Essay by Eric Worrall
Ignore your lying eyes, what you are seeing is frozen heaps of global warming?
Don’t Be Fooled, Snow Is Becoming a Thing of the Past
Storms will keep happening, but the long-term trend is warmer winters with less snowfall, which will bring severe consequences such as water shortages and lost economic activity.
8 January 2024 at 22:00 GMT+10
By Mark Gongloff…
Winter storms like the one that blanketed parts of the Northeast in snow this weekend will keep happening but less frequently. The long-term trend, especially in the normally colder parts of the US and other countries, is one of warmer winters with less of the white stuff.
…
Snow has been scarce in the US lately. Aside from the blizzard that swept the Plains and Midwest around Christmas, snarling travel, most of the country has been well below snowfall averages for this time of year, according to the National Weather Service. Only about a fifth of the country was covered in snow before this weekend’s storm, the lowest in more than a decade.
…
At the rate we’re cooking the planet, this is all just a taste of what’s to come. The best thing we can do now is turn off the oven. As that’s unlikely any time soon, scientists and policymakers should be busy adapting to the headaches that shrinking winters and snowfall will bring — the agricultural impacts, longer allergy seasons, resilient pests, water shortages, lost economic activity and more. Whatever our feelings about the season in the past, there is no doubt we’ll miss it when it’s gone.
Read more: https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2024-01-08/winter-storm-aside-snow-is-disappearing-because-of-climate-change?embedded-checkout=true
Back in the real world, the East Coast of the USA might have gotten off lightly for a couple of years, but China and Russia have endured extreme cold this year, and Europe and Britain are enduring freezing weather.
Given the widespread extreme cold in most of the Northern Hemisphere this year, calling the end of snow because the US North East got lucky with the weather seems profoundly ignorant.
Update (h/t Anthony, MW) :-
Bloomberg seems to be denying the veracity of the UN IPCC’s recent sixth assessment report, which unequivocally says there is “Low confidence in the direction of change” of “Snow, Heavy snowfall and ice storm or Hail”, globally or regionally. Here is a link to the relevant pages of the UN IPCC’s recent sixth assessment report: Extreme Weather Assessment by the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (UN IPCC) • Watts Up With That? Does Bloomberg no longer believe in the UN IPCC’s scientific conclusions?
It takes the energy equivalent of burning 100kg of coal to liberate a tonne of water from the ocean surface and shift it to land. During the last glacial episode, the sea level descended 120m. The amount of energy to do that would require a MILLION years of burning coal at the current anthropogenic rate of 8Gt per year.
My point is that snow making is energy intensive. Ocean require a huge amount of heat input to liberate the water. The oceans in the Northern Hemisphere have only just begun to warm. The amount of surface area reaching the 30C limit is increasing at 2.5% per decade of NH ocean area. It has only just started and is only 10% of the total area now. As the peak sun continues to move northward much more ocean will reach the 30C limit in September. That means much more water in the atmosphere before the land in higher latitudes and higher elevation falls below 0C.
Climate modellers are only just realising they have snow wrong and now claiming they always knew there would be more snow in a warming world. So the obvious questions are how much more and when will snowfall overtake snow melt – my prediction for the latter is within 200 years. That is when 50% of the oceans in the NH reach 30C in September.
Coastal regions will just get more winter rain but Greenland provides insight into what land north of 40N will eventually look like. The ice goes up as it accumulates and then flows toward the sea, the oceans come down and the temperature lapse rate does the rest. Land temperatures get a lot colder than ocean temperature and that accelerates the ice making process as ocean to land advection accelerates. Glacier calving is the only reason Greenland has a net loss of ice. This is a remnant of the previous glacial episode.
Significant problem is that the tonne of water will not be ‘shifted to land’
The water vapour has immense buoyancy and will race up into the atmosphere, cool into clouds and rain and fall back intro he ocean.
That is what happens every day as a sequence of thunderstorms follow the sun around the globe
To create a metre of rain per square metre of Earth requires a tonne of water.
