People send me stuff. What I received reminded me of this famous quote from NCDC’s Dr. Tom Peterson back in 2011
In this case multiple sources have sent me a press release and advance copies of a paper that would easily qualify Dr. Peterson’s remark.
Tomorrow at 2PM EDT, there will be a press release from the American Association for the advancement of Science (AAAS) about a paper from NCDC published in the journal Science. Since there is an embargo in place, and while I got the information second hand and am not bound by the terms of its advance release to journalists, I’m still going to honor that embargo. So, I can’t give the title or anything else about it, but I wanted to give everyone a heads up.
Why? Well despite the embargo, the paper and the press release that goes with it is quietly being circulated among journalists to get advance stories written. It’s an unfair advantage given to a select few that I aim to correct. So, I don’t feel at all bad about giving other media people a heads up to ask NCDC and AAAS if they can get into the “inner circle” of elite journalists who got this PR to the exclusion of others. So much for equal access. Isn’t government funded science great?
NCDC is hoping for a big splash, and they’ll probably get it in some of the usual media circles, except, WUWT has already found the fatal weakness in the paper, and we’ve drained the pool ahead of time.
Tune in here tomorrow at 2PM EDT (11AM PDT) and you’ll see why this is the most mendacious attempt yet to save their climate science from the terrible ravages of an uncooperative planet.
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They did it with the ARGO floats that initially showed cooling:
http://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/Features/OceanCooling/
They can do it again.
They WILL do it again. GK
Steve Case,
From your link, Levitus says:
“I have said from the beginning that the fact that the long-term trends in models and observations do agree so well is what is most important.”
Those rent-seekers might as well be living on a different planet. Their models can’t forecast, and they can’t hindcast. But Levitus says it’s a “fact” that models ‘agree so well’ with observations.
They don’t. Climate models are always wrong. Not one model predicted the 18+ years of no global warming. They were all wrong.
And in the interim, the solar cycle #24 is drawing to a close … think I’ll just chill.
Fatal weaknesses are so tasty.
Sooner or later, these guys are going to have Feds on their front porch like FIFA did last week.
Thank goodness we have WUWT.
I hope they’re right. Warmer is better. Milder weather, more rain and CO2 fertilization are the trifecta of fossil fuel blessings. Aside from the cheap and abundant energy, of course. But we’ll be lucky to get +1C. Which isn’t going to help much when the overdue ending of the current interglacial occurs and temps drop an average of -6C for 100,000 years.
They have their knives out to cut the pause? How interesting. In that case, let us present them with another hiatus/pause they think they have cleverly hidden. I am talking of the existence of the hiatus in the eighties and nineties, a complete lack of warming for eighteen years, from 1979 to 1997. How do I know about it? Because I discovered it in 2008 while doing research for my book “What Warming?” It is very clearly shown in satellite temperature measurements. That was before the time that a name for a hiatus even existed. ENSO was active at the same time and produced five El Nino peaks there. They serve to verify that there really was no warming as figure 15 in my book shows. I also discovered that ground based temperature curves from GISS, NCDC, and HadCRUT had covered up this hiatus with a fake warming called “late twentieth century warming.” I even put a note into the preface of my book warning people about the fake warming. but nothing happened. They simply carried their fakery on into the twenty-first century. That is how they got 2014 to be the warmest year ever when that was not true. For the last five years I have periodically brought attention to this situation but have simply been ignored. Let’s now bring it out and let them explain how come there are two hiatuses, not one, and let them jexplain why the created that fake warming. To me it is just plain scientific fraud, intended to change the appearance of the global warming curve.
Here’s some more innovation to save the world.
http://www.iflscience.com/environment/experts-call-apollo-commitment-tackle-climate-change
Among other gems in it.
”The program released a report stating that “the discovery of new, cheaper ways to produce, store and distribute clean energy” should be a new priority, and the current supply of clean energy should be subsidized until their costs go down.”
Eamon.
“subsidized until their costs go down.”
LOL. Thank — you — Eamon! #(:))
I needed a good laugh.
Keep up the good work for truth in science (esp. about NUCLEAR ENERGY — YEA!), there in Eire, Mr. Butler!
Janice
Go raibh maith agut, Janice. I’m a big fan and always enjoy your posts. The encouragement is appreciated. Nuclear in Ireland, it’s the way forward, but not easy to sell.
It’s interesting here at the moment because they have a predicament to ”cut emissions” and at the same time agriculture here is set to develop and expand. Sometimes, they don’t seem to understand that they are often in disagreement with themselves. There’s also huge controversy and resistance to wind farms.
I have plenty of debates going on with different individuals and groups. Some of which, like our national TV broadcaster and some political parties, no longer respond to my emails. For me, their silence speaks volumes.
