In case you missed it over the weekend, AP retracts the North Pole Lake image: Follow up: the bogus ‘North Pole becomes a lake’ story
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Obama’s OFA (not actually Obama but they play him on Twitter) says “because the science says so”. Really? That’s the best you’ve got?
97% of climate scientists and @NASA probably know what they're talking about. #ScienceSaysSo pic.twitter.com/t5iIhabxfw
— All On The Line (@allontheline) August 12, 2013
But let’s not let such things like ‘climate changing’ fossil fuel emissions deprive my family of our dog’s company while on vacation.
I feel for the Marine that got that pilot duty.
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The journey from hippie believer to climate skeptic, yours truly gets a mention:
http://pjmedia.com/lifestyle/2013/08/08/climate-change-what-are-the-real-questions/?singlepage=true
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Speaking of models, so does Hans Von Storch: ‘the warming stagnation ’98-’12 is no longer consistent with model projections even at 2% confidence.’
In recent years, the increase in near-surface global annual mean temperatures has emerged as considerably smaller than many had expected. We investigate whether this can be explained by contemporary climate change scenarios. In contrast to earlier analyses for a ten-year period that indicated consistency between models and observations at the 5% confidence level, we find that the continued warming stagnation over fifteen years, from 1998 -2012, is no longer consistent with model projections even at the 2% confidence level.
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I’m tempted to ask for donations to buy this table myself, but Mike would probably be a “no show” once he found out he’d be in the same room with me and five other climate skeptics. via Tom Nelson:
Who’s up for spending $5000 for a “Science & Psychology of Climate Change” event with Michael Mann?
Proceeds from the evening will benefit PennFuture’s environmentally diverse programming, education and community initiatives.
$5,000 sponsor table ($4,100 tax deductible, two available)
Personalized copy of Dr. Mann’s The Hockey Stick and Climate Wars: Dispatches from the Front LinesName recognition on all anniversary event materials, including the PennFuture website, and on-site recognition and acknowledgement during the event
Reserved seating for six (6), which includes either Dr. Mann or Dr. Van Susteren as your table host
Private reception with Dr. Mann — McKee Library
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Also from Tom Nelson:
Warmist John Abraham: Super-duper enthusiastic about a particular “armchair scientist with little formal training”, since this one agrees with him
Neven, like many other armchair scientists has little formal training. But, he makes up for that with a doggedness that would impress anyone. While he describes his blog as basically weather reports, many publishing researchers turn to him for a comprehensive view of current conditions. Do you want to know what the short term ice conditions will likely be? Ask Neven. Interested in learning about impacts of current conditions on the atmosphere? Ask Neven.Not only is he a great resource, but the commenters provide insightful thoughts as well.
…
People like Neven, who can provide clear descriptions to the larger public are doing a great service. This is particularly so because scientists who are employed at major research institutions are often not trained in communication and such activities are not rewarded. I view these complementary activities and viewpoints an exciting development in the larger conversation about climate change.
But I’m evilz with our volunteer surfacestations project and my viewpoints on the world’s most visited climate blog, oh well. Stay tuned on those issues John.
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Bishop Hill notes: NASA rewrites the past
Lord Deben just asked me on Twitter why he should trust me and not official versions of “the science”. I gave him a raft of reasons, but then came across this posting on Unthreaded from Brent Hargreaves:
GISS record of temperature at Teigarhorn, Iceland:
Feb 1901: 0.0C – reported Nov 2011
Feb 1901: -0.9C – reported Mar 2012
Feb 1901: -1.2C – reported Aug 2013
Brent has a full post about what he has found here, but for me his findings seem like a pretty good reason to distrust the official tale.
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Oh darn. Worms are eating methane that could be used for climate alarm: Study finds novel worm community affecting methane release in ocean
Scientists have discovered a super-charged methane seep in the ocean off New Zealand that has created its own unique food web, resulting in much more methane escaping from the ocean floor into the water column. It will not make it into the atmosphere, where it could exacerbate global warming. However, the discovery does highlight scientists’ limited understanding of the global methane cycle — and specifically the biological interactions that create the stability of the ocean system.
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Dr. Roy Spencer is poking ‘the Slayers’ again:
@kadaka
It is on topic because Anthony wrote about the “lakes” at the North Pole and by golly there certainly is a lot of open water at the pole. He also wrote about Neven, so my other comments were also on topic.
By the way, it reached 87 degrees at Kugluktuk NU yesterday, breaking the old record by 8 degrees. Are you still going to attribute that to UHI on the shores of the Arctic like you did for the records set last Friday? It appears the claim that the Arctic has cooled early is not entirely based in reality. It is cold over the pole because of the storm that spinning last Tuesday, but the temperatures have been well above normal in the Beaufort, CAA and ESS.
http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/geme_cartes.php?&ech=12&mode=9&carte=1
Is anybody else having problems with climatedepot.com?
Thats what i get.
Master of Space and Thyme says:
Pass the KoolAid, would you? Thread-bombing is thirsty work. (It’s also very loud).
Master of Space and Thyme,
Why do comment here? It’s not sage.
Yours truly,
Herbidacious
I welcome the efforts of Master of Space and Thyme to highlight what ois going on in the Arctic.
