Ah, election season. That festive time when politicians suddenly have new ideas about how to make our lives better. This year the limelight shines brightly on our revered American economy, which is presently either good or bad, depending on whom you ask. But it’s election season, so voters rule and the experts can take a powder. And that’s why today we have both presidential candidates proposing economic policies that make economists wince and voters cheer.
The remarkable gap between experts and ordinary people is nicely illustrated in a recent Wall Street Journal poll targeting economic policy ideas from both campaigns. The Journal asked 750 registered voters what they think. Then they commissioned the University of Chicago’s Clark Center to get a reading from 39 “top academic experts.” The policies in question include things like tax-free tips and Social Security income, tariffs on imported goods, penalties for price gouging, free money for first-time homebuyers or parents of newborns, and caps on various drug prices.
The experts hate much of this because it runs counter to their preferred economic theories. But regular folks, whose frame of reference comes mainly from the realities of daily living, gave an average 63% thumbs-up. The starkest contrast comes with tax elimination, where voters are nearly 80% for and economists are about 90% against. Makes you wonder if we’re not living in parallel universes.
At this point much could be said about economic philosophy and lessons from history. But instead let’s think about this: roughly half of this country votes conservative, which means they typically don’t like big government. But according to this survey, around three quarters of all voters favor economic policies that involve more government spending. That means something like one half of conservative voters are willing to suspend their principles in the interest of helping people get through tough times.
I realize I’m playing fast and loose with the numbers, but it does indeed look like a society in economic distress — where relatively small numbers become meaningful to many households. Perhaps that’s why nearly 8 of 10 American adults live paycheck to paycheck and more than 20 million households are behind on their utility bills. This is where even the staunchest Jeffersonian is tempted to look to Uncle Sam for help.
And yet we have that pesky free lunch myth. Milton Friedman described it as “the belief that somehow or other government can spend money at no one’s expense.” It doesn’t require higher math to know that more government spending brings relief only at the expense of more problems. The piper always gets paid.
But what if there were a way to help people without more government spending? What if we could give something to some people without first taking money from other people? Surely that would bring tears of joy to both the ill-informed voters and the enlightened experts.
If 20 million households are in arrears on their utility bills, and so many are living paycheck to paycheck, then there must be many more who are not behind but still struggling to pay. And we know the average cost of electricity in the U.S. has been rising steadily, up nearly 30% since just 2019. In a society where a few dollars mean a lot, many people each month must decide between the light bill, the rent, and food.
So, here’s an idea: what if we simply bring down the cost of electricity? It helps everyone and it doesn’t require more government (i.e., taxpayer) money. It only requires the government stop forcing a premature “transition” that has only served to make energy more expensive and less reliable.
If we want to get crazy, then Uncle Sam could take some of the big money he throws at wind and solar (which come up short) and invest in something with a better pay-off, like responsibly sourced natural gas, which is cheap, reliable, and reasonably clean. Or maybe put a few chips on nuclear, which is safer and cleaner than you might think. If Uncle Sam were really concerned about return on investment, he’d realign his portfolio. At least that wouldn’t be new spending — and it would bring down energy costs more quickly.
Imagine if a presidential candidate stood up and said, “Listen folks — here’s what we’re going to do. We’re going to put a couple hundred bucks in everyone’s pocket. Every month. Forever.”
Point me to the nearest voting booth.
Michael O’Sullivan is Program Director and COO for Blue Energy Nation, a non-profit committed to educating young people on energy realities. He is also a popular podcast host and an advocate for smart energy choices.
This article was originally published by RealClearEnergy and made available via RealClearWire.
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I have my doubts about that.
Going to have to find a way of reversing or countering ALL THOSE REPORTS indicating that Gas appliances and Gas Heating are causing ills for society
Fire the people who act on that belief, and even better, eliminate their positions.
Shut down the Dept of Energy – no replacement
Shut down the EPA – block grant to the states
Create a new federal police force and staff by pulling good agents from the FBI, then get rid of the bad ones by shutting down the FBI completely.
Rinse and repeat with a federal intelligence agency to shut down the CIA, NSA, DIA, etc.
Streamline the military and dump the wokesters
And there are so many other opportunities!
Great ideas. Not going to happen – will be blocked by the Administrative State.
Probably true but we can dream of Sec. Musk of the DOGE (Dept of Gov Efficiency)
How would you turn the mob front run by the Sopranos into an actual trash collection company? Add a Department of Garbage Efficiency to it?
Musk wants to eliminate 80% of the federal bureaucracy. I know it’s unrealistic to think that 1 out of 5 government employees are worth keeping, but it’s a start.
