In a joint press conference NOAA and NASA have just released data for the global surface temperature for 2013. In summary they both show that the ‘pause’ in global surface temperature that began in 1997, according to some estimates, continues. Statistically speaking there has been no trend in global temperatures over this period. Given that the IPCC estimates that the average decadal increase in global surface temperature is 0.2 deg C, the world is now 0.3 deg C cooler than it should have been. –David Whitehouse, The Global Warming Policy Foundation, 21 January 2014
See the table below:
![NOAA-Table[1]](http://wattsupwiththat.files.wordpress.com/2014/01/noaa-table1.jpg?quality=83)
The Sun’s activity has plummeted to a century low, baffling scientists and possibly heralding a new mini-Ice Age. “I’ve been a solar physicist for 30 years, and I’ve never seen anything quite like this,” Richard Harrison, head of space physics at the Rutherford Appleton Laboratory in Oxfordshire, told the BBC. The lull is particularly surprising because the Sun has reached its solar maximum, the point in its 11-year cycle where activity is at its peak. —News.com Australia, 19 January 2014
The history of science shows us that sometimes sceptics are right and move from the fringe to the mainstream. It also tells us that some travel in the opposite direction. The “pause” is something to be explained, and not dismissed as a “myth.” It is perhaps no surprise that climate scientists are at different stages in their study of its significance and importance. Sadly it is also unsurprising that some media outlets chose to concentrate on only one strand of opinion concerning it. –David Whitehouse, The Global Warming Policy Foundation, 22 January 2014
Just when those computer programs predicted carbon dioxide-driven temperatures going orbital and sea levels flooding Capitol Hill, something went terribly wrong. Global temperatures went flat, and have stayed that way now since the time most of today’s high school students were born. If you thought global warming was scary, here’s an alternative to consider. Some really smart scientists predict that Planet Earth is now entering a very deep and prolonged cooling period attributable to 100-year record low numbers of sunspots. –Larry Bell, Forbes, 21 January 2014
The European Commission has finally begun rolling back the EU’s ruinous climate and green energy policies. The roll-back is in part an acknowledgement that Europe’s green agenda has been an unmitigated fiasco, causing skyrocketing energy prices across Europe and harming competitiveness. But the old guard of commissioners are trying to salvage a green legacy before they are replaced in the autumn by a set of commissioners more concerned about Europe’s economic future. A more significant retreat from unilateral climate policies is likely to gather speed, and the proposed targets may not survive. –Benny Peiser, City A.M., 23 January 2014
The exact link between global warming and flooding is much less certain, and those who keep pursuing the topic are taking attention away from the true problem of over-development, a group of eminent scientists say in a research paper. David Cameron ignited a row at the height of the recent UK floods by proclaiming that he ‘very much’ suspected the devastation had been caused by climate change. Environment Secretary Owen Paterson refused to endorse the Prime Minister’s views and the Met Office said there was no evidence that the winter floods had been caused by man-made global warming. –Ben Spencer, Daily Mail, 22 January 2014
John Finn says: …
HenryP says:…
It’s not cooling….
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
Henry like the rest of us does not trust the manipulated global temperature data sets so he has carefully selected rural temperature sets from around the world and built his own global temperature data set. That data set based on rural temperatures shows cooling.
OOPS, that Side by side comparison of Hansen’s GISS global temperature GRAPHS is HERE
@John Finn
Must Add CO2:
http://www.woodfortrees.org/plot/uah/from:1987/to:2014/plot/uah/from:2002/to:2014/trend/plot/uah/from:1987/to:2002/trend/plot/esrl-co2/from:1987/normalise/offset:0.48/plot/esrl-co2/from:1987/normalise/offset:0.48/trend
Interesting how all those with vested interests and agendas are scared as Hell.
Nature makes fools of man. Always has!
I have just updated my figure comparing the temperature up to Dec/2013 against my 2010 prediction based on astronomical harmonics:
See here the updated figure:
http://people.duke.edu/~ns2002/#astronomical_model_1
The forecast was great until now, the only climate model that has worked!
Read my latest paper to understand more about the planetary theory theory:
Scafetta, N., 2014. The complex planetary synchronization structure of the solar system. Pattern Recognition in Physics 2, 1-19.
http://www.pattern-recogn-phys.net/2/1/2014/prp-2-1-2014.pdf
nicola
“I’ve been a solar physicist for 30 years, and I’ve never seen anything quite like this,” Richard Harrison, head of space physics at the Rutherford Appleton Laboratory in Oxfordshire, told the BBC.”
Statements like this from people like Richard make me laugh. How old is the sun, ~4.6 BILLION years or so, and he hasn’t seen “something” in all his 30 years?
John says
it’s not cooling. The trends since 2002 are not statistically significant.
Henry says
I have been telling and teaching that if you want a proxy for evaluating energy coming in you must look at maximum temperatures.
Please try to understand it
http://blogs.24.com/henryp/2013/02/21/henrys-pool-tables-on-global-warmingcooling/
note my point 1-7
Once you figured out where we are, in the maximum curve, you can also figure out the means curve.
