From Stanford’s News Service, comes this hyper PR. Red mine. In case anybody wants to go or watch, there will be a live feed.
Stanford climate scientist to discuss state of climate science, coming risks
WHO: Chris Field, professor of interdisciplinary environmental studies at Stanford University and co-chair of the U.N. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Fifth Assessment Working Group II.
WHAT: The world is staring down the barrel of climate change that is faster than at any time in the last 65 million years, says climate expert Chris Field. He will speak on the topic.
WHEN: Friday, Feb. 14, 1:30 to 4:30 p.m. CST.
WHERE: American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS) Annual Meeting, Hyatt Regency, Grand Ballroom B, 151 E. Wacker Dr., Chicago.
Field will discuss “Research Challenges in Managed and Natural Ecosystem Responses to Climate Change” as part of the “Research Challenges in Climate Change: What’s New and Where Are We Going?” symposium.
Field will also take part in a related news briefing on Feb. 13 at 2 p.m. CST in the Vevey 3 Room of AAAS Newsroom Headquarters in the Swissôtel, 323 East Upper Wacker Dr. The briefing will be streamed live on EurekAlert.org.
In a talk based on a paper he co-authored with Stanford Associate Professor of Environmental Earth System Science Noah Diffenbaugh, Field will describe what analysis of 27 climate models revealed about the pace of climate change and what risks and emerging challenges we should expect.
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“The world is staring down the barrel of climate change that is faster than at any time in the last 65 million years, says climate expert Chris Field.”
Absolute bullshit.
To make such a claim would require data with sufficient resolution to detect such rapid change in the past. The “rapid change” we are all supposed to be scared of ran from 1974 to 1997. ie 23 years at most.
That means that you need a dataset with AT LEAST 20 y resolution.
some ice core records may go back to about 1500 AD with that kind of resolution The long records have much less resolution , especiall further back.
So had such a change occurred in the past we would have no record of it and Chris Field’s statment is totally with evidence.
I guess that must be what qualifes him as a “climate expert”.
Fred says:
February 13, 2014 at 9:30 am
“More like pork-barrel science”
I’ll use that. Thanks.
Dr Field has a lot of experience in the subject; lead author of AR4 for the IPCC. But probably hasn’t stuck his head out of the ivory tower in years.
The Stanford happy hour special: Desperation Cocktail – a delicious green melange of models, catastrophism & policies – best shaken not stirred. Half-price at happy hour only at Wacker Dr.
Geez, we know hardly anything about the rate of climate change during events over the last 65 millions years. Just that statement alone shows that this man is an idiot, unaware of the realities of science, the world around him, and how stupid he sounds.
How are we to be alarmed when there has been no significant warming in almost 22 years, cooling since 2002, and active cooling since 2006? If this is rapid change, what does slow look like; it must be truly boring.
Yep, he really knows his alarmism, but not his science.
No climate expert would miss these below, an environmentalist pretending to be a climate expert more like. (charlatan)
Ihttp://www.earthobservatory.nasa.gov/Features/Paleoclimatology_SedimentCores/paleoclimatology_sediment_cores_2.php
Ocean sediments provide scientific evidence that the claims of recent global warming being unprecedented for 65 million years are false.
http://www.earthobservatory.nasa.gov/Features/Paleoclimatology_SedimentCores/Images/climap_sst_anomaly.jpg
Ice cores from both Greenland and Antarctica also show there have been huge changes, much bigger and faster than the tiny 0.6c rise observed in global temperatures since the 1850s.
http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v366/n6455/abs/366552a0.html
http://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/Features/Paleoclimatology_IceCores/
http://www.antarctica.ac.uk/bas_research/science_briefings/icecorebriefing.php
First link now corrected.
http://www.earthobservatory.nasa.gov/Features/Paleoclimatology_SedimentCores/paleoclimatology_sediment_cores_2.php
Just in the last 65 million years, then? That means it happened before, what’s the problem?
(Geologists, taking the long view since 1785.)
Now this ‘loaded gun’. Wouldn’t be a popgun by any chance, would it? Because the corks out of those things really smart.
We really are all doomed, aren’t we?
The amount of warming that has been documented in the oceans since 2005 here on WUWT is enough to warm the atmosphere by over 20 degrees Fahrenheit, every day and night, throughout the year.
That is a VERY significant amount of warming. If even a small percentage of that ocean warming trend shifts away from the oceans and into the atmosphere, we will see dramatic and catastrophic anthropogenic global warming, indeed.
Well, at least I can sight in a 7mm Remington magnum using ballistic tables derived from empirical experience and hit the target at three hundred yards with real bullets on the first shot after laser bore sighting at twenty yards, but so far the climate models and their shooters haven’t hit squat no matter what the range after repeated attempts. Maybe they’re shooting blanks, have a bad trigger, a crooked barrel, poor technique, or they’re numerical models are crap?
