The sea levels are now reducing in the “hotspots of acceleration” of Washington and New York

Guest essay by Albert Parker*

Hopefully everybody remember Sallenger’s “hot spots” of sea level acceleration along the East Coast of the US.

Asbury H. Sallenger Jr, Kara S. Doran & Peter A. Howd, Hotspot of accelerated sea-level rise on the Atlantic coast of North America, Nature Climate Change 2, 884–888 (2012), doi:10.1038/nclimate1597

This was one of the many examples of bad science misinterpreting the sea level oscillations by cherry picking the time window.

As 6 more years of data have been collected, let see if the hotspots are now the “hottest on record” or if they have cooled down.

The logic of Sallenger & co. was based on the comparison of the rate of rise of sea levels over the first and second half of time windows of 60, 50 and 40 years, i.e. the comparison of the rate of rise over the first and the last 30, 25 and 20 years respectively of these 60, 50 and 40 years windows.

This did not make any sense to me, as if you do have sinusoidal oscillations of periodicity 60 years, positive and negative phases of 30 years, and you select the end of the time widows at the end of one positive phase, this way you will always have “positive acceleration” even if there is none, and everybody knew about periods and phasing of the natural oscillations.

The logic was clearly flawed, but obviously Nature did not accepted any comment. The science is settled, and can’t be discussed.

So, let see the data, for example for Washington DC and The Battery NY, to check if the hotspots have produced huge sea level rises since December 2009.

The figure below presents the MSL (monthly average mean sea levels) and the SLR computed with 20, 30, 40, 50 and 60 years’ time windows for Washington DC and The Battery NY.

Is there any one able to spot any sign or acceleration or simply oscillations? With the data up to December 2009 and with the data up to April 2016, not a chance. There are only oscillations about same longer term trend.

Which is then the novelty of the last 6 years of data? Since December 2009, the sea levels have declined in both Washington DC and The Battery NY, -3.3 mm/year in Washington DC and -10.7 mm/year in The Battery NY.

It seems that immediately after December 2009, the last month of data considered by Sallenger & co. in their June 2012 paper, corrected online June 2013 with the publishing in the supplementary of the actual numbers, a positive phase of the oscillations has been replaced by a negative phase.









*Note: Originally this story was submitted under a pseudonym “Giordano Bruno”. The author, Albert Parker has consented to it being changed to his real name. – Anthony Watts



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Great pseudonym 🙂


Yeah, I was just about to write the same thing! One of my all-time favorite heretics. The Catholic Church still gets apoplectic if you mention his name, and refuses to recognize him. He was light years ahead of Galileo.


Galileo purloined a lot of Bruno’s ideas, but wimped out when it came to standing up for them, so he got house arrest. Bruno got burned at the stake in the Campo di Fiore, with hot coals shoved down his neck. Bruno’s biographer, Ingrid something-or-other–not willing to cross the room to read her name–translates some of the irreverent evidentiary materials from his trials. Wow. Bruno makes Trump look like Mother Teresa.

Johann Wundersamer

MRW – just crossing the data base
Giordano Bruno: Philosopher / Heretic, … › ucp › book › chicago
Mobile-friendly – Ingrid D. Rowland’s biography establishes him once and for all as a peer of Erasmus, Shakespeare, and Galileo
Cheers – ;-/

An article about sea levels, providing a perfect segue into….the Catholic Church, of course! Galileo was punished, quite comfortably I might add, for stating the Copernican heliocentric model was fact, which the Catholic Church agreed was possible, yet he did so without evidence, which was scientifically irresponsible — much like Sallenger’s peer-reviewed “research” cited above. But today, we can publish culture-altering nonsense without accountability.
The heliocentric hypothesis was not confirmed by observable data until 1727 by James Bradley, in 1838 by Friedrich Wilhelm Bessel and decisively in 1851 by Foucault.
While we’re at it, we can thank the Church for the university system and the scientific method, neither of which would exist today. So, will you counter my points here, or continue with unrelated and skewed attacks toward an organization you are biased against? Never mind.


Wouldn’t have received nearly the punishment he did if he hadn’t been an ordained priest.


Actually, Patrick of SD, not exactly correct:

While we’re at it, we can thank the Church for the university system and the scientific method, neither of which would exist today.

Both were invented by Islamic Science. The university system (900+ AD) and the scientific method (11th C). Monckton has written about the latter a few times here.
Al-Azhar University in Cairo, Egypt, is generally considered to be the oldest university in the world. Apparently there was one in India but it is in ruins. Al-Azhar University was founded roughly the same time as the city of Cairo, in 969 AD. It still stands today. The Muslims introduced libraries to Europe through their hub in Cordoba.
Ibn al-Haytham invented the scientific method and codified it, specifically.
Ibn al-Haytham: The Muslim Scientist Who Birthed the Scientific Method
Monckton (one brief mention)
After Queen Isabella kicked the Muslims (1480-1490) out of Spain, and then the Jews (1492), because she wanted the Pope to make Spain the Seat of the Holy See, Christian historians rewrote history and claimed Islamic Science advances for themselves. The entire heliocentric argument came from Islamic Science. Neither Copernicus nor those who came after him invented it. This is in older history books and is based on writings preserved by Christian monks and Jewish scribes who traveled to Cordoba to get latin translations of Islamic Science starting in 900 AD.
[??? Revising temperatures AND history, eh? .mod]

A light year is the same time as any other year, a fraction over 365 days. A light year is a measure of distance, not time; are you saying he was 5.88 trillion miles ahead of Galileo?



[??? Revising temperatures AND history, eh? .mod]

Read the 20+ pages starting at pg 182, in Robert Briffault’s The Making of Humanity. Briffault wrote The Decline and Fall of the British Empire, and H.L. Mencken lionized hi in 1930.
Also, a book Joseph McCabe wrote in 1936 confirms what I write. Can’t remember name. Buried across the room and too lazy to dig for it.
I don’t know where you live, mod, but a major museum exhibition detailing all this has hit the global capitals for the last 10 years starting in England in 2006. Only now making it to the Arab countries.
[Yes. It is part of a well-funded anti-Western propaganda package eagerly awaited by the well-funded anti-Western media and academia elites. .mod]


What did I say about temperatures??? 😉


I don’t think “a well-funded anti-Western propaganda package” was operative in 1919, do you? That’s when Briffault published. Truth is thorny. Especially when you can’t read, write, or speak the original languages.


