Possible record low number of tornadoes in Oklahoma

From Oklahoma Mesonet – State Climatologist Gary McManus – (h/t to WUWT reader Patricia)

Will Oklahoma set a tornado record this year??

Finally, a climate/weather extreme we can all be happy about…a possible record low number of tornadoes this year. I’ve done all the searching/perusing/data

mining allowed on a browser for OK tornado counts this year (i.e., I looked it up on the NWS-Norman website) and found the total number of tornadoes this year

to still be sitting at 13. The count is only through June, but I can’t find any other reports of possible tornadoes after June either, so let’s assume that count,

albeit preliminary, is good through September.

annual-tornado-count[1]

First off, that would be the second lowest total through September dating back to the beginning of official statistics in 1950. Only 1988 had a lower Jan-Sept

total with 12.

Second, 1988 is the current record holder for lowest annual total of tornadoes with 17. But, 1988 is also a cautionary tale for those thinking no more tornadoes

are likely to occur. After the 12 touched down in the first nine months of the year, five more touched down in November, of all months. That’s tied for the

sixth greatest total for November. So even during a record benign twister year, an uncommon month like November can jump up and bite you. It doesn’t look like

any of those tornadoes were serious, at least no injuries or deaths were reported, but that is all dependent on where they strike and the strength.

C. Even if we see the average number of tornadoes for Oct-Dec, which based on 1950-2013 data stands at 3.9 tornadoes, we will still see a tie with 1988 for

the record lowest number of tornadoes at 17.

Full story here: http://ticker.mesonet.org/select.php?mo=09&da=30&yr=2014
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42 thoughts on “Possible record low number of tornadoes in Oklahoma

  1. Inconvenient truth. MSM can stay asleep. Nothing to see here. No alarms. No catastrophes. Most importantly, … No ratings upticks in disasters that didn’t happen.
    BTW: the 2014 Atlantic Hurricane season… another snoozer too.
    oh oh Look over there….shiny object … Ebola, HongKong…. … snore….

  2. The Atlantic hurricane season has a chance to be the second lowest two year total ACE. For 2013-2014 with 80% of the season behind us we are at ACE = 67. The lowest is 82-83 with ACE =45. 3rd – 5th are basically tied at ACE = 70 for year pairs: 93-94, 86-87, and 72-73. 6th is ACE = 86 for years 77-78.
    Of course we still have 20% of the ACE season to go, and I am sure I jinxed it.

    • I should have mentioned that was using Weatherbell data since 1950.
      The lowest 3 year total ACE =116 for years 1982-1984. So there is a chance to set that record next year.

    • I wonder how accurate and complete was the 82 -83 Atlantic storm data used to calculate ACE. The 2013 – 2014 calculation certainly included every event with wind speed estimated as high as possible.

    • You must be talking about a subset of the Atlantic hurricane seasons (since 1950?). Try 1913-14 for the record at ACE = 39 (13 = 36 > 4 CAT 1’s and 2 TS’s, 14 = 3 > only one TS in the entire season).
      Data here:
      http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/tcfaq/E11.html
      [Your comment “ACE = 39 (13 = 36 > 4 CAT 1’s and 2 TS’s, 14 = 3 > only one TS in the entire season).” is almost undecipherable. Please rephrase it so more can understand the summ. .mod]

      • Sorry – too much brevity. In 1913 and 1914 the total Accumulated Cyclone Energy was 39. This was comprised of an ACE of 36 in 1913 from 4 CAT1 hurricanes and 2 Tropical Storms and an ACE of 3 in 1914 from a single Tropical Storm. There were no other storms in 1914, although there was one Tropical Depression.

  3. This is to be expected. I established increasing tornado frequency using modern robust and verifiable methods copied from the Penn State Earth System Science Center. Unfortunately for this scientific effort, Missouri has been experiencing very cold weather, and the ENSO is stuck below the level we needed to see the enormous tornado frequencies we predicted.
    I think we must wait until next year. Hopefully Missouri will experience a monster heat wave and we´ll be proven right.

    • I’m hoping that the entire surface of the earth bursts into flames. That’ll wipe the smug expressions from those deniers.
      [If you are being sarcastic or ironic then you should indicate that fact. If not you just appear to be a sick person who wishes the Earth to be reduced to ashes by fire to make a point and we both know you aren’t, don’t we? . . . mod]

  4. “Finally, a climate/weather extreme we can all be happy about”
    Then it must be ‘weather’. It just doesn’t pass the CAGW Litmus Test:

    Bad Stuff-> “Climate”
    Good Stuff -> “Weather”

  5. It’s severe anthropogenic climate un-tornadoing, and to see why this is awful news, see the next IPCC report, and observe how this is EXACTLY what the computer models said would happen. It’s worse than we thought! Climate change is real people – study it out!

  6. As far as I can remember, there was only 1 tornado fatality in the state this year. The unfortunate victim was visiting Quapaw, OK when a concrete wall fell on top of his vehicle and he perished inside. The tornado then went on to strike his own home town of Baxter Springs, KS, nearby across the state line. Quite a bit of damage was done to both of those small towns.

  7. Surely the media will cite this as a benefit of increased atmospheric CO2, right? I mean, if it causes the bad stuff, it must cause the good stuff too.

  8. In order for the Mainstream Media to pick up an item like this, there needs to be a press released issued from a climate scientist saying that tornadoes are good things which renew the atmosphere and the soil, and that since AGW is causing a reduction in tornados, then it is worse than we thought.

  9. You jinxed it. There is a tornado warning in Nowata and Washington counties in northern Oklahoma. May be false alarms.

  10. No no no. You’re all wrong. There are fewer tornadoes in Oklahoma because of the injection wells and earthquakes. There was a quake-nado not many years ago and it scared them away.
    😉

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