Story submitted by Eric Worrall. The Guardian, a green UK daily newspaper, has published a claim that climate change will disrupt shipping in the Panama Canal, preventing children in America from receiving their Chinese manufactured toys.
According to The Guardian;
“As extreme weather events create periods of flood and drought, they threaten the consistent water supply that the canal needs to operate.”
Panama is apparently suffering a drought, which is limiting the supply of fresh water from Gatun Lake and Alajuela Lake, water which is required to operate the canal.
“That could increase shipping times and costs of everything from Christmas toys and electronics moving from China to New York to midwest corn and wheat bound for the west coast of South America.
It’s too soon to know how exactly more extreme weather will affect canal operations. But while industries that do business through the canal are taking a wait-and-see approach, the Panama Canal Authority is paying close attention to models that suggest future climate trends.”
Seriously folks – how can we continue to doubt Mann made global warming, when the Guardian has so clearly demonstrated that if we don’t switch to driving electric cars, our children will miss out on their toys at Christmas?
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The water can also be used for a second ship going the other way. And, it seems that the “dry season” water shortfall is something known about for years, from Wikipedia entry on the Panama Canal:
Gatun Lake is filled with rainwater, and the lake accumulates excess water during wet months. The water is lost to the oceans at a rate of 101,000 m3 (26,700,000 US gal; 22,200,000 imp gal) per downward lock cycle. Since a ship will have to go upward to Gatun Lake first and then descend, a single passing will cost double the amount; but the same waterflow cycle can be used for another ship passing in the opposite direction. The ship’s submerged volume is not relevant to this amount of water. During the dry season, when there is less rainfall, there is also a shortfall of water in Gatun Lake.
Apparently, the Canal Authority isn’t as worried about this as The Guardian, since there’s no mention of drought related issues on their website or news releases that I could find. http://www.pancanal.com/eng/pr/press-releases/
In fact, all the 2014 press releases seem to be about expansion. And in this notice, they are talking about adding a city for drinking water services to their list of cities already served.
The canal watershed maintains the reserve of this valuable natural resource. As well as being the principal source of water required for vessel transits, the canal watershed provides 95% of the drinking water for the inhabitants of the cities of Colon, Panama, San Miguelito and in the near future, Chorrera.
Me thinks the Guardian doth protest too much.
-Anthony
Is it possible for Green newspaper-journalists to check Arctic Ice true figures – not figures from models? Possible yes,
but do they look at yesterday’s figure The latest value: 5,753,168 km2 (August 16, 2014) , Arctic Sea ice extent
Is it possible for same journalists to understand that value of August 15, 2014, is closer to 2000ths average than to any of the low value years there after?
Possible yes, likely not.
It takes knowledge to read but even courage learn that empiri’s reading not fictive computer model(/-s) are more to be trusted.
I continue my old question for Greenpeace and WWF: Where have all the money for “saving” Polar Bear gone?
I would guess the reason the canal authorities are not worried is most likely because the author of the study probably took 6 years of data (since the La Nina dominant reign asserted itself), calculated a trend line, and extended it a hundred years.
It’s full-on panic stations at the Guardian.
They know full-well the Pause, model failure and Antarctic sea ice growth are shredding agw credibility. Lying by omission is routine. Instead of reporting reality their environment section is a production line of ‘a new study says’, each ‘study’ designed to provide another headline to maintain the scare.
Their cause is in trouble and they know it.
H.R. says:
August 16, 2014 at 7:40 pm
Shippers could always switch to the Northwest Passage. What’s all the worry about?
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I was just at the NSIDC page. They point out that the NWP is completely ice choked. They further mention that even the Russian side has a lot of heavy sea ice on the eastern passage. I also was reading an article discussing how labor issues in Panama has stalled work on enlarging their capacity in time for the hundred year anniversary of the Panama Canal. So it will now take another year or two to complete their work to widen the locks to fit modern ships. In the meantime, China has now contracted with Nicaragua to build a passage across their nation to compete with Panama.
“The water can also be used for a second ship going the other way”
This is only very conditionally true. It requires that you can arrange to meet a ship going the other way at each and every lock.
The necessity of having an ample and reliable supply of water at the highest point of any canal with locks is often overlooked by people without experience of canals.
okay, so here’s an opportunity for an American entrepreneur
to make kiddies Christmas toys in America.
Again.
Surely the Guardian is aware of ECONOMICS. You know,
supply and demand. Where there’s demand, someone will
supply. It doesn’t have to be China …
Is the proposed Chinese canal across Nicaragua a sea level passage?
If so what will be the effect on the marine ecology, the flora and fauna which I imagine is different at each end of the canal?
Will it affect the present marine currents that bring a relatively temperate climate to North West Europe?.
Will it affect the cold water currents on the western side of Central/South America?
The solution is simple
Install large pumping stations and pump water from the Pacific and Atlantic.
This would have the added benefit of lowering sea levels 😉
It’s great they make these claims as I can rest easy knowing it’s another thing that won’t happen.
The “Guardian” used to be a reputable newspaper when it was the “Manchester Guardian”. Near Liberal (in the true sense, not the US sense) and we took it when the “News Chronicle” folded. When it dropped the “Manchester” part of the title, it started going left, and by the looks of it has gone right off the scale. “If it’s in the Guardian, take with a cwt of salt.”
Oh, gee– how do I tell them?
