Great Lakes reaches second highest ice cover on record

The latest data just in from the Great Lakes Environmental Research Laboratory in Ann Arbor Michigan indicates that as of today, total ice cover reached the second highest value on record 91%, beating the previous 2nd highest value set in 1994 of 90.7%.

See the chart.

lice-00

Source: http://www.glerl.noaa.gov/res/glcfs/glcfs.php?lake=l&ext=ice&type=N&hr=00

In comparison to other years, only 1979 was higher for the satellite record:

GL_ice_cover_timeseries

Source: http://www.glerl.noaa.gov/data/ice/imgs/IceCoverAvg1973_2013.jpg

Original graph updated by A. Watts

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March 5, 2014 12:26 am

F.A.H. says:
March 4, 2014 at 8:47 pm
While Putin takes over eastern Europe, moves to establish naval bases in Cuba, Venezuela, and Nicaragua, flight tests advanced nuclear weapon capable ballistic missiles, provides nuclear technology to Iran, and establishes alliances with China, the U.S. defense department is busy fighting climate change.
————————————————————————————————————
Are we winning?

March 5, 2014 12:43 am

Euan Mearns says:
March 5, 2014 at 12:09 am
————————————–
You can thank those Atlantic warm currents for the warmth. There is a similar event in the North Pacific that has kept the entire Pacific Northwest above average ever since the beginning of last December. The two months prior to December were bitterly cold, though.

somersetsteve
March 5, 2014 12:51 am

Re FAH….I wonder what the definition of ‘Mission Accomplished’ will be in the war against climate change…no change whatsoever I presume….this could be a long one….

March 5, 2014 1:00 am

F.A.H. says at March 4, 2014 at 8:47 pm…
Let me join in the fun threadjacking. Obama is quite right to fight global warming rather than Russia or China.
It’s a fight he’s winning.
There has been no Global Warming since he became your President.
Yet China is building aircraft carriers and asserting its rights in the Pacific while Russia is still pointing towards the Bosphorus with avaricious eyes…
Both of these policy objectives predate the USA and so are clearly above your President’s pay grade.

March 5, 2014 1:22 am

Where is the center of the World?
Very warm and wet Winter 2013-2014 in Europe.
Longest dry spell since five years in Singapore.
So what?
The only constant in weather is that it is always changing. Ask a farmer: no season resembles the past one.
Climate is also always changing but over a much longer time scale (centuries).

SandyInLimousin
March 5, 2014 1:33 am

Euan Mearns says:
March 5, 2014 at 12:09 am
The ski resorts have had excellent snow this year, skiing possible in the Glen Coe car park earlier this winter. I think I also read that ski tows had to be dug out before use on several occasions as well.
That being said we’ve only had a few nights of frost here in Limousin much milder than last year’s long drawn out affair and the previous year’s really cold spell in Jan/Feb.

Harry Passfield
March 5, 2014 1:38 am

Jimmy Haigh. says:
March 4, 2014 at 8:39 pm
“One thing is for sure: Had “global cooling” been the scare-de-jour the “cold-mongers” would have been all over this like a rash.”
You beat me to it, Jimmy. I was wondering how this would play if the 1970s “Ice Age is a-Coming” scare was still relevant.
In similar vein, I think Anthony should seriously consider Eric Worrall’s comment on Chris Monckton’s thread as the quote of the week when he said:

“School children don’t know what global warming feels like”

March 5, 2014 1:43 am

Michel says:
March 5, 2014 at 1:22 am
————————————
The Great Lakes may not be the center of the world, But this deep cold will have regional consequences that will then have an impact of some level on the rest of the world. The Arctic is not the center of the world. Antarctica is not the center of the world. Yet these and other regions around the world dictate what the overall world climate is going to look like. That reminds me of those warmists who constantly state that weather is not climate. Yet without weather, would we even have a climate? They are part and parcel related to one another, as are the regions of the world to the entire world picture.

