Is global warming just another 'End-of-the-World' delusion?

UPDATE: less than 24 hours after posting this, we already have an end of the world prediction naming global warming, see below.

New end of the world book treats climate change just like many other end of times worries that have not come to pass.

Weston, FL — (SBWIRE) — 07/16/2012 — The end of the world is not going to happen within our lifetimes. That’s the word from Justin Deering, author of The End of the World Delusion: How Doomsayers Endanger Society.

 

“We’re bombarded with end-of-the-world scares practically everywhere you look,” Deering explains. “You hear about it in church, on the news, in the movies. These doomsday scenarios have actually bankrupted people and destroyed their lives. A few people have gotten rich at the expense of the more gullible.”

Last year was a big year for end of the world talks, as Family Radio’s well-publicized prediction of May 21, 2011 as the day of the Rapture and subsequent day of wrath on October 21 came and went without incident. This year will be even bigger as the Mayan calendar ends on December 21, 2012, which many think will lead to something big happening.

Many are spending their life savings getting ready for the end. Doomsday Preppers and Doomsday Bunkers are two shows that have come out this year, showing people spending their hard-earned cash on survival kits and underground bunkers. They’re ready to weather out the Apocalypse.

As for Deering? He’s not worried at all. “The world’s not going anywhere,” he says. “There are always people who fall for this stuff. This survivalist mentality we’re seeing is Y2K all over again.”

“The Maya themselves didn’t think 2012 was going to be a disaster, either,” Deering added.

People have been worried about the End Times for thousands of years, and with the benefit of hindsight, it is obvious that there was nothing to worry about. The author of the End-of-the-World Delusion contends that there is still nothing to worry about.

“All that happens when one of these predictions is proven wrong is the doomsayers go and pick another date. They haven’t called it right yet.”

Deering doesn’t care whether the claims arise from religious beliefs or scientific concerns. “It doesn’t matter to me whether they’re a preacher or a scientist, a shaman mystic or an expert researcher. If they’re saying the end is near, they’re wrong.”

The End-of-the-World Delusion is available now at Amazon at Barnes and Noble. The eBook is priced at $9.99, the hardcover at $24.95, and the paperback at an appropriate $20.12.

A Kindle version is also available.

About Justin Deering

Justin Deering graduated from Lynn University with a degree in business, and is a member of the honor society, Sigma Beta Delta. He worked his way through college as a tutor and has experience in conducting research and presenting it in a logical manner. Deering and his wife, Megan, live in Florida.

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Full disclosure: I have not read this book, but I find the press release interesting. To get a feel for the author, here’s another article by Deering below. – Anthony

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Global Warming: Changing Hearts, Changing Minds

By Justin Deering

A few months back, noted climate skeptic Richard Muller reversed his position, saying that temperatures on the earth are indeed rising. After conducting a study partially funded by the Charles Koch Foundation, noted for funding global warming skeptics and tea party, Muller declared that while it made sense to be a skeptic two years ago, there was no longer any reason to do so.1

More recently, noted environmental leader James Lovelock, formulator of the Gaia Hypothesis, reversed his position as well. While once he claimed that man-made global warming would lead to the deaths of billions and billions of people by the end of this century, he has since noted the lack of warming and had this to say:2

I was “alarmist” about climate change and so was Gore! The problem is we don’t know what the climate is doing. We thought we knew 20 years ago. That led to some alarmist books—mine included—because it looked clear-cut, but it hasn’t happened. The climate is doing its usual tricks. There’s nothing much really happening yet. We were supposed to be halfway toward a frying world now. The world has not warmed up very much since the millennium.

If these were just politicians flip-flopping on an issue, well, that’s to be expected. But take notice, because these are prominent individuals in the field who have made a living based on their previous assertions; changing their stances threatens their very livelihood. These two examples should cause everyone to question and reassess their own beliefs when it comes to issues such as climate change.

