UN panel opens Stockholm meet on global warming
“I’m looking forward to working with you in the next four days to deliberate and approve (this report) line by line,” [Pachauri] said.
More at GlobalPost
From the IPCC press release:
“Our assessment draws on millions of measurements which permit an unprecedented and unbiased view of the state of the Earth System . Millions of billions of bytes of numerical data form the foundation for estimates of possible futures of our climate. We have produced a Summary for Policymakers that presents the findings in the clearest possible manner, a document with no comp romises to scientific accuracy. ” said Thomas Stocker, the other Co-Chair of Working Group I.”
IPCC press release – pr_130923_opening_ceremony.pdf
(FYI In the interest of public discourse and scrutiny, I will be posting the full widely “leaked” draft SPM later today, so that there can be comparisons worldwide of what the politicians have morphed it to – Anthony)
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The great dilemma for climate science
Andrew Montford writes at Bishop Hill:
I have an article up at the Spectator’s Coffee House blog on that awful dilemma for the IPCC:
It will not be an easy task. However the IPCC chooses to deal with the problem the repercussions are unpleasant. They might try to explain away the warming hiatus in some way: the in-vogue explanation is that the heat that should have been in the atmosphere has escaped, undetected, to the deep oceans.
Evidence to support this idea is, however, scant at best, and going down this route is going to involve the IPCC admitting that there is much about the climate system that is not yet understood. This will be a hard act to carry off while simultaneously claiming that they are certain that mankind caused most of the recent warming.
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Delusions of ….something?
Dr. Kerry Emanuel seems to think his job is super important
You could, however, sum its findings up in just four words: “the world is defrosting”. This is how Prof Neville Nicholls of Monash University, Australia, put it. Human impacts, according to a leaked draft of the report, are changing the planet in ways “unprecedented in hundreds of thousands of years”.
…“The decisions we make in the next decade or so are decisions that will determine the fate of the planet for thousands of years,” says Prof Kerry Emanuel of MIT in Boston.
…The scenario of acidified, oxygen-starved oceans teeming with jellyfish and almost nothing else is edging from science fiction to climate science fact.
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I wonder what the Germans will say about the IPCC report?
With climate change losing importance in Germany as an issue and the Energiewende (transition to renewable energy) turning into a chaos that threatens the country’s economic stability, the Greens, who were polling near 16% earlier in the year, have since lost almost half of their voter base.
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Mike Mann’s “Curry derangement syndrome” Tweet
Well, at least he didn’t throw in “#Kochtopus
This is what Dr. Mann is ranting about:
http://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/policy/climate-consensus-skewing-science/story-e6frg6xf-1226724080490
Dr. Curry says pretty much what we all think of Dr. Mann:
We’ll check back on the credibility issue after IPCC AR5 SPM has been released, in the meantime, I’m sure Mike will keep us entertained.
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Pure BS from Oxford Professor Myles Allen:
…This point was backed by Professor Myles Allen at Oxford University. “We have examined the forecasts made by climate scientists over the past three decades and they have been absolutely spot on in terms of predicting subsequent levels of global warming,” he said. “Our climate models are robust and working well.”
[Professor Jonathan Bamber of Bristol University] “One recent study found a way to assess sea ice cover in the Arctic over the past 1,600 years. At no point in that time were levels found to be as low as they are today. The current drop is probably the handiwork of human beings.”
Climate change: IPCC cites global temperature rise over last century | Environment | The Observer
h/t to Tom Nelson
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Maslowski “ice free Arctic in 2013”, falsified:
The decisions that “we”–the West–make won’t do much if anything. It’s the decisions that the East (India and China) makes that matter. And those countries have already turned thumbs down on energy austerity.
Maybe off topic but I noticed a curious thing today.
Today TWC said that the record high for my little spot on the globe was 93*F set in 2010.
I checked the NWS site and it agreed.
In 2007 the NWS said it was 91*F set in 1945.
OK. Toward the end of “the hottest decade on record” a new record for September 23rd was set.
I then checked what the NWS said in April of 2012.
The record high for Columbus Ohio in April of 2012 was 90*F set in 1941 and tied in 1945 and in 1961.
“Hmmm…”, I thought. I’m not a scientist but it seems to me that if the record high was really set in 2010 then it should have shown up on the April 2012 list I copied from the NWS website.
I can’t tell you how relieved I was to discover that not 3 months later, in July of 2012, that the record was “adjusted” just in time to fit in with the IPCC’s hottest decade on record.
Of course, I’m just a layman so I still have a question or two lingering in the back of my mind.
For instance, “Who re-read the thermometer back in 1941 and in 1945 (twice) and in 1961 and in 2012 (twice)? And why did they decide to lower it 1*F in 1945?” “Why did they raise it to 93*F in 2010?”
Maybe someone out there has the answer.
Anyone? Anyone?
Good one! Consider that re-stolen.
Better yet, in honor of the Socialist leftists that are too stupid to understand the phrase, let’s call it redistributed. 🙂
“The scenario of acidified, oxygen-starved oceans teeming with jellyfish and almost nothing else is edging from science fiction to climate science fact.”
AAAAAAARRRRRRGGGGGGHHHHH!
Jellyfish!
We’re doomed!
(Overfishing has nothing to do with anything. It’s all climate.)