Mr information
March 5, 2014 2:01 am

This years cold spell oever the us has been caused by the polar vortex or the sudden warmoing of it which is caused by thinner acrtic ice i think at some places. Or maybe caused by the enso cycles.
It’s one of the two. i do know this the heat of our planet is definitely coming from the ocean. the massive release of methane year after year proves this. Anyway europe has been warmer while the arctic air has been overflowing the us sending cold spells over there.
Oddly enough no one really pays attention to the fact that stratospheric warmings have been occuring these last years???

bobby b
March 5, 2014 2:04 am

“While Putin takes over eastern Europe . . . the U.S. defense department is busy fighting climate change.”
And doing it damned well, I might add.
Once again, it’s colder than hell here, just like it was last week, and the week before, and last month, and ever since mid-November, and my wife can no longer throw a shovelful of snow high enough to get it up and over the piles along the edges of the driveways, and we officially gave up on keeping the long winding path to the front door open weeks ago, and this is the first time in my fifty-some years here that I hit those “completely disgusted with winter” emotional depths by New Year’s Day, which can become even more depressing when you realize that you still have five more months of “Possible Snow” season left at that point.

Rob
March 5, 2014 2:20 am

All time record looks imminent. Big 1040 MB Actic High descending on the region. That, and a major coastal nor’easter next week.

rogueelement451
March 5, 2014 2:36 am

Q.Why are you carrying that Elephant Gun??
A. To scare away elephants!
Q. But there are no elephants here!!
A. See how good it works!!!
Just a brief note , my comments at the Guardian have been put on “pre-moderation” , obviously I,m doing something right since i have made about 250 comments and only 2/3 have been deleted.

@njsnowfan
March 5, 2014 2:55 am

“Anthony Watts says:
March 4, 2014 at 9:02 pm
@Paul W. I expect we’ll see a new value tomorrow of about 92%, and we may reach 95% for new record for satellite era on Friday.
Unless of course, we get wind compaction”
Anthony Canada’s Ice Service showed more coverage then Noaa on their weekly chart report on 3/3 2014 0305 0.9120
Here http://iceweb1.cis.ec.gc.ca/IceGraph20/ct?charttype=sdtt&ssnsta=1981&ssnend=2014&histdtsta=0305&histdtend=0305&region=glakes&nrmlsta=1981&nrmlend=2010&showwarn=true&plotnormal=false&plotmedian=true&plotwarn=false&plotscaled=true&cachelife=1&format=html&lang=en
2014 0305 0.9120
Noaa showed 86.2% on 3/3 http://www.glerl.noaa.gov/res/glcfs/anim.php?lake=l&param=glsea&type=n
Not sure who is right on Exact coverage #’s.
______________________________________________________________-
BTW, What’s the deal with Lake Ontario and less coverage then all the other lakes. I know it is a deep lake but something else is going on? Ice breaker working had on N shores cutting up new ice daily seems it could be the reason, look
Toronto fire boat making record ice-breaking voyage
3/5 – Toronto, Ont. – A Toronto fire boat is set to shatter its own record for consecutive ice-breaking missions in the city’s frozen harbor.
The William Lyon Mackenzie, which doubles as an ice breaker, is slated to make its 79th consecutive daily ice break on Lake Ontario on Tuesday, surpassing a previous record it set during the 2001-02 winter season. Toronto Fire Services spokesman Mike Strapko said that with this year’s intensely-cold winter, “every single day we’ve been going out.”
Named after Toronto’s first mayor, the Mackenzie is also marking its 50th anniversary. The vessel was built at the Russel Brothers Ltd. shipyard in Owen Sound in 1964. It went through a $1-million refurbishment in 2004 and is expected to stay in service until 2037.
In addition to fighting fires, the boat is used to clear emergency water lanes leading to the Toronto islands.
“A benefit of that is by keeping those emergency routes open, the island ferries get to use them as well,” Strapko said. “But the main purpose is to keep it open for itself, for fire fighting … because we have the (island) airport there, residents, and other buildings to protect.”
Senior fire boat captain Adrian Lewicki added that before winter ends, he expects the number of ice break missions completed by the Mackenzie to go into the “high 80s or low 90s.” Docked at the Toronto Fire and Marine Station 334 on Queens Quay, the boat operates all year, according to the fire department.
It is 24 metres long, weighs around 150 tonnes and has a 3,000-horsepower diesel engine capable of pushing the WLM through the water at a top speed of 22 km/h.
Toronto Sun
______________________________________________________________________
I did come across this article how Ice breakers are working on other lakes daily trying to keep open as much water as possible
Story and link. Many more stories here.
http://www.boatnerd.com/news/
Icebreaking update
3/5 – The USCG Neah Bay was reported in southern Lake Huron bound for the Soo Tuesday afternoon to assist in the upbound passage of the tanker Algocanada, which has spent the last several days battling ice on a trip to Sault Ste. Marie, Ont. Tuesday evening, Algocanada and USCG Katmai Bay were in the vicinity of Nine Mile Point, probably stopped for the night. Meanwhile, the tug Everlast and her barge finally made it to their Detroit destination on Tuesday, while Algosea arrived at Nanticoke. Algoeast has left Nanticoke and appears to be waiting in the Long Point anchorage for the CCGS Griffon to escort her back to Sarnia.
http://www.boatnerd.com/news/

