Massive Nor'easter bigger than Hurricane Sandy expected to bring winds, snow, cold blast to Northeast for late March

UPDATE: 114 mph wind gusts reported. See below.

March came in like a lion, and it looks like the lion isn’t leaving, but you can’t blame the “polar vortex” this time.

As a massive winter storm at sea known as a Nor’easter prepares to skirts the Northeast coast of the USA,  bringing with it high seas and bitterly cold weather in its wake, Dr. Ryan Maue writes:

Massive Nor’easter will develop a warm-core thru a seclusion process.

Compare previous image w/Hurricane Sandy– same 850-mb Wind speed & MSLP. Nor’easter wind field much stronger/larger.

[It is] maybe 4 times more powerful than Sandy based on integrated KE of wind field.

The image of the storm is quite stunning for it’s sheer size. Images and animation follow.

noreaster_sandy-compare1

Compare that to these satellite photos of Hurricane Sandy:

Hurricane Sandy satellite image
Hurricane Sandy winding up before making landfall Image: NOAA
Hurricane Sandy near Landfall. Image: NOAA
Hurricane Sandy near Landfall. Image: NOAA

Watch this animation of the storm as it is forecast to develop, click it to get it to animate full size.

gfs_2014032512_pres_uv10m_east3

The biggest difference here is the track, Sandy made landfall in NYC, this nor’easter is not expected to there, but will skirt the coast and will make landfall later in Newfoundland,  But, it will have a significant effect on the northeast USA due to its ability to transport air mass.

He adds:

Not the #polarvortex this time. Textbook tropopause fold & baroclinic wrapup

maue_noreaster_baroclinic

What that will do is act like a pump, and pull bitterly cold air in behind it (note the stream in the rendering above). The result will be a late March like no other, possibly the coldest late March on record for the area:

noreaster_late_marchtemps

The National Weather Service in Boston is preparing for blizzard like conditions in some areas, plus hurricane force winds at sea.

BOS_warnmap

They are even asking readers to “make the call” on snow amounts.

you_make_call_BOS

UPDATE: 4:10PM PDT 3/26/14 While Jai Mitchell tries (unsuccessfully) to argue in comments that there’s  no comparison to Hurricane Sandy, we get reports like this one from Environment Canada with 114 mph wind gusts and sustained winds of 86 mph:

noreaster_gusts

5 1 vote
Article Rating

Discover more from Watts Up With That?

Subscribe to get the latest posts sent to your email.

83 Comments
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments
Les Johnson
March 25, 2014 1:00 pm

In like a lion, out like a lion pack….
Jo Nova found a good video of what its like in Canada thsi winter, and for good measure, the skit takes a shot at Environment Canada, who has a forecast record that equals that of the Met Office.

But oh lord, spring is taking its sweet time arriving this year….

Kenny
March 25, 2014 1:01 pm

This WILL be blamed on global warming!

george e. smith
March 25, 2014 1:05 pm

Well I wouldn’t worry about it. On Average, tropical storm Sandy, really didn’t do much damage, unless you cherry pick data from when it was near the USA. The rest of its life, it just made some waves out in the ocean.
So this new mega-nor-easter, will do about the same (on average) so it will be another much ado about nothing.
But if it comes your way, well take appropriate precautions, because the instantaneous power
P = dE / dt can be a whole lot higher, than the average E/t for the complete life cycle of the event.
But MikeB won’t understand why that is.

Lyle
March 25, 2014 1:07 pm

March came in like a lion and is leaving like a polar bear.

wws
March 25, 2014 1:11 pm

What I like most about those pictures are the nice, clear, warm skies over Texas.

Kenny
March 25, 2014 1:20 pm

Tropopause fold and baroclinic wrapup….
Can’t wait to try that on the wifey later on!

Auto
March 25, 2014 1:26 pm

Les Johnson says
Les – maybe a lion pride?
I hope the snow n ice, plus melts, do not do in the East what they did last weekend in the west – a dozen dead, more missing from a BIG landslide.

EW3
March 25, 2014 1:29 pm

Pray this system stays to the east and does not track further west.

Ebeni
March 25, 2014 1:31 pm

1816 again? Year without a summer?

jai mitchell
March 25, 2014 1:37 pm

here is the comparable sandy image
http://www.washingtonpost.com/rf/image_606w/WashingtonPost/Content/Blogs/capital-weather-gang/201210/images/weatherbell-euro-102400.jpg?uuid=FWyTYh3rEeKc1bVcODiJYg
note that the isobars are in 4mb decriments, not 3 as the one above.
What is not even comparable is the fact that the westward portion of the sandy storm maintained its cyclonic gradient instead of being fed from the northwest as this current storm will be.
This effectively doubles the area of the windfield and quadruples the energy associated with the storm, so, no sandy was still more energetic.
For comparison, look at how lake Michigan waves react to this storm (it will be minimal) compared to sandy (30 foot waves on the Chicago waterfront).

