By Spencer Walrath, Energy In Depth
The New York Times Magazine has published an entire issue devoted to a single investigative piece on climate change, which observes that by the late 1970s and early 1980s, “everybody knew” it was happening. The conclusion is a major blow to climate activists, who have spent years engaging in a political campaign targeting energy companies for supposedly covering up the risks of climate change, and thus preventing global action.
The author, Nathaniel Rich, writes that from 1979 to 1989 humanity had the best opportunity it has ever had to solve global warming and that “nothing stood in our way – nothing except ourselves.” Rich even goes as far as to say that “[a] common boogeyman today is the fossil-fuel industry,” but during the time when “everybody knew,” oil companies “including Exxon and Shell, made good-faith efforts to understand the scope of the crisis and grapple with possible solutions.”
This lengthy report shreds the narrative put out by anti-oil and gas activists in recent years. As Rich told PBS NewsHour:
“By 1979, there was a strong consensus within the scientific community about the nature of the problem. The fundamental science hasn’t really evolved since then. It’s only been refined really. There was no politicization of the issue throughout the decade. A number of prominent Republicans were leading the charge to insist on a major climate policy, and industry, which we now blame for much of our paralysis, had not turned against science or truth and if anything, especially in the early part of the decade, was engaged in trying to understand the problem and determine solutions…
“By the mid-50s, you had top government scientists speaking about the issue. You had major articles in Life Magazine and Time. So it wasn’t just industry that was following it. It was at the highest levels of government. Lyndon Johnson sent a special message to Congress in 1965 that discussed the problem.” (emphasis added)
If all of humanity was informed of the dangers of climate change in the 1970s and agreed that something needed to be done, how can activists lay the blame for global inaction at the feet of the industry and political partisanship? As Rich writes,
“The rallying cry of this multipronged legal effort is ‘Exxon Knew.’ It is incontrovertibly true that senior employees at the company that would later become Exxon, like those at most other major oil-and-gas corporations, knew about the dangers of climate change as early as the 1950s. But the automobile industry knew, too, and began conducting its own research by the early 1980s, as did the major trade groups representing the electrical grid. They all own responsibility for our current paralysis and have made it more painful than necessary. But they haven’t done it alone.
“The United States government knew. Roger Revelle began serving as a Kennedy administration adviser in 1961, five years after establishing the Mauna Loa carbon-dioxide program, and every president since has debated the merits of acting on climate policy. Carter had the Charney report, Reagan had ‘Changing Climate’ and Bush had the censored testimony of James Hansen and his own public vow to solve the problem. Congress has been holding hearings for 40 years; the intelligence community has been tracking the crisis even longer.
“Everybody knew. In 1958, on prime-time television, ‘The Bell Science Hour’ — one of the most popular educational film series in American history — aired ‘The Unchained Goddess,’ a film about meteorological wonders, produced by Frank Capra, a dozen years removed from ‘It’s a Wonderful Life,’ warning that ‘man may be unwittingly changing the world’s climate’ through the release of carbon dioxide. ‘A few degrees’ rise in the Earth’s temperature would melt the polar ice caps,’ says the film’s kindly host, the bespectacled Dr. Research. ‘An inland sea would fill a good portion of the Mississippi Valley. Tourists in glass-bottomed boats would be viewing the drowned towers of Miami through 150 feet of tropical water.’ Capra’s film was shown in science classes for decades.
“Everyone knew — and we all still know.” (emphasis added)
This conclusion – that #EveryoneKnew – is even supported by activists, though they haven’t yet followed their arguments to their logical conclusion.
Groups like the Union of Concerned Scientists and Greenpeace were quick to follow #ExxonKnew with #ShellKnew and #UtilitiesKnew, blaming every company they don’t like while failing to acknowledge their own amnesia on climate change. The idea that energy companies “knew everything there was to know about climate change,” as Bill McKibben likes to say, and that the rest of us didn’t know about it until James Hansen testified before Congress in 1988, “is one of the worst examples we have of the cultural amnesia of this country and especially around this issue,” Rich told NewsHour.
Confirming that Rich’s narrative is a direct threat to the multi-million-dollar campaign they have waged in recent years, anti-energy activists intensely criticized the report before it was even released.
The loudest pre-buttal came from Hunter Cutting, a director of strategic communications for Climate Nexus, a project of the Rockefeller Philanthropy Advisors. The Rockefellers have funded every aspect of the #ExxonKnew campaign, and are no doubt alarmed by the New York Times contradicting the very basis for their campaign.
