Propagandist Brad Johnson of 'Forecast the Facts' tries to make the pending East Coast blizzard about the ocean 'warming' – Fails

You knew it was coming from shameless people like him. Unfortunately, Mr. Johnson doesn’t know the difference between what the Gulf Stream pattern looks like and the rest of the sea surface temperature. I had to laugh when he tweeted this tonight:

Brad_SST_Capture

pic.twitter.com/Rh7tczsW

Ummm, that’s the Gulf Stream Brad. It looks like that on a regular basis, for example, this one from October 2012:

sst_4

Its also a model reanalysis of anomaly, not the actual sea surface temperatures.

Bill McKibben also got into the act:

mckibben_SST_Capture

Citing this anomaly image, McKibben only apparently saw the red:

anomwnc[1]

Problem is that when you look at a proper SST plot of actual temperature, his hot thinking all falls apart:

2013_038_33E[1]

Source: http://coastwatch.noaa.gov/data_drive/products/goes/browse/2013_038_33E.png

And this is verified by the WeatherBell SST map showing temperature of 7C to 11C off the coast. That’s not warm at all.

e_us_coast_cdas1

To his credit, McKibben backed down after seeing the NOAA plot:

McKibben_SST_backdown

Paid propagandist Brad Johnson, instead of admitting his error, doubles down with more industrial strength propaganda:

Brad_nuts_on_SST

Somebody take this fool’s Twitter account away please.

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Tom Stone
February 8, 2013 7:30 am

There is snow forecast for London, Paris and Milan. Should have a effect on public perceptions of AGW. The AGW’s should quote Groucho: Who are you going to believe, me or your lying eyes?

mwhite
February 8, 2013 7:55 am

Gail Combs says:
February 8, 2013 at 5:01 am
You’re rather missing the point, during the 1970s many scientists including some of those who are today telling us that we’re all going to cook in our own skins were warning us of an impending ice age
http://www.climatedepot.com/a/3213/Dont-Miss-it-Climate-Depots-Factsheet-on-1970s-Coming-Ice-Age-Claims

Jenn Oates
February 8, 2013 9:03 am

Let’s collect all these yahoos and put them in a dome on Mars where the weather is always controlled. It’s the only plade where these “unexpected” weather events would not happen.
Sheesh.

February 8, 2013 11:14 am

Did Bill McKibben have An epiphany?

February 8, 2013 1:35 pm

Bill McKibben only ever sees red. Every weather event, hot or cold is proof of AGW for him

malco
February 9, 2013 4:06 pm

Bill McKibben is a WRITER, not a SCIENTIST. He only THINKS he’s a scientist, and pretends to have a clue.

RS
February 10, 2013 12:40 pm

Too much snow or rain? Global Warming!
Too little snow or rain? Global Warming!
Snow and rain just right? Not for long…. Global Warming!.
Global Warming, the answer to all questions.
Except one: what to do about Global Warming!, The answer there is the redistribution of wealth and dramatic lowering of western living standards by a global government with powers to control all aspects of life and commerce.
Funny how fascism is always the answer to any question.

February 10, 2013 3:27 pm

The first three figures are anomaly, while the second two are of temperature. Of course they differ greatly. The three anomaly figures are not from models, they’re from analysis of data — satellite data + ships + buoys for the first two (the RTG) and satellites only for the third. The two RTG analyses are computed against the 1961-1990 climatology. (Findable, though not easily, at the site).
It’s ironic that the October figure is being pointed to. At the time, there was mention in the media that Sandy was made more severe by the anomalously warm ocean temperatures. Since the ocean was, again/still anomalously warm, for this storm, the connection is yet again pointed to. I dunno. As someone who experienced both the Blizzard of 67 and Blizzard of 79 in Chicago, both of which were fueled by anomalously warm Lake Michigans (i.e., they weren’t ice covered at the time), It seems pretty obvious that if the water source is warmer than usual, you get stronger than usual storms.
The scope over which the ocean (or Great Lake) needs to be warm to produce an anomalously strong storm is just the storm scale. Whether the central or eastern Atlantic are colder than usual doesn’t really matter to a storm coming up the east coast of the US. What matters there are the continental slope waters (from the Gulf Stream in to the coast), which are clearly shown to be warmer than usual.
Be all that as it may, the RTG folks have recently issued invitation (see http://moregrumbinescience.blogspot.com/2013/02/time-to-go-do-some-science.html for my writeup of their invitation, with, of course, link to the actual site and request.) for people who live near water to take observations to help improve the analysis.