From the David Viner School of preposterous predictions, comes this “children just won’t know what winter is” moment. This is climate science done by art designers, no less.
Academics from the School of Art & Design have teamed up with colleagues from the ANU Climate Change Institute on a design project, which takes existing data and communicates the impacts of climate change in a way that people can engage with and better understand.
The resulting new climate tool visualises data which shows by 2050, Australians will no longer enjoy winter as they know it today and will experience a new season the designers are calling “New Summer”.
New Summer represents a period of the year where temperatures will consistently peak in many cases well above 40ºC for a sustained period.
Using the tool, people can click on thousands of locations across Australia to see how the local weather in their home town will change by 2050.
“We looked at the historical average temperatures of each season and compared them to the projected data and what we find everywhere is that there’s really no period of a sustained or lasting winter,” said Dr Geoff Hinchliffe, Senior Lecturer (SOA&D).
“In 30 years’ time winter as we know it will be non-existent. It ceases to be everywhere apart from a few places in Tasmania,” he said.
The tool – which uses data from the Bureau of Meteorology (BoM) and Scientific Information for Land Owners (SILO)* – shows how many degrees the average temperature will rise by in each location and how many more days over 30 or 40 degrees a place will have in 2050 compared with today.
“As well as the data, we also focused on developing the most effective visual forms for conveying how climate change is going to affect specific locations,” said Dr Hinchliffe.
“That meant using colour, shape and size around a dial composition showing a whole year’s worth of temperature values in a single snapshot.
“It makes it visually rich and interesting and gives a lot of detail in a way that connects emotionally with people by locating it in their own town,” he said.
“We concentrate on visualisation and storytelling. We don’t want to misrepresent the data or suggest things that aren’t true so the visualisation was instrumental in conveying the data in a way that can be interrogated. “
“It’s like a graph, but more poetic,” said Associate Professor Mitchell Whitelaw.
“The research and innovation here is in the visualisation and compilation of all this data. Our innovation is in the way this existing data is communicated and presented – hopefully in a memorable, engaging way,” he said.
The visual climate tool was prepared for the Australian Conservation Foundation and can be viewed here: https://myclimate.acf.org.a
About the data:
Data extracted from Queensland Government LongPaddock project, which uses the SILO database (http://www.longpaddock.qld.gov.au/silo) and is operated by the Science Division of the Queensland Department of Environment and Science (DES) with support from the Queensland Department of Agriculture and Fisheries (DAF).
The climate ‘change factors’ used to calculate consistent climate scenarios data have been estimated using: Coupled Model Intercomparison Research Program 3 (CMIP3) patterns of change data (projected changes per degree of 21st Century global warming) supplied by the CSIRO and the UK Met Office/Hadley Centre; and data from AR4 SRES scenario temperature response curves (projected amounts of global warming) supplied by the CSIRO.
These data sources are available in the following locations:
- The CMIP3 global model database: http://www-pcmdi.llnl.gov/ipcc/about_ipcc.php
- OzClim: http://www.csiro.au/ozclim
- UK Met Office/Hadley Centre: http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/climate-change/resources/hadley
Data modelling:
- Perturbation method: Linear Mixed Effect State Space (LMESS) – Q5
- Global warming sensitivity: High
- IPCC assessment report: AR5
- Emission scenario: RCP8.5
Climate model: ACCESS 1.3
So who do you trust more for climate predictions? Art designers who think their work is “more poetic”, or run-of-the-mill climate scientists who produce non-poetic data? Is adjusted data more poetic than raw data? Does raw data look more blue than red?
Of course none of these people will be around to verify their work in 2050, or to take the rap for making people scared if it doesn’t happen. -Anthony
h/t to WUWT reader Bert Krawchuk
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“We looked at the historical average temperatures of each season and compared them to the projected data….”
They might have considered using observational data instead.
Oh!…….Right, in Aus it’s one and the same after the overt fiddling with their own records.
“projected data…” WTF!?
Climate model projections are NOT data! It’s an outright lie to misrepresent them as such!
Especially since the climate model “projections” of what temperatures should be today are more than two standard deviations from actual temperatures. Climate model projections are fantasies. To quote a frequent commenter on this site, RAH:
“Climate model projections are fantasies that climatologists wish were happening in the real world. They’re not reality, they’re climate porn.”
Louis Hooffstetter
As I said on another thread, socialists will stoop to any level to succeed.
“Data”. From Latin 2nd dec neuter plural = “ givens”. In this case the givens come from the computer and not from Mother Nature. It’s all clear once one finds out the source is not natural. Next step = Garrett Harden’s recommendations?
Why “projected”, not “predicted”? Legally, projections can’t be falsified.
if you think that ones bad?
see this gem!
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2019-03-13/climate-data-reveals-australias-worst-affected-regions/10892710
utter crap! and the charts? liike like a kid and etch a sketch
This gives me a great new idea to cash in on the climate capers –
how about a new future climate coloring-in book for kids, where the pencils are only pink, red, maroon and purple?
Infilling outside the lines is allowed. No, encouraged.
Perhaps colouring book with white crayons only to colour the snow that children will not know, so then children may wish not to know who is David Viner.
If these ‘scientist’s’ had to maintain insurance like an engineer who has to to ensure their ‘predictions’ are accurate about building safety, I but there would be a lot more caution by academics making wholesale predictions about the temperature of the climate by mid century. Similar damage can be had by people who might plan for this future, only to find it is nothing of the sort by 2050.
