Peer Review Plus

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach

A Modest Proposal For Improving Peer Review

Abstract.

A proposal is made for the design of a specific type of post-publication peer review.

Background

In 2006, the Journal of the Royal Society of Medicine published a widely cited paper (960 citations) by Richard Smith entitled “Peer review: a flawed process at the heart of science and journals”. In it he noted the following problems with the peer-review system.

• There is no clear definition of “peer-review”, nor any standardization of protocols.

He described this lack of a definition as follows:

“What is clear is that the forms of peer review are protean. Probably the systems of every journal and every grant giving body are different in at least some detail; and some systems are very different. There may even be some journals using the following classic system.

The editor looks at the title of the paper and sends it to two friends whom the editor thinks know something about the subject. If both advise publication the editor sends it to the printers. If both advise against publication the editor rejects the paper. If the reviewers disagree the editor sends it to a third reviewer and does whatever he or she advises.

This pastiche—which is not far from systems I have seen used—is little better than tossing a coin, because the level of agreement between reviewers on whether a paper should be published is little better than you’d expect by chance.”

Other problems with peer review pointed out in his study are:

• It is slow and expensive

• It is inconsistent

• Reviewers often have biases

• It allows reviewers to block publication of ideas they simply disagree with, or to prevent their scientific opponents from publishing their ideas.

• It sometimes functions to inhibit innovation.

These findings by Richard Smith were borne out by a number of other studies. In particular, John Ioannidis’s study of research findings entitled “Why Most Published Research Findings Are False” [2] highlighted the size of the problem. Further issues, along with examples, were identified in work published by the BMJ. [3] And chance has been shown to play a big part in whether something is approved. [4]

As a result, it’s clear that the peer review process that we have isn’t working.

Proposed Additions

Here is how we can improve peer review.

Start out with standard double-blind peer review, where neither the authors nor the reviewers are identified.  Then when the journal article is published, the journal would also publishe online a single web page containing a transcript of the complete correspondence between the authors and the reviewers. The reviewers would be identified by their names and credentials.

Below that would be the usual setup for a thread of comments and questions.

The reviewers, the authors, other scientists in the field, and the public would be invited to address the issues. It would be lightly moderated, no ad-hominems, stick to the science.

This would have a number of benefits for all participants, and would solve a number of the problems with traditional peer review:

Benefits For The Reviewers:

• It would allow their specific, detailed views and comments on the subject to be made known. In many cases the reviewers will know more about some aspect of the paper’s subject matter than the author. This would give their views on that aspect of the subject matter and on other related issues a much wider audience.

• It would allow for the publication of the minority views among the peer reviewers. 

• It would give the reviewers a chance to go on record that although they recommended publication, they still disagreed with or had issues with certain parts of the study.

• It would reveal the process by which they shaped the paper for publication.

• It would place on permanent record their contributions to and their positions regarding both the paper and that area of study.

• In science, as with many occupations, all publicity is good publicity.

For The Authors

• All of the benefits for the Reviewers apply to the authors as well. 

• It would tend to discourage bad behavior by reviewers. Scientists are humans, and sometimes do things for less than the finest motives. Making the process transparent and visible to all will help encourage reviewers to act out of scientific motives.

For Both Authors And Reviewers

• It would encourage both sides to be clear, collegiate, and dispassionate in their interactions with each other during the review process, knowing that their words would eventually be published.

• It would provide a public forum where the discussion that went on during the review could be continued, with both reviewers and authors having a larger time and place to explain and defend their ideas.

For Other Scientists In The Field

• It would provide much deeper insights into both the areas of agreement and the areas of disagreement between the reviewers, the authors, and other scientists studying the subject in question.

• It would allow other scientists to see just exactly why the paper was recommended for publication.

• It would provide other scientists a forum to ask questions of the reviewers, the authors, or other scientists commenting on the subject matter.

• It would offer other scientists a forum where they might be instrumental in resolving any unresolved questions or possible misunderstandings between the authors and reviewers, by contributing their own insights, theories, questions, and understandings.

For The Public

• It would give the general public a look “behind the scenes” at what goes into the process of peer review, by both authors and reviewers.

• As with the scientists, it would give the general public the chance to improve the scientific process.

• Science lives or dies by transparency. At present, the process is very opaque to the general public.

For The Journals

• Inviting new subscribers. People will be more willing to subscribe to a journal that has an understandable process behind what they are reading.

• Access to volunteer reviewers. Scientists are just like anyone else, looking for recognition. This will give them a chance to get their ideas published and to defend their ideas under their own names. And in turn, for many, this will make them more likely to volunteer their time.

• It will give all scientists confidence that your peer review process is solid, and thus your journal is reputable.

For Science In General

We desperately need a substitute for peer review. While this proposal may need fine-tuning, it goes a long way towards solving the problems with the current peer-review process.