@njsnowfan
March 5, 2014 3:00 am

Going to be hard to Set new all time record with this going on.
Duluth-Superior icebreaking starts this week
3/3 – Duluth, Minn. – The United States Coast Guard will start breaking ice in the ports of Duluth, Minn. and Superior, Wis. beginning March 4 in preparation for the 2014 shipping season.
The U.S. Coast Guard cutter Alder will commence icebreaking operations in the waters of the Duluth Harbor out to Lake Superior. This will include ice covered areas normally used by recreational users such as but not limited to Superior Front Channel, Superior and Duluth Harbor Basins, East Gate, the Entry Channels into Duluth and Superior Harbor and the ice in Lake Superior adjacent to Minnesota Point.
These icebreaking efforts will expand and increase in frequency as the ice and demands of shipping require. This will include all navigable waters in and around the ports of Duluth and Superior, as well as the waters of Silver Bay, Taconite Harbor and Two Harbors in Minnesota.
USCG

March 5, 2014 3:07 am

A chuckle => All the energy removed from the Great Lakes water mass to create the ice went to Trenberth so he could put it in the deep oceans?
John

Paul Coppin
March 5, 2014 3:17 am

Second highest? Closies only count in horseshoes… Model runs for the lower Great Lakes basin show mixed sun and cloud with temps running around to above freezing. If there a new record it will be only be for a brief few hours very early Friday morning. Sunrise on Friday plus ambient temps should take of the record pretty quickly.

Paul Coppin
March 5, 2014 3:21 am

From Eric Simpson above: My vote for QOTW:
“While Putin takes over eastern Europe, moves to establish naval bases in Cuba, Venezuela, and Nicaragua, flight tests advanced nuclear weapon capable ballistic missiles, provides nuclear technology to Iran, and establishes alliances with China, the U.S. defense department is busy fighting climate change.”

Jeff
March 5, 2014 3:21 am

Eric Simpson says:
March 4, 2014 at 11:13 pm
F.A.H. says at 8:47 pm
….
So true. As Walt Kelly’s Pogo said:
“We have met the enemy, and he is us.”
(That’s how Holdren and the Misanthropic Malthusians would have it…).
Too worried about (supposed) “pollutin” and not enough about rootin-tootin-Putin….