His interpretation is different to most who post here and so is of value. Don’t scare off alternative views.
Certainly, his Arctic posts are more stimulating than my opinion that – the Arctic is the last ball in the air for teh catastrophists and they can’t afford to let this drop like the Tropical Hotspot, the rising teperatures, desertification… do you remember when the Sahara was due to overwhelm Spain?
http://desertification.wordpress.com/2008/09/27/spain-at-risk-of-becoming-like-sahara-google-the-olive-press/
From Master of Space and Thyme on August 12, 2013 at 9:08 pm:
http://climate.weather.gc.ca/climateData/bulkdata_e.html?format=csv&stationID=1641&Year=2013&Month=8&Day=1&timeframe=2&submit=Download+Data
The Aug 10 high was 29.2°C, which is 84.6°F. Aug 11 was 29.3°C, which is 84.7°F.
Note both of those are noted with an asterisk, “Data for this day has undergone only preliminary quality checking”.
Were you going to bother to note those measurements are from an airport?
http://climate.weather.gc.ca/climateData/generate_custom_chart_e.html?StationID=1641&Year=2013&Month=8&Day=11&timeframe=2&MeasTypeID=maxtemp,mintemp,extrmaxtemp,extrmintemp&selSize=medium&selPeriod=month
Yesterday, Aug 11, did indeed break the high record by about 8 degrees CELSIUS. The temperature record only goes from 1977. But the August 11 record high was broken, because there is an inexplicable 8°C drop in record highs between Aug 10 and Aug 11.
On the graph I’m looking at right now, the Aug 10 record high is something just under 29.5°C, while Aug 11 has dropped to about 21.5°C. Why is that? I don’t know. But it is amazing, and puts the record in question.
Oh, BTW, You have lead me to evidence of airport temperature record contamination.
As seen on the graph, over three days, Aug 2 to Aug 5, the daily maximums zoomed up 19°C, the minimums up 13°C. That corresponds with Civic Holiday, the first Monday in August, which was the 5th, aka the August Long Weekend. When airport traffic due to a holiday would be expected to spike, over a Long Weekend, the measured temperatures at the airport ZOOMED SKYWARDS.
Increasing airport temperatures correlating with increasing airport traffic does not prove the airport temperature reading are crap, not suitable for climatological records. But it is strong evidence that something is likely amiss, deserving of further investigation.
Thank you for leading me to this revealing information on the making of (C)AGW-pusher compatible new high temperature records.
@kadaka
Why are you arguing about weather? Why can’t you least accept the fact that it was hot in parts of the Arctic this week. Don’t you realize that you make this blog look bad when you start to promote you personal alternative reality.
From Master of Space and Thyme on August 13, 2013 at 4:37 am:
YOU were making big noises about A RECORD BREAKING HIGH.
YOU were asking dismissively if I’d also blame it on UHI.
Now it’s revealed the “record high” was at an Arctic airport, which have problems that cause false high readings, including UHI-type issues. For those and other reasons, your “big noises” are revealed as hollow bloviation.
So now that you have completely FAILED, you ask:
Why are you? Why make an issue of the varying temperatures of Arctic settlements, of fluctuations in sea ice coverage? It’s all just weather.
RE:Master of Space and Thyme
At last report the temperature at the North Pole Camera was -3.9 Celsius, (25 degrees Fahrenheit.) That is cold enough to refreeze. Then check out today’s DMO arctic temperature map at http://ocean.dmi.dk/arctic/weather/arcticweather_imagecontainer.php A lot of the area where you expect the polar storm to have stirred up “warm” water is below freezing. All that exposed water is being chilled.
We shall see what we shall see.
Go with von Storch. He has really laid out the dilemma for the alarmists. Good discussion @ur momisugly the Bish’s.
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Teen Dream date with gorgeous Dr. Mann — McKee Library
Fixed, for that this whole circus is starting to resemble.
Just like his hero, the Obamanation, mikey mann specializes in sucking money from wallets of the unwary & clueless.
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Perry says:
August 12, 2013 at 10:49 pm
Master of Space and Thyme,
Why do comment here? It’s not sage.
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It’s not even parsley or rosemary. 🙂
There are a couple of ways of showing warming when it is actually cooling. Change historic readings to a lower value, exclude readings that are thought to support the warming, relocate stations so they now read higher, & don’t correct high readings that are known to be not representative of reallity. If you do all of the above, it makes it hard to remember which cup the pea is under.
@Master of Space and Thyme
Neven’s blog has a lot of great resources on it. But they are biased towards melting ice just like this site is biased toward higher ice extent. Neven’s blog’s prediction a month ago was for a new record low ice extent. By a lot too. 3.2 million sq km to be exact for the September NSIDC minimum. This was despite mounting evidence that this season was far different from 2012. It was the lowest prediction for the ARCUS survey. It’s also going to be the most inaccurate when the melt season finishes.
http://www.arcus.org/search/seaiceoutlook/2013/july
Like any site, you have to take the good with the bad.
I feel for the Marine that got that pilot duty.
Why? He/she got to fly a fucking helicopter. Again.
The sentence in bold says that the net present value (NPV) of the damage done by just the methane release alone (ignoring all the other climate change and ocean acidification impacts)could be roughly big as the world economy (measured as GPD).