It’s easy to get the idea that global warming skeptics aren’t familiar with the science, that if they were more educated they would accept the idea catastrophe is right around the corner. A new study dispels this myth, in fact demonstrating the opposite—an increase in scientific literacy actually leads people to challenge the prevailing scientific wisdom concerning climate change.3,4

To illustrate this fact, consider that recently, a group of 49 former NASA employees, including astronauts and engineers, have written to the agency and asked them to discontinue making “unproven and unsubstantiated remarks” regarding manmade global warming. They feel that the science is not settled, and that taking a position that agrees with carbon dioxide emissions as the cause of climate change would reflect poorly on the agency in the future.5 Would anyone be willing to say that these NASA scientists were ignorant or anti-science?

NASA’s response:6

NASA sponsors research into many areas of cutting-edge scientific inquiry, including the relationship between carbon dioxide and climate. As an agency, NASA does not draw conclusions and issue “claims” about research findings. We support open scientific inquiry and discussion.

Even so, James Hansen, director of NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies, continues to write things like “Global warming isn’t a prediction. It is happening.”7 Hansen continues to be a source of embarrassment for the agency, with his multiple arrests, the most recent one being to protest the development of the Canadian oil pipline.8,9

References

  1. Borenstein, S. (2011, October 31). Skeptic finds he now agrees global warming is real. Yahoo! News. Retrieved from http://news.yahoo.com/skeptic-finds-now-agrees-global-warming-real-142616605.html
  2. Morano, M. (2012, April 23). Alert: Gaia scientist James Lovelock reverses himself. Climate Depot. Retrieved from http://climatedepot.com/a/15621/Alert-Gaia-scientist-James-Lovelock-reverses-himself-I-was-alarmist-about-climate-change–so-was-Gore-The-problem-is-we-dont-know-what-the-climate-is-doing-We-thought-we-knew-20-years-ago
  3. Raloff, J. (2012, May 29). Climate skepticism not rooted in science illiteracy. Science News. Retrieved from http://www.sciencenews.org/view/generic/id/341034/title/Climate_skepticism_not_rooted_in_science_illiteracy
  4. Lott, M. (2012, May 28). Global warming skeptics as knowledgeable about science as climate change believers, study says. Fox News. Retrieved from http://www.foxnews.com/scitech/2012/05/28/global-warming-skeptics-know-more-about-science-new-study-claims/
  5. Parry, W. (2012, April 12). Former astronauts & NASA employees’ letter on global warming. LiveScience. Retrieved from http://www.livescience.com/19643-nasa-astronauts-letter-global-warming.html
  6. Bedard, P. (2012, April 11). NASA rejects claim it endorses global warming. Washington Examiner. Retrieved from http://washingtonexaminer.com/politics/washington-secrets/2012/04/nasa-rejects-claim-it-endorses-global-warming/474416
  7. Hansen, J. (2012, May 9). Game over for the climate. New York Times. Retrieved from http://www.nytimes.com/2012/05/10/opinion/game-over-for-the-climate.html
  8. Drajam, M. (2011, August 29). NASA’s Hansen arrested outside White House at pipeline protest. Bloomberg. Retrieved from http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-08-29/nasa-s-hansen-arrested-outside-white-house-at-pipeline-protest.html
  9. Watts, A. (2011, August 29). NASA’s James Hansen arrested yet again. Watts Up With That. Retrieved from http://wattsupwiththat.com/2011/08/29/nasas-james-hansen-arrested-yet-again/

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UPDATE: Well, that didn’t take long. From the Huffington Post

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Gordon Richmond
July 18, 2012 4:30 pm

Correct me if I’m wrong, but I thought it was pretty well accepted here that Richard Muller was never really a rabid skeptic of AGW, but more a Warmist, but less close-minded than most of that ilk?

LKMiller
July 18, 2012 4:34 pm

For those of us who live within a days drive of the Yellowstone Caldera, if it blows (overdue at present) it might not be the end of the world, but it will probably seem like it.

