Yesterday, I wrote about how “climate change” was being blamed for Hurricane Matthew and how ridiculous the effort was, given that it’s been over 4000 days since a major hurricane has hit the USA.
Even NOAA has gotten into the act:
Source: http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/billions/events
See here’s the thing, …there is no such thing as a “climate disaster” on the scale of days, weeks, or a month. By definition, climate is typically averaged over 30 years or more. The idea of trying to label a weather event as a climate disaster is not only absurd on it’s face, it is a clear indication of a political intent to try to link individual weather events to climate change.
The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) defines climate:
What is Climate?
Climate, sometimes understood as the “average weather,” is defined as the measurement of the mean and variability of relevant quantities of certain variables (such as temperature, precipitation or wind) over a period of time, ranging from months to thousands or millions of years.
The classical period is 30 years, as defined by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO). Climate in a wider sense is the state, including a statistical description, of the climate system.
So, there you have it. Cartoonist Rick McKee of the Augusta Chronicle captured the recent blustering in media and activist websites thusly:
Note: within about 5 minutes of posting this article was updated to include a missing graphic and some text, a versioning problem with the WordPress editor caused it to be posted without these items.
I imagine they’re trying to set up Climate Change fodder for the debate this weekend. I notice Hillary brought back Al Gore.
WordPress has been screwing up the coding a lot in the last six months adding junk I hate and making it very ‘fragile’ due to too much junk added on. I am very pissed off about this.
We shouldn’t be too hard on the Climate Change believers. After all, they are just trying to save the earth from destruction caused by carbon dioxide. After doing the math, I discovered that the whole climate change problem would go away if every one to the climate change believers just didn’t exhale for two consecutive months.
2 consecutive months??? Ha!!!!
The whole anthropogenic climate change problem would be solved if the believers just stopped exhaling for 10 minutes.
Let’s do a test!
I’ve noticed the word CATASTROPHE being used a lot, too.
I am not the best at reading ground stations on the internet, but I have not been able to find any showing hurricane status since all this began. Is it because the stations are inland and the cane was miles at sea?
Anyone see any land stations that supported the NOAA claims?
The highest I have seen reported is a 107 MPH gust at Cape Canaveral. We aren’t seeing anything like that now. Dr. Spencer put out a piece today saying the high wind field is relatively small.
Thank you.
Even ocean buoys showed much lower wind speeds.
http://tropicalatlantic.com/recon/recon.cgi?basin=al&mapping=cesium
Click on Mission 35 and then click on the wind markers on the aircraft track. You will not find an SFMR (Stepped Frequency Microwave Radiometer) surface wind speed higher than 82kts.
In my view Matthew is a Cat 1 already despite the NHC reporting max sustained winds of 110mph – which is Cat 2 though they don’t appear to have announced any downgrade.
Maybe the data is slow to work its way through the system.
Thanks!
Well the article does come NCDC, that same politicized NOAA center that Tom Karl ran and made the Pause Buster adjustments.
If there’s a 30-year-long drought in the corn belt of the U.S., THEN it could be called a climate disaster. The next NH glaciation will certainly be a climate disaster.
I suppose the next time somebody spits on the sidewalk, there will be headlines proclaiming unprecedented flooding and the worst climate disaster, evah!
I love this site. The insights come from all directions and discoveries of bad actors are almost real time.
Bloke on TWC yesterday was talking about projected storm surges along the FL and saying this storm was “unlike anything we have seen in the modern era.”
““unlike anything we have seen in the modern era.””
This is called “not having any historical perspective”. A lot of alarmists seem to have this problem for some reason.
Looking at Tides and Currents website it would appear that the maximum increase over predicted tides for the coast near Matthew is about 4 feet.
http://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/map/
Search for Mayport Bar Pilots Dock 8720218 near Jacksonville, for example. The lowest barometric pressure has already passed (985.3mb) and the storm surge was 4.515ft.
The deadliest US hurricanes:
Rank Name Year Category Deaths
1 Great Galveston Hurricane (TX) 1900 4 8000
2 FL (Lake Okeechobee) 1928 4 2500
3 Katrina (LA/MS/FL/GA/AL) 2005 3 1200
4 Cheniere Caminanda (LA) 1893 4 1100-1400
5 Sea Islands (SC/GA) 1893 3 1000-2000
6 GA/SC 1881 2 700
7 Audrey (SW LA/N TX) 1957 4 416
8 Great Labor Day Hurricane (FL Keys) 1935 5 408
9 Last Island (LA) 1856 4 400
10 Miami Hurricane (FL/MS/AL/Pensacola) 1926 4 372
Source :https://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/usdeadly.asp?MR=1
Note that most of these happened many years ago. Atmospheric CO2 began rising faster around 1950.
So how many of these can you blame on CO2?
“So how many of these can you blame on CO2?”
That depends. How much are you willing to pay me?
That pretty much defines the conspiracy of self interest between climate “professionals”, environmentalists and Socialists that we experience as weather politicization.