Shut down the EPA – block grant to the states
Disagree with this point. Shut down the EPA and reduce taxes by an amount equal to the cost of the EPA. If the states want their own EPAs, then they can tax their own people to pay for them.
To send block grants still charges the taxpayer the same amount of money and it gives those responsible for taxing and spending money at the state level plausible deniability for why taxes are so high.
I guess you you could say the same thing about the Departments of Education, Transportation, Energy…
It’s a fair point, and one that has been argued since the first Reagan Administration in my memory.
I guess that I agree with you to a large degree. There may be cases where it is in the interest of all the states that the poorer states can afford to fund certain public works, but in those cases, let Congress pass a bill to fund the project rather than setting up a bureaucracy.
Similarly, we don’t want real pollution of the air and water. The actions of one state could harm conditions in another downwind or downstream. But we have a Clean Air Act and a Clean Water Act. Impacted states could sue offending states without the need of a vast federal bureaucracy that works overtime to prevent natural gas production and to kill coal power. If states find it useful to comply with the federal laws by having a state EPA then they would be free to do so.
“Create a new federal police force”
“get rid of the bad ones”
then what happens when the other team wins?
I struggle to see your point. Is it “can’t win, don’t try?”
The Deep State must be attacked with a meat cleaver if we are to recover a free country.
Huh. It looks like not everyone can do this. There seems to be some sort of a prerequisite for making this more than a daydream. Can you tell what it is?
Oh, yeah. The usual.
And that renewables are dirt cheap and great for the ecosystem.
What is an “election season”? There used to be an election day. That was because ballot custody was of paramount importance and maintained at the polls. This was always done to ensure election integrity.
Now, due to the Covid 19 excuse, we have lost ballot custody and we have election month. Ballots are handed out willy-nilly and pass through multiple hands before being returned.
But I’ve never heard of “election season”. Is that like duck season?
Ballot custody, aka chain of custody, means only the voter and certified election officials handle the ballot. Postal workers, as honest as they are, are not certified and should not handle ballots.
If I mail from my home, the mail is handled a minimum of 5 times by different people before reaching the destination.
Similar to gathering & handling of my firewood –
And votes are just like firewood pieces when it comes to handling –
any particular ones that any of the handlers didn’t like the look of would be replaced along the way with ones that the handler did prefer the look of.
The thing is though – I didn’t have to reconcile missing or substituted pieces of firewood.
Votes are a different currency altogether. (or should be)
We appear to have similar chores.
Would you approve of cellular voting? Zero hands between the phone and a computer.
If the ballot is “secret” then whoever counts the ballots will decide.
A fair question.
Ever been victim of a hack? I have. All my personal data was lost when OPM was hacked.
I do not believe the internet or cell phone or even land line digital are secure, not perfectly. And if even one crack in the security is breached, there is no telling how many ballots are compromised.
We have protocols for handling sensitive data transmissions and they are set up with the knowledge that someone somewhere can and will eventually compromise the system. So the system is designed to detect compromise and identify what was stolen.
Consider how the internet work. The user accesses via a LAN (local area network) that connects to the next tier then the next tier to a regional hub to the regional hub cross connected to the regional hub of the destination then down through all the network levels until it arrives at its destination.
It is call the World Wide Web because that is exactly what it is. In essence, voting by computer or cell phone actually passes your ballot through many more hands than the mail in method. Granted those hands are computers, but are computers honest? Only if the humans that programmed are and only if perfect security is at every node.
Helene shows the need for early in-person voting. Imagine a major natural disaster days before election day. Millions could be unable to vote.
What about a hurricane in the Florida panhandle on election day 2000? Just a few hundred votes would change that election.
I absolutely oppose vote-by-mail (which differs from absentee voting). I support proof of citizenship to register and proof of identity to vote.
Anyone who wants a fair and secure election supports those principles. There are a few more to add, but that is for another time.
Right, lots of room for cynicism.
No-o, you must focus on how to babble about “issues” better. Because that’s obviously how one can get 100000 more votes than there are legitimate voters in a state (which is what you would have to compete against). This will totally work. It’s magic! If it does not work, maybe you were not thinking pozzitive enough.
In the next issue, we will talk about this Santa Claus dude…
― Sincerely, your friendly neighbour kindergarten for grown-ups.
LOL.
Sort of like heat pumps that put out 3x more energy than they consume.
Energy costs are the single most regressive item in the household budget of Americans.
Gasoline is the MOST regressive, because in many cases low income people have to drive more than wealthy people. However, electricity costs are also very regressive.
