Nutty claim: Our ability to think inhibits our climate response

Rodin's 'The Thinker' at the Legion of Honor, San Francisco, California
Rodin’s ‘The Thinker’ at the Legion of Honor, San Francisco, California

“… humans … are bogged down by their unique ability to rationalize and reason.”

Guest essay by Eric Worrall

Raghu Murtugudden, executive director of the Chesapeake Bay Forecasting System at the University of Maryland Earth System Science Interdisciplinary Center (ESSIC), and a professor in the Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Science, believes that the ability of humans to think is a disadvantage, when responding to climate change.

According to Professor Murtugudden (comparing our response to climate change to finding cheese in a maze);

“…  mice can sense the coming change. Before it’s too late, they run through the maze and find new cheese. The men, however, fail to notice the subtle collapse in the cheese supply until it’s nearly too late. Haw, the more proactive of the little men, realizes that the cheese has all but disappeared and sets out in the maze to find new cheese. He learns a number of lessons along the way and does manage to both find new cheese and enjoy it as much as the old. Hem, however, remains unconvinced that the cheese will disappear. He also concludes that even if the cheese were to disappear, he wouldn’t like the new cheese anyway.

The moral of the story is that even creatures like mice — with their simple brains — are biologically tuned to notice and rapidly respond to change, whereas humans — the most evolved life form — are bogged down by their unique ability to rationalize and reason. Some members of the species even resort to wholesale denial that change is well underway, even when said change is caused by their own actions.

The parallels to humans and climate change are rather obvious. Humans are constantly seeking more and more comforts, even at the cost of irreversibly damaging the planet.

Less fortunate humans may, in fact, be more in tune with environmental changes and quicker to adapt, even when the changes result from over-consumption by the rich. Some humans are more sensitive to changes, even if they are late in responding to them. Others may resort to complete denial of the change itself or deny the need for action to avert change, especially when the thermostat is being discreetly adjusted.”

http://news.yahoo.com/human-nature-may-seal-planets-warming-fate-op-183943535.html

Its difficult to know how to respond to that – I always thought our ability to reason is the asset which has facilitated our greatest achievements, a gift which has allowed humans to adapt to and thrive in an extraordinary range of climatic conditions.

Perhaps Professor Murtugudden should be more careful in future, about checking the use-by date on his cheese.

 

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Jared
February 4, 2015 3:54 am

One day this cheese ball Earth is going to be consumed by an expanding Sun. I sure hope my offspring are able to adapt to minuscule changes and flee this cheese ball for another cheese ball that may be warmer or colder. Only a true believer thinks Earth doesn’t change and that humans are unable to adapt.

michel
February 4, 2015 4:00 am

Everyone must often have reflected that it is man’s fallen nature that prevents certain individuals from perceiving the clear will of God, and this is why they continue to do the many things which God has forbidden. If only they would abandon the vain attempt to reason their way through this and just believe, their eternal damnation would be avoided, and they could be saved.
Not to mention if they would only stop worrying and see that this time its different they could get very very rich also.

Jimbo
February 4, 2015 4:14 am

The moral of the story is that even creatures like mice — with their simple brains — are biologically tuned to notice and rapidly respond to change, whereas humans — the most evolved life form — are bogged down by their unique ability to rationalize and reason. Some members of the species even resort to wholesale denial that change is well underway, even when said change is caused by their own actions.
And it’s a good thing humans stubbornly refuse to act on our ever changing climate.

