By Craig D. Idso — November 1, 2022
Thus, CO2 literally is the “food” that sustains essentially all plants (and animals who consume plants, including humans) on the face of the Earth. And when that food supply is diminished, nature begins to diminish.
In my last post I shared the results of research findings demonstrating that rising atmospheric CO2 levels represent no current direct threat to human health and/or cognitive performance and decision making. Further, I explained that they present no realistic future threat either; for CO2 levels would need to increase some 36 times above the present concentration before they would even begin to pose a mild health concern.
That value (i.e., 15,000 ppm) will never occur, given it is a factor of ten above the approximate 1500 ppm atmospheric CO2 limit that scientists think is possible if society utilized all of the currently-known fossil fuel reserves on the planet.
But what about low CO2 concentrations? Might they pose a threat to humanity? In short, yes. The lower the CO2 concentration, the greater the risk. This certainly applies to net reductions in PPM, but it also applies to reductions in CO2 from government climate policies against market preferences for mineral energies, natural gas, coal, and oil. The more CO2 the better, in other words.
Explanation
Carbon dioxide is the building block of nature. It is the primary raw material utilized by plants during the process of photosynthesis to build and construct their tissues. Thus, CO2 literally is the “food” that sustains essentially all plants (and animals who consume plants, including humans) on the face of the Earth. And when that food supply is diminished, nature begins to diminish.
Consider, for example, the work of Faltein et al. (2020), who examined the impact of low levels of CO2 (relative to present, ambient CO2 air) on African wood-sorrel (Oxakis pes-caprae). O. pes-caprae was a key carbohydrate source for humans during the Middle Pleistocene, being regularly harvested by human gatherers for its edible underground storage organs (USOs).
Given that atmospheric CO2 is a substrate of photosynthesis and growth, Faltein et al. were curious to learn how much the bulb biomass of African wood-sorrel would have been reduced (relative to the present) in the Middle Pleistocene and how such a reduction would have impacted efforts to harvest sufficient biomass to attain daily calorific requirements.
To accomplish their design, the four South African researchers grew specimens of O. pes-caprae for three months in mini open-top-chambers under average CO2 concentrations of 227, 285, 320 and 390 ppm. All plants received sufficient water and nutrients. Not surprisingly, Faltein et al. report that at the end of the experiment plants grown under reduced concentrations of CO2 exhibited “significantly decreased plant biomass and bulb yield” (Fig. 1).

Figure 1. Bulb biomass of Oxalis pes-caprae plants grown under sub-ambient atmospheric CO2 concentrations for three weeks. The letters denote significant differences between treatments at P < 0.05. Adapted from Faltein et al. (2020).
For example, the scientists say that under the lowest CO2 levels, “bulb biomass decreased by up to 80% compared to current ambient concentrations, while total plant biomass showed a two-fold decrease.” Naturally, such growth reductions were attributed to “the fundamental effects of low [CO2].”
With respect to the human impact of such growth reductions caused by low CO2, Faltein et al. note that lower CO2 concentrations “affect both the value of USOs as sources of carbohydrates and the effort that would have been required to harvest sufficient biomass to attain daily calorific requirements.” And in regard to the latter, they calculate “the time required to harvest 2000 calories was more than doubled when [CO2] was decreased from 400 to 180 ppm.”
Conclusion
The above findings (and others discussed here) demonstrate that humanity benefits from higher levels of atmospheric CO2, which increase plant yields and enhance available carbohydrate supply. On the other hand, reducing the current CO2 concentration of the atmosphere, which has become a platform of far too many politicians and activists, has the opposite effect. And the greater the reduction in atmospheric CO2, the more devastating the impacts will be, as research indicates plants begin to die at CO2 concentrations lower than 120 or 130 ppm.
Consequently, any reduction in the CO2 content of the atmosphere will negatively impact the current state of nature, reducing not only the growth of plants, but other benefits brought about by higher CO2 concentrations, including greater water use efficiencies and the ability to better withstand environmental stresses such as drought, disease, high soil salinity, low light intensity, ozone pollution, heat waves, UV-B radiation, etc. Reducing these benefits would most certainly decrease global food supplies, potentially leading to civil unrest and conflict if the reduction is significant enough.