Like they said at the start of The Big Short, you don’t look, you don’t find.

Pamela Gray

OMG mod. MRW is correct. Read a bit more without your rose-colored glasses. However, it should be noted that because of the ubiquitous presence of civilization “walls” (IE China), many discoveries were, in essence, duplicated independently in later eras, not an uncommon phenomenon in our world of silo’d peoples. Even 10-commandments stories, nearly identical in number and content, were created prior to those recorded in our Judeo-Christian sacred texts.
There really is nothing new under the Sun.


The entire heliocentric argument came from Islamic Science.

Nah, it is much older than 1400 years.



Nah, it (Heliocentric view) is much older than 1400 years.

How so? The Ptolemaic view started in 200 AD, which the Catholic Church adopted as eternal law and killed anyone who didn’t go along with it for 1500 years. The Chaldeans did the astronomical work, however, in the 10th to 7th C BC; empirical work. But Islamic Science was all about rendering the Greek and Chaldean ideas mundane, useable, and applicable. They did the actual study and calculation of what the Greeks proclaimed was true; they wrote it down. In other words, set about verifying it. Their work in medical diagnoses we use today. Our entire western pharmacopeia comes from them. Ditto their surgical tools, used at Cedar-Sinai in 2016. Same with eye surgery.
But who would know this unless we study history in Arabic. Do you know Arabic? I don’t.
Instead, we have the equivalent of Arabic gangs of bloodier Bloods and Crips (the whack-job Wahhabis) invented in 1800 AD in tribal meetings in the middle of a desert night terrorizing western political minds and states.

Unfortunately, Islam stopped advancing a long time ago. Now it has regressed to its 7th century roots. It attacks everyone of a different religion, and those with no religion. It violently attacks everyone. What to do?
My suggestion: declare Islam a world outlaw religion, and treat its disciples like you would treat any mad dog.
Or, we could be all kisssy-face, and hope they start to like us…

If you compare Catholic Theology with Earth Worship Theology they look the same in many ways. Fear of future punishment is a tool which is always used to get people in line with goofy doctrine etc.
Earth Firsters top (mortal sin) Earth sin would probably be something like an oil spill.
A Catholic “mortal sin” often has to do with sex, and there are varying types of sin also.
In the Catholic Theology a person can buy ‘sin credits’ which will help you or a relative out of purgatory and a good spot in heaven.
In Earth Worship an environmental sin can be forgiven by the purchase of Carbon Credits.
Both claim to be the only true religion even though the Earth Firsters would not allow such a title of ‘religion’ they can become a tax exempt organisation.
This Earth worship is nothing new on planet Earth.
I was born and raised a Catholic with ten years of Catholic school which included the fertility rite of the May Pole dance and such. I think you will find that both religions practice many of the same rituals.
There are many books on this so I end my book here!

Bob Kacey

Islam had access to a LOT of Greek and Roman classics in Egypt (Alexandria) and the Mideast once they conquered that territory that was then lost to Rome and Western Europe – for a while. It wasn’t the Christian Romans who burned/destroyed so many books but pagan Germans, until THEY were finally Christianized. Consider the career of Pope Sylvester II one of the most accomplished “scientific” Popes:
Gerbert was born about 946 in the town of Belliac, near the present-day commune of Saint-Simon, Cantal, France.[6] Around 963, he entered the monastery of St. Gerald of Aurillac. In 967, Borrell II of Barcelona (947–992) visited the monastery, and the abbot asked the Count to take Gerbert with him so that the lad could study mathematics in Catalonia and acquire there some knowledge of Arabic learning. In the following years, Gerbert studied under the direction of Atto, Bishop of Vic, some 60 km north of Barcelona, and probably also at the nearby Monastery of Santa Maria de Ripoll.[7] Neither place was under Islamic rule at the time.
Borrell II of Barcelona was facing major defeat from the Andalusian powers so he sent a delegation to Córdoba to request a truce. Bishop Atto was part of the delegation that met with Al-Hakam II of Cordoba, who received him with honor. Atto was mesmerized by the palaces in Cordoba and returned with great respect for the Arabs[citation needed]. Gerbert insisted that Atto teach him more about these Arabic princes who seemed to him more interested in the sciences and literature than warfare[citation needed]. Gerbert was fascinated by the stories of the Christian Bishops and judges who dressed and talked like the Arabs, well-versed in mathematics and natural sciences like the great teachers of the Islamic madrasahs. This sparked Gerbert’s veneration for the Arabs and his passion for mathematics and astronomy.
Also check out this FAR from complete list:
Perhaps you can provide us all with a list of Islamic scientists down through the ages and into the current age???


Islam is 1/4 of the world’s population. It’s not all of them. It’s a particular and tiny subset. WE suffer when we fail to make the distinction. WE shoot ourselves in the foot when we make knee-jerk assessments, and act out of ignorance. WE damage ourselves when we don’t keel-haul the absolutely irresponsible current admin and its merry band of national security advisors who have no knowledge of history, disdain diplomacy in favor of personal legacy-creating directives, and who lie to the public to get away with their destructive actions. Obama’s judgment is appalling. But it was Clinton and that crew who got rid of all the seasoned, highly educated, Russian analysts and Arabists from the State Department. An absolute disgrace.
You’re aware, aren’t you, that ISIS is composed of the Iraqi Army people we ditched in 2003–even when we were warned otherwise–who were left bereft and unable to feed their families, and a pile of American materiel and weaponry they decided to make use of. They were p*ss*d. How would you feel if these a-holes bombed your state for no reason? I’d be steaming, and seeking revenge.

I agree that blunders were made. Aren’t they always, in a war? But Islamic atrocities began way before 9/11/2001. The war just provided a convenient excuse for more terrorism. There’s always an easy rationalization — if they want to keep killing people. And obviously, they do.
Unless and until there’s at least a big minority of “peaceful” Islamists going public with demands that Islamic terrorism must end, I consider them to be as complicit as the ‘good Germans’ were during WWII.
At this point I would handle things differently. But since I’m not likely to be in a position to do anything, that doesn’t matter. All I can do is vote.


