An open letter to the U.N from climate skeptics

Published in the Financial Post today:

OPEN CLIMATE LETTER TO UN SECRETARY GENERAL: Current scientific knowledge does not substantiate Ban Ki-Moon assertions on weather and climate, say 125 scientists.

Open Letter to the Secretary-General of the United Nations

H.E. Ban Ki-Moon, Secretary-General, United Nations

First Avenue and East 44th Street, New York, New York, U.S.A.

November 29, 2012

Mr. Secretary-General:

On November 9 this year you told the General Assembly: “Extreme weather due to climate change is the new normal … Our challenge remains, clear and urgent: to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, to strengthen adaptation to … even larger climate shocks … and to reach a legally binding climate agreement by 2015 … This should be one of the main lessons of Hurricane Sandy.”

On November 13 you said at Yale: “The science is clear; we should waste no more time on that debate.” 

The following day, in Al Gore’s “Dirty Weather” Webcast, you spoke of “more severe storms, harsher droughts, greater floods”, concluding: “Two weeks ago, Hurricane Sandy struck the eastern seaboard of the United States. A nation saw the reality of climate change. The recovery will cost tens of billions of dollars. The cost of inaction will be even higher. We must reduce our dependence on carbon emissions.”

We the undersigned, qualified in climate-related matters, wish to state that current scientific knowledge does not substantiate your assertions.

Read the full letter and signatories here

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Gail Combs
December 1, 2012 2:22 pm

David Ball says:
December 1, 2012 at 11:33 am
trafamadore says:
December 1, 2012 at 10:57 am
“The other trouble is that it’s hard to get scientifically sound evidence for preliminary results against AGW”
Really? You cannot even use spell check and you expect to carry credibility on a statement like that?
___________________________________
David, He is correct. If you can not get funding for the project then you can not get the evidence. This is main way scientific results are controlled by the politicians.
Remember what happened to Dr. Jaworowski.

….Dr. Jaworowski has devoted much of his professional life to the study of the composition of the atmosphere, as part of his work to understand the consequences of radioactive fallout from nuclear-weapons testing and nuclear reactor accidents. After taking numerous ice samples over the course of a dozen field trips to glaciers in six continents, and studying how contaminants travel through ice over time, he came to realize how fraught with error ice-core samples were in reconstructing the atmosphere. The Chernobyl accident, whose contaminants he studied in the 1990s in a Scandinavian glacier, provided the most illumination.
“This ice contained extremely high radioactivity of cesium-137 from the Chernobyl fallout, more than a thousand times higher than that found in any glacier from nuclear-weapons fallout, and more than 100 times higher than found elsewhere from the Chernobyl fallout,” he explained. “This unique contamination of glacier ice revealed how particulate contaminants migrated, and also made sense of other discoveries I made during my other glacier expeditions. It convinced me that ice is not a closed system, suitable for an exact reconstruction of the composition of the past atmosphere.”
Because of the high importance of this realization, in 1994 Dr. Jaworowski, together with a team from the Norwegian Institute for Energy Technics, proposed a research project on the reliability of trace-gas determinations in the polar ice. The prospective sponsors of the research refused to fund it, claiming the research would be “immoral” if it served to undermine the foundations of climate research.
The refusal did not come as a surprise. Several years earlier, in a peer-reviewed article published by the Norwegian Polar Institute, Dr. Jaworowski criticized the methods by which CO2 levels were ascertained from ice cores, and cast doubt on the global-warming hypothesis. The institute’s director, while agreeing to publish his article, also warned Dr. Jaworowski that “this is not the way one gets research projects.” Once published, the institute came under fire, especially since the report soon sold out and was reprinted. Said one prominent critic, “this paper puts the Norsk Polarinstitutt in disrepute.” Although none of the critics faulted Dr. Jaworowski’s science, the institute nevertheless fired him to maintain its access to funding…
http://www.canada.com/nationalpost/news/story.html?id=25526754-e53a-4899-84af-5d9089a5dcb6