Many thanks again,
Slan, Eamon.
Thanks, Eamon! #(:)) And good for you.
They are running out of time to push the propaganda.
There is a physical reason why there has been no warming for the last 18 years and why there has been almost no warming in tropics.
Likewise there is a physical reason (a change in forcing) for the sudden increase in Antarctic sea ice for all months of the year and for the recovery of multiyear sea ice and ice volume in the Arctic. There is a physical reason why the Atlantic ocean has started to cool. The planet has started to cool.
http://www.drroyspencer.com/2015/05/uah-v6-0-global-temperature-update-for-april-2015-0-07-deg-c/
YR _MON, GLOBAL, NH, SH, TROPICS v6.0
2015_1, +0.261, +0.379, +0.143, +0.119
2015 _2, +0.157, +0.263, +0.050, -0.074
2015 _3, +0.139, +0.232, +0.046, +0.022
2015_4, +0.065, +0.154, -0.024, +0.074
http://www.ospo.noaa.gov/data/sst/anomaly/2015/anomnight.6.1.2015.gif
Powerful evidence (and nice argument against AGW), Mr. Astley. Worth 10,000 words.
Good Post. Only the El Nino tropics warming. IMV the AMO will now take precedence over the Pacific. it tends to dominate NH T anyway. Just wait for a La Nina that is a negative image of the 98 El Nino, inIconjunction with a cooling AMO, and a weak sun. The 98 step up in GT will likely reverse, and I can see the .4 degrees of warming in the satellite records being 100 percent reversed.
Chapter 7 (The Grapes of Wrath)
lol — and +1
I’m sure NOAA once served some purpose aside from being a propganda outlet and data manipulator, but darned if i can remember what it was. Your tax dollars at work.
Zeke better not try posting anything at SG (Goddard) he will be utterly destroyed. He is a warmist troll and always has been it should be obvious by now to everyone on this site and “other lukewarmer sites” just like Mr Best.
“Mr. Best” — lol. Good one. 🙂
I disagree with Zeke, but I don;’t think he is a troll.
Okay, Ian (I realize Eliza is the one to address this — but, just having a bit of fun),
(smile) Zeke isn’t a troll like Warren Pound. What is he? A drunken elf? A psychotic gnome? A bad fairy?
[Please do not insult psychotic drunken gnomes by comparing them to climastrologicalapologists …. .mod]
Oh, Mod. #(:)) Always so careful to be “inclusive.” Okay. I’ll try.
Absolutely not troll, don’t be daft.
Likewise, however lately Zeke’s published in the company of trolls, such as Nuccitelli, he’s slipping further and further to the dark side.
Zeke and Mosher.. The Dodgy Bros of climate change salesmen.
It takes a long to for WUWT to cop on to very basic things. BEST really fooled WUWT and now ZEKE again!
quote from the guardian today
“A new paper just published in Science Bulletin by Mark Richardson, Zeke Hausfather, Dana Nuccitelli, Ken Rice, and John Abraham shows that mainstream climate models simulate global temperature observations much better than the “irreducibly simple climate model” of Christopher Monckton, Willie Soon, David Legates, and William Briggs” Are you now convinced?.
Dana Nutcraker
“Mr. Best” is attempting to fool everyone on another topic, too, I think: it has been about two years since he said that he was “working on it” v. a v. the 3rd set of Climategate E mails. They just *poof* disappeared, I guess. (eye roll)
… stored on Hillary’s server.
Aaah. That explains everything.
Money quote from the Mad Nutter:
“This incident shows that while the peer-review process is necessary, it’s insufficient by itself to filter out all erroneous research. Sometimes bad papers still get published, and when the results of those papers align with the ideological biases of certain media outlets, their faulty conclusions can misinform a large audience.”
They been screaming “Peer Review” for years, but when it turns against them, they suddenly change their tune. LOL.
BTW the BEST paper, the one that Zeke and Mosh worked on, ended up been published in an Indian “Pay-for-Play” Indian Journal Mill startup website after being rejected by every Semi-Legitimate Left Leaning Science Journal. How pathetic is that?
Hey Zeke and Mosh, how much did Muller have to pay to get that paper published?
Reg Nelson
Don’t forget that Muller’s own daughter (who i believe was head of Best at the time) worked on the paper with her father but had her named removed from the paper before it was submitted to the journals. How bad is it when your own daughter won’t associate herself with your paper?
Eugene WR Gallun
“Sometimes bad papers still get published… (and) their faulty conclusions can misinform a large audience.”
At least this part is true. The stopped watch effect, or psychological projection?
I’m looking forward to tomorrow!
