Weather Underground’s Dr. Jeff Masters jumps the shark with the Voice of Russia:
What kind of tendency such kind of things show if we take 10-20 years for example?
This is the coldest winter in about 20 years in the eastern part of the US. So, it’s been a long time since we’ve seen something like this. And we would expect with the warming climate to see fewer of this sort of winters but there will still be an occasional cold winter.
Does that actually show that climate change is not that predictable as many say?
That is for sure. Expect the unprecedented – that is kind of my watch words, when you disturb the climate like we have, we are going to see a lot of crazy weather events and that sure has been the case over the last few years.
http://voiceofrussia.com/2014_03_04/US-record-cold-if-people-disturb-climate-crazy-weather-events-occur-meteorologist-2478/
h/t to Marc Morano
Apparently Dr. Masters pays no attention to the IPCC SREX report ( IPCC Special Report on Extremes PDF)
From Chapter 4 of the SREX:
- “There is medium evidence and high agreement that long-term trends in normalized losses have not been attributed to natural or anthropogenic climate change”
- “The statement about the absence of trends in impacts attributable to natural or anthropogenic climate change holds for tropical and extratropical storms and tornados”
- “The absence of an attributable climate change signal in losses also holds for flood losses”
And in the IPCC summary for policymakers, they give low confidence to tropical storm activity being connected to climate change, and don’t mention mesoscale events like tornadoes and thunderstorms at all. Similarly, they give low confidence to drought and flood attribution.
They’ve only talked about heat waves and precipitation events being connected. From Page 4 of the SPM:
Now with two IPCC reports making no connection, and with Nature’s editorial in 2012 dashing alarmist hopes of linking extreme weather events to global warming saying:
Better models are needed before exceptional events can be reliably linked to global warming.
There’s simply no connection between droughts, hurricanes, thunderstorms, flash floods, tornadoes and “climate change”. There’s no mention of colder, more snowy winters either.
“Better models are needed before exceptional events can be reliably linked to global warming.”
Better models are needed before any event can be reliably linked to weather/climate.
Just sayin’.
This Weather Underground https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Weather_Underground
As long as the choir keeps listening, Dr Masters will keep on preaching.
No Gary, this one:
http://www.wunderground.com/
Weather Underground’s Dr. Jeff Masters jumps the shark with the Voice of Russia:
Expect the unprecedented
===========
How can the coldest winter in 20 years be unprecedented if it was colder 20 years ago?
Unprecedented means “never done or known before”. It does not means “happened 20 years ago”.
Apparently Jeff is not a Master of English.
https://www.google.ca/search?q=Unprecedented
unprecedented
never done or known before. without previous instance; never before known or experienced; unexampled or unparalleled: an unprecedented event.
That fella is smokin’ somethin’…
“Expect the unprecedented …”
Well, since all weather phenomena are unique, every event is unprecedented. Warmists want to say that Typhoon Haiyan was unprecedented and therefore a harbinger of storms to come. But Tropical Storm Karen (2013) was also unprecedented. No other storm on record had the exact same track or life history. So why isn’t Karen a harbinger of storms to come? In the future, all tropical cyclones in the Atlantic will be little sheared apart, piss-ant storms. At least that’s the precedent.
“Better models are needed”
He needs some of them “sophisticated” models other researchers use.
Weather Underground isn’t completely useless, you know. They have nice current condition buttons that you can put on your web site.
http://www.wunderground.com/stickers/
It’s kinda fun watching Meteorologists/Climate scientists, learn how to spin their ideology like politicians. The only real differences are that the former used to deal in science and evidence, and we expect spin from the latter.
“This is the coldest winter in about 20 years in the eastern part of the US.”
On a hunch, I looked through some old pictures, and found one data 2/27/2004. It was snow piled 10″ on my truck in my driveway, very much like we had a week ago (just 8″ this time).
Pronouncements of “coldest” and “unprecedented” is marketing, not science.
