Falling temperatures are giving climate alarmists chills
Global warming is nowhere to be found. The mean global temperature has not risen in 17 years and has been slowly falling for approximately the past 10 years. In 2013, there were more record-low temperatures than record-high temperatures in the United States.
At the end of the first week in January, a brutal spell of cold weather settled over most of the country. Multiple cold-temperature records were shattered across the country. Some sites experienced frigid conditions not seen since the 19th century. Chicago and New York City broke temperature records set in 1894 and 1896, respectively. These extremes were not singular, but exemplary of conditions throughout much of the continent. Temperatures in Chicago were so cold that a polar bear at the Lincoln Park Zoo had to be taken inside.
The onset of polar conditions over the United States was also a reminder that cold weather in general is more inimical to human welfare than warm weather. The operation of power grids, gas pipelines and oil refineries was disrupted. Passengers on Amtrak trains were left stranded, and thousands of flights were delayed or canceled. By Jan. 7, the media were reporting at least 21 deaths directly related to the cold.
Weather extremes also seem to bring out the lunatic fringe. Of course, when we’re discussing global warming, it’s difficult to tell where the mainstream stops and the fringe begins. We were subjected to the oxymoronic explanation that frigid weather was, in fact, caused by global warming. According to Time magazine, cold temperatures in the United States were a result of global warming forcing the polar vortex southward. But in 1974, the same Time informed us that descent of the polar vortex into temperate zones was a harbinger of a new Ice Age.
Read more: http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2014/jan/16/another-year-of-global-cooling/#ixzz2qfjDI7Pv
Related:
NOAA “state of the climate” report: Contiguous US average temperature plummeted 2.9F in 2013
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Oh and I forgot to add Mont Blanc glacier (France) almost doubled in size in four years as of 2007. It is of course blamed on “Global Warming” Western Europe’s highest mountain, Mont Blanc, is taller than ever due to snow piled atop its summit….
welovemountains,
“Forget about statistics, the glacier in front of my house in France has receded about a 100 metres in the last 10 years, odd that cooling weather has caused this and every other Glacier to visibly melt and retreat so fast!”
I thought glaciers retreating had more to do with the difference between the rate of the glacier melting or subliming than what falls as precipitation on upper parts of said glacier. It seems to me that it can happen if it is cooler as it depends on the transport mechanism of the water. It could be that cooler air holds less water, so less is transported. If it gets cold enough, there will be less melting and less sublimation and the glacier will grow. Is it is odd or just a not well understood?
PaulC says @ur momisugly January 18, 2014 at 2:25 am;
My impression is that the length of Interglacials varies quite a bit, but it’s still true that we could see the end of the current one, ‘any old time now’.
We may well be able to stop/prevent the onset of what would otherwise gradually become a full-on Ice Age. It appears to require the establishment of perennial snow-cover across large swaths of northern North America and Eurasia. We can intercede in that process, by dusting unwanted snow with something lightweight & black.
Scrawny far-north tree-cover, brush and even the persistent stalks of annuals make dramatic contributions to spring & summer snow-melt. By planting trees, by aerial seeding of soil-building species (legumes & mat/turf-builders) and stalk-producers, and by distributing trace-elements & fertilizers (with the spring carbon-black), we could hold the conversion of warming biological sub-arctic biomes into reflective, cold snow & ice-scapes, “indefinitely”.
I think we should plan on it. Fund the experimental conversion of military tanker-aircraft into soot-generators, and run ongoing trials in selected locales. Send colleges students & robust unemployed folk to northern ‘bio-camps’, where they participate in pilot-studies (er; provide grunt-labor) for various intervention-management concepts to strengthen & stabilize the biota of marginal high-north ecosystems.
Could be great fun, and even profitable.
Brutal Cold Week ahead in both the U.S. AND Russia.
Welovemountains-the climate of this planet looks different outside of every window. What you see from yours may be completely opposite of what I see from mine. This might be a new concept for you, but the climate changes. Drastically. Rapidly sometimes. Always has (even before humans) always will (long after we’re gone).
welovemountains says:
January 18, 2014 at 7:10 am
Germany suffered 5 severe winters in 6 since 2005. Glacier build and retreat slowly and not just because it is cold.