2:00 PM Eastern Daylight Savings Time.
Not that Gavin could ever debate with anyone using honest science anyway. It’s easier to force feed ethanol to the databases and climate researchers then go and sit alone on public stages while pleading lack of debaters.
“except, WUWT has already found the fatal weakness in the paper,”
Nice.. put the analysis in Watts 2012.
generally speaking it’s not wise to telegraph a punch.
Maybe, but the wise duck when they see it coming.
Mosh, you forgot the /sarc tag.
Or are all you posts default “/sarc”?
eugh – the /sarc tag – it’s like explaining a joke immediately after telling it
I wish I could understand what Mosher alludes to in his contributions on this blog. He always leaved me totally lost. Perhaps it is just me getting senile.
No. I am not senile…yet. His posts make The Riddler sound like The Sandman.
(If you can figure out what that means, then maybe you can figure out Mosher’s comments as well. I can not.)
http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-XMQOHtioiEE/TufoC_6pGWI/AAAAAAAACAA/dAS_eSoadnM/s1600/1438406-riddler3.jpg
“He always leaved me totally lost. ”
Me too, possibly for the same reason. Seems to be cryptic jabs, why?
Hey Mosh- this might help you:
http://www.amazon.com/How-Win-Friends-Influence-People/dp/1439199191
Funny thing about liars…one does not need to hear the specifics of their new and improved lies to know that they are still lying.
And no amount of fast talking or hand waving can make people forget that they have been engaging in a long series of prevarications encompassing the gamut of “climate science”.
The historical temperature records have been corrupted and rendered untrustworthy by a years-long series of highly dubious shenanigans to force the record to reflect the predetermined conclusion that CO2 concentration is the temperature knob of the Earth.
It matters not about the alphabet soup of degree credentials of those engaged in the latest effort to prove an untruth, or the supposed prestige of the publication which attempts to give credence to the unsupportable.
People who understand enough about the actual science and also have no vested financial interest in the CAGW meme cannot be induced to believe a long series of lies by telling them one more big fat whopper of a lie. It does not matter if it is the President of the United States, the Pope of the Holy Catholic Church, highly paid government bureaucrats, grant enriched academic “experts”, or whoever.
A lie is a lie. Repeating it over and over will not change a lie into truth.
Saying in new and interesting ways will not transform fiction into fact.
You can put lipstick on a pig, but everyone who embraces and kisses the pig still stinks from the taint.
‘sharpening their knives’ This may or may not be off topic. I’ll let the monitor decide.
“To This Senator, Global Warming Skeptics Are Like John Gotti”
In a Washington Post op-ed, Democratic Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse charges in against what he calls “the climate denial network.” This group, he says, is behind a “a massive and sophisticated campaign to mislead the American people about the environmental harm caused by carbon pollution.” His solution? Prosecute the network with “the Racketeer Influenced and Corrupt Organizations Act, or RICO.”
Read More At Investor’s Business Daily: http://news.investors.com/blogs-capital-hill/060315-755598-sheldon-whitehouse-wants-to-use-rico-act-to-prosecute-deniers.htm#ixzz3c3clczZh
Follow us: @IBDinvestors on Twitter | InvestorsBusinessDaily on Facebook
I say let the Senator from Rhode Island try it. Dumbocrat Senators of course wrote letters to the IRS in 2011 to pressure the IRS to further scrutinize 501(c)4 filings from conservative groups, and they got their wish. I have no doubt similar things are happening now with the IRS and the DoJ.
The bottomline: Senator Whitehouse and his Democrat ilk in the senate are morons and/or liars. I would love the opportunity to ask the DA Senator from RI which one he is.
Why are US senators all crazy idiots? Do the sane intelligent ones get disqualified?
Yes.
Not to worry. The Washington Post ceased to be a trusted political news source years ago. People buy the WashPo for local news, comics and the society pages.
Interesting that Whitehouse wants to use RICO for prosecution. Collusion to cash in on the green money while harming people and their careers is definitively an alarmist tactic.
I’m all for Congress calling in the special prosecutors. It wouldn’t take too long before the prosecutors notice where the slime and crimes are. Whitehouse and his buddies attempts to silence skeptics by threats falls right under that RICO collusion tactic.
+100
When I was in the DC area, years ago, friends of mine had the best use for the WaPo.
They used it to line the bottom of their bird cage.
http://newsbusters.org/blogs/noel-sheppard/2010/05/03/stunning-pictures-al-gores-new-9-million-mansion-media-totally-ignore
When the owner of this mansion sells most of his real estate property, gives most of the proceeds to feed the actual poor of the world, cuts back on his own consumption, and gives zero fee on-line commentary…
then I’ll start to worry that something might be going on that may be troublesome…
Furthermore… when people start moving out of this county:
http://www.longislandmagazine.com/nassau-county/
Elevation:0 ft to about 180 ft on the 9th tee.
