Guest essay by Eric Worrall
As temperatures plummet in Eastern states, NYT has published their usual screed on why global warming is responsible for cold winters.
Feeling a Chill? Blame the Polar Vortex. And Global Warming.
On Thursday, temperatures on the East Coast are expected to plummet, and some people — fellow journalists and weather broadcasters, we’re looking at you — may start talking about a “polar vortex.”
We thought you might want to know what the polar vortex is, and what it’s not.
(And we wanted to pre-empt the inevitable chatter about climate change that usually crops up when the thermometer drops — “It’s bone-shakingly cold, how could the Earth be warming?” We’ll tell you how.)
…
New York Times published similar articles blaming global warming for extreme winter weather in 2014, 2013, 2011, 2010, 2009, 2008…
How much more of this global warming driven extreme cold can we take?
The Polar Vortex explained in one word: Winter.
A little more explanatory would be polar highs and continental lows as shown on Nullschool:
Here it is in one link
http://glossary.ametsoc.org/wiki/Polar_vortex
Unfortunately for the NYT, NOAA’s data actually shows US winters getting progressively warmer!
https://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2016/10/09/us-winters-getting-colder-as-they-get-warmer/
Of course, this is all based on NOAA’s heavily adjusted data!
At this rate Krugman can be considered for another Nobel in a different category and Obama can angle for one leaving office. These would be unprecedented of course.
You get what you pay for. Go subscribe to the WSJ or continue on with these tabloids in the checkout isle.
No, wait. Turns out Global Cooling is causing the warming of the Earth.
“New York Times published similar articles blaming global warming for extreme winter weather in 2014, 2013, 2011, 2010, 2009, 2008…”
Yes, its almost as if there are too many people posing as journalists chasing far, far too few real news stories.
As an old editor of mine once reminded me of my Pulitzer-calibre copy: “we only need your stuff to make sure the car ads don’t all run together.”
Of course, that was back when newspapers actually made money on car ads. Now its publishing as much click-bait as possible. The NYT is competing with the “You Won’t Believe What This Old TV Star Looks Like Now” crap…
Have to disagree with you here. Look at (for example) news.com.au: All the well-written articles (as in, very few spelling, grammar and punctuation errors; good formatting; complete sentences at mostly make sense) are republished (usually days later). The crappy ones are written locally.
It’s almost as if there are too few journalists. I can live with their biases, so long as the stories are well researched and written.
“It’s almost as if there are too few journalists.”
Yes, that’s why I said “posing as journalists”. As the MSM pensions off older, wiser and more experienced journalists, they are replaced by unpaid interns or barely paid kids right out of colleges (where they have been indoctrinated for four – or more – years) who, from what I’ve seen, basically re-type press releases from Greenpeace.
Yes, there is good journalism. Blogs, even great ones like WUWT, can’t replace the MSM entirely. But these days, one can read an online newspaper and not get much “news”.
Please. No modern journalist would be caught dead retyping Greenpiece press releases. that’s what cut & paste was invented for.
Quoting Caligula Jones “…these days, one can read an online newspaper and not get much “news”.
One can, however read a blog like WUWT and further one’s general knowledge in many intellectual disciplines, as the present state of climate science and policies is publicly examined, as well as its relationship to humanitarian and political issues (which existed long before Trump announced skepticism) .
his english style maybe a little awkward at times ,but i think it is usually understandable
I do not know how relevant it is to the discussion here , but there is an interesting comment from Philip Mulholland on the JoNova site (talking about recent increase in Greenland ice mass) where he mentions a Russian report on one effect of 60 year cycles in the North Atlantic and writes :
“The weather pattern of the northern hemisphere Atlantic operates in two basic modes, either predominantly zonal (latitudinal) flow or predominantly meridional (longitudinal) flow. These two basic flow modes last on average for about 30 years. During periods of zonal (west-east-west) flow the climate generally warms; then during the following periods of meridional (south-north-south) flow the warmth accumulated over the previous 30 years is directed into the Arctic resulting in increased moisture transport producing more snowfall in Greenland and Scandinavia. So now you know why the IPCC chose to define climate as the average of 30 years of weather – they accounted for only the warming half of the climate cycle. During the coming years expect more south-north-south directed weather movement, more cold arctic plunges in winter and more snow. Weather forecast prediction models tuned to the last 30 years of zonal flow will continue to produce poor forecasts until the computer code is adjusted to take account of the new weather reality.”