• It makes scientific findings and the scientific process accessible and understandable, thus improving the acceptance of scientific findings.

• It offers, on a paper by paper basis, the opportunity for scientific ideas to be tested, updated, refined, or falsified. Over time, the ReviewPlus page for any given paper will provide a record of just where those ideas fit in the current scientific understanding.

• It would provide a place where even sometime later, as new understandings of the subject come to light, they can be made publicly available to either support or falsify the conclusions of the paper. This would have the effect of keeping the status of the various ideas in the paper up to date. Have the claims been falsified over time, or are they still valid?

• It would provide a place where scientists who disagree with all or some part of the study can have their objections and counter-arguments placed on permanent record.

• It would give all of us a clear idea of the complexities, areas of agreement and disagreement, support for and arguments against, and a much more comprehensive view of the state of current science regarding that study.

Implementation

For clarity, let me call the single page where the discussion occurs the “ReviewPlus” page for that specific study. For this to work, the ReviewPlus discussion web page needs to be accessible, interesting, and most of all, scientific. So, on the ReviewPlus page:

• Identify the authors’ and reviewers’ comments with some special symbols like “A:” and “R:“, with no special symbols for everyone else.

• Allow several levels of indenting so conversations can diverge to discuss details.

• Moderate all the comments.

• No anonymous posting. Make people take responsibility for their words. Ensure that they have a valid email address.

• Have few but clear site rules, and enforce them, eg: 

No personal attacks

Stick to the scientific subject of this study

Keep it polite.

Something like that. And then enforce them strongly.

• Don’t censor comments in private. Replace them with something that says “[SNIPPED: Please stick to the scientific subject.]” or “[SNIPPED: No personal attacks.]” in bold. This lets other folks know what’s going on. In addition, you can snip just that part of an otherwise interesting comment that breaks site rules, and leave the rest.

• Ban repeat offenders, but again not in private. Simply replace their comment with something that says [BANNED: Regrettably, your repeated transgressions of site rules have earned you a ban. Please email the editors if you wish to be reinstated.]

ReviewPlus Page Proposed Layout

At the top of each individual ReviewPlus page would be what is sometimes called the “money graphic”, the one graphic from the study that best exemplifies and embodies the ideas.

Below that money graphic we’d have: 

The title of the study.

The names of the authors

The names of the reviewers, with their relevant credentials

Then, the “lead-in”, viz:

This page hosts a public discussion of the ideas presented in the above study. The discussion involves some or all of the authors, the reviewers, other scientists in the field, and interested lay people. It is a place to strive for understandings, to request clarification of unclear parts of the study, to provide additional links and information that tends to either support or falsify the study, and to ask questions of the authors, the reviewers, and other participants.

That example above is just a very rough first cut at what is a critical part of the page. For newcomers it sets the tone and describes the direction and requested behavior. In some ways it’s the most important part of the page. It should be brief, clear, and interesting.

Below the lead-in would be the Abstract of the Study. 

Below that would be a standard set of links to:

The Study (whether paywalled or not)

Supplementary Online Information

Data As Used

Code As Used

Next would come the Review Transcript. The Review Transcript would be the complete and exact record, warts and all, in chronological order, of the questions, the to and fro, the discussions, and the changes and exchanges between the reviewers and the authors during the review process.

Then, after the Review Transcript and above the “Comments” text box, would be the ask, e.g.

We invite you to contribute to the ongoing scientific discussion of the issues arising from this study. If you choose to do so, please follow these few simple site rules. Comments that are over the line will be snipped to maintain decorum.

• To avoid misunderstandings, please quote exactly or link to what you are discussing. This avoids endless misunderstandings.

• No personal attacks. We repeat. No personal attacks. We repeat.

• Stick to the scientific subject of this study.

• Please keep it polite, friendly, and collegiate. We are not adversaries. We are working together towards greater and clearer scientific understanding.

The ReviewPlus page will also need a checkbox or other way to subscribe to further comments on that particular study.

Rejected Papers

Each journal should publish papers that have been through the full peer-review process but that have been rejected, in electronic form only, and allow free public access to them. And each rejected paper should have its accompanying ReviewPlus page.

In a way, this is more important than publishing the accepted papers. Science proceeds by falsification. But we have hidden away the most important falsification in the entire process, the falsification done by the reviewers.

These provisionally falsified claims are very important. If the reviewers’ rejections hold up, it will provide the ideas and logic needed to assess future repetitions of the same claim. If an eminent statistician peer-reviewing my work has convincingly refuted my argument, that should be in the public record.

Then the next time the argument comes up, someone could just say nope, someone tried that, here’s a link t why it doesn’t work.

It would also encourage people to be reviewers, since their eminently scientific work of falsification would not be hidden away forever … and where’s the fun in that?