Unfortunately this story has played out many many times when ever a honest scientist gets crosswise of $$$ or a political agenda. Lying and cheating pays, honesty gets you fired and ultimately blackballed. BTDT and have the T-shirt.

trafamadore
December 1, 2012 2:23 pm

Greg House says: “I have just looked for an elephant in my house using your scientific method. I searched all the rooms except the kitchen. No elephant found, hence it must be in the kitchen.
Wait, I have an idea, how you can easily get 1,000,000 dollar cash. Search for 1,000,000 dollar cash in every room in you house except the kitchen. Didn’t find anything? Congratulations, the cash is in the kitchen!”
Two examples of papers that dont get published because of incomplete experiments.

RACookPE1978
Editor
December 1, 2012 2:30 pm

OK.
CO2 was steady for 175 years, temperatures rose.
CO2 was steady for 25 years, temperatures dropped.
CO2 was steady for 25 years, temperatures increased.
CO2 was steady for 25 years, temperatures rose.
CO2 has increased about 10% over a 20 year period, temperatures dropped.
CO2 has increased about 10% over a 25 year period, temperatures increased.
CO2 has increased about 10% over a 15 year period, temperatures were steady.
So, CO2 increases to 400 ppm over the next 20 years, temperatures will either drop, be steady, or increase.
Why kill millions of people and force billions of innocents to live in abject poverty while trying uselessly to limit CO2?
You “religiously” try to force a “precautionary principle” on others (but not yourself!) which deliberately and maliciously kills innocents in order to “prevent” a “absolute and beneficial” increase in CO2 in order to “perhaps” prevent an inconsequential and meaningless increase in CO2 that “might” prevent a beneficial increase in temperature!

pax
December 1, 2012 2:32 pm

Oliver the-sun-is-made-of-iron Manuel is one of the undersigned.

Gail Combs
December 1, 2012 3:20 pm

David Ball says:
December 1, 2012 at 2:03 pm
Wtf is “trafamadore”? I am familiar with Tralfamadore. Cannot spell, cannot get a reference correct, why is anyone even bothering with this clown?
__________________________________
For the silent majority who read this site but never comment. I always try to keep in mind that WUWT has a large audience.

D Böehm
December 1, 2012 3:35 pm

“trafamadore” is questioning my faery example by pointing out that I don’t have a faery meter: “…unless you have a faery meter, and control faeries to test it with.”
EXACTLY!! trafamadore might actually be starting to get it: we DO NOT HAVE an AGW meter. We have no verifiable, testable data showing that AGW exists. Therefore, AGW remains an evidence-free conjecture. It may or may not exist. If it does exist, it is clearly too small to bother with, since its effect is too minuscule to measure.
Unfortunately, ‘trafamadore’ shows that he is ruled by his emotions, not by facts, because he uses words like “for better or worse”, and “sad”. He is a frightened True Believer. His mind is made up, and closed air tight. Without any confirming evidence, he believes that AGW will be a global catastrophe.
trafamadore refuses to accept what the planet is plainly telling us: that CO2 is not causing the predicted harm. He will not even attempt to falsify my hypothesis that CO2 is harmless and beneficial. Because like any True Believer, trafamadore’s mind is already made up. Scientific facts only cause cognitive dissonance.
OTOH, regular WUWT readers know that these scares routinely come and go, and that there is always a technological fix if there is ever an actual problem. So far though, AGW is a non-problem. That is a fact, as the planet is demonstrating.