Air can hold typically 10 grams per cubic metre so to lift the water vapour to where it cools/rains requires 100,000 cubic metres of air going from (say) 20°C at the ocean surface to minus 10°C at 5,000 metres where the clouds form.
The amount of energy the air loses on that trip is insane – it dwarfs the energy lost by the water.
Another thing to look at is the preponderance of high pressure ridges sitting on the landmasses. We know they’re there, simply look for the 1013mb isobar on any weather chart. ##
Those ridges are caused by those 100,000 cubic metres of air coming back down and rising in temp by 10°C per km as they fall instead of the 6°C per kilometre they cooled by on the way up (over the ocean)
THAT is causing the observed temp rises.
But, that air is very dry and hence very dense despite its high temperature so it always flows OFF the land and back out to sea.
Check any weather stations near the coasts to see exactly that happening.
Therefore No Rain can come ashore. Or snow.
And those ridges creating that dry descending air work to dry out the land they fall upon, further reducing the chance of any rain as it requires water vapour produce ascending air
The System therefore gets stuck – vigorous storms over the water create more rain over the water but less and less rain over the land – the system is self-reinforcing and racing away into complete desert situation for the land.
Plants of all sorts on the land become water stressed through their peak summer growing season, cannot absorb as much CO₂ as they did so atmospheric levels rise
All those things are happening now, we can all see them easily by viewing data from personal/local weather-stations everywhere and completely explain all the observed ‘climate changes’
And we humans set that in motion using ploughs and tillage machines.
## 1013mb would be the global average surface air pressure at sea level if the atmosphere (Troposphere) became still and stopped moving
Above 1013 is high pressure (descending air) and less than 1013mb is caused by rising air – it rises because it contains water vapour.
Descending air heats at 10°C per km and dries things out
Rising air cools at 6.5°C per km and makes things wet
Best you fact check before you write so much nonsense. Attached shows a good portion of USA has a low pressure today.
The same is true for Australia today but it is the middle of summer there.
Where do you think ice on Greenland came from If you think the air then you would be wrong. It came via the air but had to be lifted from the oceans.
Attached shows the low pressure region across North America today.
The attached here shows low pressure over much of Asia.
This one shows Australia with similar low pressure but under much warmer circumstances.
All these land masses are pulling atmospheric water from over oceans onto the land.
When the land is below 0C, the water comes down as snow. That is what is happening across a fgood part of the northern hemisphere today Jan 11 2023.
How do you manage so much complete hogwash in one post !!!
All timerecord snowfall in the Rocky Mountain/Sierra Nevada Mountain west last winter. Snow a thing of the past? Yeah, right.
Besides warmer climate creates more precipitation and that creates more snow, not less. Very cold climates are always drier than wet ones, whether regionally or globally. It’s science!
While this may be encouraging to hear, the stuff I see falling outside my windows in Winnipeg, and whatever it was I shoveled last night and again just an hour ago may have looked like flour or baking soda at first glance, but then closer examination made it seem a lot like good, old-fashioned snow. And with overnight temperatures predicted to fall to minus22C=minus 8F, it’s going to feel a lot like winter as it has for more than a month now. In addition, examination of the US Weather Service’s state-by-state, country-by county forecast maps show no shortage of wintry conditions in the northern half of the continent. So I’d advise people to play it safe and keep their snow shovels and snow blowers around for awhile, maybe a long while, and keep their winter tires on their vehicles for at least another three months and never mind the climate gurus with their mainly inaccurate predictions about environmental catastrophes and a doomed global population because of human activities.
If the oceans warm, evaporation will increase.
The condensation of water in the air must balance the evaporation over time. The rain will redistribute some of the increased evaporation/condensation to the 30% of Earth that is land.
Growing things need water. More rain means more growing things.
Climate change is making the Earth healthier. The Left hates this and denies it.
Climate change is making the Earth healthier”
CO2 is making the Earth healthier.
The left and other “life-haters” deny this.
It is called the Carbon CYCLE for a reason…
…. and over the last 100+ year it has received a very significant boost.