Nerd
July 18, 2012 4:34 pm

Heh. It reminds me of this website – http://www.bibliotecapleyades.net/esp_2012_43.htm – when I was doing a little research on Anthony L. Peratt’s work on z-pinch (plasma). One thing that caught my eye… the date of 12-21-2012 for “the ecliptic of our solar system will intersect with the Galactic plane, called the “Galactic Equator” of the Milky Way”.
I was only trying to find more about what happened to the ancient civilization at the end of Ice Age. Just can’t get away from what happened at that time.

David Larsen
July 18, 2012 4:39 pm

Most of this started when Al Gore’s world of the White House ended. He lost in Florida and had to find a new job. The end of the world was for Al Gore, and still should be. Not the rest of us.

July 18, 2012 4:41 pm

“It doesn’t matter to me whether they’re a preacher or a scientist, a shaman mystic or an expert researcher. If they’re saying the end is near, they’re wrong.” Global Warming is Politically-Correct Voodoo

Ally E.
July 18, 2012 4:48 pm

Sounds an excellent book. Love the title, too. 🙂

Dr K.A. Rodgers
July 18, 2012 4:51 pm

Can I recommned Charles Mackey’s: “Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds”. First published in 1841 it is still relevant. The crowds have not become any less mad. A kindle version is available for $0.99 on Amazon.

charles nelson
July 18, 2012 5:04 pm

The only form of sadism I practice is getting people of this ‘apocalyptic’ persuasion to contradict themselves, which results in classic eye swivelling rage.
Simple one to try, ask a Greenie if they believe that fossil fuels are a finite resource and that they are about to run out real soon?…when they answer yes – ask them why they’re still worried about CO2 global warming?
This one always gets the Malthusian Greens. Ask them if they believe there are too many people on the planet using up its finite resources? (see above)…when they answer yes – ask them if they’re opposed to Western style technological development in ‘third world countries’…when they answer yes – ask them why birth rates are low and falling in developed countries and high and rising in under developed countries?
There are endless examples of the muddled thinking and scientific illiteracy that Warmists prey upon and endless amounts of fun to be had tormenting Believers.
I always keep a few ‘killer’ quips on hand they come in handy for the real stubborn and stupid types who stick to their guns.
1.Why don’t you turn off your Central Heating/Air-conditioning?
2.Thanks for explaining the intricacies of planetary C02 climate change to me…by the way do you know how your fridge works?
Ah…I get a warm glow just thinking about it.

commieBob
July 18, 2012 5:07 pm

This is one of quite a few books, papers and articles in recent years that show, one way or another, that our thinking is much less logical and reasonable than we like to think it is.
The problem is well delineated: People, especially those with well developed thinking skills, are prone to many logical errors. People don’t assess risk well. Experts are worse at predicting things than are dart-throwing monkeys. etc. etc.
We understand why: The best description of why we think the way we do is the book: The Master and his Emissary by Iain McGilchrist.
Now, all we have to do is come up with a way to deal with the problem.
Justin Deering is the latest of many authors to bring us a much needed message. Eventually, the message will permiate the minds of enough of the population that we will reach a tipping point. What I hope will happen then will be the return of something our grandparents used to call ‘wisdom’.

David Ball
July 18, 2012 5:07 pm

I asked my eight year old son if any doomsday predictions have come true. He thought for a moment and began to smile, …..

July 18, 2012 5:08 pm

Some things humans can cause. The Left is predicting the end of capitalism and they are bringing that about… in the Western world. However, Asia is on fire with opportunities. China’s middle class is growing. Most of the people on the globe, living in places like Brazil, Russia, India and China are getting a good chuckle at the baseless global warming fearmongering that comes out of Western academia.