How about WUWT mentioned in Pravda in an article by Gary Novak: The Contrivance of Global Warming?
http://english.pravda.ru/science/earth/23-09-2013/125729-global_warming-0/
“In 2010, Joseph D’Aleo and Anthony Watts reviewed temperature data and concluded, “1. Instrumental temperature data for the pre-satellite era (1850-1980) have been so widely, systematically, and unidirectionally tampered with that it cannot be credibly asserted there has been any significant “global warming” in the 20th century. 2. All terrestrial surface-temperature databases exhibit very serious problems that render them useless for determining accurate long-term temperature trends. 3. All of the problems have skewed the data so as greatly to overstate observed warming both regionally and globally. 4. Global terrestrial temperature data are gravely compromised because more than three-quarters of the 6,000 stations that once existed are no longer reporting. 5. There has been a severe bias towards removing higher-altitude, higher-latitude, and rural stations, leading to a further serious overstatement of warming. etc.” (http://scienceandpublicpolicy.org/originals/policy_driven_deception.html).
This study was prompted by numerous critics around the world showing that temperature data for their area was being altered to lower earlier readings and show an increase, while raw data was showing no increase (http://nov79.com/gbwm/temm.html#tmg).”
More than ten years ago, I attempted in several articles to inject some common sense into the insanity of alleged catastrophic humanmade global warming – mass hysteria incited at that time to support the now-defunct (and always idiotic) Kyoto Protocol.
Since then, global warming alarmism has grown into a huge bloated fear-mongering industry, and a trillion dollars of scarce global resources have been squandered on the global warming boogeyman and nonsensical green energy schemes.
So my (our) articles had no effect on the global warming industry juggernaut. They only serve now as evidence of what we knew, with confidence, more than a decade ago.
M co-authors, Dr. Sallie Baliunas, Dr. Tim Patterson and I said, in part:
http://www.apegga.org/Members/Publications/peggs/WEB11_02/kyoto_pt.htm
“Climate science does not support the theory of catastrophic human-made global warming – the alleged warming crisis does not exist.”
Since then there has been no net global warming, and perhaps some mild cooling. Score one for us, and zero for the global warming alarmists (aka “warmists”).
We also predicted the current debacle in so-called “green energy”, which is certainly not green and does not supply much (if any) useful net energy. We said:
“The ultimate agenda of pro-Kyoto advocates is to eliminate fossil fuels, but this would result in a catastrophic shortfall in global energy supply – the wasteful, inefficient energy solutions proposed by Kyoto advocates simply cannot replace fossil fuels.”
The Europeans freezing in their homes due to bloated energy prices would definitely score two for us, and zero for the warmists.
Our above statements were infinitely more accurate than the predictions (aka “projections”) of the warmists. Paradoxically, the warmists have been paid a trillion dollars for their scam, and we skeptics have been labeled “deniers” and have been subjected to intimidation, vilification, and threats and real acts of violence.
Earth stopped warming about 17 years ago. I wish I could claim some credit for that, but it would require the hubris of a warmist, and I am not that sort of mann.
For years, we tried to respectfully put forward our reasoned scientific arguments, failing to adequately recognize that we were dealing with a primarily social, rather than a scientific phenomenon.
I’ve studied the phony global warming crisis since about 1985, and I’ve concluded that, in the words of comedian Ron White:
“You can’t fix stupid. Stupid is forever.”
You also cannot fix deceit, lies and corruption.
“Like Stupid – Deceit, Lies and Corruption are forever.”
However, you CAN ridicule warmist idiocy, and ridicule is perhaps our society’s most effective weapon in this dysfunctional debate between scientific reason and global warming profiteering.
Witness an excerpt from the above post, published on 23Sept2013 by Andrew Montford at Bishop Hill:
“I have an article up at the Spectator’s Coffee House blog on that awful dilemma for the IPCC:
http://blogs.spectator.co.uk/coffeehouse/2013/09/climatologys-great-dilemma/
It will not be an easy task. However the IPCC chooses to deal with the problem the repercussions are unpleasant. They might try to explain away the warming hiatus in some way: the in-vogue explanation is that the heat that should have been in the atmosphere has escaped, undetected, to the deep oceans.”
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Compare my last sentence below, excerpted from my blog on 20Sept2013, to the above:
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2013/09/19/uh-oh-its-models-all-the-way-down/#comment-1421787
“They (global warming alarmists) are apparently unaware or ignore the fact that the climate models use fabricated aerosol data to enable their hind-casting, thus enabling the use of high ECS values. Repeating, the aerosol data is fabricated, literally from thin air, to force-fit the models to hindcast. Then the models are claimed to be credible, and are used to forecast catastrophic global warming as atmospheric CO2 increases.
Problem is, despite increasing atmospheric CO2, Earth has not warmed in about 17 years!
But don’t worry, they say, the heat is hiding; stuck in the deep oceans (or somewhere else that the Sun don’t shine).”
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Good stuff Andrew, but mine was a bit more scientific, and much funnier. 🙂
I wrote in 2004, with rare candor:
http://www.sepp.org/twtwfiles/2004/Aug%207.htm
“I have come to the reluctant conclusion that Kyoto is supported by scoundrels and imbeciles The former are well-informed of the fraudulent IPCC science position and yet promote it, while the latter are taken in by these falsehoods when there is ample public evidence to the contrary.”
This winter, the good people of Europe, freezing in their homes, will wish that more of us had spoken out more forcefully, and had been more effective.
Regards, Allan
It is apparent that the crumbling edifice of the ‘man-made global warming’ hoax continues to unravel apace. Not before time, either.
Given Myles Allen’s version of “spot on” I would love to challenge him to darts or horseshoes. These guys use the “that cloud vaguely looks like a pony” version of testing model fit.