Open Thread

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I don’t normally do mid week open threads, but I’ve not found much of interest to write about tonight, and story submissions have been a dry hole lately.

Either they are too short (like one line descriptions with a URL) or too long (I just rejected two pending manuscripts in MS-word that were formatting nightmares).

Help me out here folks. Submit a story here.

 

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Neil Jordan
May 8, 2013 10:06 am

More sea level rise. This morning’s Department of Water Resources California Water News carries a link to sea level rise around the Caribbean island of Grenada:
http://www.myfoxla.com/story/22184745/encroaching-sea-already-a-threat-in-caribbean
Encroaching sea already a threat in Caribbean
[…]
The people along this vulnerable stretch of eastern Grenada have been watching the sea eat away at their shoreline in recent decades, a result of destructive practices such as the extraction of sand for construction and ferocious storm surges made worse by climate change, according to researchers with the U.S.-based Nature Conservancy, who have helped locals map the extent of coastal erosion.
[…]
In eastern Grenada, people living in degraded coastal areas once protected by mangrove thickets say greater tidal fluctuations have produced unusually high tides that send seawater rushing up rivers. Farmers complain that crops are getting damaged by the intrusion of the salty water.
[…]
Two clues that something other than sea level rise might be the culprit:
1. “…destructive practices such as the extraction of sand for construction…”
2. “…degraded coastal areas once protected by mangrove thickets…”

May 8, 2013 10:17 am

jc says:
May 8, 2013 at 7:38 am
This [Colorado University Sea Level Research Unit] is the single most obvious and brazen fraud in the whole cesspool.
Personally I think the Church & White sea level papers deserve that title, but let’s not quibble.

May 8, 2013 11:22 am

henry@the lastdemocrate
Thanks for that comment. It made me look again at the original story.
In both Gen. 41:23 and 41:27 a change in direction of the wind is specifically suggested, from west to east. I will make a correction to my article.
Nevertheless, the Egyptians knew that their food came from the Nile. And they kept records. Perhaps Joseph had access to- or saw those records. And put one and one together.
Either way,
the Dust Bowl drought was also due to a change in the direction of the wind
I am saying same drought will start again. In about seven years time, give or take a few years.
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2013/05/07/open-thread-11/#comment-1299952
What do you sat about that?

May 8, 2013 11:52 am

Here’s a thought on what to do about government funding for global warming “research”:
Since AGW is a religion, funding its proponents amounts to creating an official state religion at government and taxpayer expense, with nonbelievers forced to subsidize a belief system they may not share. How would this differ from say, if the government said, All right, we are going to esablish and fund Buddhism as the state religion? (No offense to Buddhsim intended.)
The Constitution (First Amendment) says, “Congress shall make no law respecting an establishment of religion”, but isn’t that what it is doing when it authorizes funding for AGWers?
Not sarc, but probably not going anywhere . . . .

May 8, 2013 12:51 pm

Btw
bathes etc
I was not interested to investigate that further,
Seeing as I discovered there was no AGW and there never will be …..
See my recent previous comment.
Rather be worried about GC…..

Chuck Nolan
May 8, 2013 4:09 pm

pat says:
May 8, 2013 at 2:12 am
Gore should have kept his mouth shut:……….
——————————————
Just goes to show you, Gore is a has been in the US. Most people I know think he’s a joke. Al Gore does not speak for the US people or the real policy makers here.
But I do believe that Gore should stop telling fabulous stories.
cn

May 8, 2013 4:33 pm

Who cares about sea ice?
In Minnesota its lake ice we’re concerned about … the big lakes in the southern half of the state just went out a few days ago – some 6 weeks later than last year.
This years May 2 ice out on Lake Minnetonka, on the West edge of the Mpls. metro area, was nearly a record late ice out. With records as far back as 1855, and ice out dates known for 134 of that 158 year period, there were just 3 years with ice out dates later than May 2 … May 4 in 1859, May 5 in 1857 and May 8 in 1856.
And on many of the lakes in the northern half of the state, the most important equipment to have on hand for the state fishing opener this weekend will be an ice auger.

DirkH
May 8, 2013 5:16 pm

bathes says:
May 8, 2013 at 3:28 am
“I am writing a blog post and am looking for good information about exectly how CO2 stores energy. What goes on in the molecule when hit by long wave radiation. Why is not as much affected by short wave? Why are some molecules able to store heat while others are not? ”
LTE, Kirchhoff’s Law, absorptivity = emissivity
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2010/08/05/co2-heats-the-atmosphere-a-counter-view/

DirkH
May 8, 2013 5:18 pm

Playing with google trends:
Global Warming, Gold, Climate Change, Unemployment, Twilight:
Click

DirkH
May 8, 2013 5:21 pm

…and in 2012, “My Little Pony” bested “Global Warming”….

