Short Meteorological Memories

Guest essay by Alan Caruba

I am giving thanks this week, despite the heat wave, that I have not read, nor heard, a single claim that it is proof that global warming has arrived and we are all doomed.

By the time the global warming hoax was in its final days, we were being told that mid-winter blizzards were signs of it. Now the charlatans have switched their message, calling it “climate change” and this is so bogus that it defies description.

Of course the climate changes! It has done that from the billions of years before the first man climbed down out of the tree to stand upright; just in time to learn how to run like hell from whatever creature thought he would make a tasty snack.

I live in the Northeast and residents in the tri-state area face an entire week of temperatures in the upper 90s. The National Weather Service predicts the heat index (what it feels like outside) could hit 105 degrees. In 2006, about forty people died from heat stroke in New York during a heat wave from late July to early August. Most lacked air conditioning.

Curiously, the Earth is actually the farthest away from the Sun during our summer months. The way the National Geographic explained it the “Earth’s elliptical orbit means there will be a point each year when the planet is closest to the sun, called perihelion, and a point when it is farthest away, known as aphelion.” The aphelion was reached on July 5.

By contrast in January of this year Australia was undergoing a historic heat wave complete with wildfires in five of its six states. It set new records hitting 104.6 degrees Fahrenheit; summer in Australia runs from December to February. Far to the north, however, this summer has been the coldest on record in the Arctic and it is forecast to get even colder there towards the end of the month.

What I always find interesting is the way much of the population seems to have absolutely no memory of any previous heat wave or, for that matter, a major blizzard. Either way the news media goes bananas, usually seeing it an apocalyptic scenario. No, it’s just a perfectly normal heat wave or blizzard.

It’s a good idea to keep in mind these and other events are the “weather”, not the “climate.” The climate is measured in terms of centuries or, at the very least, decades. The climate is a trend. The weather is what’s happening outside today.

These weather extremes can be quite dramatic. Wikipedia notes that by 1851, half the population of England was living in towns while London had already grown into a major city. “Modern toilets appear on the scene before modern infrastructure, turning the Thames into an open sewer. In June 1858, a heat wave hit London and baked the river into a fetid mess.” A newspaper reported that “Gentility of speech is at an end—it stinks; and whoso once inhales the stink can never forget it and count himself lucky if he lives to remember it.” The result was that Parliament moved upstream and anyone who could afford it left town.

In June 1976, England sweltered for fifteen straight days of heat in the ninety degrees and parts of the southwest went without rain for forty-five days. Forest fires destroyed trees and crops.

In August 1948 in the northeast, New York, Philadelphia, and other cities saw the temperature hit a hundred degrees and people flocked to air-conditioned movie theatres or to the airy beaches like Coney Island. I am old enough to recall the pre-air conditioned times before they became a common appliance in people’s homes and apartments. Electric fans provided what little relief there was to be found.

You don’t have to live in a city to endure a heat wave. During the Great Depression the 1936 heat wave that hit the Midwest turned farms into dust bowls and farmers lost their summer crops. It is estimated that some 5,000 people died. Chicago was hard hit and as far north as Toronto. The scene was repeated in 1995 in Chicago when an estimated 500 people died from heat-related deaths.

By the end of the week, Al Gore is sure to issue another one of his boring claims that the current heat wave is “proof” of global warming. Ignore him.

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July 16, 2013 1:38 pm

Mikeyj says:
July 16, 2013 at 12:57 pm
‘Here’s what I do know.’, what ever you ‘know’ is wrong! How do I know? Because it is obvious you have been listening to the wrong ‘science’! So to put you on the correct path
AGU, all about co2 and global warming
http://www.agu.org/meetings/fm09/lectures/lecture_videos/A23A.shtml

Mike H
July 16, 2013 6:01 pm

Alan, good article.
Some above have commented above on what I’m about to say. Alan and they got me posing some questions.
What the heck is climate?
Climate: the composite or generally prevailing weather conditions of a region, as temperature, air pressure, humidity, precipitation, sunshine, cloudiness, and winds, throughout the year, averaged over a series of years.
Alan says: “The climate is measured in terms of centuries or, at the very least, decades. The climate is a trend. The weather is what’s happening outside today.”
But in the confines of the climate change, how is that interpreted? How do we measure it? We can’t say, “Climate increased by 4.2 climate units last decade and is expected to decrease by 2.2 climate units over the next decade”. Climate derives weather but we can’t perform an integral function to tell us what the ‘total” climate is. It is all encompassing yet in the context of the climate change debate so vacuous. Is it one of the reasons the movement moved away from Global Warming to Climate Change? Things that make you go hmmm. Even though the global “temperature” is a meaningless stat, it is something which can we can put a number to and show a simple trend. And when that trend is plateauing (like it has been) and appears to to be moving towards a decline over the next few decades, it would be a simple measurement to demonstrate the fallacy of the theory, (and death to the gravy train). Therefore, they must move to something which is not measurable. It is there the warmists get away with their crap. Climate is something everybody knows but doesn’t understand and can’t really define in any meaningful or measurable way. The perfect situation for a gravy train/political action opportunity.

Stephen Robinson
July 16, 2013 9:19 pm

“Climate change” is a sneaky UN use of language and they gave it their own definition;
All the way back on May 9th 1992, UN defined “climate change” as man-made. See The UN Framework Convention on Climate Change, (paragraph 6):
“Climate change is defined by the Convention as “change of climate which is attributed directly or indirectly to human activity that alters the composition of the global atmosphere and which is in addition to natural climate variability observed over comparable time periods” (article 1 (2)).”
In other words, there is no “climate change” without humans

Kevin
July 17, 2013 12:52 am

Mikeyj says:
“Suggest you go read the mission statement. ‘Investigate man made climate change’.”
Indeed, not “Investigate man made global warming.”

beng
July 17, 2013 8:49 am

Being a weather aficionado, this is a problem I don’t have. 106F (& a string of 100F+ days) in July 1966 in western MD w/burned-out lawns. Whole family had to flee to the basement to sleep (no air-con). -22F in Jan 1994. 4-foot deep pond frozen to bottom in Feb 1977. All-brown lawns from southwest VA to MD to PA in late summer 1988. Massive floods in Oct 1976. 80F two days in a row in late Jan 1974. On and on….

acementhead
July 18, 2013 3:35 am

izen July 16, 2013 at 3:44 am says:
“Whatever you call it that indicates a trend in the climate. Undeniable, inelectable and exceptional.”
izen when you use a word I would hope that you know what it means. I do not think that inelectable means what you think it means*. When one uses Big Words incorrectly one just makes ones self look stupid.
* Apologies to El Gaupo

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