Sure if he’s talking about climate shifts as we slip into another solar grand minimum (for which there is at least past form of sorts). But somehow it just sounds like worry bead and ducking stool stuff.
Russ R. says: @ur momisugly February 13, 2014 at 10:14 am
Forecast is for 20*F Windchill 8*F…..
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
Oh to be able to play Hansen’s Congressional Trick and shut down the heat the night before….
Greg Goodman says:
February 13, 2014 at 10:47 am
“The world is staring down the barrel of climate change that is faster than at any time in the last 65 million years, says climate expert Chris Field.”
Absolute bullshit.
___________________________________________________________
Damn, I was going to post about data resolution we could possibly have on temps 65M years ago. Good think I read yours to avoid the embarrassment.
So given our mutual thought, I have another comment. Why 65M years? Why not say at any time in the entire history of the Earth? That statement would have equal scientific accuracy.
LT says:
February 13, 2014 at 10:41 am
…. I want to see some climate change, where is it?
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
It is presently coming down out of the sky and piling up on the already accumulated white stuff littering my fields. Darn it! I moved south to get away from solidified GoreBull Warming.
Has Al Gore been visiting Obama by any chance?
(I hope Al Gore shows up in Chicago for this event. They will be snowed in for days.)
ja1 m1tchell:
At February 13, 2014 at 11:15 am you say
OK. Accepting your assertions as being true for sake of argument, then please explain how that degraded heat can “warm the atmosphere by over 20 degrees Fahrenheit”.
It would be hard for it to warm the atmosphere by over 0.02 degrees Fahrenheit.
I am eager to learn how you think this miracle of reverse thermodynamics can happen because I have ideas for some lucrative devices which would be based on whatever explanation you can provide.
Richard
jai mitchell says:
February 13, 2014 at 11:15 am
The amount of warming that has been documented in the oceans since 2005 here on WUWT is enough to warm the atmosphere by over 20 degrees Fahrenheit, every day and night, throughout the year.
It does not matter how big the ocean is and even if it were big enough to raise the temperature of the atmosphere by 500 C, it would NOT matter. That is because of laws of thermodynamics. Even if we accept that the ocean has warmed up by 0.1 C, that means it can only warm the atmosphere by 0.1 C. You CANNOT cool the ocean by 0.1 C and warm the atmosphere by any larger amount in the process.
Field is going to need a Firearms Owner’s Identification (FOID) Card for that in Chicago!
jai mitchell says:
February 13, 2014 at 11:15 am
You are kidding right. 20F every day for a year! That is going to be 20 x 365 = 7300 degrees. You know that the oceans boil around 212 F don’t cha.
Gail Combs says February 13, 2014 at 11:24 am
You could always sell ice creams in the interval.
In the next James Bond movie, we’ll see 007 sneaking through the halls of Stanford late at night. On a mission to save the world, he finally reaches the computers, and unplugs them. With the models killed, we’ll live happily ever after.
God save the Queen!
Keith Willshaw says: @ur momisugly February 13, 2014 at 10:44 am
Aman Keith, and the fools in D.C. got rid of the US grain reserves. Want Food Security? Bring Back a National grain Reserve
Cold wave & fuel shortages caused massive deaths
The projected global warming impacts are mild compared to historic consequences of a severe 3 year cold period and/or fuel shortages.
e.g. Finland lost 1/3 of its population in 1695-97. due to cold causing agriculture to collapse.
North Korea lost is diesel imports and tractor parts after the fall of the Soviet Union.
That caused loss of industrialized agriculture. This combined with floods caused between 240,000 and 3,500,000 deaths from starvation in 1994-1998.
Our greatest tasks are to prepare replacement fuels for current 6%/year oil field depletion, and prepare for natural variations in climate!
All climate alarm is insignificant by comparison.
don says:
February 13, 2014 at 11:20 am
but so far the climate models and their shooters haven’t hit squat
In that case, they just need to make the “barn door” so wide that they cannot miss.
From an earlier post:
Met Office 2014 Prediction
19 December 2013 – “The global average temperature in 2014 is expected to be between 0.43 C and 0.71 C above…
That is a range of 0.28. To put it another way, the difference in rankings between #1 and #19 is only 0.253 on Hadcrut4. If they want to make the “barn door” that wide, how can they miss? On top of that, they are only 90% confident of this. As well, their forecasts are to be used for:
“It also has a broad range of potential applications
in terms of policy making and investment decisions.”
How useful is that?
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/media/pdf/1/8/decadal_forecast_2014-2018_jan2014.pdf
[snip – off topic and stupid to boot – go hijack a thread someplace else. – Anthony]