By P Gosselin
More drought and more extreme rainfall are occurring : that’s what Germans are often told by the climate hysterical media and activists. Yet, a look at precipitation data for Germany over the past 140 years shows no significant change at all.
Hat-tip: Tim Reality at Twitter
The above chart shows the mean amount of precipitation for Germany from 1881 – 2019. Source: Tim Reality here.
A look at extreme precipitation events as defined as 30 mm of precipitation or more also show no trend increase in extreme events:
Based on the weather data from 78 measurement stations of the German DWD national weather service. Chart: Spiegel
Finally we look at the number of days in a year that saw 10 mm or more rain, since 1950:
There’s been a slight but still statistically insignificant increase in very rainy days. Source: Tim Reality at Twitter.
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A Google search on “The Flood of 1900” “The Flood of 1901” “The Flood of 1902” and so on finds a flood somewhere every year. Claiming that current floods are due to “Climate Change” ignores history.
History debunks human-caused climate change alarmism.
alarmism is about the future. history doesnt debunk what hasnt happened yet.
did you all fail logic.
The past establishes a baseline to project the trajectory of events. If the baseline is ignored every event can lead to alarmist panic of acceleration. It is not a flaw in logic to refute alarmism with past history.
If a climate alarmist, based on a weather service prediction, claims an “unprecedented” weather event will occur ‘tomorrow,’ and attributes it to “anthropogenic global warming,” but the large event ‘tomorrow’ turns out to have occurred at least once before according to historical records, doesn’t that count as debunking “human-caused climate change alarmism?”
Of course it does.
Steven is just being difficult.
Like Yogi Berra said: “It is difficult to make predictions, especially about the future.”
Wow! An alarmist throwing aspersions about logic!
No, didn’t fail logic; didn’t fail physics, math or geology, either, as you self evidently have!
“didn’t fail logic; didn’t fail physics, math or geology, “
I don’t think the Moosh actually failed these subjects.
He just never heard of them and so never even attempted them.
What he is obviously a failure at, is coherent English.
It’s been 70 years since CO2 began rising. Since the past shows that nothing unusual has happened in those 70 years, the claims that something awful is about to happen are discredited.
The past shows that alarmism has no basis in reality, no matter how much your paycheck requires you to believe otherwise.
PS: You need to take lessons on sophistry from Nick. This attempt was pathetic.
Nick is on holiday
No, but I think you did. History tends to foretell the likelihood of future events, especially when there is no evidence to support alarmism.
Steven you are an idiot. It’s almost like you and the CAGW terrorists want these types of events to happen even if it causes widespread destruction and suffering just to prove a point right.
How long have models been predicting increased whatever by 20whenever. About 25 years?
When are they going to put in an appearance? There must be a definite date for something somewhere, especially as you keep telling us they will.
More like 35 years
So alarmism is ALL JUST FAKERY.
It’s about things that haven’t happened, and there is just silly little computer games saying “might” happen.
That is a VERY STUPID cult religion.. even someone as scientifically and logically illiterate as you are, must realise that.
It is based on the teachings of Nostra-dumbass. !
Some climate change alarmism such as the many failed predictions (100 percent wrong, so far) are about the past, not the future.
No. Alarmism is not about the future. It is about present insanity.
“alarmism is about the future. history doesnt debunk what hasnt happened yet.”
Climate Alarmism is about claiming that various weather events are unprecedented and are therefore caused by human-derived CO2. Like the hyperbole about Hurricane Hilary.
But, history shows Hurricane Hillary is not an unprecedented event so history debunks these climate alarmist claims of unprecedented weather.
Is that logical enough for you?
You used far too much punctuation and far too many incomprehensible “big letter thingies” for mosh to comprehend your comment, Tom.
We now have 33 years of future from when the first assessment report was released in 1990.
Geology turns it into a bad joke!
History? We don’t need no stinking history! –says every leftard everywhere.
Ever wondered how man caused the great flood?
straw man.
I know this is like beating a dead horse, or at least a brain dead horse; but maybe you could go to the paleoclimatology reference page and explain a couple of graphs!
In particular, I would like to hear your explanation for the connection between CO2 concentrations and temperature fluctuations shown in Nasif Nahle’s 2009 graph going back 543,000,000 years; and the excellent graph from Scotese and Bremer going back 600,000,000 years!
Two questions in particular for you: what has caused the near constant decrease in CO2 concentrations for the last 150,000,000 years, and at what point in geological history have CO2 concentrations and temperatures been lower than the present?
I’ll wait!
Interesting….when you Goog the names mentioned by abolition man, first comes up articles dismissing their works as “denier propaganda” with zero data. So much so that it could only be the result of search engine bent to a propagandist’s goals.
The science is settled….as long as it agrees with the global corporate ruling elite and their handsomely rewarded snake oil salesmen!
And yet another attempt as sophistry fails.
The claims of the alarmists are that these events are unprecedented.
Showing that these events are not only not unprecedented, but are in fact common, is not a straw man argument.
“straw man.”
It seems moosh is almost totally illiterate. !
At least he can still grunt.
Exactly, mosh. If you only had a brain!
I was just thinking he must have been watching Wizard of Oz last night.
Named his favourite character, most like himself.
Don’t confuse people with facts and data – it just feels worse today.
Psychologists have a term for this phenomenon: “recency bias”. Humans have a natural tendency to discount the effects of long ago and exaggerate the effects of current or recent events. For instance, the tendency of each generation of humans to discount what prior generations experienced and believe that only their generation can understand and appreciate what their generation is experiencing.
The warmunistas and their handmaidens in the mainstream media make a living from recency bias.
Every generation of teenagers thinks that they are the first to discover sex.
“No Significant” change = disaster.
Well, if you’re pushing a climate catastrophe you have to make it sound convincing.
Without exception, whenever a weather event occurs cue the instant screaming about “unprecedented”, never happened before.
Then I wait a few days and the usual suspects post data and facts that refute it all.
“The fire in Maui is unprecedented”!!
Actually, Hawaii is one of the most fire prone states in the USA, and they were warned many times over the years this exact thing would happen due to several non climate factors.
“Tropical storm in Nevada is unprecedented”!!
Actually has happened lots in the past but not since 1939. Could it be that is because it was warmer in the 1930s?
As always, I appreciate data
Give them a break, Pat. If you are a free lance reporter, you don’t have time to actually research the plot line you fantasized. Someone else will beat you to the 50 cents a word you want to be paid for the story. They’re just journalism students with little life experience trying to get by.
/s
Yup! I knew a guy like that, just wanted to sit at home and write and edit, and drink, very little real world experience, and very much a left leaner.
Kinda describes every leftist…very little real world experience. Most of them would hurt themselves with a screwdriver.
But they are amply qualified for their upcoming role as peons and serfs for their corporate overlords!
The funniest headline is when they claim “worst since…” and then say its due to climate change.
Its extraordinary how the general public and the reporters seem blind to the fact that the “worst since” story is a demonstration of a logical bust that actually refutes the climate change line.