…because you might be accused of participating in conspiracy ideation. Here’s the premise from Dr. Roger Pielke Jr.:
The occasion for their update is a recent report by the Australian Climate Commission, a government body put established to advocate for action on climate change. The report — The Angry Summer — provides a tabulation of various weather records broken Down Under during the remarkable summer that has just ended. The report makes a number of very strong claims, including this one:
Australia’s Angry Summer shows that climate change is already adversely affecting Australians. The significant impacts of extreme weather on people, property, communities and the environment highlight the serious consequences of failing to adequately address climate change.
Bjørn Lomborg writes on his Facebook page
Normalized property damage in Australia 1966-2012. At least when it comes to property damage, climate has *not* made it an “angry summer”.
But clearly you’re not allowed to point this out, according to the Australian Climate Commission. (You can read their attack-heavy/data-absent comment here: http://climatecommission.gov.au/media-releases/correction-misrepresentation-the-angry-summer/)
The numbers are normalized by adjusting for changes in dwelling numbers and values and applying a building code adjustment to tropical cyclone losses, according to peer reviewed science.
You can see the article and graph here: http://theconversation.edu.au/weighing-the-toll-of-our-angry-summer-against-climate-change-12793
And hat-tip to Roger Pielke for putting the story in context:
http://rogerpielkejr.blogspot.com/2013/03/thou-shall-not-critique-australian.html
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The sinister underbelly of the Climate Change Movement. Its all about: Fear and Loathing Of Humans, Greed, and Useful Idiot True Believers http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VzXvJ73wJWc&sns=tw …
The latest “big scare” in Aus at the mo. Gillards “Proice ohn cahbon” has to be proven to be working, in a 1000 years (Thanks to Tim Flannery the AU$180k/pa part-time climate change adviser). The BOM, “developed new ways” of “measuring” (Read guestimating based on what I have seen so far) Australian averge temps, but no-one other than the BOM knows. And, what a surprise, we have the hottest summer EVAH! *sigh* Problem is, if people could be bothered, on the BOM website is all the data you need to falsify that claim.
Of course no one is allowed to publish the number of record minimums that occurred during the same period. That might be construed as balanced reporting.
So- the Summer was “angry”? Was it, perhaps, as “angry as an old man trying to send back soup at a deli”? http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0u8KUgUqprw
Personally, I would have replaced the last two data points with “NaN” and deleted all the historical peaks. I would then have submitted a paper to Science and Nature. Michael Mann could then pretend to not review the paper.
Jo Nova has really done a good job on those claims here,
http://joannenova.com.au/2013/03/hottest-summer-record-in-australia-not-even-close-says-uah-satellite-data/
here,
http://joannenova.com.au/2013/03/mystery-black-box-method-used-to-make-all-new-australian-hottest-ever-records/
and here,
http://joannenova.com.au/2013/03/not-the-hottest-ever-summer-for-most-australians-in-sydney-melbourne-or-brisbane-not-extreme-heatwaves-either/
and Warwick Hughes here
http://www.warwickhughes.com/blog/?p=2152
Not sure that the people who’s homes and business burnt down, or the Queensland families who had their homes and businesses inundated by floods four times in a year would be much comforted by the fact that their property isn’t valued as high as the Sydney real estate that got damaged in the hail storm.
Still, if it makes you feel better…
Looking at Will Stefffen’s “Angry Summer Report,” one readily observes that it contains no proof whatever that Australia’s past summer has been influenced by GHG-induced climate warming. The Report is one long polemic decorated with facile arguments and orange-washed graphics.
Cook and lewandowsky are …. well….. wankers.
Another agency that requires closing to save the climate-haunted Australians money. They’ll need it all for flame retardant house paints, considering the coming heat.
An “angry summer?” So, Gaia is angry?
Truly, this is very primitive stuff.
For overseas readers, the BOM invented a new metric – which is a black box – that somehow computes average temperatures across this vast and varied continent. The result, we are told, is that last summer was the worst (hottest) ever, but since there were almost no Europeans here before 1800, and only a few million by 1900, it is not even a blink in the history of climate.
The BOM is running scared because the government that they have had a symbiotic relationship with in regard to climate panic is about to be thrown out on its ear. They and all the other carefully selected mouthpieces know that by the end of the year, the job ads will be their principal reading.