Great !!
OOPs I for got to mention the deadliest Hurrican ever to hit in the Atlantic region hit the carribean islands and killed 20,000 people. That happened in 1780. Was that due to climate change?
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pastdeadlyapp1.shtml?
Go Home wrote: IDAHO FALLS, Idaho (AP) — A utility company says two crows triggered a power outage in mid-July that knocked out service to about 100,000 customers in three Western states.
Yeah but those were 100,000 WESTERNERS. We’re more important out here on the East Coast. Just ask us, we’ll tell you!
Good to see Matthew is losing power. For everyone who has lived through these, it’s WAY better to experience an overhyped “miss” than be unprepared for a “hit”.
It looks to me that the Florida governor has taken the “little boy who cried wolf” to the next level by announcing that if you didn’t evacuate this storm may “kill” you. A bit hysterical don’t you think? I ask you who is the civil defense guy you want to see: the guy running around holding his helmet on his head shrieking “your all gonna die!” or the guy who says ” if you evacuate leave in an orderly fashion if you take shelter in place be sure to prepare yourself to do without government services for the duration of the storm”
“It looks to me that the Florida governor has taken the “little boy who cried wolf” to the next level by announcing that if you didn’t evacuate this storm may “kill” you. A bit hysterical don’t you think?”
I don’t think so. If the eye of Hurrican Matthew had tracked just a little farther west it would be a completely different story as far as damage is concerned. We got pretty lucky with this hurricane. It could have been worse.
Come now TA I saw the announcement and the governor was not being a rock and source of strength to face uncertainty he was being alarmist. That never helps…anything. Luck goes to the prepared and now that there has been a bit of power interruption Floridians should be asking themselves why is it the the power grid is vulnerable to the kind of storms we know will hit from time to time? Something can be done to fix that if you don’t throw billions away elsewhere.
For a better summary of likely neutral/reducing normalized impact of weather events try Roger Pielke, Jr testimony sciencepolicy.colorado.edu/admin/publication_files/2013.38.pdf or the data Indur M. Goklany presents in http://www.cato.org/publications/policy-analysis/humanity-unbound-how-fossil-fuels-saved-humanity-nature-nature-humanity
It takes balls to speak the truth to power, and it happens here every day. Thank you.
http://static2.businessinsider.com/image/559413cc6da811895b51e628-1190-625/the-tragically-powerful-story-behind-the-lone-german-who-refused-to-give-hitler-the-nazi-salute.jpg
Good picture. I feel a real connection with the guy circled in red. 🙂
TA, but the guy above the guy with hat is already looking him over.
WaPo is claiming 1,000,000 are without power.
so the equivalent of 20 mischievous crows now.
In 1974, Australian ‘Cyclone Tracy’ claimed some 81 lives in Darwin: complacency and the ‘cry wolf’ syndrome played a big part in the death toll.
Down to CAT 2. Looks like the record streak continues. Haaa.
The sensationalizing of this storm has strong political undertones. OBummer, the Nobel awarded Big Fat Zero, has made much of the opportunity to give caring, informative speeches, surprisingly, concurrently with the decision to have the Bigger Fatter Negative, Al Gore, join the election. Who would have guessed AGW had a Political slant???
And now for the really important stuff. Today is the anniversary of the very first Tampa Bay Lightning (NHL) game in 1992. Kris Kontos, a mediocre player, scored 4 goals which is still a single game record that has been tied only once. The great Phil Esposito, Hall of Famer and Founder of the Lightning tells the story of instructing the ushers to eject any one who threw anything on the ice. So when Kontos got the hat trick and several knowledgeable fans threw their hats onto the ice, they were being ejected so Espo had to rush around telling the ushers it was OK. Espo tells so many funny stories about introducing NHL hockey to Florida in 1992. He is still the color commentator on Lightning radio broadcasts and a real gem, I love listening to the guy. Glad we have him here. Thankfully hockey season starts next week. No other team in Tampa is worth rooting for.
I thought that the “cycles” were more like 60 years, not 30. What am I missing?
Seems it is “adjustable” !! LOL
Indeed, sixty years is a better basis. The 30 years is quite arbitrary.
Exactly! Climate is more a matter of centuries but decades, let alone years.
30 up, 30 down.
1900 – The Great Galveston Hurricane
The Great Galveston Hurricane was a Category 4 storm, with winds of up to 145 mph (233 km/h) per hour, which made landfall on September 8, 1900, in Galveston, Texas, in the United States, leaving about 6,000 to 12,000 dead. It was the deadliest hurricane in US history. (Wiki)
Being an operational meteorologist I value NOAA and her products. But I absolutely detest their idiocy when it comes to things such as the subj matter of this post. Lying, obfuscating idiots.
Obviously hurricane Matthew will last for 30 years, propaganda rubbish as usual from the same sources and the environmentalists wonder why the public don’t believe their spiel most of the time.