Any politician that deliberately raises energy costs is hurting poor people the most, by far.
Maybe the Democrats don’t want poorer people to be able to afford the gas to drive to a polling booth?
Whatever it takes . . .
Seems like the poor should be marching and protesting, just crickets?
If only the poor had the time, and the gas money to get to and from the protests.
Crickets for dinner, yes.
Or to work. Then they become dependents of the Administrative State.
Many years ago, I read that when ~ 40% of working age population are welfare dependant to a significant degree, you’ve achieved full-tilt socialism as government.
Welfare…The biggest error ever! Self-reliance was gutted.
BUT SURELYtheir grandchildren, or maybe great grandchildren, will eventually have lower cost electricity when all electricity comes from intermittent non-synchronous sources.
Didn’t even need a /sarc.
it does indeed look like a society in economic distress
So, net zero is working.
Hasn’t collapsed yet. Still got a ways to go before we can say it was successful, but yes, on track.
Yes.
You will have nothing and you will be happy.
Seems to be the Harris campaign in full effect.
Story tip: https://www.breitbart.com/tech/2024/10/07/ex-google-ceo-eric-schmidt-ignore-ais-environmental-impact-because-climate-goals-were-always-unrealistic/
Please kindly ignore the virtue-signaling that remains to this day on our home page:
Everybody likes a free ride, understandably. Don’t tax tips? Who cares that a lot of servers who live off tips make far better money than the typical worker or manager working for wages or salaries. It sounds great, and those who don’t earn a lot of tips would be happy to not pay any taxes at all (being low income, they already pay little to no taxes)… but is that giveaway fair to regular wage and salary earners? It’s not.
Ditto with giving away free money to people to buy houses. Sounds great if you’re one of those who either is unable to afford a down payment or never bothered to save like others do. But again, is that fair to working people who actually do save up money for a down payment … and those same people get insult added to injury when the taxes they pay are given away to the others.
So claiming that “real voters” are somehow more in tune with “experts” is not very applicable to this stuff. It’s called “pandering” and it’s done with other peoples’ money, not with the money of those who do the pandering.
Taxing social security is income based, so that people who still earn a lot of money while drawing a SS check do have to pay income tax on half of their social security payments. Is that fair? This one is a little “grayer” in that those who are in favor of taxing SS say that if you can afford to pay taxes you should, while those who are against taxing SS say that the SS payments were already taxed once before, so it’s not fair to tax them again. That is at least an honest policy debate to have, rather than being bald faced pandering.
No taxes on tips concurrently with raising hospitality pay UP to minimum wage? Hmmm…
Every remuneration plan has to factor in the considerations of the “risk > reward” principle.
Servers who rely substantially on gratuities / tips for their remuneration take a risk every week with “quiet” days & nights.
They can never rely on every week being Christmas.
Duane,
Sorry, but you are behind the times. Folks have to include 85% of their SS payments in their AGI. It isn’t 50%. (I speak from years of experience).
No tax on tips is a horrible idea. It’s designed to buy votes from service workers in Las Vegas. (Nevada is a swing state.)
You know it’s a bad idea because Harris stole it. Democrats don’t steal good economic policies, they oppose them.
Any policy that gives less money to the administrative state is a good policy. They don’t need our money they just print “their” own.
Giving anyone free money to chase after scarce resources such as housing (or education) has only one effect—making the scarce resource more expensive for everyone.
How would I make housing more affordable? Manage the forests and make lumber products affordable again. Cut the regulations.
It is clear. The goal is to eliminate the carbon units infesting Earth.
Just ask Vger.
Or NOMAD
A fellow Trekker.
Want to win an election? Run on cheap energy, then forget about it once you have won.
There, fixed it for the politicians who are thinking about it.
Politicians thinking???? Apologies, will never happen.
Scheming rather than thinking.
But if we eliminate all subsidies for “green” energy, and all grants for research on the “settled” science, then those folks feeding from the trough will be hurt.
The election season, typically, starts about 15 months before the Federal election, as candidates get in line for their shot. This of course, excludes all Federal incumbents, who start campaigning for the next election the day after they win an election.
Sorry, this reply is in the wrong place. Should be after doonman’s question at 11:32 AM.
They can all move to Komifornia, the nations Welfare State
Aww.
In Washington State the loonies set a fee on “Carbon” and required the big emitters to pay an indulgence so the release of Carbon Dioxide could go on as usual. The collected fees have been splashed like an uncontrolled fire hose. Many have nothing to do with being more “green.” Such as giving money to folks so their electricity costs are lowered. This allows more consumption. See Econ 101. All this will increase the CO2 (Not that I care) produced in the State.
