UPDATE: 114 mph wind gusts reported. See below.
March came in like a lion, and it looks like the lion isn’t leaving, but you can’t blame the “polar vortex” this time.
As a massive winter storm at sea known as a Nor’easter prepares to skirts the Northeast coast of the USA, bringing with it high seas and bitterly cold weather in its wake, Dr. Ryan Maue writes:
Massive Nor’easter will develop a warm-core thru a seclusion process.
Compare previous image w/Hurricane Sandy– same 850-mb Wind speed & MSLP. Nor’easter wind field much stronger/larger.
[It is] maybe 4 times more powerful than Sandy based on integrated KE of wind field.
The image of the storm is quite stunning for it’s sheer size. Images and animation follow.
Compare that to these satellite photos of Hurricane Sandy:


Watch this animation of the storm as it is forecast to develop, click it to get it to animate full size.
The biggest difference here is the track, Sandy made landfall in NYC, this nor’easter is not expected to there, but will skirt the coast and will make landfall later in Newfoundland, But, it will have a significant effect on the northeast USA due to its ability to transport air mass.
He adds:
Not the
#polarvortex this time. Textbook tropopause fold & baroclinic wrapup
What that will do is act like a pump, and pull bitterly cold air in behind it (note the stream in the rendering above). The result will be a late March like no other, possibly the coldest late March on record for the area:
The National Weather Service in Boston is preparing for blizzard like conditions in some areas, plus hurricane force winds at sea.
They are even asking readers to “make the call” on snow amounts.
UPDATE: 4:10PM PDT 3/26/14 While Jai Mitchell tries (unsuccessfully) to argue in comments that there’s no comparison to Hurricane Sandy, we get reports like this one from Environment Canada with 114 mph wind gusts and sustained winds of 86 mph:
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In like a lion, out like a lion pack….
Jo Nova found a good video of what its like in Canada thsi winter, and for good measure, the skit takes a shot at Environment Canada, who has a forecast record that equals that of the Met Office.
But oh lord, spring is taking its sweet time arriving this year….
This WILL be blamed on global warming!
Well I wouldn’t worry about it. On Average, tropical storm Sandy, really didn’t do much damage, unless you cherry pick data from when it was near the USA. The rest of its life, it just made some waves out in the ocean.
So this new mega-nor-easter, will do about the same (on average) so it will be another much ado about nothing.
But if it comes your way, well take appropriate precautions, because the instantaneous power
P = dE / dt can be a whole lot higher, than the average E/t for the complete life cycle of the event.
But MikeB won’t understand why that is.
March came in like a lion and is leaving like a polar bear.
What I like most about those pictures are the nice, clear, warm skies over Texas.
Tropopause fold and baroclinic wrapup….
Can’t wait to try that on the wifey later on!
Polar vortex at 17 km.
http://earth.nullschool.net/#2014/03/29/1800Z/wind/isobaric/70hPa/orthographic=-16.89,85.68,481
Les Johnson says
Les – maybe a lion pride?
I hope the snow n ice, plus melts, do not do in the East what they did last weekend in the west – a dozen dead, more missing from a BIG landslide.
Pray this system stays to the east and does not track further west.
1816 again? Year without a summer?
here is the comparable sandy image
http://www.washingtonpost.com/rf/image_606w/WashingtonPost/Content/Blogs/capital-weather-gang/201210/images/weatherbell-euro-102400.jpg?uuid=FWyTYh3rEeKc1bVcODiJYg
note that the isobars are in 4mb decriments, not 3 as the one above.
What is not even comparable is the fact that the westward portion of the sandy storm maintained its cyclonic gradient instead of being fed from the northwest as this current storm will be.
This effectively doubles the area of the windfield and quadruples the energy associated with the storm, so, no sandy was still more energetic.
For comparison, look at how lake Michigan waves react to this storm (it will be minimal) compared to sandy (30 foot waves on the Chicago waterfront).
OT
Those within the Enviromental/Indistrial Complex will go wild with this weather event calling it more evidence of global warming (climate change). Could someone with historically accurate data post other Nor’easter events equal to or greater than this one so we can have some ammunition to reply to their hype?
Jimbo says:
March 25, 2014 at 1:39 pm
>>>>>
There, you doubters – it was worth buying the Met Office that fancy computer after all!
Here in NH, temps have been running about 15-20 deg.F below the average lately, and this March may go in the record books as the coldest. Looking ahead though, there is a slight warming trend coming later in the week up to a “minus 2” over the weekend, and – gasp- a whopping “plus 3” next Monday before sliding back down again.
Other than CA, this is the heart of climate change religious fanatics. Another good dose of reality is in order there. Let them grasp at frozen straws to explain it.
Nova Scotia got the memo
http://weather.gc.ca/warnings/report_e.html?ns5
Stop Global Nor’easter Warming, ban ManBearPig from Boston to Province areas.
Wws, those skys look kind of green on the map. Is it raining frogs ouside your window?
So I guess the weather channel will name this one Danny. as in Zuko….
Oops
http://weather.gc.ca/warnings/index_e.html?prov=ns
@Jimbo… I think the Met Office supercomputer has a severe case of malware infection, likely caused by their scientists surfing too many dodgy websites all day long. 😉
I thought this site was about climate.
All they do here is talk about the weather.
It appears that the eastern USA is repeating the events of 1977. I just happened to come across this paper http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/pdf/10.1175/1520-0493%281978%29106%3C0279%3AMCOTNA%3E2.0.CO%3B2 that describes extreme cold in the East and drought in the NW USA. Back then it was blamed mainly on El Nino and extremely cold SSTs. What is the reason this time around?
I know this is small comfort to those about to hammered by this latest manifestation of “Global Warming” but I have pictures of my family in 1970 in our Easter outfits standing in about 2 to 3 inches of snow. This was in Northern Kentucky.
Weather happens.