pile up.

johnn635
January 8, 2026 8:27 am

Would someone explain how dispersed rain gauges are aggregated to determine the total rainfall for England. I assume the same methodology would apply for the total temperature!

Sparta Nova 4
Reply to  johnn635
January 8, 2026 12:55 pm

Grid based linear extrapolations.
Not saying it is accurate or correct or useful, but it is used.

johnn635
Reply to  Sparta Nova 4
January 8, 2026 3:36 pm

Ah, extrapolation. The one thing I remember being taught was that it is like forecasting the future – maybe right but until it arrives you cannot be sure.

Reply to  Sparta Nova 4
January 8, 2026 10:11 pm

Please – let it be interpolations.