P Wilson
July 18, 2012 5:14 pm

It is an exercise in perverted vanity. The AGW fable is almost biblical in its impending apocalypse. However, since we’re in the anthropogenic age, it isn’t god who causes hurricanes and earthquakes to punish his creations, but coal trains

timg56
July 18, 2012 5:17 pm

I can honestly say I am not that concerned about people who spend their lifesavings, or any portion of their wealth, as a result of believing in some doomsday.
What I am greatly concerned about is other people spending my wealth due to their belief in a doomsday scenario. I have seen little evidence to show “climate change” is anything but this second situation.

Ian W
July 18, 2012 5:29 pm

Nerd says:
July 18, 2012 at 4:34 pm
Heh. It reminds me of this website – http://www.bibliotecapleyades.net/esp_2012_43.htm – when I was doing a little research on Anthony L. Peratt’s work on z-pinch (plasma). One thing that caught my eye… the date of 12-21-2012 for “the ecliptic of our solar system will intersect with the Galactic plane, called the “Galactic Equator” of the Milky Way”.
I was only trying to find more about what happened to the ancient civilization at the end of Ice Age. Just can’t get away from what happened at that time.

The Mayan long count calendar is set up to start each new age on the crossing of the galactic equator on a conjunction of Earth Sun Galactic Equator at the Winter Solstice. As described here:
“Of the basic configuration as detailed, with reference to the crossing point of the earth ecliptic line and the galactic equator, one may note then that visually, there will be an alignment of the earth, the sun, and the galactic equator twice every year. In one instance, the earth will be between the sun and the galactic equator, and in another (exactly 6 months later) the sun will be between the earth and the galactic equator. The 2012 AD alignment as is said to be associated with the Long Count calendar is of exactly this type, being of the latter stated order: Earth > Sun > Galactic Equator, but critically, with one very important additional factor, which indeed makes the entire arrangement far more complex and infrequent: The 2012 AD conjunction is one that involves the earth, sun, and the galactic equator, specifically at a time when the earth is at the winter solstice (northern hemisphere) point of its orbit, at a seasonal extreme. Now, an event of this sort certainly does not occur every year, but rather once only every 25800 years. And this is due to a very subtle celestial motion: precession.”
see
http://www.ancient-world-mysteries.com/2012.html
I read somewhere (but cannot now find the reference) that the Maya started at 12 12 2012 and worked back.

Harold Pierce Jr
July 18, 2012 5:30 pm

The earth shifted into a cool phase in 2000 as it did in 1940. After a 10 year lag, the 1950-70’s got really cold.
Hopefully this coming winter is also going to be really cold. I can’t wait to see how the warmista explain the coming cold winters away.

Gary Hladik
July 18, 2012 5:38 pm

Wagathon says (July 18, 2012 at 5:08 pm): “However, Asia is on fire with opportunities. China’s middle class is growing. Most of the people on the globe, living in places like Brazil, Russia, India and China are getting a good chuckle at the baseless global warming fearmongering that comes out of Western academia.”
Thanks to these folks the CAGW dogma will be put to the test and proved baseless. No matter what the West does about its own CO2 emissions, worldwide emissions will continue to increase, but–surprise!–the world won’t end. Again.
Of course by then we’ll have another doomsday scenario, and Asia may be affluent enough to buy into it. *sigh*

SOYLENT GREEN
July 18, 2012 5:38 pm

The title was a trick question, right?

Jim
July 18, 2012 5:39 pm

While I think it’s warming some, I don’t think it will be a disaster like some of the CAGW faithful. The scientific evidence shows that a modest warming of 2C would be, on the whole, a net benefit to society. These warmists seem to neglect that fact. It’s when the climate cools that we have more problems, such as during the LIA, with failed harvests and such. There’s nothing special about the present climate, and no reason to think that it’s superior. While there might be some negatives to a slightly warmer climate, such as higher sea levels, the changes will be gradual and easy to adapt to. No reason to start imposing more taxes and send society back to the dark ages.