Patrick of SD wrote: “Galileo was punished, quite comfortably I might add, for stating the Copernican heliocentric model was fact, which the Catholic Church agreed was possible, yet he did so without evidence, which was scientifically irresponsible ,,, The heliocentric hypothesis was not confirmed by observable data until 1727 by James Bradley, in 1838 by Friedrich Wilhelm Bessel and decisively in 1851 by Foucault”.
Galileo’s evidence was that the motion of the planets against the background of the star was far easier to explain via a heliocentric model than a geocentric model. Galileo’s observations of the moons of Jupiter orbiting that planet showed how much simpler motion appeared to be from a stationary frame of reference.
The scientists you cite as proving the heliocentric model wouldn’t have been able to do their work if they had been educated only in Church’s infallible dogma. Suppression of ideas and free inquiry was the problem with the Church.



But Islamic atrocities began way before 9/11/2001. The war just provided a convenient excuse for more terrorism.

Some did, you’re right. But we allowed Clinton’s admin to hold sway. Leon Hadar, a former bureau chief for the Jerusalem Post, laid it out in August 1992 with his lengthy, and at times sarcastic, Cato Institute article, The “Green Peril”: Creating the Islamic Fundamentalist Threat in August 1992.

Unless and until there’s at least a big minority of “peaceful” Islamists going public with demands that Islamic terrorism must end, I consider them to be as complicit as the ‘good Germans’ were during WWII.

I don’t feel responsible for the Christian nuts who bomb Army sites, churches, or doctors’ clinics. Why should I? But we will be nailed by history—as ‘good Americans’, as a nation, as citizens—for allowing Bush to bomb Iraq when it did not cause, or have anything to do with, 9/11.

All I can do is vote.

Me too. I’m voting for Trump.


@Bob Kacey,
Thanks for the historical references and info. Much appreciated.

Perhaps you can provide us all with a list of Islamic scientists down through the ages and into the current age???

Don’t know any of the current Islamic scientists. But for a list of the past ones during their “Golden Age,” you can Google them, or consult National Geographic’s site which sells both children and adult versions to accompany, and expand the info contained within, the 1001 Inventions museum exhibition.

richard verney

The Muslims introduced libraries to Europe through their hub in Cordoba.

I do not understand this comment since muslims are recent, and people were not muslims in the Ancient World, and surely we are talking about the Ancient World.
One of the greatest library of the Ancient World was the library at Alexandria. This was well before Egypt became muslim, and was when it was under Greek dynastic rule.
it was probably the Greeks who introduced libraries into Europe, albeit at that time countries’ [borders] were not well defined, somewhat fluid and in and around the Mediterranean there was a ‘close’ connection with Turkey and Syria.
[“Kingdom” borders were very well defined, and they closely followed language and cultural divisions (or led to language, cultural and religious divisions), but kingdom boundaries were seldom today’s political boundaries. Across the sea, Egypt’s control over the Nile delta began well before 2000 BC, and was ruled separately from anybody in Grecian peninsula – until Alexander conquered the area. The library in Alexandria (and dozens others) were teaching scholars many centuries before Mohamed invented the Muslim religion in 650-700. Whose zealots then burned the library at Alexandria as soon as the Muslims conquered Egypt. .mod]

You guys are obviously much more informed than I however, the church more recently picked another loser when the elders decided to back the misguided Obama Care program.


MRW, nobody ever claimed that Iraq had anything to do with 9/11. None of the 23 charges in the declaration of war had anything to do with 9/11.


PS: ISIS started in Syria, not Iraq.
While there are undoubtedly former Iraqi soldiers in ISIS, to try and claim that ISIS is made up of former Iraqi soldiers is highly inaccurate.



PS: ISIS started in Syria, not Iraq.
While there are undoubtedly former Iraqi soldiers in ISIS, to try and claim that ISIS is made up of former Iraqi soldiers is highly inaccurate.

I guess you missed this major exposé in Der Spiegel a year ago:
Iraqi Officer Under Saddam Masterminded The Rise Of ISIS, Reports Spiegel
Spiegel: Secret Files Reveal the Structure of Islamic State
Scroll down for the section, “The Beginnings in Iraq.


I hope you do not meet the same fate as your hypocorism predecessor.
We live in dagerous times once more, with irrational blind-faith fanatics in control of the levers of power, patrolling the world like a malevolent virus and itching to take their revenge on any latter-day Brunos. Or latter day Cathars.
And they are stacking the RICO pyre as we speak….

Just in case you really want to get into reality and get branded a heretic. Check out Those guys got 90% accurate earthquake forecasts since Jan 1, 2015. The actual realities of our world are far from much of the accepted science.


The Catholic Church imprisoned Bruno and put him on trial for 7 years, then hung him upside down and burned him at the stake.
Who among us would not contradict ourselves and thus be found guilty if we were imprisoned and questioned for 7 years?
Why would the Church hang Bruno upside-down except to ensure that he did not die of smoke inhalation, but rather to ensure he had air to breathe and would feel the maximum amount of pain from the flames burning his flesh.
What sort of an institution claims to represent the God of Love, when it still has not repented of its own Sins?
Given these events are true and well documented, the Church has zero moral authority on the subject of God. Let he that is free of Sin cast the first stone.

Bob Kacey

Beginning in 1593, Bruno was tried for heresy by the Roman Inquisition on charges including denial of several core Catholic doctrines (including Eternal Damnation, the Trinity, the divinity of Christ, the virginity of Mary, and Transubstantiation). Bruno’s pantheism was also a matter of grave concern.[4] The Inquisition found him guilty, and in 1600 he was burned at the stake in Rome’s Campo de’ Fiori.
He was turned over to the secular authorities. On 17 February 1600, in the Campo de’ Fiori (a central Roman market square), with his “tongue imprisoned because of his wicked words”, he was burned at the stake.[33] His ashes were thrown into the Tiber river.
Duh – he wasn’t executed for any of his scientific theories but because of his unrepentant pantheism and paganism. Since he was a Dominican Friar he was also kind of a shitty person as far as personal morality and truthfulness. The actual historical evidence is he was probably mentally ill. And, the Roman Church ALWAYS turned over such people to secular authorities for physical punishments, including executions.