jc
May 8, 2013 5:29 pm

@stacase says:
May 8, 2013 at 10:17 am
OK, no quibbling. But I just DO NOT understand how ANYONE can see that and not immediately KNOW that this is an unbelievable – literally – level of deceit. As so as that appeared the FBI, the CIA, every journalist in the world, every scientist, every person who heard it should have immediately swung into action.
To know this for what it is requires only that someone be 5 or 7 yo. It has nothing at all to do with science. What has happened to human beings?
Or, please, you or anyone, am I being unbelievably stupid? Have I missed something?. I would rather that than the alternative, which is proof positive that civilization is dead and humanity finished.

jc
May 8, 2013 5:56 pm

DirkH says:
May 8, 2013 at 5:21 pm
“…and in 2012, “My Little Pony” bested “Global Warming”….”
I feel humiliated. I thought I was at least a little bit aware of the issues and currents in the world. But I don’t even know what “My Little Pony” is. I have completely missed one of the most important issues facing humanity.
Google trends is interesting. I looked at “Climate Change” and “Global Warming” myself just yesterday. My impression is that this issue actually died in about AUGUST 2011. There had previously been a strongly seasonal infuence, with July/August the low. In 2011, there was no recovery from that. It has just dribbled along since.
Interestingly, there has just been a large spike in “Global Warming”. Could it be that this reflects the mood of just the past few weeks which has discernibly changed? Is this an indication not of concern but of the opposite?
I am increasingly of the opinion that this issue actually had its greatest resonance with the public in about 2001. And that since then what we have seen is the product of a strategic campaign almost in entirety. And it has now failed.
What is very very obvious is that there is only a tiny group committed to this, and that the great majority of “public support” is now held together by the absence of reason to think differently and social conformity. This can disappear almost overnight. Which is, I think, the point we are now at.

jc
May 8, 2013 6:03 pm

DirkH
Oh, and please please do me a favor. I realize English is not your first tongue. But you obviously have facility in it. You may wonder if there are strange nuances unseen to you in “sea level”, but all I can say is there are not. Tell me, in the no nonsense way you have shown in other threads, after looking at my comments above. Am I mad?

curiousnc
May 8, 2013 7:21 pm

Ugh, anyone seen this one? http://thinkprogress.org/climate/2013/05/07/1972581/99-one-liners-rebutting-denier-talking-points-with-links-to-the-full-climate-science/?mobile=nc
99 One-Liners Rebutting Denier Talking Points — With Links To The Full Climate Science
By Joe Romm and Climate Guest Blogger on May 7, 2013 at 12:37 pm
Progressives should know the disinformers’ most commonly used arguments — and how to answer them crisply. Those arguments have been repeated so many times by the fossil-fuel-funded disinformation campaign that almost everyone has heard them — and that means you’ll have to deal with them in almost any setting, from a public talk to a dinner party.
You should also know as much of the science behind those rebuttals as possible, and a great place to start is SkepticalScience.com.
BUT most of the time your best response is to give the pithiest response possible, and then refer people to a specific website that has a more detailed scientific explanation with links to the original science. That’s because usually those you are talking to are rarely in a position to adjudicate scientific arguments. Indeed, they would probably tune out. Also, unless you know the science cold, you are as likely as not to make a misstatement.
Physicist John Cook has done us a great service by posting good one-line responses and then updating them as the science evolves and as people offer better ways of phrasing. Below I have reposted the top 99 with links to the science. You can find even more here. Everybody should know the first 20 or so.
For instance, if somebody raises the standard talking point (#1 on the list) that the “climate’s changed before,” you can say, “Climate reacts to whatever forces it to change at the time; humans are now the dominant forcing.” That is actually quite similar to what was my standard response, “The climate changes when it is forced to change, and now humans are forcing it to change far more rapidly than it did in the past” (see “Humans boosting CO2 14,000 times faster than nature, overwhelming slow negative feedbacks” and “New Science Study Confirms ‘Hockey Stick’: The Rate Of Warming Since 1900 Is 50 Times Greater Than The Rate Of Cooling In Previous 5000 Years“). Working in the “humans are now the dominant forcing” part is a good idea.
Cook explains the origin of these one-liners in a 2010 post, “Rebutting skeptic arguments in a single line.” I have included the longer ‘paragraph’ rebuttals, which any CP reader who plans to speak out on this subject — in public or just with friends and associates — should also be familiar with.

