Yesterday, when Climategate 3 was released, the ever flippant Dr. Gavin Schmidt made this Tweet in response:
Source: Google Trends, searching the word “climategate” from December 2009 to March 2013 http://www.google.com/trends/explore#q=Climategate&date=12%2F2009%2040m&cmpt=q
It seems that Dr. Schmidt doesn’t understand the difference between events and trends. Climategate was an event, so of course it was represented by an event interest spike. For example, here’s a weather event, Hurricane Katrina, which also shows a “reverse hockey stick” when the dataset is cropped as Dr. Schmidt’s graph was:
Source: Google Trends, searching the words “Hurricane Katrina” from Sept 2005 http://www.google.com/trends/explore#q=Hurricane%20Katrina&date=9%2F2005%2089m&cmpt=q
Now, this is a trend in Google, it shows the “climate” cooling.
Reference: Google Trends, searching the word “climate” http://www.google.com/trends/explore#q=Climate&cmpt=q
The interest in climate has cooled, losing more than half its value since 2004.
Of course, as Real Climate Scientists™ always tell us, it is the trend that matters, not any single event or datapoint.
And, the model forecast calls for continued cooling into 2013 and 2014:
Reality is a bitch, isn’t it Dr. Schmidt?
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Thanks for the tip to their trends analysis. Though I try to avoid that company, their tools are useful. Their Ngram thingie is also occasionally useful.
It would appear that when it comes to “The Team”, PhD actually stands for Probably hokey data.
One trend that is not a reverse hockey stick is the lack of integrity by Gavin.
The Gavin disappoints.
try plotting Gavin Schmidt and Anthony Watts…graph here
I tried “global warming” which is a trend, not an event, and a similar picture emerges, not quite a reverse hockey stick, but come to think of it, neither is the temperature trend, so the “global warming” trend is closer to a reverse hockey stick than temperature is to a hockey stick.
http://www.google.com/trends/explore#q=global%20warming&date=9%2F2005%2089m&cmpt=q
Although I think not all the Anthony Watts are the same!
Anthony, here’s one that shows both the medieval and modern warm periods, though I think the x axis needs bit of Mannian Massage. Paul.
http://www.google.com/trends/explore#q=anthony%20watts&date=12%2F2009%2040m&cmpt=q
compare Real Climate with WUWT
http://www.google.com/trends/explore#q=Real%20Climate&cmpt=q
http://www.google.com/trends/explore#q=WUWT&cmpt=q
Real Climate is headed for the toilet. WUWT is headed for the sky.
A day after Climategate happened someone at Google tweaked the search engine so that you no longer were automatically prompted for Climategate when you typed in Climate….
Google are a nefarious lot. They do this kind of thing ALL the time. Remember this is the same company that had a bit of “rogue” code that allowed their map vans to acquire personal information….
This guy has long gone past his ‘best before date’
What is the Google Trend for “Gavin Schmidt”?
When funding for the “climate scientists” shows a reverse hockey-stick there should be a celebration.
In the Great State of Washington – not the D. C. one –
“The Washington state Senate on Wednesday advanced a measure championed by Gov. Jay Inslee to study the best practices for reducing greenhouse gas emissions.
Under the measure, an outside consultant would review both Washington state’s ongoing efforts to cut carbon emissions and similar endeavors elsewhere.”
http://www.komonews.com/news/local/Washington-Senate-passes-Inslees-climate-bill-197863191.html
They haven’t said who will do this study nor how much it will cost. When it is done, I trust the executive summary will explain how much lower Earth’s future temperature will be as a result of the State’s climate change efforts. It will be indistinguishable from zero – maybe they can make that number bold print.
~~~~~~~~~~~~
Thanks Anthony and everyone for the on-going efforts.
Well played, Anthony.
Problem is, these folks never did care for reality, or they would not, for example, say in AR4 that clouds cool, they are the biggest uncertainty, our models get them all wrong versus observation, but never the less we are certain about what will happen decades in the future. And when it didn’t (the pause), what do they produce but AR5 SOD, saying their confidence has increased! Right.
How many searches are for political “climate” or “climate” in general as opposed to “climate” change? I’m sure the downward trend is for “climate” change, but there’s probably a “baseload” climate interest which will always be there.
It would be one thing if Real Climate was merely misguided scientists who were mistaken about something, but it seems to be more than that. Real Climate seems to be an active tool, disseminating propaganda, and this could lead to trouble if it turns out fraud is involved. One then becomes an accessory to a crime.
Therefore Gavin should fear any spike in interest, when the interest is in what he’s been doing with our tax dollars.
GASP! My sensitive ex-sailor ears are offended by your language, Mr. Watts! I, personally, would have chosen a stronger, more vulgar word! /snark off 🙂
Realty is a bitch, isn’t it Dr. Schmidt?
I guess Schmidt would see climate as his property. 🙂
These people like Schmidt aren’t scientists; they are manipulators of public opinion dependent on government money. They speak out of three sides of their mouths, and call anything that happens in weather, “climate change.” Anyone who studies their failed predictions knows that their “science” is anything but. Their models can’t predict past weather, much less future weather. Hell, they can’t predict the weather tomorrow, yet they expect us to believe they can predict climate years down the road. I’m through being civil with these charlatans who threaten our very existence with their frauds. They need to be exposed for exactly what they are.
Well lets see now if we can apply some warmist graphing skills to that last figure. Pass everything prior to 2009 through a 2yr filter and cut off the data at 2010. Voila! an hockey-stick.
I believe the technical term for this is “pwned.”
Amazing anyone still takes Gavin seriously.
seems like he’s begging to have the actual mails released to test his theory
I like the way Gavin truncated the graph on the left to hide the incline.
Once a ****, always a ****.
Reality is a ….
Realty however, is personal real property, real estate.
For some, Junior High was not a stage but a lifestyle.