Discussion

Let me emphasize that Peer Review Plus is not something different from traditional peer review.

It is something in addition to traditional peer review … that’s the “Plus” part. 

Peer review will go on in exactly the same way as before, unchanged … the only difference is that at the end of the usual process the complete correspondence between the authors and reviewers, their ideas, objections, compromises, clarifications, and all, will be published on the given study’s ReviewPlus page and people will be invited to contribute.

Peer Review Plus is a bolt-on addition to traditional peer review, not a replacement. And daring to dream big, the fact that it is a bolt-on to peer review, and not a replacement for peer review, will make the global transition from peer review to Peer Review Plus much simpler. It will be able to take place gradually, one journal at a time, without any disruption, changing, or weakening of the current system.

=============

Looking to the future, there should be a standard template for the ReviewPlus web pages, such that any journal can simply download the template, fill in the blanks and the links, and they’re in business. This is worth keeping in mind as the first pages are designed. This standardization is important for several reasons. 

First, it will make it easy for any journal to opt in to adding Peer Review Plus to their traditional peer review.

Second, it will let the reader know where to find specific info on any journal’s ReviewPlus page. People should find the format familiar even if they’ve never been to the particular journal’s website.

And third, it will help with searching. If all the fields (authors names, review transcript, links to code, abstract, etc) are the same and in the same order, it will be possible for someone like Google Scholar to search the global set of ReviewPlus pages curated by all journals by field, or title.

References

[1] Smith, Richard. “Peer review: a flawed process at the heart of science and journals.” Journal of the Royal Society of Medicine vol. 99,4 (2006): 178-82. doi:10.1258/jrsm.99.4.178

[2] Ioannidis JPA (2005) “Why Most Published Research Findings Are False.” PLoS Med 2(8): e124. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.0020124

[3] Henderson, Mark. “Problems with peer review.” BMJ 340 (2010).

[4] Cole, Stephen, Jonathan R. Cole, and Gary A. Simon. “Chance and consensus in peer review.” Science 214, no. 4523 (1981): 881-886.

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April 16, 2022 5:25 pm

I wouldn’t mind a small yearly fee for the general public to comment on these papers. 50$ a year or something. First, it keeps out any bots and most of the troll posting. Second, it could help cover any costs of publishing and reviewing and moderating. I believe it would help focus the discussion on the science of the article.

Phineas
April 16, 2022 5:30 pm

When I was a kid I read about a meticulous double blind experiment that gave significant positive results (something like five sigma) demonstating ESP. The study was submitted to a scientific journal. The editor of the journal wrote the authors and said they would not publish the paper because, (you just can’t make stuff like this up), their readers “do not believe in ESP”.
From then on I believe nothing anywhere in science until it appears in the kitchen.

meab
April 16, 2022 8:03 pm

Willis,

I’ve done peer reviews for several journals for many years. SOME journals allow the reviewer to score the paper as publishable with changes or rejected outright. In the case where changes are needed, I’ve seen papers incorporate so many changes that the final version looks almost nothing like the initial version. I’ve also rejected papers outright. There’s two problems I see with your suggestions, Willis.

1) The history of comments will often make no sense when looking at only the final version of the paper. The history of comments is, generally, of little use to the reader of the final version.

2) More than once, I’ve seen a paper I rejected outright appear without modifications in another journal. Not all journals adhere to the same review standards and authors shop around for a journal that will publish them. There’s lots of junk journals. It seems to matter very little to the press where the paper got published – if it supports the press’s narrative they’ll run a story about the paper anyway.

Dave Fair
Reply to  meab
April 17, 2022 9:27 am

meab, no disrespect but your second item contradicts the import of the first: How are people, especially the press, to evaluate the faulty paper that does appear in a journal? All one hears is the “peer reviewed science” mantra.

There is sufficient evidence that major journals such as Science, Nature & etc. are hopelessly corrupt. How is one to decide if a journal is reputable? I’m referencing journals that publish CliSciFi, not other fields in which I have limited knowledge.

April 17, 2022 3:44 am

Thak you Willis, for sharing your ideas.

Very good points, but:

  1. I think that we are now suffering from an excess of acceptance of papers. Many publications do not add anything to current knowledge. Worse, many, many publications follow trends and in so doing most of these are introducing in the permanent reord of science a number of unverifiable claims or a quantity of pure garbage.
  2. This is in part the outcome, IMHO, of a lack of clear terms of reference for the reviewers. Example: I can be a reviewer in my field, and in my work I use references to other publications; when wearing this second coat, I am especially critical and only take as a reference the papers that I consider well prepared and really contributing to the knowledge of my field of research. Nevertheless, when wearing the coat of a peer reviewer, seldom am I asked by the editors to apply that higher level of criticism: points of evaluation are vague or asking for a very shallow evaluation, and refusal only possible in the overall appreciation; so, how to justify it then, when no negative evaluations where made at the by the editors specifically asked points?
  3. The proposed methodology would be a great improvement to the peer reviewing process, but …
  4. … it leaves out one of its main problems: how are chosen the reviewers? Because, from many instances that have been publicly discussed (and I add, from my own experience), we may infer that very often the reviewers are not realy qualified for the job.
April 17, 2022 4:38 am

Here is how we can improve peer review

Definitely I agree with double blind peer review with transparent posting of the (anonymised)) referee correspondence.