It would depend on the true definition of what the true church is. When did Catholicism come into existence? For a true definition and example of what the church is, one must go to a true source. Read the book of Acts and the epistles, not Catholic doctorine, which by the way came into existence some six hundred years after the true church was founded in Jerusalem.


@Bob Kacey,

Duh – he wasn’t executed for any of his scientific theories but because of his unrepentant pantheism and paganism. . . . mentally ill.

Proving you know nothing about it, even less about Giordano Bruno, and haven’t read Ingrid Rowland’s book. “Science,” btw, in those days was known as “Philosophy,” and Galileo repeated Bruno’s claim that the proper language of philosophy is mathematics. Kepler was a fan of Bruno’s.

Is the earth cooling? cooling masses lose size do to thermic exhaustion, causing “earth shrinkage” not meant to drag that horrifying word shrinkage into any tender areas, however it is true, as the earth cools, its mass detrious shrinks therefore being a “looser foot” in the water sock…. this entire idea is political shamming to “blame humans” for something and justify huge carbon emmiting meetings for “those who are about to profit” in narcissist persuits driven by tiny egos needing “boost” on the public stager…. like uh, personalities seeking plunder and fame.

Jack Dale

I have a suspicion that Giordano Bruno is a new pseudonym for Steve Goddard, aka Tony Heller. He posted a similar cherry pick of location and time frame in March


Whoever it is, it is an appropriate attack on the Church of Climate Change.
It is far past time for the Climate Scam to end.
Unelected bureaucrats like John Holdren, Gavin Schmidt, Kevin Trenberth, Tom Karl should be put on federal criminal indictment and trial for corrupting the public records with which they are entrusted.

This has been the most fascinating discussion I ever recall reading! Thank you to all contributors here.

Clyde Spencer

Those who are responsible for preparing tide tables are well-acquainted with the periodicities of the tides. Some of the lunar periods are nominally 20 years, and they are all capable of reinforcing or cancelling the effects of other influences to create apparent periods of greater length than the simple lunar influences. I think that it would be instructive if one of those experts would forecast tides out several years and see if they would explain such things as a claimed acceleration of SLR.

The lunar spiral cycle is exactly 18.6 years. You can see it in the ‘varved clay’ deposits from tha last ice age in Sweden.


I’ve done quite a bit of work on lunar cycles, never heard of a “spiral cycle”.
Varves sounds interesting : refs , data ?

Paul Westhaver

I propose that with all the volcano and earthquake activity on the Pacific ring of fire, it would be a plausible argument that rather than water levels rising or falling, land is subsiding or lifting.
How would anyone really know?


Land is subsiding and lifting but in different places due to tectonic forces [tectonic plate collision ] but that doesn’t affect global sea levels, or relative sea levels, much.
Uplift due to glacial rebound can affect sea level regionally but not globally.
In the New York area subsidence is occurring while further north the land is rising
“Relative (local) sea-level rise in the New York area is greater than worldwide sea-level rise primarily due to ongoing glacinl isostatic readjustments”.


” but that doesn’t affect global sea levels, or relative sea levels, much.”
Actually the tectonic factor is usually the dominant factor for changes of relative sea-level, particularly over long time periods.


“it would be a plausible argument that rather than water levels rising or falling, land is subsiding or lifting.
How would anyone really know?”
Dunno. Beats me-


This cannot be correct. It does not fit the correct political narrative!


Don’t you love this bit-
“Geoscience Australia senior seismologist Dan Jaksa said the quakes were caused by tectonic stress due to Australia’s continental plate moving about seven centimetres a year.”
while the Oz CSIRO reckon their best estimate for global sea level rise is 1.6mm/year for the 20th century from their read of the world’s available data.

John Teisen

If Oz is moving East at 7 cm per year and sea level rising at 1.6 cm per year, will it be completely under water by the time it crashes into New Zealand?


That 1. 6mm is just the bow wave.


By referencing GPS referenced tide gauges.

George Tetley

Sailing from New Zealand to Norfolk Island there is an underwater volcano, from some 10 km away you can see the “high lift” on the horizon passing over there is a difference in temp of about 10c in 5,000 meters of water., ( 1 off ? )


I hope that you are not suggesting that you can the see the thermal expansion due to 10 deg C with the naked eye.

Claire Alexander

How would anyone really know? Satellite data.


You made me smile


People are asking why this is happening. Isn’t it obvious? Global warming is melting the polar ice caps. See, that was easy. Even though melting the ice caps puts more water in the ocean, which the feeble minded will think should raise the levels of the sea, I, as a fully authorized member of the scientific community that knows that the issue of global warming is settled science, can assure you that putting more liquid in a container (like an ocean basin) will actually lower its level.
Now that I have put the skeptics in their place, can I now have a government grant to study how putting more water in the oceans lowers sea level? The grant needs to be big enough to get my own private jet so I don’t look less credible than Al Gore.

Does ice floating on the top of water in a glass raise or lower the water level as it melts? Would this answer be masked by the thermal dynamics of the volume of water? I’d do the experiments myself but I get a bad case of sustained sympathetic bladder just thinking about how I would go about it.

Satellites. If they can recalibrate the height of Mt. Ranier from 14,410.6 (1956 USGS) to 14,411.1 using GPS data (or is it 14,416?), one would think they can keep track of land elevation change. However, since I don’t know where the 14,416 number came from, and really, “Sea Level” is a philosophy, not a science, this all seems to be nothing more than whacking with an axe and then measuring with a micrometer, expecting meaningful comparative data over time.
Paul raises a good question – a man with a watch knows what time it is… a man with two watches is never sure, and in particular will be maddened when the delta doesn’t just diverge or converge but oscillates over time.


Taking the derivative of a noisy signal is always a dicey proposition. Just more noise to smooth or a real signal if some proper filtering is used. But that takes time.
And time is not on the warmists’ side. The calendar is their worst enemy. Witness the “Pause.” With each passing year the Prob(scam exposed) increases just by nature.