I expect there is not a single climate event in the past 100 years that is unprecedented. It has been much hotter and much colder in the past and at the same time CO2 levels have been much higher.
If anything, times of higher CO2 and warmer temperatures were the time when life was abundant. Low CO2 and colder temperatures are times of ice ages, when pretty much the only thing that grew well was ice.
@ur momisugly ferdberple says:
March 4, 2014 at 7:20 am
“Apparently Jeff is not a Master of English.”
He has voice of Russia in his head…
One senses panic setting into the CAGW crowd. Never known for clear thinking, their increasingly frantic irrationality is getting to be a hoot. Self destruction in progress.
Unprecedented turns out to be precedented. Warming isn’t. In the UK, Slingo tells Parliament in 2012 it’s colder and dryer because of a diminished ice cap and this will get worse. Then it floods from rain the following January instead. The Northwest passage will be ice free in 2013, then Canadian icebreakers have to free transiting cruise ships. Of course in Antarctica even icebreakers could not free the Ship of Fools. Germany turning to brown coal to keep the lights on. Spain killing solar subsidies. China buying into Athabascan tar sands because Obumer stalled KXL. It’s enough to drive Greenies crazy. And it is.
“Expect the unprecedented – that is kind of my watch words, when you disturb the climate like we have, we are going to see a lot of crazy weather events….” But didn’t he just say is was precedented? As in about 20 years ago…?
Nonetheless, subjectivity is the new cool. Who needs thermometers anyway? If you think you’re experiencing “a lot of crazy weather events,” that’s proof enough.
Gamecock says:
March 4, 2014 at 7:26 am
“Better models are needed”
=========
a $20 dart board currently outperforms the billions of $$ spend on producing the IPCC model mean.
I really like the way meteorology is presented on weather underground. It’s a shame it’s got Masters attached to it. This “Everything is Caused By Climate Change” approach doesn’t really lend credence to the AGW argument.
If they want more reliable models they need to change the basic parameters around which present models are based. CO2 has no effect on climate as the empirical data shows.
Expect the unexpected… Cold in winter, warm in summer… 😉
Back when I first started paying attention to Joe Bastardi, nearly a decade ago, he was warning we should expect to face what he called “a time of climatic hardship.” His warning was based upon prior weather, and what occurred the last time the “warm” PDO and AMO flipped over to the “cold” phases. His warning didn’t involve Global Warming one bit. It only needed history to repeat itself.
I imagine he got laughed at a bit, as back then the talk was all warming followed by more warming, and how our children weren’t going to know what snow looked like.
Now the PDO has flipped to the “cold” phase, and we are waiting for the AMO to also flip in the next few years. So far Mr. Bastardi looks wise and the Alarmists look like….well, unwise.
At this point the Alarmists are flip-flopping like a trout on hot tar. They need to be reminded, over and over and over, of what they said in the past. Not that they will ever say the three very difficult words, “I was wrong.” Being able to say those three words is the sign of a true adult. Flip-flopping, on the other hand, means you’re up to something fishy.
We know he’s lying, he know he’s lying, the entire scientific community knows he’s lying. Only a few idiot journalists believe in the ‘crazy weather’ meme.
What a waste of time.
Thanks, A. and Marc.
The Weather Underground, at http://www.wunderground.com is a good weather source with good historical data. Just appreciate The Master’s voice for what it really is and you’ll be OK.
The stickers are great for websites and blogs.
UK Met Office has a new climate model. Better and much more accurate than any previous IPCC model. Julia Slingo will not need new supercomputers now!
http://www.amazon.com/Abernook-Executive-Decision-Maker/dp/B0012ULOKW/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&qid=1393948196&sr=8-1&keywords=executive+decision+maker
It fully adheres to the Voice of Russia’s standards of truthfulness and reliability, reminding me of Dr. Goebbels, the propaganda minister for the Third Reich.
What he fails to include in his ‘unexpected’, is that there could actually be little or no measurable change. It speaks volumes when somebody is unable to anticipate, or believe in the possibility of, the most likely possibility.