Wind and solar power + soaring electricity prices = outsourced jobs + more coal burning
Meanwhile, eco activists demand “sustainable lifestyles” – for other people
Guest post by Kelvin Kemm
It is amazing how biased the international media is when it comes to reporting on energy generation, specifically electricity.
In mid-August, Germany opened a new 2200MW coal-fired power station near Cologne, and virtually not a word has been said about it. This dearth of reporting is even more surprising when one considers that Germany has said building new coal plants is necessary because electricity produced by wind and solar has turned out to be unaffordably expensive and unreliable.
In a deteriorating economic situation, Germany’s new environment minister, Peter Altmaier, who is as politically close to Chancellor Angela Merkel as it gets, has underlined time and again the importance of not further harming Europe’s – and Germany’s – economy by increasing the cost of electricity.
He is also worried that his country could become dependent on foreign imports of electricity, the mainstay of its industrial sector. To avoid that risk, Altmaier has given the green light to build twenty-three new coal-fired plants, which are currently under construction.
Yes, you read that correctly, twenty three-new coal-fired power plants are under construction in Germany, because Germany is worried about the increasing cost of electricity, and because they can’t afford to be in the strategic position of importing too much electricity.
Just recently, German figures were released on the actual productivity of the country’s wind power over the last ten years. The figure is 16.3 percent!
Due to the inherent intermittent nature of wind, their wind power system was designed for an assumed 30% load factor in the first place. That means that they hoped to get a mere 30% of the installed capacity – versus some 85-90% for coal, natural gas, nuclear and hydroelectric facilities. That means that, when they build 3,000MW of wind power, they expect to actually get merely 900MW, because the wind does not always blow at the required speeds. But in reality, after ten years, they have discovered that they are actually getting only half of what they had optimistically, and irrationally, hoped for: a measly 16.3 percent.
Even worse, after spending billions of Euros on subsidies, Germany’s total combined solar facilities have contributed a miserly, imperceptible 0.084% of Germany’s electricity over the last 22 years. That is not even one-tenth of one percent.
Moreover, the actual cost of Germany’s wind and solar electricity is far and away higher than its cost of coal and nuclear power. So much for “free” solar and wind. So much for all the German jobs that depend on reliable access to plentiful and affordable electricity.
As to natural gas produced via hydraulic fracturing, that too is prohibited, even if it is required to back up undependable wind and solar facilities. No wonder Germany’s natural gas and electricity prices are practically unaffordable.
Meantime the extreme greens continue to preach about the wonders of life based on solar and wind power. They also talk constantly about “sustainable living,” a “sustainable future,” and an otherwise hydrocarbon-free and “decarbonized” tomorrow. Be warned! What these vacuous exhortations mean is that people must not enjoy the lifestyles and living standards of a modern world.
They mean the First World must cut back significantly on its living standards, and the developing world must give up its aspirations for achieving the lifestyle of the First World.
Believe me, African small-scale farmers all dream of becoming like the large commercial-scale farmers they see next door. They do not wish to plough their fields with oxen, when their neighbours have tractors and automated grain handling machines. The same is true of small-scale commercial and industrial operations in which an affordable and reliable supply of electricity is essential. It is likewise true of virtually every office, shop, hospital, school and family on the entire African continent.
Meanwhile, in South Africa, an organisation calling itself “Green Truth” has distributed a notice about a newly released movie titled simply “Fuel.” Here is part of the promotional notice:
“FUEL is a comprehensive and entertaining look at energy: A history of where we have been, our present predicament, and a solution to our dependence on foreign oil. Rousing and reactionary, FUEL is an amazing, in-depth, personal journey by eco-evangelist Josh Tickell, of oil use and abuse, as it examines wide-ranging energy solutions other than oil; the faltering US auto and petroleum industries; and the latest stirrings toward alternative energy.
“The film includes interviews with a wide range of policy makers, educators and activists such as Woody Harrelson, Neil Young and Willie Nelson. Tickell knew he just couldn’t idly stand by any longer. He decided to make a film, focusing on the knowledge and insight he discovered, but also giving hope that solutions are at reach. A ‘regular guy’ who felt he could make a difference, he spent 11 years making this movie, showing himself – and others – that an individual can indeed make a difference. Stirring, radical and multi-award winning energy documentary! FUEL features experts and eco-celebrities such as: Sheryl Crow, Larry David, Richard Branson and Robert Kennedy, Jr.”