Good job Inslee Administration. 🤣
“Imagine if a presidential candidate stood up and said, “Listen folks — here’s what we’re going to do. We’re going to put a couple hundred bucks in everyone’s pocket. Every month. Forever.”
All of them have said it. Since so much spending is deficit spending, with spend much greater than tax every year since the 1990s, they have achieved the goal.
“Don’t tax tips?”
Who defines “tips” and why should I not expect my retirement fund manager or whoever else can afford an accountant to be paid in tips? I’ll agree to no salary plus a contractually agreed upon tip every few weeks.
“The starkest contrast comes with tax elimination, where voters are nearly 80% for and economists are about 90% against. Makes you wonder if we’re not living in parallel universes.”
The voters are living in denial. When the Government borrows money (which it has been doing at the rate of $2 trillion/yr) it has created an obligation pay it back.. There are 3 choices:
Taking them in reverse order.
Default is really ugly because it would implode the country’s financial system and cause a world wide depression which would probably cause a world war. That was the course Roosevelt took in 1933* the rest, as they say is history.
Hyperinflation is also ruinous. If you didn’t enjoy the Biden inflation, or you lived through the 1970’s Carter inflation, you know how painful inflation is. Then there was Germany in the 1920s, and you know how that worked out.
That leaves actually collecting taxes and paying the debts honestly. We could do that by closing Government programs and using the money saved. The problem is that stopping the windmills and solar panels is just spare change. We would have do things like cancel Medicaid, Medicare, Social Security, and the Navy. It is not going to happen. That leaves us with taxes. Here is another clue taxing the “rich” cannot produce enough money even assuming that they don’t up stakes and move to the Cayman Islands. There are simply not enough of them.
That leaves broad based excise taxes such as a VAT or a Carbon tax. It will be painful but it won’t trigger a depression or a world war. there really are worse things than paying taxes.
The Fourth Liberty Loan Bonds were payable in gold coins like the old Eagles and Double Eagles, which valued gold at about $20/oz. Roosevelt announced that the bonds would be paid in paper money redeemable in gold by foreign banks at $35/oz.which was at least a 42% haircut. Oh yes and he outlawed the ownership of gold by Americans. They just had to eat the paper for whatever it was worth.
We could cancel paycheck to Congress and President/VP (all elected).
The original clause in the Constitution was to reimburse travel, food, and lodging for Representatives and Senators so they could attend Congress. It was not intended to be a paycheck.
If you look at the net worth, most of them do not need the paycheck. Fun how you can vote your own pay raise, benefits, health plan, etc. and not have to pay for any of the benefits and have a retirement plan that is 100% of the current pay rate plus health at 100%.
No. Article 1 Section 6. “The Senators and Representatives shall receive a Compensation for their Services, to be ascertained by Law, and paid out of the Treasury of the United States.” That means a regular salary. https://www.law.cornell.edu/constitution-conan/article-1/section-6/clause-1/compensation-of-members-of-congress
Besides what difference could that possibly make. The Federal debt is now $35.68 Trillion. https://fiscaldata.treasury.gov/americas-finance-guide/national-debt/
The problem is polls are meaningless. This one is meaningless on many levels. First 750 registered voters were polled. Just because 750 were polled doesn’t mean half were conservative. Second 39 top economic experts were also polled, sorry but I have little use for the opinions of economic experts. Third the questions sound absurd, asking people if they want free stuff. Fourth looking to the government for free stuff or for solutions is juvenile. The answer is for business to operate lawfully in a lightly regulated environment. For government to stop interfering in everything. By that I mean business, power generation, schools, finance farming, shipping, health care, transportation and many other things. Last government can give a hand up but not a hand out, don’t make people comfortable on relief. Able bodied people should work for the things they get.
The first principle (which is forgotten/ignored) of the US government is the protect the citizens from the government.
My economics prof at uni was big on the benefit of government spending vs private spending. Generations of economists were brought up on the same nonsense. Governments loved the message so they promoted it like crazy. Even though it never proved to be true in the real world.
Economics profs assume the public will earn money and waste it on cars and boats and luxuries for themselves. On the other hand, if the government collected the money as tax, it would be used for the betterment of humanity, and maybe a little extra on his salary. They never assume millions for the new cloverleaf in the middle of the desert is the result of a politician buying votes and a traffic circle would work just fine….cuz ya know it’s paying workers wages and is good for economic expansion and all that….