Possible record low number of tornadoes in Oklahoma

From Oklahoma Mesonet – State Climatologist Gary McManus – (h/t to WUWT reader Patricia)

Will Oklahoma set a tornado record this year??

Finally, a climate/weather extreme we can all be happy about…a possible record low number of tornadoes this year. I’ve done all the searching/perusing/data

mining allowed on a browser for OK tornado counts this year (i.e., I looked it up on the NWS-Norman website) and found the total number of tornadoes this year

to still be sitting at 13. The count is only through June, but I can’t find any other reports of possible tornadoes after June either, so let’s assume that count,

albeit preliminary, is good through September.

annual-tornado-count[1]

First off, that would be the second lowest total through September dating back to the beginning of official statistics in 1950. Only 1988 had a lower Jan-Sept

total with 12.

Second, 1988 is the current record holder for lowest annual total of tornadoes with 17. But, 1988 is also a cautionary tale for those thinking no more tornadoes

are likely to occur. After the 12 touched down in the first nine months of the year, five more touched down in November, of all months. That’s tied for the

sixth greatest total for November. So even during a record benign twister year, an uncommon month like November can jump up and bite you. It doesn’t look like

any of those tornadoes were serious, at least no injuries or deaths were reported, but that is all dependent on where they strike and the strength.

C. Even if we see the average number of tornadoes for Oct-Dec, which based on 1950-2013 data stands at 3.9 tornadoes, we will still see a tie with 1988 for

the record lowest number of tornadoes at 17.

Full story here: http://ticker.mesonet.org/select.php?mo=09&da=30&yr=2014
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Joel O'Bryan
September 30, 2014 11:16 pm

Inconvenient truth. MSM can stay asleep. Nothing to see here. No alarms. No catastrophes. Most importantly, … No ratings upticks in disasters that didn’t happen.
BTW: the 2014 Atlantic Hurricane season… another snoozer too.
oh oh Look over there….shiny object … Ebola, HongKong…. … snore….

Jimbo
Reply to  Joel O'Bryan
October 1, 2014 3:08 am

oh oh Look over there….shiny object … Ebola, HongKong…. … snore….

Wake up! News just in today.

BBC – 1 October 2014
First Ebola case diagnosed in the US
The first case of the deadly Ebola virus diagnosed on US soil has been confirmed in Dallas, Texas.
http://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-29437070

Reply to  Jimbo
October 1, 2014 4:34 am

This item should go in the new blog, “What´s up with Ebola”
http://what-is-up-with-ebola.blogspot.com.es/

DC Cowboy
Editor
Reply to  Jimbo
October 1, 2014 5:15 am

And the over/under on how long it will be before this case is tied to ‘Global Warming’ will be?

Reply to  Jimbo
October 1, 2014 7:34 am

Ebola is believed to be transmitted by animals (monkeys seem to be a prime suspect). Evidently if we were in an Ice Age there would be less monkeys, this in turn would reduce the transmission risk. This is similar to the floods in England. If Scotland were covered by a giant glacier then England wouldn´t see so much rain. If you let me run my imagination I can blame just about everything on global warming.

PeterInMD
Reply to  Jimbo
October 1, 2014 10:54 am

Maybe diagnosed in the US, but not contracted here. Now if someone had not been traveling overseas and contracted it here, that would be an issue. And even more of an issue if they aren’t a family member or friend of someone who had just come back from overseas travel.

Greg
Reply to  Joel O'Bryan
October 1, 2014 10:53 am

Fernando Leanme October 1, 2014 at 7:34 am
Ebola is believed to be transmitted by animals (monkeys seem to be a prime suspect).
Actually Fernando, it seems the most recent outbreak may be bat related, not monkey.
http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/03/27/us-ebola-bushmeat-idUSBREA2Q19N20140327
For the record.
Greg

Go Home
September 30, 2014 11:41 pm

The Atlantic hurricane season has a chance to be the second lowest two year total ACE. For 2013-2014 with 80% of the season behind us we are at ACE = 67. The lowest is 82-83 with ACE =45. 3rd – 5th are basically tied at ACE = 70 for year pairs: 93-94, 86-87, and 72-73. 6th is ACE = 86 for years 77-78.
Of course we still have 20% of the ACE season to go, and I am sure I jinxed it.

Go Home
Reply to  Go Home
September 30, 2014 11:51 pm

I should have mentioned that was using Weatherbell data since 1950.
The lowest 3 year total ACE =116 for years 1982-1984. So there is a chance to set that record next year.

William Astley
Reply to  Go Home
October 1, 2014 1:18 am

I wonder how accurate and complete was the 82 -83 Atlantic storm data used to calculate ACE. The 2013 – 2014 calculation certainly included every event with wind speed estimated as high as possible.

Billy Liar
Reply to  Go Home
October 1, 2014 10:50 am

You must be talking about a subset of the Atlantic hurricane seasons (since 1950?). Try 1913-14 for the record at ACE = 39 (13 = 36 > 4 CAT 1’s and 2 TS’s, 14 = 3 > only one TS in the entire season).
Data here:
http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/tcfaq/E11.html
[Your comment “ACE = 39 (13 = 36 > 4 CAT 1’s and 2 TS’s, 14 = 3 > only one TS in the entire season).” is almost undecipherable. Please rephrase it so more can understand the summ. .mod]

Billy Liar
Reply to  Billy Liar
October 2, 2014 4:47 am

Sorry – too much brevity. In 1913 and 1914 the total Accumulated Cyclone Energy was 39. This was comprised of an ACE of 36 in 1913 from 4 CAT1 hurricanes and 2 Tropical Storms and an ACE of 3 in 1914 from a single Tropical Storm. There were no other storms in 1914, although there was one Tropical Depression.