Sea level rise rates are simply not accelerating. See data movie…


You might be mistaken about that.
[Here’s]( a meta-analysis that concludes there has been an acceleration.
It’s doesn’t come with the florid exaggerations of your link. (Such as *A major purveyor of this lurid climate-porn prediction is Stefan Rahmstorf * – Pffft!)
But a lot of people might find that it can be better respected by such omissions.


I see you go for measured and evidence based language: A major purveyor of this lurid climate-porn prediction is Stefan Rahmstorf
Nevertheless you might be mistaken. This meta-analysis concludes that there does appear to be an acceleration: Our results point to a global sea-level acceleration of 0.54±0.27 mm/year/century between 1898 and 1975.
It lacks the emotive language of your link, but many would judge that better respect comes from the omission of such language than its inclusion.


But – the Sallenger paper was referenced in the “This Changes Everything” by Naomi Klein. The revealing thing about it’s inclusion in popular “expose”, is not simply that the science behind the anti-capitalist faux-eco agenda is mostly fiction. But that those who present and vet these distortions are not really very smart.
Inasmuch as – it would be wise to create a hoax which could not be debunked by reference to real world evidence within the next decade – or less.
It is also revealing that Naomi Klein cannot instinctively tell shit from shinola.
Or the alternative conclusion might be that she can, but that she herself is full of shit. And willingly so.
Science has been utterly corrupted by government money. And THAT really does change everything.
Sallenger et al, was barely worthy of criticism.
It was imbecilic garbage from the very beginning.
This kind of material should be included in basic high school classes as an example of how not to do science.
I guess that in the past, people presumed that nobody would do anything this stupid – because of the obvious stupidity required.
But now, we had better teach this stuff explicitly. Otherwise,look what happens. What happens is Sallenger.


It is also revealing that Naomi Klein cannot instinctively tell shit from shinola. Or the alternative conclusion might be that she can, but that she herself is full of shit. And willingly so.

It’s the former. She has two years of university, no hard science training at all. None. She thinks that because she had two best-selling books, the first on fashion logos and the second on political shock doctrines, she is established to judge the merits of climate science. Her parents were political activists.

george e. smith

Seems like she has the perfect qualifications to render an unbiased opinion, on ANY subject.
It is difficult to present a biased view of a subject of which one is completely ignorant.
Well the Kardashians have made a successful career out being famous for being absolute nobodies, so that gig can’t be replayed even by Naomi Klein.
She needs to come up with a new recipe for conspicuous irrelevance.

Portland, Or., is now essentially following Germany of the 1930s. They aren’t exactly burning books, but they are removing any books or other publications from state schools that question anthropogenic global warming. I expect a kind of Scopes Trial for some leading “denier.”


Yes, I was reading about this, just yesterday.
However, the articles which I found on the topic had attracted unadulterated scorn.
Scorn, which mostly took the form of statements contradicting the accepted “global warming” consensus.
A tiny number of bot-like alarmists had attempted to quell the riot – but the discontent is rising.
The book banning is a coup for the skeptics.
A combination of the Streisand effect, natural rebelliousness and natural curiosity will lead many more people to take an interest in the skeptics case.
It would take a reasonable person less than an hour to grasp that the sea level rise scare is a dud.
All that they have to do is kick the wheels and look under the hood.
Nothing is happening.
And then, if sea level rise is NOT accelerating – then doesn’t cast doubt on the entire proposition that the post LIA warming is accelerating due to man-made emissions.
Because, if AGW is really taking effect – then the sea levels SHOULD be rising at an accelerating rate.


Giordano Bruno was convicted of heresy, hung upside-down, gagged and naked, and burned at the stake.
His crime? He was too successful in promulgating ideas that threatened the social order. Any current thoughts about what orthodox AGW preachers want to do to ‘denier’ heretics is purely coincidental.


He was an ordained priest of the Catholic Church who claimed, “that Christ was not God but merely an unusually skillful magician, that the Holy Ghost is the soul of the world, that the Devil will be saved.”
That was enough to get you burned at the stake as an ordained priest without even considering his scientific views. Today, a priest would still be ex-communicated for it.

Ian Macdonald

What worries me is that in Transubstantiation, the Catholics admit to being both cannibals and vampires.
Excuse my biting wit, but maybe they just don’t realize what’s at stake.


Giordano Bruno was convicted of heresy, hung upside-down, gagged and naked, and burned at the stake.
His crime? He was too successful in promulgating ideas that threatened the social order.
Any current thoughts about what orthodox AGW preachers want to do to ‘d e n i e r’ heretics is purely coincidental.


Global warming is fiendishly clever! It can make sea levels go down just to confuse us.


All the disappeared Northern Hemisphere ice has allowed muvver erf to inflate a little.


It’s toying with us!


ROTFLMAO!!!! Great one!

That’s just what I was thinking. Just goes to show how low those capitalist polluters will bring themselves.


“The logic was clearly flawed, but obviously Nature did not accepted any comment. The science is settled, and can’t be discussed.” …..Bad grammar, or have I had too many beer ?


Mike Smith

Probably a little of both as “beer” should have been plural. Have another one….

Ian L. McQueen

I am assuming that the writer’s first language is not English, for I have heard forms like “……Nature did not accepted any comment” from a number of people who were speaking English as their second (or third, etc.) language.
Ian M

Michael Smith

I thought the comment was brilliant and made a note of it.


“Is there any one able to spot any sign or acceleration or simply oscillations?”
Ok, it’s getting bad now !

Post glacial isocratic uplift and sinking is only one component.
This is map of Atlantic Ocean floor .
Red line shows Mid Atlantic Ridge MAR. Because of seafloor spreading and the movement of the ocean floor and of the continents outward from the ridge, the Atlantic Basin is widening at an estimated rate of 1 to 10 cm (0.5 to 4 inches) a year, while the ridge has an average spreading rate of about 2.5 cm (1 inch) per year.
Currently The MAR is up to 3 km in height above the ocean floor and 1000 to 1500 km wide.
Material for building the ridge is not created from the thin air, it comes from the earth’s mantle and has to be replaced by sinking of (nearby) continental shelf elsewhere.

Mark - Helsinki

new material is created all the time with magma under water Vuk. Not directly relating it to your point but there is a LOT of extra mass in the oceans because of eruptions.