Great comment. Add to it the simple fact that the “meridonal flow” brings a lot of heat to the Pole, where it is squandered to outer space, and you have our planet enacting its system of self-governance.
I’ve been watching streams of “mild” air head to the Pole since last Christmas, often creating a polar whorl of low pressure I dubbed “Ralph”, partly out of whimsy and partly just to draw attention to how persistent the phenomenon is. Even when the AO is positive (and the Pole region has higher pressure) that low still can be there, like the hole in a doughnut. I see it simplistically, and call it the “whirlpool over the drain”, as warmth leaves our planet.
In terms of any sort of “energy budget” a zonal flow is far more frugal, as it locks the cold up at the Pole and allows milder air to change snow to rain further north, causing the snow-pack to extend less far south, which results in less radiational cooling during the long winter nights and less cooling caused by the high albedo of freshly fallen snow during the short winter days.
Compared to the frugality of a zonal flow, a meridional flow spends like a drunken sailor, both by bringing mild air north to be lost to outer space and by bringing the snow-cover further south.
Rather than discussing this phenomenon I am expecting a lot of MSM hoop-la, as the mild air continues to head north to the Pole. (A big rush is heading north over Svalbard right now.) More than ever I think we will be seeing it made blatantly obvious that what is important to some individuals is not science and truth, but money and power. What is reported is not science, but propaganda, pure and simple.
+1
” by bringing mild air north to be lost to outer space” and to melt the sea ice.
Not at this time of year. At best it results in “less-thick” sea-ice, (because the ice thickens more slowly), which may be covered with deeper snow because the air brought north is moister than normal.
Sometimes deeper snow creates a sort of insulation which keeps the ice thinner, but the howling winds associated with a meridional pattern tends to crack up the ice, which negates the insulating effect of deeper snow by exposing more water, which promptly flashes-freezes, making extra ice.
Above freezing temperatures do happen, when Atlantic air charges north, and last Christmas I think a buoy not far from the Pole did touch freezing briefly, for a few hours, but it is remarkable how quickly “mild” air up there drops well below freezing. Watch. You’ll see it for yourself.
My views explained in greater detail here:
https://sunriseswansong.wordpress.com/2016/12/18/arctic-sea-ice-ralphs-resurgent-surge/
Yep. Global Warming has made the Rossby waves go insane.
I posted this too soon up thread, fits in better here. Richard Holle
December 17, 2016 at 11:38 pm
The polar vortex is a lunar declinational tidal effect in the atmosphere, due to the changes in the angle of declination. LDA bottomed out in September of 2016, and is slowly climbing back toward the maximum value by 2025, when we will have a yuge number of hurricanes again like 2004/5.
During Ice ages the declinational angle relative to the ecliptic plane drops from ~5 degrees to less than 1 degree, causing the solar and lunar tidal effects to stay at a concurrent maximum effect like we see for short periods in inter-glacial periods like now.
This is all due and under the control of the position of the solar system relative to the spiral arms, their magnetic fields induction into the solar and Earth’s magnetic polar orientation.
when the tilt of the magnetic poles of the sun decrease so they line up closer to the axis of rotation, the parker spirals in the solar wind that drive the lunar declination on the ecliptic plane smooth out the moon is less driven N/S so the global circulation synchronizes to large standing oscillations of the jet streams. Which allows most of the moisture and heat from the continuous Pineapple express patterns to clear the Alaskan snow cover and dump it all along the Eastern US and Canada in a near continuous Nor Easter effect for most of 100,000 years.
Now we are seeing the early effects of a lowering of the Earths magnetic fields at the beginning of the cycle. Get used to the blustery winters.