Then I’ll worry a bit more…
Until then – it’s all about paying indulgences to the Church of CAGW for the right to play a round or two early Sunday morning.
New book. The title says it all: “The Unsettled Science of Climate Change: A Primer for Critical Thinkers”
Available from the Kindle store: http://www.amazon.com/dp/B00YOARTPQ
Feedback welcome. Direct comments to: doktorgosh (at) live.com
The Church of CAGW won’t be able to hide the cooling coming in the next 5 years. They know that. That is why the big push now to get CO2 control regimes in place before the truth comes out and their lies hopelessly laid bare/ But they hope that by then it will be too late. Too many coal generators will be mothballed. Too many taxes and regulatory schemes put into motion by executive fiat.
This is sort of like ObamaCare. Total repeal of ObamaCare was possible before and up to implementation. But with implementation and each passing month, complete repeal becomes more difficult. And the political Left supporters of the CAGW meme (to grab control of Western economies and the wealth redistribution schemes) understand this quite well too. Time is of the essence.
As an aside of what is coming; the solar F10.7 readings have been going down steadily now. F10.7 peaked again around 160 (obs) around May 11. Now, it is only able to get to about 114 ay get to 120 by the weekend before heading back into the 80’s again by mid-June. Each solar rotation now shows the F10.7 a tad lower. Add in the negative AMO phase, and an end to the El Nino in the late summer, and watch out. Calls for a coming cold NH 20160-17 winter if the sun EUV and magnetic activity continues to fall through this summer. The Church of CAGW won’t be able to hide that decline.
Another example is biofuels. This is a program which is an environmental negative and which causes famine and hunger around the world. There is absolutely no rational reason to continue with this program. And yet it persists because of the influence of the farm lobby. Similarly with carbon credits. A multi-billion dollar carbon credit casino would be a rich source of political funding – easily enough to ensure it becomes politically untouchable.
Just as the Obama gov gave away another 32 mill to the solar industry to “train” technicians today,http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2015/06/03/feds-pour-32-million-more-into-beleaguered-solar-industry/?intcmp=latestnews
The Paris Climate Summit will most likely be the LAST opportunity Leftists have to ram through any global CO2 taxes and sequestration rules & regulations before the CAGW hypothesis begins to be eye-rolled and giggled into oblivion.
Once the current 2015 El Nino spike is offset by next year’s La Nina cycle, “The Pause” will likely extended to 20+ years. Moreover, the current solar cycle is past its peak, the 30-yr PDO cool cycle will continue to cool global temps, the AMO 30-yr warm cycle is quickly winding down and will likely enter its 30-yr COOL cycle by around 2020, and the weakest solar cycle since 1715 is expected to start around 2022.
I’m not surprised the warmunists are busy “sharpening their knives” to remove the “The Pause” prior to the Paris Climate Summit. Again, CAGW isn’t about science, it’s about politics, and Leftists will do just about ANYTHING to keep the CAGW grant gravy train and Leftist agendas chugging along at least in time for the Paris Climate Summit.
From 2017 or so, even the most aggressively ignorant voters/taxpayers will see the CAGW claims were grossly inflated and the CAGW hype will begin to fade as global temp trends remain flat to slightly falling for 20+ years and NONE of the dire catastrophes predicted since the 1980’s come even CLOSE to reflecting reality.
“Stay tuned for the next episode of ‘Soap'”!
“I remain in defiance of climate science,
The false conclusions that have come to the fore,
It is such a disgrace, the lies we now face,
The scientific principals we choose to ignore….”
Read more: http://wp.me/p3KQlH-FY
scientific principles
Unless you’re referring to Feynman and Popper.
Speaking of AAAS, I got this letter from the AAAS President today in the mail:
http://i58.tinypic.com/2m3l40g.jpg
I am so tempted to write Dr. Richmond an open letter telling her how:
1. I support AAAS efforts to gain funding for scientific research to help developing countries fight disease, poverty, and environmental and natural disasters. These are pressing concerns for all the rich nations, but beggaring ourselves is not the path to helping them.
2. And that human-caused climate change is a fraud that threatens to eliminate essential access to inexpensive energy resources that will improve developing nations’ standards of living and public health-sanitation systems, just as cheap energy was vital to those efforts the developed nations 100+ years ago.
With each passing month that AAAS and Science mag editors stay “all in” on the CAGW fraud, the more damage it will eventually do to all of science.
Joel O’Bryan
+1 – Good one!