So, yes, there are consequences to reducing the air’s CO2 content by any amount. To claim otherwise or ignore this scientifically-based truth demonstrates the ignorance (and arrogance) of those hell-bent on reducing the CO2 concentration of the atmosphere.
Reference
Faltein, Z., Esler, K.J., Midgley, G.F. and Ripley, B.S. 2020. Atmospheric CO2 concentrations restrict the growth of Oxalis pes-caprae bulbs used by human inhabitants of the Paleo-Agulhas plain during the Pleistocene glacials. Quaternary Science Reviews 235: 105731.
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Regarding “research indicates plants begin to die at CO2 concentrations lower than 120 or 130 ppm”: What does this have to do with actual CO2 levels, which have their lowest dips during Pleistocene ice age glaciations about 180 PPM, and the debate about what to do has to do with how much above 280 PPM we should have?
Had man not graciously returned so much CO2 to the atmosphere, the next glacial phase could have pushed CO2 levels to levels low enough to start killing plants.
Patrick Moore and others have been putting this line for some time. Limestone, chalk, marble coal are all evidence of CO2 being removed from the atmosphere by living organisms.It is something I have have believed for many years since first year high school. The teacher there, after describing photosynthesis asked the class for opinions on where the wood for trees came from. From the soil or the air. I was the only one in class to identify CO2 in air as the source of the carbon for the wood. I must admit my thought process was not wholly scientific rather relying on the observation that the soil at the base of a tree is usually raised. If the carbon came from the soil, the tree would be sitting in a hole. Still when I first heard of the claim of CO2 being a problem, this memory came back to me. Everthing I have read since suggests I should follow scientists such as Patrick Moore, Will Happer and others before failed politicians, swedish schoolgirls and people who glue themselves to roads.
the swedish girl is a drop out
she is an uneducated idiot
I actually think thats some pretty brilliant common sense reasoning Clarky.You deserve more “+” s young man.
in the plant age (cretaceous age) CO2 was suppose to be 7000ppm then along came those pesky shell fish and sucked it right down to 180ppm and then along came homosapien and added some to bring it up to 350ppm
guess what if I was writing a specification
Safe operating range 180 – 7000ppm
“Consequently, any reduction in the CO2 content of the atmosphere will negatively impact the current state of nature, reducing not only the growth of plants, but other benefits brought about by higher CO2 concentrations,”
The article seems to be studying the leafes of a tree. When discussing forests, looking at leafes data is at best futile. Step back not to see the tree but the entire forest:
CO2 reduction is impossible. Were it possible, our CO2 sinks would release all as much CO2 to maintain the partial pressures vs the atmosphere for the prevailing temperature, be that from landfills, rotting plant, fertile soil or our oceans.
As the CO2 concentration in our oceans also to a minor degree depend on freshwater run-off (salinity), you will find that said concentration for the overwhelming part is given by…
Temperature. Which also regulates freshwater run-off.
Oddgeir
“…scientists think is possible if society utilized all of the currently-known fossil fuel reserves on the planet.”
This needs a qualification. It depends on how quickly the reserves on the planet can be accessed. The PhD thesis of Willem Nel (UJ, RSA) examined what fossil fuels are available, doubled that estimate, considered how quickly they can be accessed, and how much there is total extracted per year. He then mapped various things on a timeline to discover “peak oil”, peak uranium (way too soon), peak energy (2050) and peak coal (2070). He notes that the scary part is peak energy, not peak oil.
Anyway, he found that the rate at which fuel can be burned is limited by access restraints and the peak atmospheric concentration will be about 525 ppm, conditioned on the assumption that human emissions will continue to be drawn down by biomass growth in line with known response to an enhancement.
If the rise in concentration is actually natural, or mostly so, it might continue rising whether we burn anything or not.
On the upside, we suffer very little harm from rising CO2 and it is unlikely we will see a drop below 300 ppm within the next few centuries.
Because photosynthesis has a critical and sub-optimal step in its energy pathway, we could correct the misstep in all major food crops within a small number of years. Whatever happens, this is a day that shall not be followed by night.
The planet is not overcrowded, long term we are not going to run out of food, we will find new and unlimited sources of energy, but we will have to give up war and the extraordinary waste that is military spending. That is, if we are going to make through the next few decades. If peace cannot be permanently established CO2 will be about the least of our concerns.
I have long said that though there is a lot of energy in the universe, man will not ultimately use all of it.
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