I’m traveling this weekend, posting will be light to nonexistent. Guest authors are welcome to post submissions.
Feel free to talk about anything withing the blog policy.
I’m traveling this weekend, posting will be light to nonexistent. Guest authors are welcome to post submissions.
Feel free to talk about anything withing the blog policy.
rogerknights says:
July 13, 2013 at 3:25 pm
“Here’s a thread that says the house of cards is wobbling right now:”
From 2010 on the Black Swans, corrections and crashes all happened between start of FEB and start of OCT. Has a lot to do with the protest and strike season in the Northern Hemisphere IMHO. Or maybe the central bankers meeting at the BIS in Basel every month or so make sure to crash the markets in Summer, when disruptions of food or energy supply don’t lead immediately to frozen dead people.
(Before 2010 I have no data. My model has been trained with the data since 2010 and came up with an extension of the Sell-In-May rule)
Help, advice needed.
It’s been pretty hot (by local standards) in Scotland for the last week and the office at work has been uncomfortably warm.
The office doesn’t have air-con and being enclosed within a high-roofed space has no direct access to the outside.
Typically the office is 2 or 3 degrees C warmer than the surrounding area which is 4/5 degrees warmer than outside.
The RH in the office is generally higher than the rest of the building (more bodies). It’s sitting about 45-55% at the moment which is not too bad but it can sometimes hit the 90’s!
The office has one door that exits to the enclosing structure.
We have a 70 watt ‘swamp cooler’ and a largish 170W fan.
What is the best way to rduce the office temperature.
For example, using the 170W fan, how should we use it, so as, to more rapidly cool the office at the expense of the enclosing area?
Is it better to position it at the office door blowing outwards or putting it in the enclosing area blowing inward?
Would blowing it parallel to the door be more efficient?
Should it be positioned on the floor or higher up?
Is it better to angle it so that the blast hits the warmer air near the ceiling?
Again, using the 170W, air-flow fan, to remove heat from the building at an outside door how should we proceed? Pump in the cool or pump out the hot – parallel to the floor or up to the roof?
As for the ‘swamp-cooler’ under what conditions should we use it? Is it RH limited?
So many questions – loads of practical physics, I’m guessing.
Any tips folks?
RoyFOMR says:
July 13, 2013 at 3:54 pm
“Any tips folks?”
Hold your wrists under running tap water for a minute.
Roy: Hard to say without a drawing, but usually two fans, one blowing in, with one at the other end of the office blowing out, can create a nice wind-tunnel effect. Adding a drop ceiling with insulation will isolate you better from the hot (cold in winter) roof, above. (Old Spanish farmhouses used burlap tarps between beams to do that.)
You should consider (if practical) punching a hole and running a duct from the outside outside, instead of sucking hot inlet air from the inside outside. Hot outlet air should go to the outside outside, too, ideally.
Yes, swamp coolers are RH limited. They do work well under low RH, very poorly at high RH. Check mfr’s info and/or a hygrometric chart for effective range, and other data.
Having the fan rotate horizontally might help. Think ceiling fans. Leads to a rotation of the entire air volume in the room.
RoyFOMR July 13, 2013 at 3:54 pm
Turn on the AC!
Oh, you don’t have any?
Open the windows!
DirkH, if everyone in the world turned on their ceiling fans, would it change the day length?
Roy, FOMR, me lad, ask a friendly chap at the MET to forecast super-high temperatures for the rest of the summer in Scotland. #[:)]
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FYI for Robert of Ottawa, if Dirk H. is where he usually is, you asked him that question at about 2:18AM local time. Hopefully, his response for at least the next couple of hours or so will be zzzzzzzz. 🙂
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Gail Combs, DID YOU GET YOUR PICK-UP UNSTUCK? Use horse power to get it out? #[:)]
Dick Lindzen spent 48 minutes with Aljazeera gladiators – an annoying PC host and several mixed lower-tier co-panelists – in Oxford. Watch here:
http://motls.blogspot.com/2013/07/richard-lindzen-vs-aljazeera-gladiators.html?m=1
The sad truism about Salby v. Macquarie is that if Salby had been a Warmista then he would never had been fired. Period.