Some journals e.g. open access ones already do this and go further with naming both authors and referees.

Also I agree with similar access to rejected papers and their correspondence.
Paradoxically this might increase the potential “punishment” aspect of a rejected paper – it’s rejection will be there for all to see.

Rejection won’t always be by political chicanery. Sometimes a paper really is bad.

Ed Zuiderwijk
April 17, 2022 4:48 am

Interesting suggestion, but it doesn’t address the common situation, in my experience, of having a number of reviewers recommending publication and a number voicing objections. The editor then decides what to do. Often rejection. That decision and its rationale should be public as well, but there may be great reluctance to do so, as it directly may affect the editor’s job security.

Dave Fair
Reply to  Ed Zuiderwijk
April 17, 2022 9:37 am

Again, the solution is to bypass the whole journal thing. Let the admittedly messy internet-assisted free-market of ideas sort the goats from the sheep. I know that this is anathema to control freaks of all sorts but truth will out only sans gatekeepers.

April 17, 2022 4:50 am

1) A massive issue with published science is that results are not even reproducible. It’s called the ‘replication crisis’. This WUWT article does not contain any mention of ‘replication‘ or ‘reproducible‘! Is it time WUWT introduced peer review?

2) Help is on it’s way with reproducibility

Researchers have used a combination of automated text analysis and the ‘robot scientist’ Eve to semi-automate the process of reproducing research results.

See: “‘Robot scientist’ Eve finds that less than one third of scientific results are reproducible.” press release | paper

April 17, 2022 5:05 am

The purpose of peer review is to give an article a ‘scientific spell-check‘ or grammar review = to see whether the article makes scientific sense.

Peer review is unable to figure out whether a article is true in the scientific sense. Far more than peer-review is needed for that. All possible empirical tests must be made. Taking both the stances of validation and falsification into mind. The results must be reproducible. The ideas or hypotheses must be consistent with all other accepted theories and laws and a million quid must be deposited in some billionaires bank account other fact-checker will cancel it (just kidding)

It’s obvious that peer-review hasn’t even been doing its job since a vast amount of junk science continues to be published. Just ditch peer-review.

April 17, 2022 12:43 pm

I have trained 25,000 people in peer review over the last 20 years in the aerospace/defence sector. The approach uses experts to provide ‘free consultancy’ to othe projects, verifying their approach, methods and processes for optimum outcome.
During this time I worked with some of the sharpest minds on the planet (eg engineering next gen nuclear subs).
What I learned from them, and they from me, was very simple.
For peer review to be effective requires proper expertise (‘wisdom’ in the subject matter) AND appropriate independence (the greater the project consequence / risk / value / complexity – the more independence required).
Compromise either of these factors and you’re wasting everyone’s time, going through the motions.

Steve Fitzpatrick
April 17, 2022 12:48 pm

Nice idea. I doubt it will happen for two reasons.

First, one of the purposes of peer review is to suppress ideas contrary to the existing dominant paradigm…. gatekeeping to block different views is a desired feature of the process, not a bug. If review is open, honest, and publicly recorded, gatekeeping becomes much more difficult, and the gatekeepers subject to critique.

Second, what you describe will consume far more time than most potential reviewers are willing to commit to. Most reviews are quick and dirty, not in depth. The holders of the dominant paradigm just want an easy thumbs-down option; they don’t much care what is in a paper, so long as it supports the dominant paradigm they are heavily invested in.
.
Scientists, like most people, are not saints, and suffer all the flaws the rest of us do. Trying to hold them to saintly standards in peer review will get a lot of pushback.

TheLastDemocrat
April 17, 2022 3:04 pm

In health care and medicine, “peer review” is NOT done the way protrayed. The editor does not hand it to a couple people he or she knows and ask for their opinion.

You would have to be involved in the process to know how it actually works.

andic
April 17, 2022 7:32 pm

The reviewers comments and public discussion for each article would be a fantastic source of inspiration for a researcher looking for a niche to explore, that alone would be a huge boost to science.

c1ue
April 18, 2022 9:33 am

Very reasonable, but you have omitted this key sections:
Downsides to the current status quo and to the winners of the existing system.