…because you might be accused of participating in conspiracy ideation. Here’s the premise from Dr. Roger Pielke Jr.:
The occasion for their update is a recent report by the Australian Climate Commission, a government body put established to advocate for action on climate change. The report — The Angry Summer — provides a tabulation of various weather records broken Down Under during the remarkable summer that has just ended. The report makes a number of very strong claims, including this one:
Australia’s Angry Summer shows that climate change is already adversely affecting Australians. The significant impacts of extreme weather on people, property, communities and the environment highlight the serious consequences of failing to adequately address climate change.
Bjørn Lomborg writes on his Facebook page
Normalized property damage in Australia 1966-2012. At least when it comes to property damage, climate has *not* made it an “angry summer”.
But clearly you’re not allowed to point this out, according to the Australian Climate Commission. (You can read their attack-heavy/data-absent comment here: http://climatecommission.gov.au/media-releases/correction-misrepresentation-the-angry-summer/)
The numbers are normalized by adjusting for changes in dwelling numbers and values and applying a building code adjustment to tropical cyclone losses, according to peer reviewed science.
You can see the article and graph here: http://theconversation.edu.au/weighing-the-toll-of-our-angry-summer-against-climate-change-12793
And hat-tip to Roger Pielke for putting the story in context:
http://rogerpielkejr.blogspot.com/2013/03/thou-shall-not-critique-australian.html
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Pete McMartin of the Vancouver Sun calls us all the D word in today’s paper:
http://www.vancouversun.com/technology/Cherrypicking+fruitless+debate/8118451/story.html
This episode is an excellent example of government propaganda masking as science, at it’s most blatantly stupid, unscientific and pig-headed.
Climate commission makes a statement about longer term effects of climate change, but without any long term data to back it up. Someone points out there is no long term trend in the data. Climate commission responds by saying that they didn’t present any long term data, and therefore can’t be wrong about it. They also claim that it is unscientific to respond to such statements by presenting long term data, when they haven’t. They also claim they are accused of actually doing science, by presenting long term data (when there is no such accusation), when they haven’t done the science and haven’t presented it. They then present a few, brand new selected long term trends, and by their own words then commit their own false accusation and become unscientific by actually doing and presenting the science.
This is what government sponsored propadanda does to people’s minds.
OZ climate has changed dramatically and shows it is very responsive.
It will change again when elections are held later this year.
Cannot get over the drama in this “Angry Summer” story:
Primarily anecdote full, and where actual bested records are listed, it is very hard to get a picture of a suddenly altered climate. The very fact that records of years, decades or even a century ago are now being matched or bettered surely tells us more about the variability of the planet than it does of “sudden and dramatic change”.
Records recently bested occurred in years (where shown) listed in “the story”:
1972, 1972, 1939, 2006, 1890, 1896, 1981, 2011, 1979, 1958, 2011, 2007, 1976, 1920, 1968, 2006, 1992.
There’s a sponsored group in Australia called “Risk Frontiers” who do research for the insurance industry. They’ve been providing the normalized data which is getting the warmies’ knickers in a knot. They really deserve a hat-tip too.
They wrote this at our government funded academic love-in ‘The Conversation’.
http://theconversation.edu.au/weighing-the-toll-of-our-angry-summer-against-climate-change-12793
Wasn’t received very favourably but that’s expected at that site..
We now see the final descent of the climate movement into the primitive mindset of the early humans, who believed that ‘the gods are angry’ and demanded sacrifices to appease them.
The ‘angry summer’, we are supposed to believe, is caused by wicked humans angering Gaia, so we must make sacrifices to appease them.
Perhaps we could all ‘chip in’ a bit and buy some Anger Management sessions for the Summer?
Or, heck, just pass a law that any summer, found by the BOM to be “angry” must attend Anger Management session or it will not be allowed a passport…
(I think someone at the BOM has had too many “creative writing / advertizing” classes and not enough statistical analysis work…)
“Gary Pearse says:
March 19, 2013 at 11:17 am”
The carbon price started at $23/tonne CO2(e) (Starting 1st July 2012), escalating annually by 2.5% plus consumer perice index (CPI or inflation if you like) for a three year period. So the tax will increase this year and next until an ETS is setup.