Lubos Motl,
Thank you for sharing that ANNOYING video. {|0] I watched all 48 minutes of it. I skimmed your detailed summary and it appears that you and I agree on most of what you wrote, but one MAJOR exception is that I do not find “plausible” at all the conjecture and speculation that human CO2 causes global climate change. CAGW assertions are backed up by NO evidence (model projections are not evidence, as I’m sure you agree). NONE.
Thoughts elicited by the video:
— Replace Richard Lindzen with someone adept at debating. He is personable and obviously bright, but was far too wishy-washy. His views may or may not actually be wishy-washy, but the person sitting in his place needs to have his or her arguments and facts ready to quickly and POWERFULLY communicate clearly the SCIENCE of natural drivers of global climate (and the lack of scientific evidence for human CO2 as a driver).
— Replace the format where an obviously biased interviewer acts as the prosecuting attorney-judge with a genuine debate with equal time for argument and rebuttal between the two sides (pro-CAGW and anti-CAGW) and with ample time over all (not a 22 minute TV show).
Well, I just realized I could go on and on about the problems with that wretched interviewer, the format, etc… . I’ll wrap this up by just saying, the video was a circus and all the usual clowns were present:
Hysterical Hank: B-b-b-b, whaaat if we don’t act noooowwwww — millions will die!!!!!
Pious Petunia: [sternly nodding at all the CAGW P.R. guy said, grimly frowning at Lindzen]
Mr. Half-n-half: Windmills are stupid, but….. OF COURSE I believe humans cause global warming.
IPCC Man: 97% of all scientists agree, but, that’s not the main point, the main point is that the IPCC’s models and [mumble, mumble, mumble] are right, and 97%, do you hear me? 97 percent! of REAL scientists agree.
Maldives Mike: [talking as fast as the slickest used car salesman I’ve ever said, “Yeah, right,” to] Thesealevelisrisingdoyouwantpeopletodrown? I’m not a scientist, but…… [blah, blah, blah] the fact that I can speak quickly means that what I am saying is very important and mostofallthat it is TRUE!
That interviewer was a joke — the WHOLE THING was a joke — the poor defense expert witness sat there on the stand being grilled by the JUDGE, the prosecutor, the court reporter, and the prosecutor’s expert witness ALL joining in to oppose him. There was no defense attorney. Looked like what a “trial” looks like in the U.S.S.R. where the communist party member prosecutor and judge run the show.
************************************************
Re: The woman in the photo — I’m praying for her safety.
THANK YOU FOR SHARING (LOL, next time, how about an old episode of “I Love Lucy” or something? This comedy made me frown more than smile.)
Take care, over there, Mr. Motl.
Janice
Don K says:
July 13, 2013 at 12:37 pm
My understanding is that the CU Topex/Poseidon derived sea level data are not calibrated against tidal gauges. Instead …
Thanks for the response. There is evidence that they do use a set of 64 gauges, since they say here:
We have restricted the ~100 available [tide] gauges to a set of 64 near real-time stations that span the majority of both the T/P and Jason missions, and will therefore provide a relatively consistent calibration for both.
http://sealevel.colorado.edu/content/calibration
I would like to know what stations those are so I can go to the Permanent Service for Mean Sea Level (PSMSL) and see what the record for those stations looks like compared to the other 1200 PSMSL stations.
Lewis P Buckingham July 12, 2013 at 9:42 pm says:
“BTW,newer generations of insecticides, such as imidacloprid have been hypothesized to be part of the cause of ‘colony collapse’ in the European honey bee.”
*****
Imidacloprid and other similar neonicotinoid insecticides were banned in France as a result of a study that showed a link to imidacloprid and bee death.