Abstract – August 1974
Climate modeling
Understanding and predicting climate change have recently acquired a sense of urgency with the advent of serious climate-related food shortages and with the realization that human activities may have an influence on climate. Unfortunately, there is no comprehensive theory of climate to explain its variability, nor are there physical models that can adequately simulate the climate system….
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/RG012i003p00447/full
=========
Paper – 18 December 1968
M. I. BUDYKO
The effect of solar radiation variations on the climate of the Earth
…Firstly we shall dwell upon the problem of climate change regularities during the last century. Fig. 1 represents the secular variation of annual temperature in the northern hemisphere that was calculated from the maps of temperature anomalies for each month for the period of 1881 to 1960 which were compiled at the Main Geophysical Observatory…
Tellus – Volume 21, Issue 5, pages 611–619, October 1969
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/j.2153-3490.1969.tb00466.x/pdf
=========
Abstract – 1958
Langbein, W. B.; Schumm, S. A.
Yield of sediment in relation to mean annual precipitation
Effective mean annual precipitation is related to sediment yield from drainage basins throughout the climatic regions of the United States. Sediment yield is a maximum at about 10 to 14 inches of precipitation, decreasing sharply on both sides of this maximum in one case owing to a deficiency of runoff and in the other to increased density of vegetation. Data are presented illustrating the increase in bulk density of vegetation with increased annual precipitation and the relation of relative erosion to vegetative density. It is suggested that the effect of a climatic change on sediment yield depends not only upon direction of climate change, but also on the climate before the change. Sediment concentration in runoff is shown to increase with decreased annual precipitation, suggesting further that a decrease in precipitation will cause stream channel aggradation.
Transactions, American Geophysical Union, Volume 39, Issue 6, p. 1076-1084
adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/1958TrAGU..39.1076L
=========
Abstract – 1933
Climatic Change as a Factor in Forest Succession
Journal of Forestry, Volume 31, Number 8, 1 December 1933, pp. 934-942(9)
http://www.ingentaconnect.com/content/saf/jof/1933/00000031/00000008/art00013
=======
Book – 1930
Mathematical climatology and astronomical theory of climate change
M Milankovich – Handbuch der Klimatologie, 1930
tinyurl.com/ncxrwhn

hunter
Reply to  Jimbo
February 4, 2015 5:20 am

Jimbo, great links. Thanks

MikeP
February 4, 2015 4:14 am

To me, the search for cheese clearly represents fracking … it’s nice to know that the professor supports the fossil fuel industry … this also fits with his statement that the poor are more sensitive to change as we all know that the poor are effected more by shortages of energy…

Jimbo
February 4, 2015 4:20 am

If only they acted on climate change.