Color me unimpressed.
From the David Viner School of preposterous predictions, comes this “children just won’t know what winter is” moment. This is climate science done by art designers, no less.
I love it, our eternal Dr. David Viner. Such “great minds” are ruining this world.
PIGO …. pigs in , garbage out .
Fill my troughs !
Where’s my money !
Talk about two mutually contradictory ideas…no lack of cognitive dissonance here.
All they can do is FIXATE on how to tell the story in a more convincing way so that someone ELSE “does something” and the little people learn their place (and give up luxuries like energy use) and then the weather will be perfect, but until then keep scaring the masses, except the world has hit a tipping point known as climate fatigue and we stopped listening.
Sigma Xi Annual Meeting and Student Research Conference
Our Changing Global Environment, Scientists and Engineers Designing Solutions for the Future
November 14–17, 2019, Monona Terrace Convention Center, Madison, Wisconsin, USA
· Science Communication Track, including sessions on the science of science communication, engaging, and educating the public on environmental issues
Petroski, Henry. To Forgive Design-Understanding Failure. Harvard University Press. Interesting book, suggests a roughly 30 year movement to failure, coincides with professional life of engineers. No climate or “if we just explain it right” nonsense. I never had a course in the science of science communication.
I cannot believe this nonsense is able to hang on after the last few winters. There must be lots of flouride in the water.
Yawn……
Here’s a little Reggae to wake you up and tell their story.
I can’t wait to see what our artist Josh does with that logo…
Its is of course merely lucky chance that by 2050 , none of those making these claims will be around to be asked why they got it so very wrong.
Thirty-one years is not that long.
Even I may still be about…
Short term linear thinking in a long term cyclical world.
+100
Ditto what ResourceGuy said
“Short term linear thinking in a long term cyclical world.”
or Short term linear thinking in a non-linear chaotic world.
Jeesh, is the guy in the top pic a zombie or what?
He’s trying to look like a wiseguy for the camera…
He’s got scary bedtime tales for your children.
Climate zombies, yes.
It’s now confirmed, 2050 is the new 2020. Those who previously enriched themselves or got a moment of fame with wild claims about the year 2000 have retired to the beaches or passed on.
I blame the rise of the science fiction/fantasy genre. Dream up and publish your own imaginary world. Just make it entertaining.
Gary
I blame the children.
They should be seen and not heard.
Now we must adhere to the children’s wishes, despite them not having a clue what they are talking about.
My (grown up) children laugh when they see school protest ‘strikes’ and chorus “For God’s sake keep them away from Dad, he’ll send them all home with a thick ear”.
Oh! I thought it was a more “Modest Proposal” : Children should be eaten and not seen. Swiftly!
What is the difference between a science fiction or fantasy universe and the IPCC?
Fantasy and Science Fiction authors have more believable world building.
Now we know where ANU Students get their ideas.
It’s embarrassing to live in the same town as these zombies.
It’s ironic that new pseudoscience of the urbanists is made possible by the prosperity generated by real science, and rural resource extraction industries in the case of Australia.
Wouldn’t it be wonderful, if we didn’t know what winter was.
I have about a hector of shrubs trees & fruit trees around my house paddock in south east Queensland. This year I lost about a dozen 25 year old local native trees & shrubs to the constant frosts. In 26 years I had only lost 2 shrubs to frosts before this year.
Where the hell is this global warming, I want some.
Hasbeen, you are so right. A country without winter? Lead me to it!
Perhaps we could organise a world referendum. Hands up if you want to be cold and ill for six months every year, or do you prefer warm, slightly less warm and perhaps a bit of wet but warm the rest of the year.
That’s why the Europeans never had much problem finding people to go and be colonial administrators in the tropics, even though we know they are now all judged to be beastly oppressors.
aww be nice a avg aussie winter with a few weeks of cold and frosts gives us our cherries apples quinces etc
they dont fruit without the cold
I live in Central Queensland, in the tropics. I leave every winter to go to southern Europe if I can, because it’s too cold here.
I hate winter!
Has been, unless you were using irrigation on them, maybe the current drought is the cause of your trees & shrubs dying. Never forget that frosts are enabled by low humidity.
was going to ask that also
cold with rain is good
cold with no rain isnt
My computer model has predicted with 99.9999% certainty that next year I will win the lottery, so I shall immediately purchase a villa, a Maserati and a private jet, and that’s just for starters.
There you go, Anthony. You have to make your website “visually rich” so that numb-nuts can understand it.
Let them do self portraits and compare them to a real artist, Rembrandt, or Leonardo. Let them look at the Mona Lisa and tell what’s on her mind.
Because the real artists portraits are looking at them, just like the real climate is.
Uh-huh. “Too stupid to live” really should be a valid diagnosis.
Based on RCP 8.5 … ’nuff saad.
More Junk science from the Climate Cargo Cult.
To paraphrase Lindzen, they might as well believe in magic too.
A) It is not a “climate tool”. It is a pure alarmist pleasure propaganda machine.
B) A proper tool would allow ‘comparisons’. i.e. where people could input human appeasements toward ‘combating’ climate change, and have the tool immediately show alleged CO₂ reductions and reduce temperatures.