Meanwhile here in the Northern Hemisphere it remains cold. An angry winter perhaps?
How is it these morons keep telling us that climate change is happening and the effects are right now when by their own data climate change has been on hold for at least 16years???
People who conspire to claim that summers are angry make me furious.
People who conspire to prevent me from objecting to people who conspire to claim that summers are angry make me furious.
People who conspire to prevent me from objecting to people who conspire to prevent me from objecting to people who conspire to claim that summers are angry make me furious.
…
/sarc
I guess Mark is really furious now.
Perhaps he should put on his “Angry Trousers ans his Angry Jumper”, from a UK TV Advert.
All right, what did you Aussies DO? Surely you must have done something to PO the Summer. So, stop doing it.
Wow. Meanwhile, over in the UK, it looks like they might be setting up a media ‘ministry of truth.’ And over in Cypress, people who have savings accounts might get a small part of them taken away to pay for a bailout.
Hints of the future socialist utopia that awaits us?…
Guess I’m not climate scientist material. I don’t see an increasing trend. I seem to see some cyclic behavior on losses. Also, I thought one summer/winter/season was weather and you needed years and years to get to “climate.” Glad I stuck to chemistry because I’d never understand this climate magical stuff.
johanna says (March 19, 2013 at 9:42 am)
An “angry summer?” So, Gaia is angry?
—-
Yep. But a few small islands away, the volcano god is incandescent with rage.
I know being fair isn’t a priority of such institutions that have a mandate to deal with CAGW, even if it hasn’t been proven to exist. Hey if your job description is to report on the climate catastrophes, you certainly ain’t going to say there aren’t any. But, we have to be fair. If insurance losses wasn’t part of their analysis, then we should be trotting out temperatures, rainfall (what’s not to like about more rainfall in 90% of Australia), flood levels and frequencies historically. It isn’t impossible to have some records broken (but both ways would be a good metric). If climate is completely random, then new records should occur as frequently as Ln N, where N is the the number of years of the time series. E.g. a hundred year series should record ~5 records assuming the first year is a record. (realistically,it s unlikely for the first year to be a record so I would say the record has a maximum of~4 records. Note that if the time series is extended to 500 years, then Ln N ~6 records only (say maximum of 5, one more than the 100 year record. Of course, how random is it. There is a 60 year and other cycles (probably the largest we should be dealing with the puny period length of instrumental temps). We probably would be closer if we removed some “records” using the position in the 60 yr cycle of the temp taken in year 1. For example if the year is on a rising curve of 60yr cycle, we could take Ln N and subtract the records occurring before the peak of the first cycle. Thereafter, the high records should lie near the peaks of the 60yr curve and low records near the trough.
Patrick says:
March 19, 2013 at 8:55 am
I am very sad that Australia has suffered so very much at the hands of the Alarmists but I am really enjoying learning to speak Aussie. Your method of “phonetic” spelling is excellent.
cui bono says:
March 19, 2013 at 10:49 am
johanna says (March 19, 2013 at 9:42 am)
An “angry summer?” So, Gaia is angry?
—-
Yep. But a few small islands away, the volcano god is incandescent with rage.
*
Got any virgins?
So let’s see, CO2 increases at 2 ppm a year. Wow this is a sensitive climate titration – 2ppm less and things are basically okay; add 2 ppm and we get fried and deluged in Australia! Meanwhile, the rest of the world went the other way. Maybe these Aussies had better double the carbon tax and shut down half their industry. I didn’t know they were such woeful changers of climate.
A C Osborn says:
March 19, 2013 at 10:17 am
I guess Mark is really furious now.
—————
Recursively so.
I forgot to add my disclaimer; should my post be used in some future study of recursive fury, I am voluntarily self identifying as a bot rather than a human at this time.
Australian columnist Andrew Bolt writes about the mess:
“How dare the Climate Commission complain at being caught out
The Commission press release … explains that in the “Angry Summer” report when they said impacts to property they were actually referring to unspecified and unquantified impacts to property other than those related to economic costs. Please.
I repeat: sack the Climate Commission now. We deserve science, not spin. ”
http://blogs.news.com.au/heraldsun/andrewbolt/index.php/heraldsun/comments/how_dare_the_climate_commission_complain_at_being_caught_out/
Can you buy Carbon Credit Vouchers as Christmas Gifts inside Christmas cards
Trade them in for a Track Day in a Ferrari