The sea ice surrounding Antarctica, which, as I reported in my book, has been steadily increasing throughout the period of satellite measurement that began in 1979, has hit a new all-time record high for areal coverage.
The new record anomaly for Southern Hemisphere sea ice, the ice encircling the southernmost continent, is 2.074 million square kilometers and was posted for the first time by the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign’s The Cryosphere Today early Sunday morning.
The previous record anomaly for Southern Hemisphere sea ice area was 1.840 million square kilometers and occurred on December 20, 2007.
Global sea ice area, as of Sunday morning, stood at 1.005 million square kilometers above average.
More here: http://talkingabouttheweather.wordpress.com/2014/06/29/antarctica-sets-new-record-for-sea-ice/
And also at the WUWT Sea ice page: http://wattsupwiththat.com/reference-pages/sea-ice-page/
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So when you are a rookie in all things scientific like myself…ho do you interpolate the data when they show photos of melting glaciers compared to years ago and when they show the same photo…and the polar bear area (ice) deminishing. They look convincing for most folks like me…
This article says that the only thing that’s warming that area is two volcanos. I’m pretty sure that they’re not man made. So much for warming being caused by humans. Global Warming is a political agenda, and a conspiracy. If scientists dispute it, or it’s cause (by humans) they lose their funding from the government. Now, that’s a real “Inconvenient Truth”. Don’t believe the BS coming out of Washington on this subject. It’s about controlling our lives, and the way we live. It’s just another phony conspiracy, of the left, and far left, and it’s bought hook line and sinker by the “educated” stupid.
…and right in cue, in today’s news…
“Emperor penguins are heavily dependent on sea ice for their livelihoods, and, therefore, are sensitive to changes in sea ice concentration (SIC). The researchers’ analysis of the global, continent-wide Emperor penguin population incorporates current and projected future SIC declines, and determined that all of the colonies would be in decline – many by more than 50 percent – by the end of the century, due to future climate change.”
“If sea ice declines at the rates projected by the IPCC climate models, and continues to influence Emperor penguins as it did in the second half of the 20th century in Terre Adélie, at least two-thirds of the colonies are projected to have declined by greater than 50 percent from their current size by 2100,” said Jenouvrier. “None of the colonies, even the southern-most locations in the Ross Sea, will provide a viable refuge by the end of 21st century.”
http://phys.org/news/2014-06-emperor-penguin-peril.html
But they give alarmist lip service too to the trend being backwards:
“The role of sea ice is complicated,” added Jenouvrier. “Too much ice requires longer trips for penguin parents to travel to the ocean to hunt and bring back food for their chicks. But too little ice reduces the habitat for krill, a critical food source for emperor penguins. Our models take into account both the effects of too much and too little sea ice in the colony area.”
The porridge is never the right temperature!
Alan Robertson says:
June 29, 2014 at 7:13 am
What more could I add? http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B84O9k1ZX4g
If this continues for 40 years the world will be covered with Ice.
ALGORE
In response to RAH, the best source of accurate temperature data is the satellite record, provided that one averages the two datasets, UAH (which runs hot) and RSS (which runs cold). These two are less subject to tampering than the surface datasets, nearly all of which should be scrapped and replaced by a global version of the US Climate Reference Network of ideally-sited, properly-maintained stations.
Every month here at WUWT, I post a graph that shows the monthly anomalies [for] as far back as one can go and still find a zero trend (currently 17 years 9 months on the RSS dataset). I also show the trend line (a simple least-squares regression).
In addition, I show the average monthly record for the two satellite dataset since 1990, compared with the IPCC’s prediction. The world has been warming at exactly half the predicted rate – a substantial error on the part of the computer models, whose then projection the IPCC presented with “substantial confidence”.
The global sea-ice extent is updated just about every day at Cryosphere Today, and can easily be accessed from the web once one hacks down the page from all the stuff about the decline in Arctic sea ice that they seem to find more interesting than the growth in Antarctic sea ice. No one knows how good a bell-wether it is of global temperature change, because what is known as “polar amplification”, to name but one of many reasons, make the temperatures and ice extents at the Poles highly variable.
However, RAH may like to know that the global sea-ice extent shows just about no trend at all in the entire satellite era, though there has been a little warming globally since then. I suspect that that warming has not been well reflected in the sea-ice extent because at the very much sub-zero temperatures that obtain at the Poles the odd half a degree of global warming is not going to make a lot of difference in the short term.
[The mods point out that http://www.WattsUpWithThat.com has a Sea Ice page that reports from more sources than just the one Lord Monckton listed above. See http://wattsupwiththat.com/reference-pages/sea-ice-page/ .mod]
I don’t think these data will change the arguments of the warmists. They have been able to hold two conflicting positions before and not suffered from cognitive dissonance. I think that is because they really do not believe what they are saying. Their positions are just convenient means to an end.
If one were to use Venn diagrams to represent warmists and leftists I believe there would be virtual unity. With that in mind consider this past winter.