The Aussie ETS was to merge with the New Zealand (NZ) ETS and then merge with the EU ETS. I don’t see that happening at all. We know the extent of the ETS has been scled back in NZ. We know the EU ETS is worthless and going nowhere apparently. With the likely change of federal Govn’t set for September 14th (Very likely to be sooner than that). Many businesses have shut shop and gone offshore. Recently the CEO of Virgin Australia (Airline) said they poor profits were due to strong competition and the burden of a AU$23mil additionla fuel expense directly attributed to Gillards “proice ohn cahbon” which cannot be passed on in the tight market. Of course, in the carbon tax legislation, if you make claims to your customers that price increases are due to the carbon tax you’d be fined AU$1.1mil. So far, as far as I know, no fine has been enforced.
“Theo Goodwin says:
March 19, 2013 at 11:06 am”
LOL! I try to give an impression of our PM, she is not well respected in Australia, contrary to what MSM polls say. She is originally from Wales, UK, and if you said she spoke “Aussie” in a pub here, you’d be de-bagged, tared and feathered and rightly so. Gillard is from a small town called Barry. Barry island is where oild boilers (Steam engines) go to ge scrapped. Most Aussies I know here just wish she’d go back from where she came.
Our voice will be heard on the 14th September (Probably sooner if the Labor party caucus “knife” her, as she did Rudd, for the top job).
Angry Summer? That was the one several years ago in southern Tasmania when we were were told it had been “the hottest summer ever” and none of us could remember having a summer. One day over 30C and most days in the mid-teens does not make “the hottest summer ever”. This summer just ended may well have been “the hottest summer ever”, but why in god/shiva/buddha/lao-tsu’s [delete whichever is inapplicable] name would we be angry? Because we could dine al fresco without goose bumps? Because all of our warm weather crops were bountiful? Because the pretty young girls wore even skimpier clothing than they usually do? Because we could throw a few prawns on the barbie without needing to take them indoors to eat? The lunatics are definitely in charge of the asylum!
Of course Gaia is angry. !!
We have a bunch of moronic sycophants trying to starve her/him/it of desperately needed CO2 !!
@markx
yep, down here, we are finally reaching the max temps of many (70, 100 or more) years ago, after all the warming we have apparently had, and all the urban heat additions.
Quite amazing that it has taken so much so-called warming to do this. !
As far as I know the Sydney hailstorm didn’t actually damage land values. I was there when it happened. I lived through it. And I think I had exactly the same area of property before it as after it. I did have to replace my roof though. That would have been cheaper in Sydney then wherever in country Queensland, purely if only because the roofing material would be closer to the point of origin.
johanna says:
March 19, 2013 at 4:45 pm
Nolo Contendere, rest assured, on the current polls this dishonest and incompetent government will be no more within 2 hours of the closing of the polling places later this year.
————————-
We in the US we thought the same way.
We figured wrong.
All it takes is lots of money and a population begging to be saved and it’s over.
Good luck!
cn
“peterg says:
March 20, 2013 at 3:45 am”
Talking about hail, and apart from real hail and damage as a result, after the big storms in Sydney at least a few years back, insureres quickly “sussed” out fraudulent claims. They found that every “dent” was “exactly” the “same”. Many “claimants” had access to a ball pein hammer, that “matched” the dents in the cars. All dents! And Aus is called the smart country?
That reminds me of that old joke about the two Aussies who show up at the Pearly Gates.
Tony Abbott will soon be Prime Minister of Australia. A clear part of his mandate from the people of Australia will be to cut the green-left activist agenda out of Australian science funding. The current onslaught of ‘climate change’ rubbish you are being subjected to reflects a desperate last ditch attempt to increase support for the green-left Gillard-Milne government.
Off hand I would say the major damage from the hailstorm was the tile roofs. Most Sydney houses have tile roofs. Hail the size of a grapefruit tends to destroy them. Moreover, the roof no longer keeps out the rain, as opposed to corrugated iron which though requiring replacing, still kept one dry. I doubt many people took to their tile roofs with pein hammers.
Its odd how some in country Australia belittle anything that might occur to someone in a capital city. The ABC radio announcer the night of the hailstorm was a country guy who refused to pass on any information about the hailstorm, on the basis that when hail hit anywhere in the country, warnings were not generally broadcast in metropolitan areas, so why should he interrupt his show with warning people about getting their cars undercover in Sydney.
Reblogged this on The GOLDEN RULE and commented:
I hope at least some of the Australian public get to see and understand this.