@njsnowfan
March 5, 2014 3:22 am

Second highest? Closies only count in horseshoes… Model runs for the lower Great Lakes basin show mixed sun and cloud with temps running around to above freezing. If there a new record it will be only be for a brief few hours very early Friday morning. Sunrise on Friday plus ambient temps should take of the record pretty quickly.
Here is Noaa’s past ice data to 1973,
BTW in 1994 a record year there is a duplicate day every week with different % of coverage.
1994 is a Fishy Data Year. Maybe some one knows why??
http://www.glerl.noaa.gov/data/ice/atlas/ice_charts/index.html

Todd
March 5, 2014 3:34 am

There’s that year again. 1979. I’ve been seeing that year a lot, lately. Growing up in the upper mid west, that was the gold standard of winters. Especially if you were a kid, and not the dad who had to dig out the family car completely buried in show, as the temp plummets to all time record lows (that were later broken in Feb 1996).

Sceptik
March 5, 2014 3:38 am

What will the coverage be after Michael Mann finishes “homogenising” the data.

Gail Combs
March 5, 2014 3:46 am

Mac the Knife says: March 4, 2014 at 9:53 pm
F.A.H.,
Pathetic, isn’t it? Adding insult to Obama’s self inflicted injuries, Russia launched a ‘test’ ICBM today. The missile defense system that could have knocked it down…., the missile interceptors we were scheduled to install in Poland and the Czech Republic in 2009 were canceled by Barack Hussein Obama in Sept 2009. They were canceled without any concessions by Russia, but Hillary Clinton cackled away as they pressed the ‘Reset Button’. The missile contrail today looked like an extended middle finger, waved at the EU and Our Dear Leaders administration, while our Defense Department has been directed to attack ‘carbon’. In sharp response, John Kerry (not the swiftest boat in the water) verbally attacked Israel.
Could it get any more irrational? Any more dangerously naive or stupid?
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
You have to understand where the Progressives are coming from. The current US foreign policy is based on INTERDEPENDENCE.

“Economic Interdependence and War: A Theory of Trade Expectations,” International Security, Vol. 20, no.4 (Spring 1996)
Does economic interdependence increase or decrease the probability of war among states?
With the Cold War over, this question is taking on importance as trade levels between established powers such as the United States and Russia and emerging powers such as Japan, China, and Western Europe grow to new heights. In this article, I provide a new dynamic theory to help overcome some of the theoretical and empirical problems with current liberal and realist views on the question.
The prolonged debate between realists and liberals on the causes of war has been largely a debate about the relative salience of different causal variables. Realists stress such factors as relative power, while liberals focus on the absence or presence of collective security regimes and the pervasiveness of democratic communities.(1) Economic interdependence is the only factor that plays an important causal role in the thinking of both camps, and their perspectives are diametrically opposed.
Liberals argue that economic interdependence lowers the likelihood of war by increasing the value of trading over the alternative of aggression: interdependent states would rather trade than invade. As long as high levels of interdependence can be maintained, liberals assert, we have reason for optimism. Realists dismiss the liberal argument, arguing that high interdependence increases rather than decreases the probability of war. In anarchy, states must constantly worry about their security. Accordingly, interdependence – meaning mutual dependence and thus vulnerability – gives states an incentive to initiate war, if only to ensure continued access to necessary materials and goods.

The unsatisfactory nature of both liberal and realist theories is shown by their difficulties in explaining the run-ups to the two World Wars…..