Mark - Helsinki

Plus ocean water passes through the crust in many locations, so there is plenty of convection, and that water expands. Cant remember where I read it but the ocean it is claimed takes away 25% of the heat via this convection.
Add in the ocean floor bends, and who knows what else, plus the pumping out of land based ground water and flushing it into the oceans after we use it.
I have no faith in the scientific body actually being able to give anything like an accurate figure, there is too much “certainty” in this area for it to be really credible. It’s “best we have” and that is not “good enough” to assess actual risk.
The fact the continents move has only relatively recently been accepted and that was an easy one once we had the tech.
Too much maths faffing and guessing because of logistical and technical inadequacies

Mark - Helsinki

“bends”? Ocean floor vents

Johann Wundersamer

A graph derived of real data says more than 1000 model runs. Thanks – Hans


comment image
PMSL data from Federicia in Denmark, next to Vejle one of Rockefellers’ “resilient cities”.
The city “expects” 250 mm of sea rise by 2050 ( ave 7mm/y from today ) despite current sea levels DROPPING by 6mm/y. Not much sign of acceleration here.


I doubt the accuracy of these graphs. The last two graphs show respectively 50 and 25y trends and 40y and 20y trends of equal length . Not possible. Padded data or what?
Also these kind of sliding trends are effectively a running mean on the rate of change. Running means are notorious for inverting peaks troughs, so certainly NOT a good basis to seeing whether recent data is going up or down. image
Sliding trends were the basis of Marotzke & Forster’s failed 2015 paper which concluded there was not trace of high sensitivity models being more likely to be wrong despite showing that there were indeed two distinct groups in their results ( they just had not noticed ).comment image
They’d mangled the data so much with their sliding trend filters that they confused themselves ( into thinking what they wanted to think all along ).


Sliding trends can be very distorting ( it’s a form of running mean which can invert data peaks and troughs ) . Applying a proper low pass filter to NY Battery shows that there is not acceleration. Indeed since the 1998 El Nino there is yet another of those pesky ‘pause’ things going on.comment image


According to Major et al 2012 ( linked above ) NY shows greater relative sea level rise than the global average due to subsidence. That data has a little under 3mm/y over the last century with NO acceleration.


Here is the NY Battery data as rate of change with a 10 year low-pass filter. Here we see the difference between a real filter and sliding trends. A real filter removes all the high frequencies.


You point is ?

potential subsidence

Al Gore stood there to get his ocean-depth-brain-sensor calibrated. It’s wobbly.


Thanks Lois. I see no reason to argue whether Battery Park is a landfill but now you said what actually meant: the tide gauge is not in the park it is on the quay-side.
What would be relevant here is whether tide gauge at the Battery is on solid ground or not. This site was a military battery to defend NY. since 1623, it was not built on the more recent land-fill zones.


Mayor Bloomberg was warned about the potential sea surge and flood in the event of hurricanes or tropical storms in March, 2009. He knew about the New York Bight. He did nothing about it. So when Sandy happened, he called it Global Warming and shuffled it onto the federal government. And Obama got to grandstand.
New York City Natural Hazard Mitigation Plan 2009

Hurricane Sandy was a typical category 1 hurricane that the alarmists in the media have dubbed a “Superstorm”. It caused so much damage to NYC and N.NJ because the storm track was a direct hit and it made landfall during a full moon high tide.


Yeah, Chris, and Bloomberg’s people predicted it in their report…and–I believe because I haven’t read it in a while–that they suggested Bloomberg end the damage these storms have caused since the first half of the 1800s by getting the Army Corps of Engineers to build something to protect the lower end of Manhattan.


Not related but just read that some company is proposing a 35,000 panel 10mgw solar farm near our town in north east Victoria Australia for the princely sum of 20 mil ,they will be using auto tracking panels and will be ,leasing or selling when finished .
Why do I smell snake oil ?
Proposed site is not that far away from local landfill maybe should use methane fired generator instead ?
Anyone see something wrong with these figures .


It gets better their solar will be connected to the grid and push out the surrounding energy so anyone wanting to buy clean green power .


have you got a link to info on that , who is doing it ? is it concentrated solar or flat PV.
Wholesale flat PV should be around 0.50 euro / watt now. It’s the rest of the tracking land purchase and electronics which will cost more.


Sorry I believe it’s flat pv , more info down the page .


Karegar, M. A., T. H. Dixon, and S. E. Engelhart (2016), Subsidence along the Atlantic Coast of North
America: Insights from GPS and late Holocene relative sea level data, Geophys. Res. Lett., 43, doi:10.1002/
Received 29 JAN 2016 Accepted 15 MAR 2016 Accepted article online 17 MAR 2016
Kareger is seeing groundwater pump out lowering the land.
See also: and trend for US Gulf Coast at: “The mean sea level (MSL) trends measured by tide gauges that are presented on this web site are local relative MSL trends as opposed to the global sea level trend. Tide gauge measurements are made with respect to a local fixed reference level on land; therefore, if there is some long-term vertical land motion occurring at that location, the relative MSL trend measured there is a combination of the global sea level rate and the local vertical land motion.” and which says:
“Mean Sea Level Trends for Tropical and Gulf of Mexico Stations
The graphs compare the 95% confidence intervals of the mean sea level trends. Trends with the narrowest confidence intervals are based on the longest data sets. Trends with the widest confidence intervals are based on only 30-40 years of data. The graphs give an indication of the differing rates of vertical land motion, given that the absolute global sea level rise is believed to be 1.7-1.8 millimeters/year. The calculated trends for all stations are available as a table in millimeters/year and in feet/century.”
QED, to figure out the true rate of climb of the water, one must also account for the motion of the land. The two worst sea level “rise” rates for the US are Eugene Island (9.65 mm/yr) and Grand Isle (9.05 mm/yr) , both in La. However, in both cases, the land is sinking about 4x the rate of the Gulf rising. If the rate of sea level rise doubles over the next 80 years, from a hair under 2 mm/yr to almost 4 mm/yr, the land will only be sinking at 2x the rate of water rise.
Of course sea level is NOT “falling” up in Alaska; those gauges are bolted to rocks which are rebounding upwards at much higher rates. The overall US map shows Skagway, AK with the highest rate of sea level “dropping,” -17.59 mm/yr.