The notice frequently emphasizes “sustainable living” and “a hopeful future.” And the singers, actors, activists and other energy “experts” featured in the film are all extremely wealthy, and not at all likely to adopt the “sustainable” lifestyle that they and Tickell advocate so passionately.
Does this film have anything to do with “truth” about energy? Or is it simply a propaganda film for the producers’ and activists’ version of “sustainable lives,” for others, though not for themselves? It takes but a fleeting moment to realize that it is just like Al Gore’s “An Inconvenient Truth” – leagues removed from truth, and laden with scientific errors, personal biases, and the hypocrisies of affluent partisans who own big houses and fly private jets to events where they tell other people how to live “more sustainably.”
I’m sure “eco-evangelist” Josh Tickell is just “a regular guy,” just as his movie promo says he is. But I would much rather have my country’s electricity future planned by electrical engineers and scientists, and by citizens and politicians who actually live here – rather than by a “regular guy” environmental activist and his self-proclaimed “experts” on energy and “sustainable” lifestyles.
As formerly eco-evangelist Germany has demonstrated, countries cannot afford to have national energy policy moulded by movies like “Fuel” and “An Inconvenient Truth.” Their policies – and their future – need to be based on genuine truth and honest reality.
____________
Dr Kelvin Kemm is a nuclear physicist and business strategy consultant based in Pretoria, South Africa. A member of the International Board of Advisors of the Washington, DC-based Committee For A Constructive Tomorrow (www.CFACT.org), Dr Kemm has been awarded the prestigious Lifetime Achievers Award of the National Science and Technology Forum of South Africa.
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The silly thing is that this was obvious 10 years ago. Until we learn how to store gigawatt/weeks of energy for our electric supplies, wind and solar will never be economically viable. The only viable renewable energy source at the moment is cellulose ethanol; there the energy as produced is stored..
And that is not only for Germany. A lot more countries in Europe are on the wind power bandwagon… sadly enough.
Maybe cold hard figures will finally wake them up.
Now why haven’t the American main stream media reported on this? sarc off
When I see the names of the “experts” from that film review I am reminded of the credit card commercial where Alex Baldwin tells the pilot of the plane “it’s ok, I’ve played a pilot on tv.”
Ask people if they would board a plane whose pilot was an actor and though not a certified pilot, had played the role in film or tv and you’d have a lot of empty seats. But let someone famous tell them about energy, climate, finance, or any other technical field and a surprising number will believe.
So the Germans have turned off nice, clean, reliable nuclear energy and switching to coal, which has to be mostly imported, or even worse burn low grade, domestically produced, brown lignite..
At least they have the common sense to see that the use of renewable energy on a large scale makes no sense in a modern economy. As the effective ruler of the Eurozone, they can ignore all the targets set by the bureaucrats in Brussels – see below:
“The EU aims to get 20% of its energy from renewable sources by 2020. Renewables include wind, solar, hydro-electric and tidal power as well as geothermal energy and biomass. More renewable energy will enable the EU to cut greenhouse emissions and make it less dependent on imported energy. And boosting the renewables industry will encourage technological innovation and employment in Europe.”
Doesn’t South Africa get a substantial portion of its local petroleum fuel needs from coal liquefaction?
Nope. No alarmism here. Carry on, mates!
If only these truths could be conveniently disseminated to the general public in the developed world…
Germany’s wind and solar many not have actual produce much power , but you can bet someone done very nicely out of farming the fat subsides .
Links please.
“As formerly eco-evangelist Germany”
Unfortunantely it still is. The need for coal-plants just arose because of the is only one thing Germans fear more than climate change and gene technology: nuclear power.
After fukushima politicians across the board (and after recommendations of an “ethics commission”, consisting of 17 member of which most were of non-technical background, like priests. politicians, sociologists and philosophers (sic!)) decided to accelerate the shut-down of all nuclear-plants.
Long story short: The situation over here is even more [snip . . you know the rules . . . kbmod] up than that text conveys. And it gets worse by the day.
coeruleus says:
August 28, 2012 at 9:33 am
“Nope. No alarmism here. Carry on, mates!”
I’m German and I’m paying 23.5 Eurocent a kWh. Prices are expected to rise to 25 cent next year. Guess we’ll be finally overtaking the Danes and have the most expensive electricity in the world.
Come to Germany, you’re invited, pay German taxes and German energy prices and see how you like it.