Jimbo
March 25, 2014 1:39 pm

OT

Guardian – 25 March 2014
Climate change will make UK weather too wet and too dry, says Met Office
The UK’s weather will become both too wet and too dry – and also too cold and too hot – as climate change increases the frequency of extreme events, the Met Office has warned in a new report.
http://www.theguardian.com/environment/2014/mar/25/climate-change-uk-weather-wet-dry-met-office

TeeWee
March 25, 2014 1:44 pm

Those within the Enviromental/Indistrial Complex will go wild with this weather event calling it more evidence of global warming (climate change). Could someone with historically accurate data post other Nor’easter events equal to or greater than this one so we can have some ammunition to reply to their hype?

March 25, 2014 1:47 pm

Jimbo says:
March 25, 2014 at 1:39 pm
>>>>>
There, you doubters – it was worth buying the Met Office that fancy computer after all!

Bruce Cobb
March 25, 2014 1:50 pm

Here in NH, temps have been running about 15-20 deg.F below the average lately, and this March may go in the record books as the coldest. Looking ahead though, there is a slight warming trend coming later in the week up to a “minus 2” over the weekend, and – gasp- a whopping “plus 3” next Monday before sliding back down again.

Resourceguy
March 25, 2014 1:54 pm

Other than CA, this is the heart of climate change religious fanatics. Another good dose of reality is in order there. Let them grasp at frozen straws to explain it.

clipe
March 25, 2014 1:54 pm

Nova Scotia got the memo

Warnings
3:56 PM ADT Tuesday 25 March 2014
Blizzard warning in effect for:
Yarmouth County
Heavy snow and widespread blowing snow on Wednesday.
This is a warning that blizzard conditions with near-zero visibilities are expected in these regions. Monitor weather conditions..listen for updated statements.
A low pressure system developing off the U.S. seaboard today is forecast to intensify rapidly as it tracks toward the Maritimes tonight and Wednesday. The storm is expected to track near Cape Breton Island late Wednesday evening before moving on to Newfoundland on Thursday.
Snow is forecast to begin overnight in Southwestern Nova Scotia and spread to the remainder of the province Wednesday morning. The snow is expected to change to rain late in the day along the Atlantic coast as well as over the eastern half of the mainland and Cape Breton. Elsewhere the snow is expected to taper off Wednesday night. Strong northeast winds will develop during the day Wednesday and gusts up to 100 km/h are possible later Wednesday afternoon and evening. These very strong winds combined with heavy snow will cause widespread whiteout conditions in blowing snow. In general between 25 to 40 centimetres of snow can be expected with this system over most of Nova Scotia. However, some areas over Western and Northern Nova Scotia could locally see in excess of 50 centimetres, and given the extensive blowing and drifting snow there could be significant variability in snow amounts received within any forecast region.
Additionally on Wednesday afternoon and evening higher than normal water levels combined with rapidly rising wave activity may produce local flooding along much of the Atlantic coast of Mainland Nova Scotia during the high tide late Wednesday afternoon. These high water levels combined with the heavy pounding surf could give rise to some coastal erosion in some areas. In the Northumberland Strait water levels will also rise Wednesday evening but may not reach warning levels. However warnings may have to be extended to these areas tonight.
Les Suetes winds gusting up to 160 km/h are expected to develop late Wednesday afternoon and diminish Wednesday evening.

http://weather.gc.ca/warnings/report_e.html?ns5

Darren Potter
March 25, 2014 1:56 pm

Stop Global Nor’easter Warming, ban ManBearPig from Boston to Province areas.

KevinM
March 25, 2014 2:07 pm

Wws, those skys look kind of green on the map. Is it raining frogs ouside your window?

kenw
March 25, 2014 2:13 pm

So I guess the weather channel will name this one Danny. as in Zuko….

clipe
March 25, 2014 2:15 pm
Henry
March 25, 2014 2:16 pm

@Jimbo… I think the Met Office supercomputer has a severe case of malware infection, likely caused by their scientists surfing too many dodgy websites all day long. 😉

chuck
March 25, 2014 2:20 pm

I thought this site was about climate.
All they do here is talk about the weather.

Jantar
March 25, 2014 2:23 pm

It appears that the eastern USA is repeating the events of 1977. I just happened to come across this paper http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/pdf/10.1175/1520-0493%281978%29106%3C0279%3AMCOTNA%3E2.0.CO%3B2 that describes extreme cold in the East and drought in the NW USA. Back then it was blamed mainly on El Nino and extremely cold SSTs. What is the reason this time around?

March 25, 2014 2:24 pm

I know this is small comfort to those about to hammered by this latest manifestation of “Global Warming” but I have pictures of my family in 1970 in our Easter outfits standing in about 2 to 3 inches of snow. This was in Northern Kentucky.
Weather happens.

1 2 3 4