…Glacier Bay contained a huge continuous icefield up to 0.9 mi (1.5 km) thick that covered more than 2350 mi2 (6000 km2 ) at the peak of the LIA (1770 AD). Rapid calving and associated upstream drawdown lead to its collapse in less than 160 years, with the main trunk of the icefield retreating 75 mi (120 km) in fjords as deep as 1640 ft (500 m). Using our reconstruction we calculated that an ice volume of about 820 mi3 (3450 km3 ) was lost above sea level during the post-LIA collapse, comparable in volume to Lake Huron, and equivalent to a global rise in sea level of nearly 0.4 in (1 cm). An additional 60 mi3 (250 km3 ) of below sea level glacier ice was lost in the fjords. To our knowledge this retreat in Glacier Bay is the largest post-LIA deglaciation in the world…
The result of this retreat has been the most rapid glacial rebound in recent history, with relative sea level around Glacier Bay falling as much as 30mm/yr.

Question? Are most of those posting Geologist? Like with Global Warming & Climate Change articles none provide qualifications.
I have somewhat an understanding of the above due to ancillary studies of Physics, but only on a macro level. Anyway, when I post provide formal education background, Business and Personal information relevant to the post along with external sources. Why is this never provided for the above?


No idea what “never provided/business/personal information above” means. Lee T has not posted any such information about him/her self. Moreover, no one else does either. No idea why a blog post needs bio or biz info. I could be a third grade drop-out and still understand the point Dixon et al are making. Besides, if I’m the subject of the questions, Lee T is asking about the wrong people. Do Dixon et al (plus the journal which published them) know what THEY are talking about? I didn’t write the article; I only cited it. Neither am I an employee of NOAA. I know about their web page; I don’t maintain it.
Nevertheless, for the record, here’s what googling the authors for a moment turned up:
Dixon is a full professor, School of Geosciences, University of South Florida, Tampa, Florida
Education BSc (Geological Science) [with honors], then University of Western Ontario, London, Canada; PhD (Earth Science): University of California, San Diego, Scripps Institution of Oceanography. Full CV at:
Makan Abdollahzadeh Karegar is a PhD candidate grad student at that same school;
Engelhart is an Asst Prof, Department of Geosciences, University of Rhode Island, Kingston, Rhode Island, USA Ph.D., Earth and Environmental Science, 2010 University of Pennsylvania
M.Sc., Geography, 2005 Durham University
B.Sc., Geography, 2004 Durham University
Hope all that helps.


Only link I have is the name of the rag and the date it was published,
The Wangaratta Chronicle ,Friday may 27 .
Also in this rag is an article that reckons 4 in 5 voters support renewable energy in this electorate .

Otis Buchanan

Is a full professor more credible than a two year community college student?


I have always doubted this silly claim. However, it would be much easier to find credibility with this author if he wrote as if he were educated.

Otis Buchanan

Yes, but he is a FULL PROFESSOR, and not just half full.


Some folks are assistant or associate profs; further down the scale are lecturers. I have been an associate prof several times but that was 20 years ago and not in geology.
Besides, if anyone has a problem with either NOAA’s gauges or Dixon et al’s take on geodesy, etc, then please find a science flaw in their facts or logic. So far, no one has tried to “adjust” anything like the GulfNet C4G runs out of LSU, nor the Continuously Operating Reference Stations (CORS) used to keep the benchmarks honest. Most states have a CORS network now, and many of them have been running long enough to have headings.
If you’re interested in that sort of thing check out “GPSVEL 1.0: U.S. plot;” one of several samples on UNACO’s “Integrated Data Viewer” page at: (last accessed May 21, 2016)
or this PDF:


Everybody driving around in gas burning engines contributing to earth’s green house effect ending like the planet venus with evaporated oceans, and 800 degree surface temperatures.


too many people on the east coast…
US is tipping over like Guam

No its tipping on the west coast causing lower water on the east coast. I think its too many illegals in California causing the problem. Illegals should move east.

to where, Atlantis, maybe? 😉


Why is this so hard to believe,first of all this Washington DC & New York these are both Highly Democrat infested areas. The amount of hot air that comes from a Democrat is much larger than from Normal human beings. Second the effort to be a Liar takes more ability and that sucks the pressure out of the area which causes the water to drop. So Obama Lied the watered did Not rise once he became President.

randy h

The last 10 years of data discredits everything the global warming alarmist are claiming. How can msl be declining when the earth is being cooked? Even over the last 170 years we see a msl rise of about 1/10th of an inch per year UNWAIVERING to a time before industrialization and Henry Ford. That alone suspects a larger event such as a naturally declining ice age that may be on a cycle on the order of 1000’s of years.

Trying to extract mm/century changes in sea level change from incoherent cm/year changes in noisy sea level data around the world is like trying to find fly excrement in beach sand. These intellectual exercises should be called what they truly are: mental masturbation.
Besides, who cares. We are in an interglacial warmup period. Ice is supposed to be melting. It is the ice that we see growing in the rear view mirror that I would be worrying about, an indication that we may be at the end of this IWP.


Climate change, fake rapes, ‘borrowed’ prosperity, cultural appropriation, trans gender fantasies…….what will democrats think of next?


SD3 – do you really want to know? Ask Woody Allen or Corey Feldman.


Wait a minute! Obama is running around telling us that because of GLOBAL WARMING and the polar ice melting, the seas are risingand will eventually wipe out mankind unless he’s allowed to tax us more. Now you are telling us the seas are not risging but doing just the opposite. Are you now asking for higher taxes because the seas are falling? Who is telling the truth here? I guess we are all going to have to move to Kansas and pay higher taxes no matter what.

War Rex

kimdi01, you are so wrong! Taxes are lower in Kansas.

liberals are liars it comes from smoking pot

Farley brain dead logic employed there Crispy. Using some Razor sharp thinking and making the fewest assumptions possible I am going to conclude liberals lie because they believe the Ends justify the Means. A lie is acceptable because the ultimate goal, Socialist Utopia , is worth it.
But what do I know…Smoke ’em if you got ’em.