[links to sources]
******
Camperdown Chronicle 1903
THE ENGLISH CLIMATE. IS IT CHANGING?
“In the face of the facts it seems hardly worth while to answer the question, Is the climate changing? Every one knows that we hardly ever have a real old-fashioned, snow-clad Christmas in these times that fires are often welcome on Midsummer Day, and that September— after the cricket season—often turns out to be the best month of the year…”
____________________
The Brisbane Courier 1903
IS THE CLIMATE CHANGING?
“…..that the mean summer temperature at the Melbourne Observatory for the three years from 1859 to 1862 was 75.8, while for the last three years, from 1899 to 1902, the mean summer tempera-ture was 76.5—a difference of less than a degree….”
____________________
Examiner (Launceston, Tas.) 1906
IS THE EARTH GETTING WARMER?
That the earth is growing temporarilly warmer is shown by the mountain gla-ciers….The latest report includes 90 glaciers in the Swiss Alps, in Norway, Greenland, the Caucasus, the Pamir, the North West United States, Western Canada. and Africa, and practically all are grow-ing smaller. In the Savoy Alps and the Pyrenees small glaciers have quite dis- appeared.
____________________
Cairns Post 1923
TEMPERATE ARCTIC
“The discovery by American seal fishers that of late there has been a remarkable increase in the mean tem-perature of the Arctic, and that in some parts of the Polar basin no ice has been seen less than 9 degrees from the North Pole, agrees with the ex- perience of many Arctic explorers in recent years…”
____________________
The Sydney Morning Herald 1926
CHANGING CLIMATE. AMERICAN EXPERIENCE. RECORDED FACTS
“Although the temperature year by year fluctuates widely from the average, there is an underlying upward trend in the northern United States and Canada like a slowly rising tide, while in the south of the United States the trend is the other way. Thus the con-trast between the weather of the north and south is diminishing, and the climate ot the country as a whole is ameliorating…”
____________________
The Register News-Pictorial 1930
WARMER WORLD Weather Physicist Looks Ahead
The world is growing warmer. Dr. J. W. Humphreys, physicist of the Weather Bureau,…..”There is evidence, however, that the world as a whole is very slowly growing warmer,” he said. “The evidence is that glaciers in all parts of the world have been on the average slowly retreating since the culmina- tion of the Ice Age, and they are still slowly retreating….”
____________________
The Courier-Mail 1934
WORLD’S CHANGING CLIMATE Unsafe To Generalise
“The fact that during last year 81 of 100 Swiss glaciers decreased in size did not in any way indicate that the earth was becoming warmer and drier, said professor H. C. Richards, Pro- fessor of Geology at the Queensland University, yesterday, commenting on a message from Geneva concerning a world-wide drought. Even if the ob-servations of Swiss glaciers were con-tinued over a period of 50 years, he said, the data obtained could not warrant any general statement that the world as a whole was becoming drier or warmer…”
____________________
Camperdown Chronicle 1937
THE WARM ARCTIC!
“We are usually inclined to regard the Arctic as a region where it is always cold. Actually, this is an erroneous belief. In the summer quite a large part of the continental Arctic has temperatures of 80 degrees F. in the shade
____________________
The Courier-Mail 1939
WORLD CLIMATE CHANGING Scientists Puzzled
“Scientists’ investigations show that the world’s climate is changing. But whether it is becoming wetter, warmer, drier, or colder they can’t say with certainty. Dr. F. W. Whitehouse, University geologist, said this yesterday in an ad- dress to the Constitutional Club…”
____________________
Western Mail 1941
Impending Climatic Change
“The report was made by Halbert P. Gillette, of Chicago, to the association’s geology section….”Three of the long climatic cycles.” he reports, “have produced a downward trend in rainfall in many regions, cul-minating in a series of droughts begin-ning about 1920. This series of cycles probably will continue until about 1990. In many regions these droughts bid fair to be more severe than any long series in the last 20 centuries. It will therefore prove futile to continue the present policy of relief in the dustbowl regions. Wholesale migrations from these regions seems advisable.”…”
____________________
The Canberra Times 1951
WEATHER REALLY IS CHANGING
Sunspot activity indicates that the world will have generally cooler summers and colder win-ters during the next 15 years, according to a forecast based on the study of sunspot cycles go- ing back to 1790. Dr. H. C. Willett, meteorolo-gist at the Massachusetts Insti-tue of Technology, said to-day that official records of sunspot activity linked their activity with weather conditions in all parts of the world….”

Chris Wright
February 4, 2015 4:33 am

“… humans … are bogged down by their unique ability to rationalize and reason.”
This obviously doesn’t apply to Raghu Murtugudden.

Bill Yarber
February 4, 2015 4:43 am

What a crock! Humans modify their environment, greatly reducing their need to quickly “adapt” to minor changes: clothes, fire, shelter etc! Humans have adapted their life styles to live from the Africa to the arctic and everywhere in between. We don’t fear minor changes in climate, we over come them. The real problem with this guy is that he thinks too much and very poorly at that.
Bill

PeterinMD
February 4, 2015 4:51 am

I think the Professor used the wrong Rodent, he meant Lemmings, which easily describes warmists, MSM and those that believe without thinking.

Mark from the Midwest
Reply to  PeterinMD
February 4, 2015 5:10 am

Damn, you beat me to the Lemmings. So here’s my best shot: A warmist will observe that it’s been an unusually normal year for weather, and since the climate’s natural state is to be variable they will blame the normality on Climate Change

Randy
February 4, 2015 5:07 am

LOL, this is hilarious. So… mankind the only species able to make cheese is less adaptable to dwindling cheese supplies then a lab mouse. Just like the way mice started using medicine when it sensed disease, (often stemming from their own actions) clearly superior to how humanity responded as a species to disease. Or like that time when all the mice sensed the spring loaded mechanisms in those mouse traps that used to kill millions of mice a year and then he taught all the other mice to avoid them and they became nearly obsolete. hahahaha. This is one of the more bizarre pieces Ive seen.