I work in expedited freight as a driver. Most of the stuff I see coming in from China, Japan and the Far East in general wouldn’t be affected if the canal dried up completely– because it comes by air cargo. I fancy the children won’t have that big of a problem getting their toys for Christmas. Besides, doesn’t Santa fly anyway? What’s he doing on a ship that has to go through the canal?
“Apparently, the Canal Authority isn’t as worried about this as The Guardian …”
Can anyone be as worried about climate change as the gloom&doom The Guardian???
Once again, the Guardian has completely failed to see the real problem. We’ve been using gravity at an ever-increasing rate to run the Panama Canal, hydroelectric dams, and amusement park rides since the beginning of the industrial age. Nobody wants to talk about it, but we’ve reached peak gravity and the present rate of consumption is unsustainable.
Chinese toys do not have to be delivered to the east coast. The Grauniad obviously has no idea about road transport from the west coast.
I found this 2-year-old story about a $900 million project to ship goods from the west coast of Mexico to the Midwest:
http://gcaptain.com/mexicos-900-million-mega-container/
Probably there are newer stories about the project.
Here’s the search key I used:
Mexican new railroad and port to bypass Panama canal
Stacey (Aug 17 at 1:41am) – Maybe the solution is even simpler: install Falkirk Wheels [http://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Falkirk_wheel#Technical_considerations]. There is almost no water loss, since the amounts going down and up are in balance. If anyone says it can’t be done on a Panamax scale, well they said it couldn’t be done on a Falkirk scale …..
markstoval says:
August 17, 2014 at 3:15 am
Can anyone be as worried about climate change as the gloom&doom The Guardian???
I cannot let this gratuitous swipe at the Guardian go unanswered. For every article they print which is gloom&doom they print one which offers the opposite perspective — doom&gloom.
Lots of talk, but no mention of rainforests! Lake Gatun is surrounded by rainforests. The rainforest is the source of a continuous water supply year round. NASA has some details of why deforestation is causing water shortage concerns in Lake Gatun: http://m.earthobservatory.nasa.gov/IOTD/view.php?id=5534
Note that the issue isn’t rainfall. It is that historically the rainforest acts as a reservoir itself. So during the wet season the rainforest and the lake collected water. Thus plenty of water to last thru the dry season. As the rainforest is cut down, more rain is making it to the lake in the wet season. More water than it can hold. So the water is released to no benefit of the canal. At the same time in the dry season, there is less water flowing from the rainforest ever smaller rainforest.
The issue is not rainfall, it is deforestation of the rainforest, and that is clearly man caused.
I guess the game goes like this: Think of anything you can imagine that might go “wrong” and make some link to “climate change”, no matter how ludicrously tenuous; spray these wild stories far and wide in the hope that those whose dire predictions fail to materialize are forgotten; point to those whose predictions can be argued to have materialized, no matter how absurd and twisted the logic, as “proof” of “climate change”.
I think a century or two ago snake oil was sold using a comparable strategy.
This report is another example of keyboard monkeys repeating alarmist junk and pretending to be journalists.
sophocles says:
August 17, 2014 at 1:26 am
“Surely the Guardian is aware of ECONOMICS. You know,
supply and demand. Where there’s demand, someone will
supply. It doesn’t have to be China …”
Of course the Guardian is aware of economics. Economics means: The value of a good is equal to the effort that went into its production. Nothing to do with supply and demand.
Just grab your copy of Das Kapital, it’s right in there.
Alan Watt, Climate Denialist Level 7 says:
August 17, 2014 at 3:38 am
“Nobody wants to talk about it, but we’ve reached peak gravity and the present rate of consumption is unsustainable.”
Thank you for helping clear my stuffy nose, although I would have preferred not to have used hot coffee spraying out all over my keyboard.
This is baloney, the el nino ‘lite’ seems to be driving abundant heavy cloud over Panama daily and this pattern has been going on for months:
http://www.intelliweather.net/imagery/intelliweather/sat_goes10fd_580x580_img.htm
The forecast is for rain, too. I’ve been watching the patterns of clouds in the above animation since spring and it has been pretty much the same. It is the same stream of air that gave the pair of tropical storms that was initially of concern for Hawaii a few weeks ago. I suspect this is an old report recycled as they are desperately dredging up a chain of “news releases” a few years old to counter the “pause”.
https://www.google.ca/search?q=weather+Panama+City&ie=utf-8&oe=utf-8&aq=t&rls=org.mozilla:en-US:official&client=firefox-a&channel=sb&gfe_rd=cr&ei=NLjwU5vSGY7M8geEyIGgCw
Cheshirered wrote about the Guardian August 16, 2014 at 11:33 pm:
“It’s full-on panic stations at the Guardian.
“They know full-well the Pause, model failure and Antarctic sea ice growth are shredding agw credibility. Lying by omission is routine. Instead of reporting reality their environment section is a production line of ‘a new study says’, each ‘study’ designed to provide another headline to maintain the scare.
“Their cause is in trouble and they know it.”
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The part that I wanted was only “a new study says”, but the whole posting was good. What I wanted to add was that our local paper seems to have nothing but “new studies” and there is virtually a daily reminder that we are headed for thermagadon. (And full marks for the person who invented “thermagadon”…..)
Ian M
Alan Watt, Climate Denialist Level 7 says:
August 17, 2014 at 3:38 am
“Nobody wants to talk about it, but we’ve reached peak gravity and the present rate of consumption is unsustainable.”
I think you are wrong. I’m convinced gravity is a renewable resource just like water. But it may be what Dr. Viners was getting at when he said “our children will not see snow in future years