On the bright side, does this mean that the Germans need only build 1/2 of the fossil backup power generation for wind energy that they had planned on? But then there is still the max and min issue.
Our definition of ‘celebrity’ seems to have suffered an awful lot since 1969. So, so sad.
” Just recently, German figures were released on the actual productivity of the country’s wind power over the last ten years. The figure is 16.3 percent! ”
Any chance of details of the source for this please?
Peter Miller says:
August 28, 2012 at 9:21 am
Basically Germany designed the Kyoto treaty.
http://www.weeklystandard.com/articles/secret-history-climate-alarmism?page=1
So we set the parameters of that treaty so that we don’t have to do a thing besides wrecking the obsolete industries of the DDR – in 1990 , which was the reference point, they still emitted loads of CO2.
Even with the new added coal plants we probably still fulfill our Kyoto targets. We had so much leeway that we even gave carbon credits to France for free.
Reality BITES.
PLEASE….. Someone send this [article] to ALL the mad British politicians who want to cover the UK with windmills
The following is completely biased reporting.
Germany’s total combined solar facilities have contributed a miserly, imperceptible 0.084% of Germany’s electricity over the last 22 years. That is not even one-tenth of one percent.
Most of Germany’s solar capacity came online over the last few years. You need to report the percent contributed by solar over the last 2 or 3 years. Shame on you. Such misrepresentation dishonors WUWT.
Kelvin Kemm notes
on wind power: But in reality, after ten years, they have discovered that they are actually getting only half of what they had optimistically, and irrationally, hoped for: a measly 16.3 percent.
on solar: a miserly, imperceptible 0.084% of Germany’s electricity over the last 22 years.
10 years, 22 years – those are weird measurement periods. Even if Germany got 100% of its power from solar this year, then next year they would have gotten less than 5% of its power from solar over the previous 23 years. Well, not accounting for increased energy use overall.
I’d be lot more interested in present times until the subsidy decline can’t be ignored. Then I’d want to see a graph over time of the growth and contraction of even the most miserly and imperceptible newish energy source.
@Tom B.
Yes, SA does get an awful lot from coal processing. Look up “Sasol” sometime
I agree with Lance Wallace.
Links please.
If I send this to my green friends, thats what they will ask.
So please give us some references to the 16,3% and the 23 coal plants, that will make this post very lethal. Thanks in advance!!!!
DirkH says: […]
Come to Germany, you’re invited, pay German taxes and German energy prices and see how you like it.
——————————-
I’m also German, living in the US. Germans have historically paid higher prices for natural resources. At this point in history the Russians kind of have you by the balls. OTOH, usage is far more efficient, so paying more hurts a little less than if we were to pay that amount here. I’m not saying that’s necessarily good, but it is what it is and you will need to run things a bit tighter over there than in the US for the foreseeable future.
You also pay higher taxes. But that’s not all about energy production and use; some of the revenue generated goes to some pretty crazy stuff like Kindergeld. And a VAT approaching 20%? Are you kidding me? You really want to complain about marginally higher energy prices before coming to terms with the fact that that’s way too high?
My point was that posts like the one we’re both commenting on tend to sound rather, eh-hem, “alarmist”. What with the German and European economies about to collapse because of wind power. Really? German banks making bad loans to Greece is meaningless compared to a bit of tinkering around in the North Sea? I’m “skeptical” as one would say around here. Especially since whenever I travel back to Germany to visit relatives, it’s plainly obvious that people generally enjoy a much higher standard of living than we do here in the US, and that isn’t going to change anytime soon. People just complain about things more than we do here.
What hypocrisy. The Germans invented feed in tariffs to create an industry for themselves and forced the rest of Europe to follow with all the consequent problems of destruction of the countryside, inflated prices and an unmanageable grid. Now, since the Chinese have taken over with solar, and will soon do the same with wind, they find that it is hurting their own industry more than it is gaining them new business. So it is now OK to burn the most “polluting” fuel of them all. But look at the mess they have left in the rest of Europe and beyond. And what would have been their attitude to us in the UK if we had shown them two fingers to their policies?
@ur momisugly Lance Wallace says: August 28, 2012 at 9:41 am
and
@ur momisugly LizC says: August 28, 2012 at 9:53 am
Are you two internet illiterate?? Try google.com you dum@ur momisugly%%#$(). How about doing your own home work !
http://fossilfuel.energy-business-review.com/news/rwe-commissions-2200mw-coal-fired-plant-in-germany-170812