John Parsons
May 8, 2013 8:09 pm

Does anyone know the disposition of Watts, et al (2012)? There hasn’t been a comment on the discussion thread for nine months. JP

atarsinc
May 8, 2013 8:10 pm

Any update on the Climategate 3 emails? JP

atarsinc
May 8, 2013 8:12 pm

WordPress strikes again. John Parsons=atarsinc. JP

DirkH
May 8, 2013 8:13 pm

jc says:
May 8, 2013 at 6:03 pm
DirkH
Oh, and please please do me a favor. I realize English is not your first tongue. But you obviously have facility in it. You may wonder if there are strange nuances unseen to you in “sea level”, but all I can say is there are not. Tell me, in the no nonsense way you have shown in other threads, after looking at my comments above. Am I mad?”
I don’t think so. Satellite altimetry is improbably difficult and subject to adjustments. Tide gauge measurements at the North Sea coast show no rise. Our tide gauges are not subsiding ones. Germany’s coast is neither rising nor subsiding to any great extent, different from Scandinavia or Italy.
See also
THE GREAT SEA-LEVEL HUMBUG
There Is No Alarming Sea Level Rise!
by Nils-Axel Mörner
http://www.21stcenturysciencetech.com/Articles_2011/Winter-2010/Morner.pdf
Satellite altimetry only shows a sea level rise after the IPCC “scientists” applied a correction of 2.3 mm/year.
They took the 2.3 mm/year from the infamous subsiding gauge in Hong Kong.
Nils Axel Mörner interview
http://www.climatechangefacts.info/ClimateChangeDocuments/NilsAxelMornerinterview.pdf

atarsinc
May 8, 2013 8:33 pm

jc says:
“I am increasingly of the opinion that this issue actually had its greatest resonance with the public in about 2001.”
Gallop polling suggests that the public was most concerned about AGW around 2007-2008. They also said this:
“U.S. worry about global warming is heading back up after several years of expanded public skepticism. Views on the subject are now near the midpoint in Gallup trends, exemplified by the 58% of Americans who say they worry a great deal or fair amount about global warming. This is up from 51% in 2011…” JP

DirkH
May 8, 2013 8:54 pm

Well if they worry a lot they sure don’t look for it on the Internet.

Janice Moore
May 8, 2013 9:00 pm

“Since AGW is a religion, funding its proponents amounts to creating an official state religion at government and taxpayer expense, … .”[Chad Wozniak, 5/8/13 1152]
Good point, Mr. Wozniak. For the true believers, it is, indeed, a religion in which they believe with all their hearts. Mostly, however, I think it is largely a political and money-making scam whose leader know very well they are pedaling lies.
I like your idea, and, it can be proven that AGW is, for SOME, truly a religion. Overall, the “Cult” wouldn’t satisfy the 2nd Amendment to the U.S. Constitution’s definition of “religion.”
I’m with you, Chad. Truly, “we wrestle not with flesh and blood…” — Good v. Evil. Spiritual warfare is at the bottom of it all. Can’t address that via the law. Just pray.
I pray for you, sometimes, Chad. Hope all is well.

jc
May 8, 2013 9:07 pm

atarsinc says:
May 8, 2013 at 8:33 pm
I expressed that poorly. What I meant was that the greatest level of “natural” interest or concern may have occurred then. What has happened subsequently, observable to anyone, is an unrelenting campaign – and that is the appropriate word – to achieve a specific effect, and this has been targeted not only only public but on public figures including politicians.
It has been a campaign of persuasion or propaganda depending on your view, with all the attendant intent of deliberate influence or manipulation depending on viewpoint. Based very heavily on claims to morality and the creation of fear and hysteria. Not science. Not rationality.
What I mean by “natural” interest and concern is that which is a response to the basic (supposed) facts of the physical implications of this.
It is hardly surprising that such a campaign, being successful, elicited the hysteria shown in 2007. The continuation of that, which seeks very obviously to try to maintain its waning impact is now focused on weather. There is however a limit to how long people can be maintained at that pitch. That limit seems now to have been reached.
Peak Hysteria was likely achieved in April 2007 in my opinion. We are now 6 years on. People start to “forget” the associations they have had, those things that seemed important, and their level of involvement after about 4 years. It exists in memory but not as an activating element in current life after that. Over the course of the next 18 months, all of that will be, in peoples response, just general history. It will not be “them”.
Your quoted survey is at odds with a recent Pew survey which indicated that the % of people who think a policy response is important falling from 37% to 34%. A minority. And a minority of Democrats as well as independents and Republicans.
By the time of the 2014 Congressional Elections, this will be a vote loser and all politicians will be aware of that. The only people who will take it seriously will be those who will vote for the same party anyway. It is on the way out. Terminal.

May 8, 2013 9:15 pm

However, all fine that there is no AGW and GW was natural, but what about GC and the coming drought?

Janice Moore
May 8, 2013 9:21 pm

Chad W — I responded to you at 9PM — as of 9:20PM, still in moderation.

jc
May 8, 2013 10:48 pm

@DirkH says:
May 8, 2013 at 8:13 pm
What I mean is the DEFINITION of the simple words “sea level”. NOT measurements.
DOES “sea level” mean: “the level of the sea against the land” or NOT.
ANYONE who can tell me why it does not PLEASE do so. Be scathing about my stupidity. Ridicule me and treat me with complete contempt. But SHOW ME how it does not.
Or if someone on this planet actually agrees that it does, and that this is immutable, invariable, absolute, please take a moment to say so and join an exclusive club currently only apparently consisting of one.