Some of us living in parts of the continental US were treated to cold temperatures, high winds and heavy snows in the first quarter of this year. In the past this was called a cold winter. This year it was named The Polar Vortex. We were told, sometimes not so subtly, that this was a harbinger of what was to befall us if we didn’t acknowledge the reality of climate change/AGW. We must give up our carbon fuelishness before we make things worse and begin redistributing our wealth to the poorer peoples of the world. We must act now.
Last week we found out that the US economy contracted a not insignificant 2.9% in the first quarter. Among the ways this was explained away was that we had unusually cold weather in the first quarter which kept consumers from shopping, buying cars, houses, etc. In other words, don’t worry, it is just temporary. The implication being that the contraction was certainly not the result of our President’s economic policies which has the economy on track to a nice recovery and this was just a little speed bump along the way. The snow has melted. All is well.
The winter becomes The Polar Vortex and it is a manifestation of a long term, irreversible trend when it supports a grab for power and money. But it is just an unusually cold winter that had a short term, reversible effect on the economy when the numbers threaten to expose the left’s mismanagement of the economy. See, it is easy. The truth is whatever they say it is today.
“Doublethink means the power of holding two contradictory beliefs in one’s mind simultaneously, and accepting both of them.”
Soon, igloos that last year around. 🙂 New on ebay: man-made ice caves …free shipping by dog sled…UPS United Puppy Service.
RAH says:
June 29, 2014 at 7:59 am
______________
Alan Robertson says:
June 29, 2014 at 9:39 am
Sea ice at the poles is subject to far different conditions. Antarctic sea ice extends outward from the continent, while Arctic ice is floating, in constant motion, much like ice cubes being swirled around in a glass of ice water. Arctic ice melt/extent does not depend on temperature, but on winds, ocean currents and melt from the Sun, hastened to some extent by the ice albedo reduction from the accumulation of soot/dust. Of course, Antarctic Sea Ice is subject to winds, currents and the Sun also, but the whole mass is anchored and isn’t swirling around and there is less soot/dust accumulation on Southern Hemisphere ice, because there is neither as much land mass, nor human activity in the SH. Arctic temps this melt season have been below average, as you can see from a graph on the sea ice page, while Antarctic temps have been in decline for some years. Arctic sea ice thickness has increased this year, with a great extent thicker than 3- 5 meters. Perhaps the best indicator for you would be the Global sea ice extent anomaly, which is currently greater than 1 Million Km2 above average. To put that much sea ice area somewhat into perspective, 1M Km2 is about the same size as all the US states along the Atlantic seaboard from Maine to Florida. That’s a lot of ice.
============================
First off Alan, let me thank you for the considered response.
I understand the fundamental difference in the poles. The south one being a considerable land mass essentially covered in and anchoring the surrounding ice allows for more or less uniform circumpolar current. The North being more or less the opposite as a frozen ocean bounded by land in most directions and thus around which the currents are multi-directional and somewhat more variable and thus the extent of the sea ice is more susceptible to being effected by severe storms and currents.
Never bought into all the worry about Greenlands ice melt since there is no way in hell the Norsemen would have settled in a place without trees for lumber for their vessels and a climate that not would allow for making Mead. However despite the fact that during the warm period in the early Holocene the Arctic ice extent was far more stunted than now while that in the south apparently grew! But during the last ice age the the ice sheets expanded much further south from the Arctic than they extended north from the Antarctic. Thus looking at both, understanding these fundamental differences,seems prudent?
GLOBAL WARMING is the Democrat lie of the century. First, it was the GREEN ENERGY SCAM (Solyndra, et al)… now it’s the GLOBAL WARMING SCAM… any lie necessary to bilk taxpayers out of $$trillions.
If it’s hot, it’s global warming. If it’s cold, it’s global warming. If there are many hurricanes, it’s global warming. If there aren’t many hurricanes, it’s global warming. And certainly if there’s a lot of ice, it’s global warming.
So the brilliant global warming crowd tells us.
RAH says:
June 29, 2014 at 10:56 am
“However despite the fact that during the warm period in the early Holocene the Arctic ice extent was far more stunted than now while that in the south apparently grew! But during the last ice age the the ice sheets expanded much further south from the Arctic than they extended north from the Antarctic. Thus looking at both, understanding these fundamental differences,seems prudent?”
___________________
As Lord Monckton pointed out in his post @10:43, Global sea ice anomaly hasn’t shown much of a trend during the satellite era.
If you have these massive ice fields projecting far out from the main solid mass, it seems that sooner or later a large chunk will split off and go floating away. something on the order of hundreds of square miles in area.
We can likely expect that to hit every warmist site on the planet as soon as it is detected, especially the ones who have gone out of the way to ignore the current ice growth.
One must laugh at Drudge’s credibility when presented with links that tell a tale of double standard. Science of biology is correct without scrutiny, because no one commenting has enough biology education to smear the story. However, climate science… Suddenly all commenters are experts and cry afoul… It doesn’t take much thought to realize that these “experts” denigrating climate science in the articles to which Drudge links are most likely paid to be there. They wait for the signal and awaken their army of managed personas much like the cigarette industry did when the Feds called them on their covering up of data which indicated, unequivocally, that smoking causes cancer.