Bruce Cobb
February 4, 2015 5:07 am

“… humans … are bogged down by their unique ability to rationalize and reason.”
Oh I dunno, Ragu doesn’t appear to be so encumbered. His mice and cheese analogy is idiotic beyond words.

Sean
February 4, 2015 5:16 am

Prof. Murtugudden would prefer that people be lemmings.

emsnews
Reply to  Sean
February 4, 2015 6:44 am

Professor Murtugudden teaches the Dark Arts at his school. 🙂

hunter
February 4, 2015 5:19 am

lol. The climate kooks are confessing their pathetic misanthropy, their lack of rational thought, the lack of reason behind their obsession. This is similar to their demands that the pillars of civil society be set aside so that they can impose their will on the rest of us. So we see that the climate community is against reason, rational thought, diversity of opinion, evidence based decision making, debating or even discussing when it come to getting what they want.
What a dangerous dark and destructive area the climate movement is drifting into.
Meanwhile the climate refuses to cooperate with their fervent hopes and predictions for apocalypse.

BillW
February 4, 2015 5:21 am

His name is Murtugudde, without an ‘n’ at the end. If you are going to criticize someone’s work, Eric, the least you could do is spell his name correctly.

Alan Robertson
Reply to  BillW
February 4, 2015 6:27 am

If you are going to criticize someone’s work, BillW, the least you could do is use your real name.
expansions:
Are you a man, or a mouse?
Have the courage of your convictions.
Grow a pair.
Don’t be such a douchebag.
Get back under your bridge.

Alan Robertson
Reply to  Alan Robertson
February 4, 2015 7:35 am

Ps BillW… thanks for the heads up on the name, it is Murtugudde.)
(It’s your penchant for biting little hit and runs that is so irksome.)

BillW
Reply to  Alan Robertson
February 5, 2015 5:42 am

Alan,
I hardly know how to respond to such a ridiculous, yet vicious attack from you. SInce my name is Bill White, I think the handle BillW is appropriate. I rarely comment on WUWT, so I’m not sure why you chose to call me out for hit and run posts. The ad hominem attacks are certainly unnecessary.
How about an apology?

Alan Robertson
Reply to  Alan Robertson
February 5, 2015 7:03 am

BillW,
Yes, my initial response was way over the top, albeit initially accurate. I could have as easily made my point without the “expansions”. I have noticed other posts which you have made and it would not be a misstatement to say that they added to my fervor, here.
Later in this thread, you were twice given credit by me for correcting the spelling of Professor Murtugudde’s name, one immediately precedent your response.
If you are a regular reader at WUWT, then you know that we are frequently beset by anonymous hit and run trolls, who attempt to besmirch the character of others, especially when their target has made a most salient point. Some of them have then returned and demanded an apology for being called to task for their own invectives. You may have only briefly appeared to walk and talk like a duck. We’ll see…
Thanks for returning to the thread and responding, Mr. White. Come back any time.

hunter
February 4, 2015 5:24 am

Bringing this down from above so hopefully more will see it. It is the best summary of the pathetic professor’s argument yet:
“Paul Mackey
February 4, 2015 at 4:51 am
So the argument is – we don’t belive in CAGW becasue we think. – Can’t argue with that.
Therefore that those who do believe in CAGW don’t think! – Can’t argue with that either.
Excellent summary, Paul. Thanks.

highflight56433
Reply to  hunter
February 4, 2015 5:40 am

What man eats cheese from a mouse trap? Answer: The infant professor.

hunter
Reply to  highflight56433
February 4, 2015 8:06 am

Having dealt with rodent infestations and also actually studied animal behavior a bit, I can confidently state the Professor is completely off base about his assertion that animals inately know how to stay in balance with resources.

David Norman
February 4, 2015 5:25 am

Apparently, Murtugudden has not seen the movie Hitchhikers Guide to the Galaxy https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MbGNcoB2Y4I … and, the mice in my house have a 97% preference for live traps baited with peanut butter to those baited with cheese.

highflight56433
Reply to  David Norman
February 4, 2015 5:46 am

97% of us know that; the other 3% are academia.