Bill Clinton with his ratification of the World Trade Organization in 1996 and his ‘Reaching Out to China’ for campaign contributions put in place World Interdependence. Both the IMF and WTO Director-General Pascal Lamy said so.
(For IMF see: Convergence, Interdependence, and Divergence, Finance & Development, September 2012, Vol. 49, No. 3 (wwwDOT)imf.org/external/pubs/ft/fandd/2012/09/dervis.htm)
For Pascal Lamy and Ian Goldin (University of Oxford )

Rethinking International Institutions
The simple fact is that with interconnectedness comes interdependence. In order to protect the global commons, world leaders must pursue shared solutions as inclusively and efficiently as possible – a process that can be accomplished only through international institutions. Failure to do so would threaten the tremendous progress that globalization has facilitated in recent decades….
…In order to increase the productivity of global negotiations, the Oxford Martin Commission recommends creating coalitions of motivated countries, together with other actors, such as cities and businesses. As outcomes improve, international bodies’ legitimacy would be strengthened, which over time would enhance countries’ willingness to delegate powers to them.
Moreover, the commission proposes creating voluntary platforms to facilitate the creation of global treaties in vital areas. For example, a taxation and regulatory exchange would help countries to tackle tax avoidance and harmonize corporate taxation, while promoting information sharing and cooperation. Likewise, a cyber-security data-sharing platform could prove vital to understanding, preventing, and responding to cyber attacks.
As governments learn to collaborate with one another and with other actors, such as businesses and civil-society groups, faith in the power of international cooperation would be restored. In such an environment, breaking the gridlock on urgent global issues would be far easier than it has become in the current atmosphere of disillusionment and mistrust.
(wwwDOT)project-syndicate.org/commentary/pascal-lamy-and-ian-goldinpropose-mechanisms-for-improving-global-governance-and-cooperation#vmmmppk181rXXIfl.99

Obviously with all this international economic interdependence, the shipping of US technology and jobs to other countries the reaching out of US leaders such as Bill and Hitlery Clinton, Obama and John Kerry, war is no longer a threat and the USA can ignore Russia’s maneuvers and China’s saber rattling in ‘a declining state of stability and security in the South China Sea’ and just keep their eyes trained on the real goal, Global Governance.
Unfortunately not everyone seems to be with the program or as Benjamin Carlson put it on January 30, 2014 00:20 “China is playing chicken with the US military in the South China Sea”
Unfortunately I do not think the Progressives assumptions about ‘Economic Interdependence’ are correct and that leaves the USA up a creek having given away all our paddles (along with our economic technology and military secrets) to the Chinese.

SAMURAI
March 5, 2014 3:46 am

When all the record mountain ice and snow melts this spring, it’s guaranteed the warmunists will blame CAGW for the “unprcedented” flooding, and conveniently forget that the flooding will be the direct result of record cold/snow this winter….
And so it goes… Until freedom and sanity are restored…

Hawkwood
March 5, 2014 4:15 am

I live on the north shore of Lake Erie and an avid angler. The ice fishing has been terrific with abundant catches of large yellow perch and walleye. Thanks to anglers in both the US and Canada we fought for smaller limits and moratoriums on commercial fishing on Lake Erie back in the early 90’s. Fish were scarce but the state and provincial fisheries departments were telling us there were ample stocks based on their computer models. After immense pressure the admission was finally made that the computer models were faulty and indeed fish stocks were dangerously low. Naturally, my skepticism carried forward when I discovered that global warming was merely a theory based on computer models. Our observations and common sense trumped computers and I’m certain we will be vindicated once again concerning CAGW.

Gail Combs
March 5, 2014 4:16 am

Mac the Knife says:
March 4, 2014 at 9:08 pm
Weather forecasts for Green Bay WI show lows of 15F or so and highs from 25F to 34F for the next 10 days….
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
The eastern cities along the Great Lakes show another day or so of freezing weather then day time highs above freezing.
Erie PA
22° F | 5° F
31° F | 19° F
45° F | 32° F
35° F | 22° F
29° F | 22° F
Buffalo NY
24° F | 1° F
32° F | 15° F
42° F | 30° F
35° F | 21° F
28° F | 22° F
Watertown, NY
23° F | -5° F
28° F | 12° F
39° F | 30° F
35° F | 17° F
30° F | 19° F
Cleveland, Ohio
23° F | 10° F
33° F | 22° F
46° F | 31° F
36° F | 23° F
33° F | 29° F

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