Tim Flannery Admits His 20 Years of Climate Activism are a “Colossal Failure”

Who’s funding Our Tim now? Gotta be $$ somewhere if it’s the University of Melbourne – the days of academic tenure are mostly long gone.

The total fertility rate of the World is estimated at 2.52 children per woman, which is above the global average for the replacement fertility rate of approximately 2.33 (as of 2003). Espenshade TJ, Guzman JC, Westoff CF (2003). “The surprising global variation in replacement fertility”. Population Research and Policy Review.

World historical and predicted total fertility rates (1950–2100)
UN, medium variant, 2012 rev.]
Years TFR Years TFR Years TFR
1950–1955 4.95 2000–2005 2.60 2050–2055 2.21
1955–1960 4.89 2005–2010 2.53 2055–2060 2.18
1960–1965 4.91 2010–2015 2.50 2060–2065 2.15
1965–1970 4.85 2015–2020 2.45 2065–2070 2.13
1970–1975 4.45 2020–2025 2.41 2070–2075 2.10
1975–1980 3.84 2025–2030 2.37 2075–2080 2.07
1980–1985 3.59 2030–2035 2.34 2080–2085 2.05
1985–1990 3.39 2035–2040 2.31 2085–2090 2.03
1990–1995 3.04 2040–2045 2.27 2090–2095 2.01
1995–2000 2.73 2045–2050 2.24 2095–2100 1.99
https://population.un.org/wpp/

From 2035, the total fertility rate is estimated to fall below the replacement rate of 2.33, so by 2100 the world population could be around 5.5 billions. Don’t take my word for it. Follow the 99 references at https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demographics_of_the_world

A book worth reading is “How Civilizations Die (and why Islam is dying too)” by David P. Goldman. Published in 2011, the book puts demographic changes into geopolitical terms. As Ben Shapiro in wont to point out: facts don’t care about your feelings. On 9th February 2017, Goldman (as Spengler) wrote that Iran may well become the first country in the world that will get old before it gets rich. Its fertility rate (the number of live births over the lifetime of an average woman) fell from 7 in 1979 to perhaps 1.7 today.

That produced an enormous generation of people now in their 20s to 40s who have very few children. As this generation ages, the proportion of Iranians over the age of 60 will soar from about 7% today to around 40% by mid-century.

Other countries face an aging crisis, but with ten times the per capita income: Iran’s nominal GDP per capita is only US$5,300, compared with US$56,000 for the United States, for example.No poor country can care for an elderly population comprising two-fifths of the total. Iran will undergo an economic disaster unprecedented in history. That is baked in the cake, and nothing its government can do will make much different at this late stage.

Iranians know their world is coming to an end and behave as if there is no tomorrow (which, in their case, there isn’t). As Goldman reported in 2016; The number of marriages has fallen by 20% since 2012. “In Iran, the customary marriage age range is 20-34 for men and 15-29 for women … 46% of men and 48% of women in those age ranges remain unmarried,” according to the national statistics agency. So-called white marriage, or cohabitation out of wedlock, is so common and controversial that the regime banned a women’s magazine [in 2015] for reporting on it. https://www.asiatimes.com/2017/02/article/iran-putins-depreciating-asset/

Well Timo,
As an Australian I have seen you swan around on our rivers on boats , fair enough some C#%ts are raping them. You swan around with 2 stroke motors , on jets behind media posers with electric media . You tell us to live a simpler life whilst you swan around the world on jets whilst our power prices have been inflated by fantasy . I live a simple life, plant trees which I grow, don’t fly around on jets , grow my own veges with water from solar power and you wanker, you want me to pay more for the environment .Go get f%^ked , like all you pricks do as I say not as I do .