There was a comment above about the 100,000 yr ice cycle. It is no longer 100,000. It changed to 40,000 for the last 2 glacials and the reasons are not known.
The continuing low sunspot activity perhaps suggests we are heading for a mini ice age, like The Maunder Minimum. So it’s everyone’s duty to emit as much CO2 as possible, otherwise there might be ice fairs on the Thames again before long!
MikeB said:
January 18, 2014 at 3:39 am
We are still in an ice age now. Technically, an ice age is whenever there is permanent ice on the planet.
———————-
Wouldn’t permanent ice be on the planet permanently?
🙂
The Met Office Hadley Centre observations datasets webpage has been updated this month to include the 2013 annual figure of +0.1 celsius. The falling off a cliff trend of the temperature anomaly, compared to the period 1961-90, since the peak in 2006 continues.
CO2 levels of course continue to go in the opposite direction
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/
markstoval wisely asks:
“Is there a graph of uncontaminated temperatures anyplace I can look?”
Probably not. A global temperature is itself hard to define and easy to manipulate.
A better metric for the overall state of the planet is in my opinion, global land ice/snow coverage. This has a very clear meaning, can be shown on a map, and is difficult to manipulate, at least with any scientifiky sounding excuse.
Such data is available here:
http://climate.rutgers.edu/snowcover/table_area.php?ui_set=0&ui_sort=0
That goes back to 1967. I’ll leave this as an exercise for the interested reader: Download to Excel or your tool of choice, pick out the peak Northern Hemisphere values each year and plot.
One will find that since the so-called “pause”, global ice/snow coverage has on average, been increasing and is now, on average, higher than it was during the global cooling scare of the 1970’s. It did indeed decline from the late 80’s to late 90’s, but the current trend is definitely increasing. There is no hint of any long term warming trend.
Brad (Griff) says:
January 18, 2014 at 3:28 am
I guess this a Northern hemisphere-centric group. All this talk about the Polar vortex negating the global warming argument, but I see you are silent on the record high temperatures in the Southern hemisphere.
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Yes, it had been very warm down there. I see that the ‘heat wave’ has now broken and temps have dropped 30+ degrees F. Those weather forecasts really do a great job. Maybe the global warming, local heat wave will reassert itself later on and give you more ammunition for commenting.
Stephen Richards says:
January 18, 2014 at 10:15 am
No, you have it the wrong way round Steve. It used to be a 41,000 year cycle but for the last 800,000 years the 100, 000 year cycle has dominated.
The 41,000 year cycle was well explained by Milankovitch since this is also the period of changes to the earth’s obliquity. From Wikipedia:
However, the ‘eccentricity’ of the earth’s orbit (i.e. how circular or elliptical it is) does vary on a 100,000 year cycle.
Clay Marley says: @ur momisugly January 18, 2014 at 12:04 pm
…Such data is available here:
http://climate.rutgers.edu/snowcover/table_area.php?ui_set=0&ui_sort=0
That goes back to 1967. I’ll leave this as an exercise for the interested reader: Download to Excel or your tool of choice, pick out the peak Northern Hemisphere values each year and plot….
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
You do not even have to do that since it has been already plotted.
October: http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/service/global/snowcover-nhland/201310.gif
November: http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/service/global/snowcover-nhland/201311.gif
December: http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/service/global/snowcover-nhland/201212.gif
January: http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/service/global/snowcover-nhland/201301.gif
February: http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/service/global/snowcover-nhland/201302.gif
March: http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/service/global/snowcover-nhland/201303.gif
Interesting isn’t it?
It’s been quite warm in the U.S. the past week where there was 454 warm records compared to 4 cold records, a ratio of 113 to 1.
http://s24.postimg.org/t383qo3o5/temps.jpg
Gail Combs says:
You do not even have to do that since it has been already plotted.
Interesting isn’t it?
Thanks for finding that Gail. Nice of them to plot it. You’d think the MSM would be screaming FUD about a coming ice age with that data.
Seems to me that every metric we can look at, like PDO, AMO, ENSO, Sea ice, land snow, sunspots and so on, all point to a probable extended cooling period.