Maybe the eath is flat and leaning west ….

Jon Lorenzen

Help me out here. How do you have a sea LEVEL on a globe? It’s not possible.

Gravitational logic. Level is relative. Space is curved. Hillary is crooked.

Steve Reddish

Level does not mean flat, it means equidistant from the center of mass of the Earth at all points of the surface in question, with some self-adjustment due to rotational affects.

Sorry but science is settled. Time to get political .an open letter with 1,000s of signatures from informed sceptics to Donald Trump is what we need. Now ,so he can use it against the lying dems and get puplic informed of the complete lunacy of agw and the folly of spending trillions on making the climate colder.with so called green energy.


Id like to know if the measurements are relative to a surface such as ocean floor or a referance point on land. Author might check plate tectonics as a contributing/explanatory factor. Its widely known the north american plate is subducting into the mantle on the west coast. On the east coast it is rising. In addition, the whole plate moves like all others on this planet. I would expect sea levels to ‘be rising’ in a similacr fashion. GrwgK ‘s reply is similar, but much more thorough. Nice work gregk.


You have it all wrong. Approximately 8 years ago Obama was elected, and the Earth began to heal and the seas stopped rising… sarc off


[snip – getting too off-topic -mod]


The author is obviously ESL. He needs a better editor for more credibility.

Barbara Skolaut

There’ll be hell to pay now, Anthony. This article made Drudge. 😀

The only thing that is settled here is that the ignorance and greed in Man is never-ending and there is little to be done about it. Man-made stupidity.


“We have caused such such global warming that…..wait…..we have caused such climate change that we’re melting the polar ice caps! By 2013, Miami will be underwater, we’ll have to depopulate Manhattan, and move the East coast inland by 20 miles……uh….wait………No, we’re draining the oceans! Our wasteful use of seawater has made the oceans disappear by, uh, by…..uh….evaporation or something. Oh what the hell, whatever it is, we’ve done it! And only by giving trillions of dollars to leftist NGOs and collectivist governments will we have a hope of having any oceans in five years!”

Michael Jankowski

Miami is now being portrayed as “Ground Zero” for sea level rise.

Sea level rise at Miami is about 0.09 in. per year and not accelerating.
Miami Beach monthly tide gauge records end in 1981:
Records at Virginia Beach Key south of Miami run from 1994-2015:
Key West records are from 1913-2015:
Miami is sucking freshwater from the underlying limestone and dumping wastewater into the ocean to the tune of about 360 million gallons per day, which might cause some subsidence. In any case, that is the cause of salt-water intrusion into the aquifer, NOT “climate change.”

How can you make projections based on the measure of sea level since there’s so many variables? All these influence sea level: changing barometric pressure, Sun tides, Moon tides, distant storms, earthquakes, underwater volcanoes, in addition to sea ice, rain runoff, glacial melt, drought, evaporation and probably salinity and sea life. Measure it? Perhaps. Usefulness of the measure? Doubtful.

tom s

Ok, so what say Nature? I think that journal would be more aptly named “Nurture”, I you know what I mean.


The New York Time article on the Marshal Islands being covered by water due to global warming left out one critical scientific fact.
What did they leave out? The Marshal Island chain is an Atoll. The natural life cycle of an Atoll ends by sinking. The residents of the Marshall Islands are suffering because they built their village on a sinking atoll, not because of Los Angeles automobiles.

I thought it was because of too much toilet paper usage.

Michael S

But…But….what about the computer “models” showing sealevel rise all around the world?? how will we ever be able to get the U.S. to embrace our definition of “climate change”?? these “scientists” are more concerned with their government paychecks to bother themselves with the real science behind whatever “climate change” is. They curse the rest of us fir not believing their little game of charades and card tricks.


Evaporation is happening faster than polar caps melting because of green house effect, and too many polluting cars on the road.

The sea level in New England and NY is dropping (MLW), because the land is rebounding from the compression (of the 1 mile thick Laurentide Ice Sheet), that melted off about 9000 years ago. Like most of the “Global Warming” nonsense, the science has been subordinated to dogma.


Then I guess we have little to worry about regarding sea levels . . . .


File this with the Michael Mann Hockey stick chart and the University of East Anglia falsified temperature data . . . .


You cannot say the UEA temp data were falsified – they were actually “lost,” not falsified. So, we can all go back to believing in the global warming.


You mean there’s yet ANOTHER inconvenient truth for the Global Warming religion?

carlos broker

I have no idea what the [pruned] these people are talking about. All I want to know is whether sea level is high or [pruned] lower. Can some brainiac answer this?

Global mean sea level is creeping up at about the same rate it has since we started measuring, as far as we can tell. What it’s doing at the coast near you depends mostly on what the land is doing. End of story,


“what the land is doing” YES!!!! the typically forgotten rest of the puzzle. if you only know what the water is doing you’re wasting your time.


That’s pretty much the complete picture and all that anyone needs to know.
Sadly, almost nobody will take note of such a simple presentation.
They prefer to be baffled by garbled nonsense,


just more garbage about the scam that our government is playing on the gullible idiots who buy into the global warming con game they are playing. The left hates the idea that we are still unable to control every citizen in the country and that the UN still can tell us what to do, eat and spend our money on, not matter how hard they have tried to make it so. It is just driving the left nuts that they can totally control every thing you think say and do.

Preston Venzant

Though science is and foremost the leading edge of technological advancement, it is not a true/false categorical proof of anything in either direction. Today’s truth becomes tomorrows antiquated structure. Ultimately, not enough information has been gathered to prove climatologists predictions or ‘facts’. Therefore, what is the only unmovable truth? The Bible. It says and I quote, “While the earth remains, Seedtime and harvest, And cold and heat, And summer and winter, And day and night Shall not cease.” This is the comment made to Noah by God Almighty. Though it is not scientific it is from the Creator of science. For science is nothing more than the study of creation. Monkey wrench has been thrown.
[Others disagree with you. .mod]

Mike Jefferson

I guess 0dumbo really could make the seas recede? It would be the only “promise” he fulfilled other than transforming Amerikkka into a 3rd world shitehole.

Leigh stelzer

Obama said that with his election the sea would cease to rise. Bravo well done