thingadonta
December 1, 2012 4:33 pm

The reason there are periodic scares throughout history without much reference to any data, is the same reason as any other attempt to overthrow an existing order, to gain and control power and resources.
If any group wishes to re-model a society, their evidence and reasons have to be pretty darn good, but first and foremost they generally need the backing of the larger portion of society to do it.
Elements of the climate change movement have specifically targeted and attacked natural resources, in order to gain and control power and resources. Communists targeted economic resources, the old religions targeted social resources, and climate change alarmists target natural resources.
This tendancy to attack the existing order with threats or doom and gloom is so pervasive throughout history it has probably become ingrained into the collective consciousness, where dropouts and misfits instinctively resort to ‘end of the world is coming billboards’ regardless of the current situation or evidence; these people represent the lower end of the social tendancy, (whether at high levels and sophisticated, or at lower levels of the social stratum and rudimentary), of the constant Darwinian internal struggle for power and resources within societies and cultures. The important point to know, is that this tendancy to prophesise doom and gloom isn’t confined to the local village misfit or the daily spam email, it can even pervade high level science and other institutions, such as the world bank. And the people who seem the most prone to believing and promoting it, can be intelligent and otherwise worldly, but they are usually blissfully naive and unaware of the flaws in both human nature and the tendancy to this historic pattern, which makes it all the more likely for them to continmue to be deceived and to self-deceive themselves.
The climate change movement could be onto something true and relevant, if they adopted the methods of verifiable and reproducable empirical science , but their methodology and style reveal that some high level alarmists have abandoned science and prefer to tap into a deeper revolutionary social instinct that is mechanistic and therefore has little to do with external reality, to gain control of natural resources through prophecies of doom and collapse, in order to subvert the broader social system.
Call me paranoid, except that history and the local village misfit attests to it; it has always been the same, different age, different words, but the same underlying desire to fabricate information to control through fear and distortion.

trafamadore
December 1, 2012 4:34 pm

D Böehm: from your “these scares routinely come and go”:
“The great crisis vanished when millions of horses were replaced by motor vehicles. This was possible because of the ingenuity of inventors and entrepreneurs such as Gottlieb Daimler and Henry Ford, and a system that gave them the freedom to put their ideas into practice.”
So, by analogy, you mean to suggest that carbon based energy might be replaced?
RACookPE1978 says: “Why kill millions of people and force billions of innocents to live in abject poverty while trying uselessly to limit CO2? You “religiously” try to force a “precautionary principle” on others.”
But aren’t you doing the same if you are wrong? Sorry, it works both ways. And you are the one betting against the scientists, not me.

David Ball
December 1, 2012 4:45 pm

pax says:
December 1, 2012 at 2:32 pm
So show that he is wrong. Should be easy.

David Ball
December 1, 2012 4:49 pm

Gail Combs says:
December 1, 2012 at 2:22 pm
Gail, with all due respect, that is not what he is saying. Read it again.

David Ball
December 1, 2012 4:50 pm

He is saying there is no science to go up against the AGW meme.

Gail Combs
December 1, 2012 4:51 pm

D Böehm says: December 1, 2012 at 3:35 pm
trafamadore refuses to accept what the planet is plainly telling us: that CO2 is not causing the predicted harm. He will not even attempt to falsify my hypothesis that CO2 is harmless and beneficial.
_________________________________
Co2 is not only beneficial, it is absolutely necessary for life on this planet. I have nightmares that someone will come up with a CO2 sequestering method that really works and the idiotic politicians will demand CO2 levels be lowered to 100 ppm.
Here is the most famous case of such idiocy

The Indiana Pi Bill, 1897
This is Indiana House Bill No. 246, 1897, known as the Indiana pi bill. Towards the end of section 2 it says plainly that “The ratio of the diameter and circumference is as five-fourths to four,” which means pi is 3.2. The section goes on the criticize (ungenerously, I’d say) past values of pi as “wholly wanting and misleading.”
Purdue Univ.