The activist group 350.org also condemned the story shortly after it was published.
Rich’s story ultimately concludes that it’s too simplistic to point your finger at one company, industry, or political party for inaction on climate change, which is a complex global problem. The issue was receiving mainstream media attention and was the subject of multiple Congressional hearings in the 1970s and 1980s, long before the supposed “disinformation campaign” that environmental activists cite ever began.
It may not have been the intent of New York Times Magazine to throw cold water on a fringe environmental activists campaign, but the damage has clearly been done. The attempt at damage control from the #ExxonKnew campaign is only beginning.
Full story here
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Has Society graduated from corner preachers of ‘The End’ to “mainstream?”
Only one of many problems with the article —–
“Texas farmers [1988] fed their cattle cactus.” …. “Everybody knew. In 1958,….” Burning cactus was a long way from extraordinary, the 50’s drought (ended with the spring flood of 1957) was worse in a lot of Texas than the 1930s. 1988 was one year, 50s nearly a decade depending on how you measured it. One biologist who worked through both, thought the 30-50s were nearly continuous. In lots of decades rumbling through Texas (talking to some people born way, way, way back) I have never run across anybody who equated the 80s with them. Early 2010s a little closer.
A 27 July letter to the WSJ from a 50yr+ emeritus professor ended with—-“It is a mess, chaotic, sports-driven, with incompetent administrators trying to lead ungovernable faculty and students. Perhaps that is the price you pay for being the envy of the world.” That was actually something already known by many back then in academia that would happen.
Is this one of the author’s novels? Not bad!!!!
Yawn…..
We were freezing out collective butts off in the 70’s. Reid Bryson was running around telling us the glacier were coming, the glaciers were coming! Anyone suggesting our nemesis was warming would have been put in a padded room.
The seventies are much colder now than they were in the seventies because of all the warming since.
But once we got through the ’80s man, the ’90s made the ’70s look like the ’50s.
“Anyone suggesting our nemesis was warming would have been put in a padded room.”
Not so…it was a matter which got part of a chapter in some classes on the relevant subjects.
IOW…it was a matter of somewhat arcane debate among certain scientists.
It was not a new idea, or unheard of, or unmentioned.
It was considered highly speculative, and not backed up by what was observed.
But no one was afraid of some climate tipping point…since it was also known that CO2 had been far higher in the distant past and no such thing had occurred.
“The Rockefellers have funded every aspect of the #ExxonKnew campaign, and are no doubt alarmed by the New York Times contradicting the very basis for their campaign.”
I don’t buy this. The Rockefellers were instrumental in creating the International Press Institute at which one point, they had over 1,400 editors of media organizations under their wing. As of just a few years ago, the NYTimes was still with this organization. This to me looks like billionaire oversight of the news outlets. Just recently, the IPI has been funded in part with Soros money.
Oil is liquid gold. Interesting that the Rockefeller family wants it locked up after their wealth was made from it and at the height of Rockefeller’s wealth, he was worth $250 billion in today’s dollars.
Question: Does anybody think that the rich will lower their lifestyle like they expect us to?
Tony Heller:
“In today’s New York Time article they discuss the 1974 CIA global cooling report, and say that the CIA warned about CO2 induced warming. ….
“It is difficult to image journalism more Orwellian than this. The 1974 CIA report was discussing global cooling and a new ice age. They said the world was returning to its normal cold state, and that it was natural climatic change. Everything in the New York Times article was the exact opposite of reality.”
https://realclimatescience.com/2018/08/part-2-of-todays-new-york-times-mind-blowing-fraud/
The author, Nathaniel Rich, writes that from 1979 to 1989 humanity had the best opportunity it has ever had to solve global warming and that “nothing stood in our way – nothing except ourselves.”
He must not have included China and India in “humanity” as they and other developing countries are what are standing in the way of co2 reduction and good for them and photosynthesis. But then these are anti humanity folks carrying on this climate change BS.
And yet still they never mention the words “nuclear power”.
The only currently feasible way to reduce fossil fuel usage without going back to a preindustrial existence and dooming billions on the process.
Rich never mentions a lot of things, such as exactly how he supposes the world could have achieved what he seems to imply is needed.
As usual, the New York End of Times is understating the catastrophe. We haven’t just “lost the earth;” we’ve lost the universe. Thanks to the greed of fossil fuel people, i.e. monsters who prefer machine power to muscle power, we have lost the universe. The Milky Way Galaxy is careening out of control, and will collide with every other galaxy until the whole universe collapses into a black hole and goes PFFFFT! in a reversal of the Big Bang. If only we had sued the bejeesus out of them while there was still time! Now it’s too late.
