Dr. Ryan Maue posted one of his WeatherBell analysis maps on Twitter today, and the result is no Headline maker, it is simply “normal”.
He writes (image follows):
February 2013 global temperature anomaly compared to 1981-2010 mean: -0.001°C or 1/1000th of a degree below avg.
It will be interesting to see what the other climate data sources show for February.
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Wow. Where would we be without CAGW?
Well, if it were not for CAGW, I guess we would be
….. near normal temperatures!
Speaking of the Modern Warming Period, will its peak be “now” – at the 2000 – 2010 maximum of the latest 60 year cycle since the Little Ice Age?
Or at the peak of the NEXT 60 year short cycle maximum in 2060-2070?
or the one right afterwords, in 2120-2130?
Thanks, Ryan. I guess normal is the new normal …
All the best, nice tweet,
w.
Just added up my Feb, and we were 3.7C above normal (23 years only), but looks just about bang on where I live (southern Alberta)…but 3rd warmest Feb that I have….AND I’LL take it any year!!!
It’s worse than we thought, obviously.
Global Sea Ice Area is about average too:
http://arctic.atmos.uiuc.edu/cryosphere/IMAGES/global.daily.ice.area.withtrend.jpg
So that is 32 years without warming. Pachauri’s 30 to 40 year AGW breaking trend has now been reached.
My guess is he will deny that’s what he meant by what he said, then go on to deny that climate change is quite natural.
I watched a short report on the BBC this morning about record snowfall in Japan. I knew it was coming… and there it was: “Some scientists say this couldbe because of global warming?”. I couldn’t stop myself from swearing loudly at the TV and thus earning a glaring and disapproving look from Mrs Haigh.
Just The Facts,
Thanks for that link. I always enjoy your charts and graphs, being a big believer in visual aids. Lots of folks’ eyes glaze over at the mere mention of a .pdf file. A good chart conveys the information in a way that stays with the reader.
Now that global ice cover is back to its long term average, declining polar ice is another failed prediction of the alarmist crowd. So far, they’re batting 1.000 in failed predictions.
but but 30 of the last 30 years were the hottest on record (given records started 30 years ago! 🙂
HadCRUT4 just posted their January data today: 9th-warmest January in 164 years.
Odd that it should be that high….
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcrut4/data/current/time_series/HadCRUT.4.1.1.0.monthly_ns_avg.txt
D.B. Stealey says: “Now that global ice cover is back to its long term average,…”
What is your definition of “long term average?”
[snip – off topic rant – mod]
Tez says: “So that is 32 years without warming.”
What possible statistics are leading you to believe THAT???
Please clarify.
Will normal be the new normal? I somehow doubt it. Somehow, someway, some loony will spin this into a panic. “Oh no! This isn’t right! It must be caused by global warming ‘cos it couldn’t possibly be like this otherwise.”
Maybe I do the alarmists a disservice. If so, I apologize to all alarmists. Maybe not even they would go that far. So, I guess they’ll just ignore this piece of normal and wait for the next piece of rain, snow, cool weather, warm weather, dry weather, meteorites, giant jellyfish, small mammals, oh yes, and Mexicans, or any of the rest of the crazy things they can point to and blame on CAGW.
I wish the believers would just once blink and actually think about what they are being told… Actually, I think many of them are.
Jimmy Haigh
We’ve just hit a new record (breaking last winter’s record) with snow 2.4 metres deep on the ground, and more than 16 metres measured as daily snowfall. These numbers are quite normal for the heavy snow areas in Japan. What was unusual this winter was the onset. Normally the serious snow starts in the last week of December. This winter it started in the first week of December, so we’ve had an extra three weeks.
There’s a mountain town north of us (in Miyagi Prefecture) where they have over 5 metres. That’s serious. The 2.4 metres we have here can be managed, but my back, arms and shoulders are sore. I’m looking forward to spring. The forecast is for snow later today.
Just The Facts,
Thanks for the link.
Just The Facts says:
“Global Sea Ice Area is about average too:”
Actually global sea ice has been slightly above average for a few days.
Northern Hemisphere is curently slightly below average (at 0.283 miliion sq. mi. below average),
http://arctic.atmos.uiuc.edu/cryosphere/IMAGES/seaice.anomaly.arctic.png
while Southern Hemisphere has been above average for more than a year and is currently at 0.602 million sq. mi. above average.
http://arctic.atmos.uiuc.edu/cryosphere/IMAGES/seaice.anomaly.antarctic.png .
Gotta put the “GLOBAL” in global warming.
I wonder when GISS, and UKMO, and NOAA for their global temperature products will start using 1981-2010 as base years for anomalies as recommended by the WMO. Probably never.
Thanks for that. What more proof do we need that 97% of scientists are just plain wrong. How long will it take for governments to admit to this fraud? With the arctic ice recovering so quickly this year and the sun dimming we are on the verge of an ice age. It won’t be long now for people to wake up they’ve been hoaxed.
Normal is not allowed any longer. We need a new word…. (SARC)
Phobos says:
February 28, 2013 at 8:37 pm
The earth’s been climbing out of the LIA since ~1860. 164 years ago was 1849, so what you observe is normal.
Or are you going to somehow convince me CO2 began in earnest in 1849? Or 1860?
I can’t wait to see your evidence. Oh, and everything else you mention or refute or argue is meaningless if the cornerstone of your theme, CO2 Caused The Warming, is null and void.
And believe me, it’s null and void.
Or believe me not; Mother Nature is in control here, not your exhaust pipes, although a greening biosphere is to be celebrated.
Phobos says:
28, 2013 at 8:37 pm
Well, they had to keep it in the Top Ten. PR, you know. In Virginia, it was just about normal. In other words, it was seriously unpleasant and I will be glad when d*mn*d winter is over. I will be even gladder when I can return to central Florida – where I was meant to be.
Bob Tisdale says:
“I wonder when GISS, and UKMO, and NOAA for their global temperature products will start using 1981-2010 as base years for anomalies as recommended by the WMO. Probably never.”
Why should they?
The difference is just a constant, easily calculated.
RockyRoad says: “The earth’s been climbing out of the LIA since ~1860. 164 years ago was 1849, so what you observe is normal.”
What is causing this “climbing?”
And how much longer will it continue? (Please show your work.)