D Böehm
December 1, 2012 6:30 pm

“trafamadore” says:
“So, by analogy, you mean to suggest that carbon based energy might be replaced?”
No. I was not making an analogy. I was pointing out the fact that you are alarmed by something that has no convincing supporting evidence. A self-serving climate witch doctor cult has you convinced that a tiny trace gas, which has failed to cause any global warming for a decade and a half, is about to cause runaway global warming and climate disruption. That is crazy.
“trafamadore” also responded to RA Cook, again incorrectly:
“…you are the one betting against the scientists, not me.”
Wrong again. There is no scientific “consensus” that CO2 will cause climate disruption and runaway global warming. There is a tiny but loud clique that uses that scare tactic to enrich itself by frightening scientifically illiterate true believers.
The real scientific consensus is reflected in the 31,400+ co-signers of the OISM Petition, which states in part:

The proposed limits on greenhouse gases would harm the environment, hinder the advance of science and technology, and damage the health and welfare of mankind. There is no convincing scientific evidence that human release of carbon dioxide, methane, or other greenhouse gases is causing or will, in the forseeable future, cause catastrophic heating of the Earth’s atmosphere and disruption of the Earth’s climate. Moreover, there is substantial scientific evidence that increases in atmospheric carbon dioxide produce many beneficial effects upon the natural plant and animal environments of the Earth.

The climate alarmist clique has tried repeatedly to get more signatures on its many counter-petitions to the OISM Project. They have failed miserably, getting a total of only a small fraction of the OISM numbers [and many are duplicate signatures]. Thus, they are not the ‘consensus’. Most scientists know the truth: the catastrophic AGW scare is fueled by grant money and status, not by scientific evidence.
The OISM Petition co-signers are from the U.S. only; all have professional degrees, specifically in the hard sciences, and co-signers include more than 9,000 PhD’s. They are mainstream scientists who know and understand science and the scientific method. Furthermore, they did not have the option of emailing in their petition signatures; they had to download and print out their petition forms, sign them, pay the postage and mail them in. The fact that tens of thousands of American scientists went out of their way to take a stand — stating that CO2 is both harmless and beneficial — means more than all the evidence-free climate alarmist nonsense put together.
“trafamadore” is simply a sheltered Chicken Little in his academic ivory tower, who has mindlessly bought into the pseudo-scientific global warming scare. He gets no traction here at the internet’s “Best Science” site because WUWT readers are much more knowledgeable and educated than most blog readers. We have debated every aspect of AGW, and we know all the arguments inside-out. We know that Planet Earth is not cooperating with the relatively small climate alarmist clique, and we know that the planet doesn’t lie. Neither the planet, nor science, nor empirical observations support the catastrophic AGW scare. It is a false alarm. Those perpetuating that false alarm use name-calling and emotion, because they do not have the science or reasonable arguments to support their belief system.
Sixteen years, and counting…

What Did I Tell You!?
December 1, 2012 6:45 pm

Those of you who are with the UN ASK YOURSELVES WHERE this CAME FROM that people in poor countries were going to be offered the opportunity to sterilize themselves.
Ask yourself what good comes from pretense that it is science teaching your children that there may be Magic Gas properties whereby some gases have heat handling characteristics that were never discovered in 50 years’ experience around the world with highly trained men in submarines where the CO2 levels rise and remain in the THOUSANDS of parts per million for YEARS. For DECADES: not ONE thermodynamical, mechanical, hydraulic, electrical, nuclear, electronic, not ONE engineer ever put ONE extra part on a submarine ventilation system due to CO2 heat handling.
Not ONE NOTE on a piece of PAPER or a JOURNAL of SCIENCE ANYWHERE from someone noting the HEAT HANDLING CHARACTERISTIC of CO2/water/methane as DIFFERENT from any other class of gas, associated with it’s spectral frequency resonance..
The ENTIRE INFRARED ASTRONOMY FIELD in it’s ENTIRE HISTORY has no record of it’s adherents taking photos through filters showing the amount of infrared in the atmosphere rising alongside ANY gas classes’ presence.
And there is NO WAY to CHECK THIS STORY?
WHAT????
This MAGIC GAS story has been CHECKED and CHECKED and ONLY the AUTHORITY of EMPLOYEES of the US and other governments, who make money on GRANTS, say they believe it is
IMPOSSIBLE
to
CHECK the MAGICAL GAS STORY.
If you around the world value your grandchildren’s memories of you, you need to ask yourself which sly crimes based on fraud YOU want to be remembered for approving, because before these people ever got fully off the GROUND
they were PUTTING FORTH that PEOPLE
need to be STERILIZED.
You NEED to look at the PEOPLE who CLAIM they BELIEVE in the MAGIC GAS story meaning your tribe
has to all be sterilized
so the other tribes don’t get offended by you breathin.