Next up from the NYT is the Christmas Price Index calculating the cost of the 12 Days of Christmas. It’s equally important don’t ya know.
It’s called balancing feedbacks NYtimes, or maybe we should just call it CHUTZPAH!
How about “bathtub slosh”? (see weatherbell.com)
What a bunch of dishonest hypocrites those who support and promote AGW theory are.
AGW originally predicted a more zonal atmospheric circulation evolving as a result of man made global warming., now that it is the opposite they have fabricated what this article tries to convey.
I mention the AO, to show how dishonest AGW THEORY IS which said over and over again when it first came out that this index would become more positive over time only for them to reverse themselves and claim AGW theory predicted that the melting of sea ice would cause a meridional atmospheric circulation (-AO) which total BS.
AGW never called for that originally , this is why I bring it up to show AGW theory for what it is which is BS.
The global temperatures are still trending down we will see
And there has zero apology to students who were fed the original line and were not told it never happened.
Can you provide ant links to this Salvatore?
AGW originally predicted a more zonal atmospheric circulation evolving as a result of man made global warming…
Scientists have been puzzling over what causes ice age glacial intervals to start at regular intervals over the last 2-3 million years. Well now the NYT can reveal the answer – its global warming!
Eric’s headline:”NYT Blames Winter Chill on Global Warming”
Here’s what the article actually says about links between the Polar Vortex and Global Warming: “If global warming is supposed to be warming the globe, then why is it so cold?
Well, for starters, there is a difference between weather and climate. Climate refers to the long-term averages and trends in atmospheric conditions over large areas, while weather deals with short-term variations, which is what happens when the polar vortex visits your hometown.
And of course, an Arctic blast can still occur in a warmer world. The air that comes down from the North Pole might not be as cold, Ms. Barthold said, but it would still be the product of the same phenomenon.
Some studies suggest that climate change could actually make these frigid waves of Arctic air more common, a result of shrinking sea ice. However, other scientists remain skeptical of this theory.”
That’s it – completely different than what Eric implied with his headline.
The problem for you, Chris is that we can read.
Then you must have a problem with comprehension, Alan.
The difference between us, is that we recognize propaganda when we see it.
What’s really sad is that you aren’t contradicting anything that Eric wrote. He noted every single point that you raised. Had you read his article as closely as you read the NYT’s.
I posted the headline and said it was misleading. That statement is correct.
Besides the misleading headline, he wrote this: “New York Times published similar articles blaming global warming for extreme winter weather in 2014, 2013, 2011, 2010, 2009, 2008…
How much more of this global warming driven extreme cold can we take?”
Except, as I showed with my quotation from the NYT, they didn’t blame global warming as the cause. They noted that some papers have indicated a link, others have said that link is not proven.
If that’s your standard, then the NYT article headline was misleading.
Why is it you are incapable of seeing the sins committed by your side? Hypocrite much?
Eric’s point about previous NYT articles was 100% correct.
You just can’t stand it when your sides propaganda is exposed.
You’re casting pearls before swine. Don’t bother.
Tony,
Pearls before swine? This from the man behind the curtain who attacked those who pointed out Griff’s failings without calling him or her any names?
Naturally, all here expect the Carbonari to be hypocrites, so no surprises.
tony and Chris are whining that their (mis)interpretation of the NYT article is not universally accepted. They are examples of “Big brother cannot be wrong”.
lol.
Chris pulls the warmunist ploy of bait-and-switch here. First, he criticizes the headline, but then instead of backing it up, he simply regurgitates the NYT classic warmunist propaganda. Here is what the NYT actually said wrt the chill “being caused by global warming”:
That’s it. They ran the theory up the flagpole, with the very weak disclaimer that “some remain skeptical”.
Duh, Bruce, look at my post above. I quoted that section.
Yeah, Chris, you quoted it, but only after a whoke bunch of Warmunist blather and propaganda. Furthermore, due to your weak reading comprehension (or simple disingenuity), you imply that the two statements are being given equal weight by the NYT.
