Global Temperature Update for April, 2018

It is an observational fact that there is correlation between mid-ocean seismic activity and El Niño events and global warming.
It is an observational fact that for some unexplained reason there was a 200% increase in mid-ocean seismic activity for the entire warming period as compared to the previous cold period.
The increase in mid-ocean seismic activity occurs two years prior to the El Niño event.
The largest increase in mid-ocean seismic activity in the record (240% higher than the highest previous peak in the lower period), occurred two years prior to the 2016 El Niño event.
There must be a physical explanation as to what could cause the mid-ocean seismic activity to increase by 200%.
As I noted in another thread the current geological paradigm is missing a mechanism to move the tectonic plates and cannot explain mountain formation (and a number of basic geological observations), for example the Andes and Rocky Mountain ranges.
The current geological paradigm is a heat-based mechanism: to supply the force move the plates to cause earthquakes.
The standard paradigm for the heat-based system is if the plates move more now and there are hence more earthquakes now, there will be less earthquakes in the immediate future. Based on the standard paradigm mid-ocean earthquake frequency entire planet should vary within narrow limits.
Prior to the observation that the mid-ocean earthquakes increased by 200%, the standard belief was that it is not physically possible for the frequency of earthquakes to increase by 200% for a long-term period.
It was believed that earthquake occurrence was/should be statistical (random, chaos), due to the random release of the plates
The limited variability of earthquakes is based on the assumption that the plates are moved by heat and there is no mechanism that could suddenly cause heating to increase or suddenly decrease.
And even if there was a mechanism to increase heating in the earth: the heating would be regional, not for the whole earth.
And lastly even if there was a means to increase heating of the earth, due to the mass of the earth, the effects would be very, very slow and changes would occur over long periods of time, not a ramp up of two years.
https://www.newgeology.us/presentation21.html
Plate Tectonics: too weak to build mountains

“In 2002 it could be said that: “Although the concept of plates moving on Earth’s surface is universally accepted, it is less clear which forces cause that motion. Understanding the mechanism of plate tectonics is one of the most important problems in the geosciences”8. A 2004 paper noted that “considerable debate remains about the driving forces of the tectonic plates and their relative contribution”40. “Alfred Wegener’s theory of continental drift died in 1926, primarily because no one could suggest an acceptable driving mechanism. In an ironical twist, continental drift (now generalized to plate tectonics) is almost universally accepted, but we still do not understand the driving mechanism in anything other than the most general terms”2.”
“The advent of plate tectonics made the classical mantle convection hypothesis even more untenable. For instance, the supposition that mid-oceanic ridges are the site of upwelling and trenches are that of sinking of the large scale convective flow cannot be valid, because it is now established that actively spreading, oceanic ridges migrate and often collide with trenches”14. “Another difficulty is that if this is currently the main mechanism, the major convection cells would have to have about half the width of the large oceans, with a pattern of motion that would have to be more or less constant over very large areas under the lithosphere. This would fail to explain the relative motion of plates with irregularly shaped margins at the Mid-Atlantic ridge and Carlsberg ridge, and the motion of small plates, such as the Caribbean and the Philippine plates”19. .

https://www.omicsonline.org/open-access/have-global-temperatures-reached-a-tipping-point-2573-458X-1000149.pdf

Two previous studies, The Correlation of Seismic Activity and Recent Global Warming (CSARGW) and the Correlation of Seismic Activity and Recent Global Warming: 2016 Update (CSARGW16), documented a high correlation between mid-ocean seismic activity and global temperatures from 1979 to 2016 [1,2]. As detailed in those studies, increasing seismic activity in these submarine volcanic complexes is a proxy indicator of heightened underwater geothermal flux, a forcing mechanism that destabilizes the overlying water column.
This forcing accelerates the thermohaline circulation while enhancing thermobaric convection [3-6]. This, in turn, results in increased heat transport into the Arctic (i.e., the “Arctic Amplification”), a prominent feature of earth’s recent warming [7-9]. .

there is a 95% probability that global temperatures in 2019 will decline by 0.47°C ± 0.21°C from their 2016 peak. In other words, there is a 95% probability that 2019 temperatures will drop to levels not seen since the mid-1990s.

Oh Canada, Oh Canada..
The Laurentide Ice Sheet is coming for you .
… in a few 10,000 years.