Gamecock
February 4, 2015 5:40 am

“Humans are constantly seeking more and more comforts, even at the cost of irreversibly damaging the planet.”
More comforts for thee is the problem.
“Less fortunate humans may, in fact, be more in tune with environmental changes and quicker to adapt, even when the changes result from over-consumption by the rich.”
The less fortunate have accepted fewer comforts, and are therefore better people.
The professor isn’t interested in the environment AT ALL. He is interested in controlling the populace, and this schtick is just a tool to hammer the public into accepting less.
“Some members of the species even resort to wholesale denial that change is well underway, even when said change is caused by their own actions.”
I see no relationship between these two thoughts. It’s gibberish.
As with most CAGW bu||$#!+ artists, he implies, by saying “denial,” that people have no right to not believe as he does. People have the right to believe anything they want to, even if what they believe is wrong. It wouldn’t be much of a right if it only allowed you to believe as others do. By saying “denial,” he has made this article a political piece, and not science.

Markopanama
February 4, 2015 5:47 am

Mice with their vaunted inate sense of what’s going on, regularly and predictably walk into traps baited with cheese and left for them by humans. Stupid is as stupid does. When it comes down to following instinct or thinking, thinking wins every time.

RockyRoad
Reply to  Markopanama
February 4, 2015 7:28 am

Indeed: who makes the trap and who is trapped. I’d rather not be a mouse.

geography lady
February 4, 2015 5:48 am

This represents the entire University of Maryland educational system and their “teaching” of climate. This includes K-12, all community colleges and several full 4 year schools. I am no longer part of this system.

TD
February 4, 2015 5:55 am

Well it’s about time some arrogant knuckle head finally put things into perspective for me. Now I understand why I venture outdoors on a sub zero day wearing my Bermuda shorts and a wool trench coat during a heatwave in July. I just can’t seem to stop over thinking!

normal new
February 4, 2015 5:55 am

February 4, 2015 6:06 am

Inaccurate analogy. You can SEE the cheese disappearing as you eat it. If you are in a maze and you have reason to suspect there’s more cheese elsewhere when this is gone, you’ll (a) either follow the maze to the cheese or (b) get some dynamite to blow down the maze, making a shortcut to the fresh cheese.
Markopanama: The earlybird gets the worm, the second mouse gets the cheese.
About the climate— so far, the indicators that HAVEN’T been doctored by the panic-peddlers indicate that there IS climate change, but it’s within the normal functions of the planet and that (1) it’s not as bad as the panic-inducers would have us believe and (2) there’s not a lot you can do about it anyway. If you really believe that changing out the old incandescent bulbs for the new compact fluorescent bulbs will save the planet, you need help.

Crispin in Waterloo
February 4, 2015 6:11 am

This is a wonderful sentence from the article: “Some members of the species even resort to wholesale denial that change is well underway, even when said change is caused by their own actions.”
That the CAGW empire is collapsing under the weight of its own exaggerations and uncritical thinking is a fact lost on not the core adherents, but only the deceived and misled masses. The core adherents are already aware they are on thin ice, melting under the hot blasts of their own claims of ‘modelling expertise’ and contradicted by dozens of lines of evidence. They have no card let to play other than shooting the messenger.
“…is caused by their own actions.” Who could say it better? Perfect irony! The deliberate misrepresentation, the outright blatant lies, the calls even for the execution of those with more common sense than they have, all are own-goals scored in their desperate attempt to create an ‘industry’ through which they will ‘lead mankind’. There is nothing worse than a self-appointed saviour.
Lord, as a mercy to us all, save us from those who would save us!

Sun Spot
February 4, 2015 6:37 am

Professor Murtugudden has misplaced his grey matter along with his cheese. Perhaps he should study “cAGW” induced stupidity but I doubt this is possible with missing grey matter.

dp
February 4, 2015 6:45 am

So get rid of that pesky ability to think and rationalize and you too can be ah hysterical climate alarmist. It’s really that simple. I’ll have to think about it.

RH
February 4, 2015 6:47 am

” humans — the most evolved life form — are bogged down by their unique ability to rationalize and reason.”
Well, that explains why humans have been so unsuccessful as a species.