Bruce – “warmunist” – and this from a site that claims to be unbiased and scientific.
Memo to John Holdren
Syracuse, N.Y. — Syracuse just broke a 99-year record for the coldest Dec. 16.
The temperature at Hancock International Airport, the official weather station for Syracuse, hit 2 below zero over the last hour.
The record for Dec. 16 had been minus 1, set in 1917.
… so, the NYTimes is saying that this isn’t the Russians ? I heard they have a lot “cold” over there.
Some people can get away with blaming everything on global warming. I can’t. I told my boss I could not come in last week because of global warming. Now I’m looking for a job :(.
Looks like a barstool at a swim-up bar in Svalbard.
What does a bartender serve to a Polar Bear?
(hee,hee)
Whatever the Polar Bear asks for.
One Singapore Sam, please.
Don’t you mean Singapore Sling?
No, I said Sam.
(The bartender replies) “Can I make you a Shanghai’d Griff instead?
When I lived in the Midwest the local forecasters called them “Alberta Clippers”. It was nothing unusual, just winter. Nothing to see here, just move along.
I’ve got it! I’ve figured out how to stop Global Warming.
Since the Earth warms in the daytime when the Sun is shining, and cools off at night after the Sun sets, we can speed up the rotation of the Earth during the Day so that the Earth has less time to warm and slow it down during the night so the Earth has more time to cool.
We can do this by attaching a series of giant rocket engines to both sides of the Andes Mountains. The Andes are perfect for this because they run virtually North and South like a humongous fin on the globe – a perfect “pushing point”. During the Day we ignite the rockets on the East side of the Andes up so that it speeds the Earth’s rotation up. At Night, we ignite the rockets on the West side so it slows the Earth’s rotation down.
There you go, problem solved!
Everest is taller, and would thus give more leverage.
Perhaps we could do both. I could be in charge of the Southern Hemisphere and you be could be in charge of the Northern Hemisphere.
We’ll need a Federal Grant to get started. Heck, this is a World Project so ALL countries should pay for it, especially the U.S.
How much $$$ do you think we need? Maybe we should get a grant to do a study first to know how much $$$ we’ll need.
How much $$$ do you think we need for the study?
If we didn’t do it on the equator, we would need rockets in both the northern and southern hemispheres. Otherwise we might start the earth tumbling.
I really think we’re on to something.
Is it hard to set up a go-fund-me account?
We need $$$$.
Hey MarkW,
I made you the Vice-President and the Northern Hemisphere Operations Manager of our company (it was my idea, after all), I hope you don’t mind.
I used to be a Skeptic, but now I think I kinda like solving Global Warming.
Yes, but at higher altitude the rockets have less air to push against.
Won’t the rocket exhaust be primarily the evil GHG, H2O?
SR
You’re right.
We’ll have to power our rockets with Solar and Wind power, but that means we’re gonna need more $$$$.
Yikes, my “claculations” show that the tremendous thrust of wind and solar powered rockets would crack the mountains off at their bases and propel them into orbit!
(I always wanted to write ‘Road Runner’ cartoons.)
Is that settled science?
@BillK Did you forget the “sarc” after your posting about rockets and pushing against the air?
Ian M
Freedom Monger
December 16, 2016 at 10:03 am
Hey MarkW,
I made you the Vice-President and the Northern Hemisphere Operations Manager of our company (it was my idea, after all), I hope you don’t mind.
I used to be a Skeptic, but now I think I kinda like solving Global Warming.
———————————————
Hello both of you, Freedom Monger and MarkW.
You both seem to underestimate the most powerful lever(s) needed for your project of combating and fighting Global Warming,
A champion or the Champion.
If you allow me, I will nominate the Nobel Prize champion Al Gore, and also as your projects have to do with lots of rocketing staff I also take the liberty, if you allow it through your kindness, to nominate also Elon.
One off them should be fully running the SH project and the other the NH one.
For this help, if you so kindly consider it the only thing I ask is that I have the vote who of these two ends up to what project…..