John from Tassie
October 1, 2014 12:28 am

Sadly, our children and grand-children may never see a tornado….

Claude Harvey
Reply to  John from Tassie
October 1, 2014 1:17 am

“First Prize”, hands down.

Editor
Reply to  John from Tassie
October 1, 2014 2:27 am

Thanks, John from Tassie. Made me laugh first thing in the A.M. Nice way to start the day.

Reply to  Bob Tisdale
October 1, 2014 3:49 am

Bada Bing

mikeishere
Reply to  John from Tassie
October 1, 2014 7:31 am

If there was ever a good reason for including a “thumbs up” counter Anthony – there is it.

Mike McMillan
October 1, 2014 1:03 am

That’s all tornadoes, F0 and up?

Jimbo
October 1, 2014 1:33 am

Interesting stuff.

Tulsa World – 1 September, 2014
Weather extremes gave Oklahoma an unusually low tornado count, experts say
http://www.tulsaworld.com/homepage3/weather-extremes-gave-oklahoma-an-unusually-low-tornado-count-experts/article_6c381ac1-5d0c-5719-825a-4e7edd3e11be.html

DC Cowboy
Editor
Reply to  Jimbo
October 1, 2014 5:17 am

I suspect that the tornadoes are hiding in the deep ocean, right next to all that heat, and, when they come out, they will be very angry tornadoes indeed.

Eustace Cranch
Reply to  DC Cowboy
October 1, 2014 6:16 am

Too deep for sharks.
Squidnadoes!

mpainter
Reply to  DC Cowboy
October 1, 2014 8:31 am

Very angry and they will whirl about furiously spewing fish.. and squids.

Reply to  DC Cowboy
October 1, 2014 9:19 am

maybe too deep for sharks but not sperm whales.
SpermNadoes, when they “rise”, will spew lots of …damage upon us.

Editor
October 1, 2014 2:26 am

Yippeeee! Climate change done good!!!!

October 1, 2014 2:28 am

Another good news story is just round the corner; in 2015 there will be a huge increase in tornadoes

October 1, 2014 4:04 am

This is to be expected. I established increasing tornado frequency using modern robust and verifiable methods copied from the Penn State Earth System Science Center. Unfortunately for this scientific effort, Missouri has been experiencing very cold weather, and the ENSO is stuck below the level we needed to see the enormous tornado frequencies we predicted.
I think we must wait until next year. Hopefully Missouri will experience a monster heat wave and we´ll be proven right.

brockway32
Reply to  Fernando Leanme
October 1, 2014 7:32 am

I’m hoping that the entire surface of the earth bursts into flames. That’ll wipe the smug expressions from those deniers.
[If you are being sarcastic or ironic then you should indicate that fact. If not you just appear to be a sick person who wishes the Earth to be reduced to ashes by fire to make a point and we both know you aren’t, don’t we? . . . mod]

Reply to  brockway32
October 7, 2014 5:15 pm

Climate science SNAFU when good news is bad news and bad news is good news.

October 1, 2014 4:25 am

I do not know the actual count, but there is a record being set. The number of MSM stories about tornadoes is at a record low.

Johanus
October 1, 2014 5:01 am

“Finally, a climate/weather extreme we can all be happy about”
Then it must be ‘weather’. It just doesn’t pass the CAGW Litmus Test:

Bad Stuff-> “Climate”
Good Stuff -> “Weather”

beng
October 1, 2014 5:35 am

Record low in this age of iPhones & professional chasers? Now that’s really a record…

EthicallyCivil
October 1, 2014 6:03 am

Lower tornado count reduces habit available to sharks. It’s worse than we thought.

brockway32
October 1, 2014 7:09 am

It’s severe anthropogenic climate un-tornadoing, and to see why this is awful news, see the next IPCC report, and observe how this is EXACTLY what the computer models said would happen. It’s worse than we thought! Climate change is real people – study it out!

Alan Robertson
October 1, 2014 7:22 am

As far as I can remember, there was only 1 tornado fatality in the state this year. The unfortunate victim was visiting Quapaw, OK when a concrete wall fell on top of his vehicle and he perished inside. The tornado then went on to strike his own home town of Baxter Springs, KS, nearby across the state line. Quite a bit of damage was done to both of those small towns.

Hawkward
October 1, 2014 7:23 am

Surely the media will cite this as a benefit of increased atmospheric CO2, right? I mean, if it causes the bad stuff, it must cause the good stuff too.

JimS
October 1, 2014 7:36 am

In order for the Mainstream Media to pick up an item like this, there needs to be a press released issued from a climate scientist saying that tornadoes are good things which renew the atmosphere and the soil, and that since AGW is causing a reduction in tornados, then it is worse than we thought.

Ken
October 1, 2014 1:53 pm

You jinxed it. There is a tornado warning in Nowata and Washington counties in northern Oklahoma. May be false alarms.

Power Grab
October 3, 2014 5:58 pm

No no no. You’re all wrong. There are fewer tornadoes in Oklahoma because of the injection wells and earthquakes. There was a quake-nado not many years ago and it scared them away.
😉

Jack Hydrazine
October 3, 2014 8:25 pm
Jack Hydrazine
October 3, 2014 8:26 pm
Reply to  Jack Hydrazine
October 6, 2014 9:35 am

Easy to move things with nothing in them.

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