Or not. But at least professional doomsayers like Gore and McKibben got to make fortunes, instead of look for real jobs.
” … multiple Congressional hearings in the 1970s and 1980s, long before the supposed “disinformation campaign” that environmental activists cite ever began.”
This is where his misinformation starts. The disinformation campaign was begun by James Hansen during the Reagan administration (1981 – 1989) in response to being called a lunatic for his chicken little alarmism. Hansen became GISS administrator also in 1981 when many of the heavily biased papers from GISS about CO2 warming started to appear, many of which were canonized in the first AR, despite little, if any, corroborating evidence.
The disinformation campaign wasn’t in place during the 70’s, but its seeds were planted in the late 70’s during the Carter administration. It started to ramp up in 1981 and by the formation of the IPCC in 1988 was in full stride. The end game of all the disinformation throughout the 80’s was to lead to the formation of the IPCC and once they succeeded, the scientific method was replaced with conformance to a political narrative and we have been stuck with the consequences ever since.
The idea of humanity losing the planet is totally backward. A more realistic scenario would be the planet losing its human occupancy (most likely from wars or catastrophic astronomical events).
The planet would simply go on in a new paradigm, which may (or may not) be compatible with previous organisms. Mars could well be a poster child for this kind of eventuality.
Small, weak minds fret over the small, fragile planet they perceive and imagine they can control.
” ‘The Bell Science Hour’ — one of the most popular educational film series in American history — aired ‘The Unchained Goddess,’ a film about meteorological wonders…”
I remember a 16mm film being shown to our elementary science class sometime in the mid 1960’s. It was a film with two scientists talking “about meteorological wonders” and also contained animated “Weather Gods” so it may well have been the ‘The Unchained Goddess’. What was most memorable about the film I saw was not its prediction about CO2 induced climate change, but rather the scientists spending the whole film talking about meteorology and how weather forecasts are created. The movie culminates in them predicting a sunny day. When they open the curtain to look outside it is raining (to the great amusement of the animated “Weather Gods”). At least scientist in that era were able to admit they didn’t always get it right.
This NYT writer and his fellow eco-imperialists are truly unhinged.
It’s time to look into modeling of the NYT as a factor in NYC suicide rates. Remember to statistically dampen any past spikes in order to accentuate recent rises.
410 and rising to 350? Oh yeah, you’ve lost. The only question left now is by how much.
I’ve lost control of the plants in my yard. I don’t know if it is because of warmer weather and higher concentrations of CO2 in the air, but everything is growing nutso this year. Trimmers will get a real workout this fall.
Everybody who ever used fossil fuels … “knew”, … yet they kept on using fossil fuels, KNOWING full well what they “knew”.
I NO that eatin’ ground glass will give me a upset stuhmuk, but, darn it, those little pieces are so purdy shinnin’ in thugh sun whin I gulp ’em down that I think I’sle just keep on shovelin’ ’em down. Now I’m gone Sue me sum glass cumpnies for makin’ me eat glass.
So we knew it was worse than we thought?
So everyone knew it was worse than everyone thought?
When the enemies of mankind turn on themselves – and climate extremists are enemies of mankind- please just stand back and let the dusgusting fools have their way with each other.
Hopefully the eventual winner will either be weakened and let go of their irrational counterfactual climate obsession, or will be weakened enough to be chased out of the public square.
Well, that’s sure an interesting take on the special issue of NY Times Magazine….Nathaniel Rich is a “science fiction writer” who wrote a novel about a future environmental apocalypse Titled “Odds Against Tomorrow”.
Funny, I thought that in the ‘50’s and ‘60’s everybody was afraid of global cooling!
It seems that those swivel-eyed, spittle-flecked thigh-rubbers have been hoist by their own petard, courtesy of matey at the NYT.
Their wailing and gnashing of teeth is music to my ears!
}:o)
We’ve lost the NYT.
And nobody noticed.
Hey Rockefellers . . . two Federal Court dismissals topped-off with a NYT masterpiece.
Federal Judges read the NYT.
Right about now you’re throwing good money after bad hounding Exxon & Co.
Too funny!
Again, if everybody knew what was happening why did they continue to burn oil as a fuel. Bringing oil out of the ground, the job of the oil companies, does not increase CO2.
It’s really a downer when somebody has a better conspiracy theory than yours