We are cooling.
It is cooling from the top down,
for example, see here, for 60-70 latitude
http://oi40.tinypic.com/2ql5zq8.jpg
At the lower latitudes, you get more rain. At the higher latitudes it will get cooler and/or dryer.
Droughts similar to Dust bowl 1932- 1939 drought coming up in around 2021.
The last time I looked Henry’s “data” was totally unrepresentative for the world as a whole. If I remember correctly he used a disproportionate number of stations in South Africa.
In any case I thought everyone trusted the UAH satellite record maintained by Roy Spencer & John Christy which is unaffected by UHI issues. Any ‘manipulation’ in the surface record only affects mid-century readings so is largely irrelevant to the recent trend.
I’ve no idea what your link is supposed to show. It just goes to another WUWT thread. If you’ve got something which shows the world was warmer in 1934/34 than in 1998 then show it. I don’t believe it was.
Sorry that should be 1934/35
“you will need thermal underwear to cope with global cooling in the coming decades”.
I will be back in China soon but the smog was so thick last time I couldn’t find my way to the shop counter that had it in stock.
Will I get a discount on this item from my health insurance or on prescription from my doctor?
Why must you add CO2? Did I mention it? As it happens current observations support my belief that CO2 sensitivity is lower than IPCC estimates. In the past decade or so natural variability has favoured a cooling trend (e.g. solar activity). The fact that the world hasn’t cooled suggests the enhanced greenhouse effect is offsetting the natural influences.
2013 was 4th warmest in the UAH satellite record. 2013 was an ENSO neutral year. That does not suggest cooling or anything close to it.
I heard this morning on the news that 1100 temp records (lows) have been broken so far this month. But, as someone wrote on a different thread, I can’t wait for them to tell us that Jan was the hottest on record.
John Finn says
If I remember correctly he used a disproportionate number of stations in South Africa.
Henry says
you do not understand my sampling technigue
perhaps you should try to catch it
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2014/01/23/newsbytes-nasa-noaa-confirm-global-temperature-standstill-continues/#comment-1547324
Which don’t show 1934/35 as warmer than 1998.
I do. It’s called cherry-picking.
Nicola Scafetta says (in his paper)
How planetary harmonics could modulate the Sun and the
climate on the Earth is still unknown
Henry says
Today I was just thinking myself,
that to me it seems there are only two people who figured it out right
regardless of all the noise we get from mother earth (means temps.)
That is me, (myself)
and William Arnold, 1985, in his paper, “On the special theory of order”
http://blogs.24.com/henryp/2013/04/29/the-climate-is-changing/
John says
I do. It’s called cherry-picking.
Henry says
I am a Christian, I believe in (the) truth/ Truth
I hope you do too?
You think I would do cherry picking if this work is only my hobby?
You think somebody is paying me for the work done>?
btw
does anyone here know as to what ahppened to William Arnold?
http://www.cyclesresearchinstitute.org/cycles-astronomy/arnold_theory_order.pdf
philjourdan says
As I have said in the past, we will soon be freezing to death in record heat.
henry says
interesting choice of words
not poor but true
http://oi40.tinypic.com/2ql5zq8.jpg
I certainly don’t think anyone is paying you.
Oh man… LoL. Just LoLoLoLoLoLoL .
=======
[ “I’ve been a solar physicist for 30 years, and I’ve never seen anything quite like this,” Richard Harrison, head of space physics at the Rutherford Appleton Laboratory in Oxfordshire, told the BBC.” ]
Patrick says
(January 24, 2014 at 12:05 am)
Statements like this from people like Richard make me laugh. How old is the sun, ~4.6 BILLION years or so, and he hasn’t seen “something” in all his 30 years?
“Statements like this from people like Richard make me laugh. How old is the sun, ~4.6 BILLION years or so, and he hasn’t seen “something” in all his 30 years?”
Yeah, cause that is obviously what he meant, and you aren’t deliberately distorting the meaning of his statement for the sake of a cheap shot at him…
Cheap and nasty.
John Finn says:…
movement of Koppen climate boundaries (plants) in the middle of a continent where ocean ossilations will not have as much of an effect: http://www.sturmsoft.com/climate/suckling_mitchell_2000_fig2_3.gif
six months of northern hemisphere snow. (We already know the Antarctic has had record sea ice grown and the Arctic had summer temperatures below normal all season)
October http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/service/global/snowcover-nhland/201310.gif
November http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/service/global/snowcover-nhland/201311.gif
December http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/service/global/snowcover-nhland/201212.gif
January: http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/service/global/snowcover-nhland/201301.gif
February http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/service/global/snowcover-nhland/201302.gif
and
March http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/service/global/snowcover-nhland/201303.gif
Here are three of Hansen’s GISS global temperature graphs showing how he changed them: link
Gail says
Here are three of Hansen’s GISS global temperature graphs showing how he changed them:
As I was just saying:
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2014/01/21/setting-the-record-straight-on-the-cause-of-pause-in-global-warming/#comment-1549101