Taking the liberty,,,,,,, as I happen to live in the NH I vote Gore for the SH project…..please allow me that much… no any other favors I will ask 🙂
Can do with out the chilling effect in the NH:)
Sorry Freedom.:)
cheers
By the way, you might base it in CA and call it Moonbeam Rocket Science Inc. so you’ll get state funding. Unless of course, he already has the rights to that name.
The incredibly shrinking NYT.
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-12-16/new-york-time-will-vacate-8-floors-its-headquarters-generate-significant-rental-reve
Ahhh, Zero Hedge, the site that uses contract freelance writers, and calls them all Tyler Durden.
Once again our latest troll doesn’t attempt to refute the article.
Probably believed what he was told that we are all a bunch of uneducated idiots that can’t understand science. It’s probably difficult to get back up there on that arrogant high horse when you’ve been smacked down.
So what? Most newspapers are struggling. That’s a story from 5 years ago, try to keep up.
The further to left the newspaper tilts, the more it’s been struggling.
@chris
Five years ago? Did you actually check the date? No, I didn’t think so.
ZH is one of many Putin propaganda Websites, but that doesn’t mean that all its articles are invalid.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-04-29/unmasking-the-men-behind-zero-hedge-wall-street-s-renegade-blog
Its co-founder Ivandjiiski, who worked for a hedge fund before being barred by the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority in 2008 for insider trading, is the son of a Bulgarian KGB agent (now also a blogger), whose cover was as a defense “journalist”, specializing in Africa.
DJ said: “@chris
Five years ago? Did you actually check the date? No, I didn’t think so.”
OK, I could have been more clear. What I was saying was that newspapers have been struggling for more than 5 years. How is that reminding us of that newsworthy? I can look around and find 50 stories about newspapers struggling – so what?
Here is one from last month about the conservative WSJ laying off employees and cutting sections. Should I conclude from that, that by being conservative, the WSJ is the cause of its problems? Of course not, that would be idiotic and inaccurate. It’s a problem affecting all newspapers, it has nothing to do with conservative or liberal angles. http://fortune.com/2016/11/02/wall-street-journal-layoffs-cuts-sections/
Cold weather…in winter…ahhhhhh we’re all gonna die. Who do I make my carbon tax cheque out to?
You can make a cheque out to Me and MarkW. We are in charge of the “Most Excellent Save the World from Global Warming Rocket Project (MESWFGWRP)” See above comments.
I am Freedom Monger – President, CEO, and Supreme Commander of the Project, besides being the Southern Hemisphere Operations Manager.
MarkW is the Vice-President and Northern Hemisphere Operations Manager.
We don’t know how much money we’ll need yet, we’re still in the “research phase.” Just keep sending money and we’ll let you know when we have enough.
FM–another idea would be to fund my scheme for marketing voodoo accupuncture. I absolutely guarantee to use 10% of the net to fund your rocket project.
Mad Magazine without the humor.
Mad as in crazy, or angry?
http://www.madmagazine.com/
That’s what inspired the Smothers Brothers I bet.
Anonymous sources at the CIA claim with high confidence Russia hacked the polar vortex and sent it southward.
“NYT Blames Winter Chill on Global Warming”
As is tradition.
In pagan times (Aztecs for instance) to keep things on track ( eg sunrise, rainy season) the chiefs would make some fairly low cost sacrifices which in the main seemed to work; bringing up the sun regularly and the rainy season quite often. I believe the sacrifices had to be made by prominent families donating a few offspring to the religious occasion – a great honour. Unfortunately today we resort to the application of bogus climate science concerning hockey stick studies which if anything make things worse, is depressing and very expensive.
Perhaps we could revisit the old tried and tested pagan methods again and sacrifice a few prominent climate scientists.
Having just returned from a week in the Yucatan that included a day at Chichen Itza, I van tell you that the Maya understood celestial mechanics in ways that were profound to their victims. They even made sport of it, holding ball games on the solstice dates that ended with the winner literally losing his head. And the 584 day return of Venus was apparently the signal to raid the local small tribes for fresh victims….