mbw
December 1, 2012 10:27 pm

One of the “scientists” who signed this letter is Anthony Watts. You guys crack me up.

December 1, 2012 10:31 pm

Louis says: ”Scientists of the past, like Einstein, invited others to prove them wrong. Scientists of today seem to think it’s a waste of time to even engage in debate on their theories”
Louis, both camps prefer not to debate, what doesn’t suit them; because both cams are NOT confident in their theories. .I’ve challenged many of them, from both camps” ”to disprove my proofs, facts and formulas -> they run for cover – like cockroaches, when you turn the lights on.
Warmist are lying; there isn’t such a thing as GLOBAL warming. BUT, the ”Skeptics” bringing proofs as: 1] sunspots were monitored for 6000years (when UN has the day and company that made the filter, to see sunspots at 2005-6AD!!! 2] confusing the real / regular climatic changes with phony GLOBAL warmings is more prolific by the skeptics, than Warmist +++++++ = bureaucrats / politicians shouldn’t be blamed. When a ”Skeptic” compare present temp, against 12-13 century and pretend to know the difference in one hundredth of a degree… bureaucrats / politicians need to choose between two compulsive / chronic liars

Bruce Cobb
December 2, 2012 10:36 am

mbw says:
December 1, 2012 at 10:27 pm
One of the “scientists” who signed this letter is Anthony Watts. You guys crack me up.
That makes one of you. Maybe it’s time to have your head examined. Of course, your type found kids heads exploding because they didn’t toe the line on your Warmist religion, so that could explain it.

mpainter
December 2, 2012 11:24 am

trafamadore
I congratulate you. Not once on this thread have you claimed that the globe is warming, or that the oceans are acidifying, or that the sky is falling. I feel much better about you.

D Böehm
December 2, 2012 2:32 pm

mbw says:
“One of the ‘scientists’ who signed this letter is Anthony Watts. You guys crack me up.”
From my handy desktop dictionary:
scientist |ˈsīəntist|
n. a person who is studying or has expert knowledge of one or more of the natural or physical sciences.

Thus, Anthony Watts qualifies as a true scientist.
Pretty sure you’re not, though.
.
psion says:
“Once again, you pretend you know what you’re talking about. Are you a geospinologist with recent scientific publications, Mr. Watts regarding what makes the world go ’round? No?”
As a matter of fact, Anthony Watts is a published, peer reviewed author in the field of climatology. So thanx for the opportunity to expose your pathetic ignorance.
Run along now back to your thinly trafficked echo chamber alarmist blog. You need some new talking points, because it’s clear you can’t think for yourself.

December 4, 2012 4:08 pm

I describe the whole open letter project in “Behind the scenes – preparing the open letter to the U.N. Secretary General on his climate science mistakes” and answer the questions:
– Where did it come from?
– Who wrote it?
– Why are some of the best known climate skeptics not among the now 130+ endorsers?
– Why did most mainstream media not report on the letter?
There is nothing secret about all this so here are the answers to these questions:
http://www.fcpp.org/blog/behind-the-scenes-preparing-the-open-letter-to-the-u-n-secretary-general-on-his-climate-science-mistakes/
Tom Harris
International Climate Science Coalition
http://www.climatescienceinternational.org

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