One day soon all of you climate change deniers, or internet opinion analysts as you rightfully should be called, will be revealed for the sham that you all represent. And what might that be that you represent? Nothing more than the interests of the oil and dirty energy industries. Make no mistake about it. Your days are numbered. The people are not that stupid. Perhaps you all should report back to your superiors and suggest that the money spent on this farce might better be spent on R&D towards sustainable energy. But then you might need to find a real job wouldn’t you? And I’m guessing you have no real talents to offer this world other than to be paid shills. It’s pathetic really. pathetic.
The problem is that a current rates antarctic sea ice extent will be about 10 million km2 above normal by 2017 and about 20 million km2 by 2025.I think southern Argentina Ushuaia
and Chile Punta Arenas will be under 1 KM of ice! by 2025 if current trend continues. Please advise Chilean and Argentine Governments. NO ONE is actually taking notice of this except us few crazy skeptics who bother to look at these charts..
Has any one ever compared the observed size of Martian ice caps to the Earth’s ice caps since records of each’s ice caps have been recorded? I believe all records of Mars are post “Little Ice Age” and show on average they have receded since first observed/recorded. Was this due to Martian warming? What caused it? The Sun maybe? Has the warming on Earth mirrored the warming on Mars? Caused by the Sun maybe? Just wondering if any Planetary scientist has found a correlation of ice cap size on both planets.
Tony says:
June 29, 2014 at 10:10 am
So when you are a rookie in all things scientific like myself…ho do you interpolate the data when they show photos of melting glaciers compared to years ago and when they show the same photo…and the polar bear area (ice) deminishing. They look convincing for most folks like me…
At the current rate of ice growth, how many years are we from interruption of navigation around South America? Such a development should also have an interesting effect on weather and ocean circulation patterns.
If the Gulf Stream will continue to inhibit this ice in the Arctic will soon increase.
Click, see temperature anomalies.
http://earth.nullschool.net/#current/ocean/surface/currents/orthographic=-34.53,52.42,838
Kevin Hearle says:
June 29, 2014 at 6:38 am
Now that is what I call a hockey stick, Note also that we are just past mid winter down in this part of the world and there is a lot of freezing yet to come.
I don’t know what part of the world you live in Kevin, but in Australia mid-winter is 14th July.
There is one thing I do not understand, maybe somebody can help me.
I do get it, it is all a scam. I have worked in the environmental/waste field all my life and, as an engineer I find it laughable that the running joke is that weather forecasters never get it right. Somehow when it is climate they do? Bu!!$!7!!
However, looking at the ice graphs, how come the Arctic shows and average that is much higher than the registered area coverages? As far as I am concerned, an average should fall, somewhat, within the middle.
Who cares?
It’s all Evolution.
Climate change people must accept Evolution and get another job.
Or change themselves and start believing in God.
Can’t have it both ways.
Either people are in charge, God is in charge or Evolution is doing what it should do, evolving.
If one doesn’t like or approve of Evolution’s processes one mustn’t complain or rail or beg nations for money to support your fears.
Accept your very temporary life which is less then 100 years of thousands.
Evolutionists practicing hypocrisy and confusion and living in fear while believing they have
alarming knowledge which they can be instrumental in changing because they believe if they’re alarmed everyone should be alarmed, must be made to re-explain Evolution with regards to climate and to prove of all process evolving, climate must not, is exempt, and can be controlled..
Because if climate cannot be controlled, the Evolutionists are indeed wasting vast sums of money
which could be used to buy cars and transportation for the poor instead of going into salaries and perks and benefits and bonuses for double minded people..
Evolutionists must be made to be faithful to Evolution and confirm their science of Evolution position by allowing the climate to change.
ferdberple says:
June 29, 2014 at 8:52 am
The question of whether the Little Ice Age has ended is a matter of semantics, not science, per se. However, our definitions in science matter. Who decides what a thing in science is called? Unless there is a scientific committee like IUPAC, or the IAU that demoted Pluto, it’s a collective and fluid decision. Usage matters, and prominent ground breaking papers of course have a stronger impact. You could take a poll of geologists, and get an answer like 97% of geologists agree the Little Ice Age [fill in the blank with the answer]. And it would be valid, because it’s not a question of theory, just semantics.
Teddi says:
June 29, 2014 at 8:33 am
R. Shearer says:
June 29, 2014 at 6:58 am
Satellite measurements began in 1973. The period beginning in 1979 corresponds with the maximum extent in the Arctic. Cherry picking?
———————————————
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Measurement_of_sea_ice
“so the practical record begins in late 1978 with the launch of NASA’s Scanning Multichannel Microwave Radiometer (SMMR) satellite.”
_____________________________
Thanks Teddi. That’s plausible. Still, there are observations of Arctic ice increasing from the early to late 70’s. A declining trend line does not fit if that data is added.
As you can see the lowest temperature of 1000 hPa in July and August, and the highest level of ice this September and even early October.
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/stratosphere/strat-trop/gif_files/time_pres_TEMP_MEAN_ALL_SH_2013.gif
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/stratosphere/strat-trop/gif_files/time_pres_TEMP_MEAN_ALL_SH_2013.gif