However, a report put out by the federal EPA, “Pesticide issues in the works: Honeybee colony collapse disorder,” names many different potential causes and even goes as far to state that imidacloprid is not likely the cause of this bee colony collapse disorder.
Despite Imidacloprid and other neonicotinoids being banned in France for more than 10 years, bee colony collapse disorder has not decreased.
In Australia, where imidacloprid is widely used, there are no reports of bee colony collapse disorder.
http://www.imidaclopridandtrees.com/beeimpact.html
A better analysis is available here;
http://www.forbes.com/sites/jonentine/2013/04/11/science-collapse-disorder-the-real-story-behind-neonics-and-mass-bee-deaths/
“The term CCD was originally used to describe the phenomenon when worker bees suddenly and mysteriously disappeared. The term, with its alarmist ring, was co-opted by activists in the mid 2000s to describe a new development—mass bee deaths.”
Just been watching BBC Sunday Politics Show
Andrew Neill has given Ed Davey (Energy & Climate Change Minister) a complete battering..
After several years of wet summers the UK is finally enjoying a hot summer which i have been expecting.I consider it a reversion to the mean. A climate is an aveage of weather records. There is a variance from the average. A best option to assess whther a new trend is developing is to assess the variance. But an average is a composite of extremes.
The climate does change, has done since the Earth has had an atmosphere. AMG advocates seem to want to re-instiute pre-Copenican thinking putting makind at the centre of creation and the Universe.
If the scientists can expalin wht the jsetstream was low for the past few years but now seems to have risne to higher latitudes then i am open to theeir theories.
Any way back to the G&T’s. Must keep up the quinine intake to fend off those perky mosquitoes 🙂
Mark and two Cats says:
July 12, 2013 at 10:19 am
“Has there been any reliable proof of the existence of a link between the ozone hole/s and man-made ozone-depleting substances?”
Some months ago I argued on line with a commenter on some topic and he identified himself as being a published expert on the ozone hole, chlorofluorocarbons the main culprit, etc. I asked him if he was aware that oxygen (O2) was relatively magnetic (paramagnetic), attracted to a magnet and Ozone (O3) was diamagnetic (repelled by a magnet) a condition that naturally pushed ozone away from the poles and attracted O2 in its place. The stronger the magnetic field, the more pronounced the effect. Thinking on his feet, he replied yeah but the field is not strong enough (translation was: I didn’t know that).
I checked Nasa imagery and much to my delight noted that there was an Ozone-enriched “collar” of thickened Ozone around the “hole”. This suggests that ozone is not depleted but was rather pushed back away from the poles by magnetic repulsion like rolling the neck on a turtleneck sweater. To my knowledge, no one in the field has noted this.
http://ozonewatch.gsfc.nasa.gov/
DirkH says:
July 13, 2013 at 3:25 pm
That’s a great start! Maybe start a website and sell useless tasteless carbon-free gunk to the gullible. I’m Darwinist enough to think that natural selection will weed out the less adaptable – meaning, in the case of humans, the stupid ones. I hear the Vegans are already working on this problem.
Dirk you are a genius. I need to hurry up to get a patent on carbon-free food. This might be the product of the century.
Gary Pearse says:
July 14, 2013 at 1:06 pm
I checked Nasa imagery and much to my delight noted that there was an Ozone-enriched “collar” of thickened Ozone around the “hole”. This suggests that ozone is not depleted but was rather pushed back away from the poles by magnetic repulsion like rolling the neck on a turtleneck sweater. To my knowledge, no one in the field has noted this.
Very interesting Gary, thanks for posting it!
Anthony: Please consider an article based on these drawings.
Open Source Natural Energy Collectors
http://s1291.photobucket.com/user/RichardLH/story/77871
RLH July 2013
P.S. As you probably painfully aware by now, my other anlaysis on CET and UAH are up there too….