RoyFOMR
July 18, 2012 5:47 pm

Everyone is brilliant at something. Me, I’m totally excellent at being myself!
I’m pretty poor at believing that I’m special, :(, unlike those poor devils who think that they’re so special that the world will discontinue its existence without them.
Catastrophists DNA, it appears, share a common genome, MeMeMeAndBTWMe2.
To be fair, however, much of this regressive combination can be traced back to an unhappy childhood, overly-influenced by neurotic self-loathing, role-models masquerading as relatives , or simply propped-up by a malignant environment.
It can be cured, however, in most cases by taking a step back, a deep breath and re-evaluating.
I’m no paragon, in general, at taking this advice. Some incorrect prejudices I will happily take to the grave but some are trickier to avoid re-consideration. I’ll give just one example of the latter.
Climate models tell us that, in general, winters will be warmer and wetter while summers will be hotter and drier due to increasing levels of CO2 and CH4 etc. Observational data indicates that this is true sometimes and somewhere and false elsewhere and elsetimes.
Weather forecasts, in the UK at least, are now pushing the Jet stream moving as to why empirical and observational experiences contradict the CO2 as a major driver but still the CAGW meme persists! In the US, JS is given no more than a passing mention; in western Europe it’s the excuse de jour or, possibly, a good physical explanation.
Forget scepticism or denialism or contarianism or whatever. Take on cynicism, follow the money, think about the motives, the promise of power but, most of all, the opportunism.
One hundred and fifty years ago we were in a cold time; it’s now warmed up from then and it’s all our fault!!!
I’m brilliant at being me and so I’m happy with that last point. Are you not happy too?

July 18, 2012 5:54 pm

A few months back, noted climate skeptic Richard Muller reversed his position, saying that temperatures on the earth are indeed rising.
Here is a quote from Muller from 2004. Sourced from wikipedia.
“If you are concerned about global warming (as I am) and think that human-created carbon dioxide may contribute (as I do)”
What is it with AGW proponents that they constantly invent stuff that isn’t true.

Gail Combs
July 18, 2012 6:02 pm

charles nelson says:
July 18, 2012 at 5:04 pm
The only form of sadism I practice is getting people of this ‘apocalyptic’ persuasion to contradict themselves, which results in classic eye swivelling rage…..
___________________
My preferred shut-up line for the stubborn types is “…Then how about living what you preach and hand me your car keys and house keys, and Oh, by the way are your clothes made of all cotton, wool and linen? NO? Then you better hand over those too as well as those nice PLASTIC running shoes…” The crowd gathered around to watch their spokesman tromp me start laughing as their spokesman stomps off in a rage.
Spokemen are often bullies and their crowd of followers will often turn on them if they show they are not top dog.

Torgeir Hansson
July 18, 2012 6:06 pm

charles nelson says:
July 18, 2012 at 5:04 pm
“ask them why birth rates are low and falling in developed countries and high and rising in under developed countries?”
If my memory serves this is not correct. I believe fertility rates are falling towards maintenance levels (2.41 I think) in developing countries as well. It seems to be happening all over the world.

Gail Combs
July 18, 2012 6:10 pm

Harold Pierce Jr says:
July 18, 2012 at 5:30 pm
The earth shifted into a cool phase in 2000 as it did in 1940. After a 10 year lag, the 1950-70′s got really cold.
Hopefully this coming winter is also going to be really cold. I can’t wait to see how the warmista explain the coming cold winters away.
_________________________________
Don’t worry the propaganda machine… ERrr MSM will figure something out. After all the masses have an attention span of about 10 minutes and a sixth grade reading level or so the politicians and their handlers seem to think.

Owen
July 18, 2012 6:14 pm

Hansen is a deluded fool. He’s convinced himself that the world is ending, and because he has a Phd behind his name, he’s convinced others as well. Sadly, cranks like Hansen are a dime a dozen and the global warming cult won’t end until the earth cools down so much, even the most rabid believers will have to face the cold hard truth. It’s a HOAX !

highflight56433
July 18, 2012 6:18 pm

Either way…eat drink and be merry! 🙂
Be the ant, not the grasshopper.

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