To all who provided data and answers to my question — a great big thank you. 🙂
welovemountains says:
January 18, 2014 at 7:10 am
Global warming isn’t just in the USA! Look at the global picture this has been a very warm winter all over Europe and Asia. Forget about statistics, the glacier in front of my house in France has receded about a 100 metres in the last 10 years, odd that cooling weather has caused this and every other Glacier to visibly melt and retreat so fast! I was in S. America all of last winter for another unseasonably warm winter, there were a few days of cold weather but overall it was just not cold enough for snow, ski resorts there shut early. Stop blaming erroneous numbers and looking at biased graphs when the evidence is out the window!
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Yes but if you look out the window of an ice breaker ship in the Antarctic this SUMMER you’ll see record sea ice extent and more than likely get stuck in it.!!
Clay Marley says: @ur momisugly January 18, 2014 at 1:25 pm
…Seems to me that every metric we can look at, like PDO, AMO, ENSO, Sea ice, land snow, sunspots and so on, all point to a probable extended cooling period.
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
That is my take.
Despite all the people who do not like “Cyclemania” the climate has bounds and it oscillates. With the oceans you are just not going to get instantaneous response to energy increase or decrease so you are going to get an oscillation around a ‘Strange attractor’ until things change enough that you shift to a different ‘Strange attractor’
Strange Attractor being glacials and interglacials and perhaps Dansgaard-Oeschger oscillations. If the earth did not have dampened oscillations and bounds we would not be here.
Martin~ it has been below normal here, just over the border in Canada, on the shores of Lake Erie, for quite some time this winter- and that means, teens to low 20s. It looks to stay well below normal for at least the next two weeks. I would suggest that the average for the whole continent is NOT going to be quite what you think it should be.
Ed P says:
January 18, 2014 at 10:37 am
The continuing low sunspot activity perhaps suggests we are heading for a mini ice age, like The Maunder Minimum. So it’s everyone’s duty to emit as much CO2 as possible, otherwise there might be ice fairs on the Thames again before long!
==============
Ah – but the cunning Victorians – CAGW Believers, every man of them – saw to it that this could not happen for a great many years – in London!
The Thames has frozen across at Windsor, in 1963 [I remember that!].
The Victorians built the Victoria and Albert Embankments, reclaiming land in London – now even more expensive per square foot than Sandbanks in Dorset (which was about #4 for global real estate prices, behind London, NY, and parts of Tokyo) – but narrowing the London River, so freezing is mighty unlikely due to its speed between the juxtaposed embankments.
None of that suggests we’re having CAGW. I’d like a bit of that here; London gets to – on average – about 3C in winter [average low]. Another degree would be much appreciated! Every Little Helps, according to the corner shop . . . .
Whatever the cycles, and epicycles, the weather is the weather.
And I’d like it a bit warmer.
Global cooling – notably with successive UK Governments’ criminal dereliction of duty regarding electricity supply – is not wanted here.
Perhaps
Brad (Griff) says:
January 18, 2014 at 3:28 am and
welovemountains says:
January 18, 2014 at 7:10 am
could have my share. Free . . . .
I’m easy [and I, too, love mountains].
Auto
This whole CAGW “thesis” is, as was the forecast of a coming ice age back in the 70’s, little more than the toxic, misanthropic notion of original sin dressed up in scientific drag. Perhaps the idea of Ziggy Stardust dressed as Satan might resonate better with some.
I think they were using “permanent” to mean “multi-year” or “persistent” (i.e., over the summer).
I suspect 90% of them are armored against fear by “denial” mechanisms, and that if we ever did get to a point where their thesis was falsified, 90% (the foot soldiers) could take comfort in the reflection that “they can’t hang all 97% of us. Everyone was guilty–so no one particular person can be singled out for blame–except for a couple of dozen media-warmists. And the worst they’ll get is a verbal knuckle-rapping for a year or two. So, as long as we hang together, we can’t be hanged separately.”
M Seward says:
This whole CAGW “thesis” is, as was the forecast of a coming ice age back in the 70′s, little more than the toxic, misanthropic notion of original sin dressed up in scientific drag.
Yes, it is original sin, or what it turns in to after one kills God. It goes back to Nietzsche in Thus spoke Zarathustra:
“Once the sin against God was the greatest sin; but God died, and these sinners died with him. To sin against the earth is now the most dreadful thing, and to esteem the entrails of the unknowable higher than the meaning of the earth…”
They cannot see the Truth because there is no truth, other than what they create.