It is what sustains all life on this planet.
The link to the entire story is paywalled but can be read here===========>
https://independenttribune.com/opinion/columnists/mark-gongloff-don-t-be-fooled-snow-is-becoming-a-thing-of-the-past/article_2ee6c53d-e16b-59d8-a8c1-e97e3bb84c3f.html
His style is full of bits like “cooking the planet” and cites temperature records from *Climate Central*
whatever that is. It looks like all fear porn to me.
My last two day were spent getting ready for the weather pattern change hitting tomorrow -20-35F ish nights with snow till next week. “Cooking Planet” indeed.
In my simple mind the abrupt run up in temperatures in 2023 is evidence, dare I say, proof that a trace gas simply cannot be the sole cause. The alarmists’ models can’t predict such changes. It makes it so obvious to me that there are other causes for broad changes in measured temperatures and WUWT is where we learn about them. Carry on!
We haven’t got a clue which instrument is playing loudest but we like making guesses to feel important and needed-
Extreme rainfall hits Australia amid El Nino predictions | Watch (msn.com)
Whatever it is you can rest assured it’s climate change and you’re all doomed unless you erect more solar panels and windmills to appease Gaia.
More Snow Hysteria:
The Threshold at Which Snow Starts Irreversibly DisappearingIf you think it’s bad now, strap in.
By Zoë Schlanger
https://www.theatlantic.com/science/archive/2024/01/winter-snow-loss-climate-change/677078/
In leftist wacko land.
cid:8B356BE2-8C8D-47C3-9424-987280D27977
Just because it doesn’t snow doesn’t mean we aren’t getting our precipitation. Snow could well become less frequent — haven’t had much here in the central Maryland area for the last few years — but we sure got a lot of rain from that system that just went up the East Coast. Would have been 12-15″ (0.3-0.5 m) if it had been the white fluffy stuff.
In central Jersey we got just over 2″ of rain overnight, good job it wasn’t snow!
Gummint complex modelling shows Melbournites are doomed-
Swathes of Melbourne could face flooding from rising seal levels, new long-term modelling suggests (msn.com)
Sell up now and beat the rush-
The Latest Median Property Prices in Australian Cities (propertyupdate.com.au)
None so blind as those who do not want to see.
Ahhhhhh, the idyllic Mediterranean Climate has reached the UK.
Thank you Climate Change, Thank you James Handstand.
And who cares about sea level rise when you’ve got 10’s of metres of snow & ice to stand atop of?
(Be careful what you wish for – deserts are cold places and the observed ‘climate’ changes are exactly that. Desertification. High temps = Low energies)
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-55992592
In the UK we are experiencing a phenomenon supposedly phased out 20 years ago by legislation and taxes – Winter…. children born after the year 2000 would not experience snow.
I am 71 Winters old, and they all have had one thing in common – variable, except for one constant, cold. But then so have my 71 Summers been variable, some of which have even been warm, or less cold as we say…at least for a few days at a time. In Britain the way to tell the season is check the calendar.
We are currently getting urgent reports from the BBC and UK Met Office telling us to expect Wintery weather… such as snow, ice, below freezing temperatures as low as -3C, apparently an anomaly in Winter in globally-warmed, climate-changed GB.
And exactly how does Bloomberg think the soon to be returning glaciation takes place. If I hang about where I live now long enough I will inevitably be entombed under a mile or more of thick ice just as happened repeatedly in the last few million years, but how does that ice get here without snow? Perhaps someone at Bloomberg can explain, and if they have the answer to that then they might as well tell us how to turn lead into gold.
Every one of the past 144 winters has at least one alltime snow record somewhere still standing.
A significant area of the southern US has its record snowstorm being one of February 14-15 1895. Galveston TX got 15.4″ from that storm, Houston got 20 inches. That storm also set the record for southernmost snow flurries recorded on a North America coast, at Tampico Mexico.
The 24 hour snowfall record for Texas was 26 inches on December 20-21 1929, at Hillsboro, around 40 miles south of Dallas – Fort Worth.