Sceptical Sam says:
July 14, 2013 at 1:47 am
Lewis P Buckingham July 12, 2013 at 9:42 pm says:
“BTW,newer generations of insecticides, such as imidacloprid have been hypothesized to be part of the cause of ‘colony collapse’ in the European honey bee.”
Foulbrood ( Paenibacillus larvae ssp. larvae) is the cause of honey bee deaths. It has been known since the early 20thC and has been so rife over the last 30-40 years that N. American beekeepers, at least, kill off their bees each summer’s end and order new bees in the spring (by mail, BTW). It was similarly identified in Europe around the same time but European beekeepers may be slow on the uptake. Wild bees seem to carry it but are resistant and probably infect domesticated bees each year. Possibly some cross-breeding is feasible to bring it to more manageable dimensions. The springtime ordering of new bees, although standard in the industry, is not mentioned in the Wiki article below:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/American_foulbrood
Another week, another ENSO meter update. A sizable drop, but still well within La Nada conditions, nothing to get excited about.
From my script:
Opening http://nomad3.ncep.noaa.gov/cgi-bin/pdisp_sst.sh?ctlfile=oiv2.ctl&ptype=ts&var=ssta&level=1&op1=none&op2=none&day=15&month=jun&year=2013&fday=15&fmonth=jul&fyear=2013&lat0=-5&lat1=5&lon0=-170&lon1=-120&plotsize=800×600&title=&dir=
Found target /png/tmp/CTEST137388600118563.txt
Opening http://nomad3.ncep.noaa.gov//png/tmp/CTEST137388600118563.txt
Data file
data from 00Z15JUN2013 to 00Z15JUL2013
“———-”
-0.0404033
-0.119467
0.0517259
-0.0648869
-0.252974
Length of data file 104, most recent value: -0.252974
file_last -0.0648869
anomaly -03
Wow..after wading through the thicket of this.. Newsbytes: Sun’s Bizarre Activity May Trigger Another Little Ice Age (Or Not) I had to come over here and vent..cause all I hear is doom and gloom.
Doom and Gloom, Rolling Stones.
We would expect the boys to have a say in the current events. Wow..oh yes buried neatly. This song pumps, like the sounds of the day. Sr. Mick even has a rapper voice on.
Happy 50th boys..
The Rolling Stones – The Rolling Stones round off 50th anniversary celebration
by Bang Showbiz | 14 July 2013
The Rolling Stones have rounded off their 50th anniversary celebration with an energetic headline performance as part of the Barclaycard presents British Summertime Festival.
The Rolling Stones rounded off their 50th anniversary celebrations by headlining the Barclaycard presents British Summertime Festival.
The legendary band were performing at London’s Hyde Park last night (13.07.13) for the second time in two weeks in front of 65,000 fans as the heat soared.
Sir Mick Jagger wasn’t put off by the warm weather, as energetic as ever wearing the same white jacket he wore for the group’s iconic performance at the same venue in 1969.
!!Addressing the crowd – and the heat – he said: ”It’s fantastic to see you all here on the hottest day of the year so far. Are you surviving? Good.”!!..
http://www.contactmusic.com/story/the-rolling-stones-round-off-50th-anniversary-celebration_3761767
Did Mick turn 70?
RoyFOMR says:
July 13, 2013 at 3:54 pm
Help, advice needed.
Roy,
I highly recommend gin and tonics, served in a chilled collins glass with lots of ice! A wee splash of Amaretto over the top, with a fat slice of lime, adds a bit of panache!
If management is unwilling to support that most excellent recommendation, I urge you to route 2 sizable air ducts into your interior office space, that extend from the outside of the building. The intake air duct should be located low on the north facing exterior building wall (You are in the northern hemisphere, yes?), at a location that will pick up only cool fresh outside air. The exhaust duct should be routed from the ceiling of your work space to penetrate up through the roof of the building. Both should be equipped with in-duct fans, to forcibly draw in fresh cool air and exhaust hot, humid air.
If management won’t support that, I urge an office revolt.
MtK