Guest post by Russ Rodrigues
On Saturday, March 31st at 8.30pm (local time) WWF is inviting you and everyone around the world to celebrate Earth Hour 2012 by turning off non-essential lights for sixty minutes to “protect the planet”.
Now, I’m all for saving electricity and lowering my utility bills, though I can’t help but wonder… does the collective action of millions of people turning off their lights have any real, tangible impact on our planet? Can an hour of conspicuous conservation actually help us achieve our greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions reduction targets? Or is Earth Hour merely another exercise in self-satisfying slacktivism, achieving nothing more than the squishy “feel-good” objective of “raising awareness”?
To answer these questions and get a sense of how effective Earth Hour really is, let’s look at the results of last year’s effort, specifically in the province of Ontario, Canada (where I happen to live).
Ontario’s Independent Electricity System Operator (IESO) reported that that on March 26th, 2011, between 8:30pm and 9:30pm, due to conservation action during the last episode of Earth Hour, province-wide demand for electricity fell by 360 megawatts or 2.1% compared to a typical Saturday evening in late March.
Let’s simply assume that all 360 MWh of power demand was actually eliminated, rather than being merely postponed. Since it would be difficult to quantify the impact of time-shifting household activities, let’s just be generous and ignore it altogether.
How big a deal is 360 MWh? At Ontario’s blended average retail electricity price of 7.74 cents per kWh, that 360 MWh of reduced consumption amounts to a province-wide total cash savings of $24,864. One could, perhaps, compare that savings to the money spent promoting Earth Hour in Ontario by the WWF, various levels of governments, and numerous corporate partners, to say nothing of the costs incurred by the individual participants. But I don’t imagine that would be a favourable comparison.
So cost savings aside, how big an impact did Ontario’s Earth Hour have on the province’s CO2 emissions? Let’s ignore the extra emissions generated by people who traveled to and from public gatherings, or by those who lit paraffin wax candles (each of which emits about as much fossil-fuel derived CO2 per hour as a compact fluorescent light bulb). For simplicity, we’ll just focus on the CO2 emissions from the electricity that was saved.
According to the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), non-baseload electricity emits an average of 690 g of CO2 per kWh into the atmosphere. So, by simple math, by conserving 360 MW of electric power during Earth Hour, Ontarians reduced their CO2 emissions by a total of 248 metric tonnes.
248 tonnes. That sounds pretty impressive, doesn’t it? And it isn’t really that difficult to achieve… in fact, it’s even kind of fun. Perhaps we could just have a few more Earth Hours each year, and have some real impact on our emissions reduction targets. So, how many Earth Hours would it take? Once every quarter? One per month? Or maybe make it a fortnightly event?
In 2007, Ontario introduced its Climate Change Action Plan action to reduce total GHG emissions. This action plan established an annual GHG reduction target “6% below 1990 levels by 2014, a reduction of 61 megatonnes relative to business-as-usual” (pg 6). By eliminating 248 tonnes of CO2 emissions, Earth Hour achieved 0.000407% of this target.
Or, looked at another way, it would take nearly 246,000 Earth Hours to achieve the province’s annual emissions reduction target. Unfortunately, there are only 8760 hours in a year, so it would require a little more than 28 years of sitting in the dark to make good on a single year’s emissions reduction target. The WWF certainly isn’t kidding when it asks Earth Hour participants to sustain their actions “beyond the hour.”
But details like this aren’t what Earth Hour is about. It’s about demonstrating our commitment to the planet… about taking a stand on climate change… about promoting environmental consciousness. It’s a symbol of hope for the future. It’s an opportunity to light lots of pretty candles (preferably of the carbon-neutral, beeswax variety) and unite as a community in celebration of… well, uniting as a community. Yes, it’s all that and countless other fluffy intangibles.
So, you might as well just enjoy Earth Hour. While switching off your lights won’t achieve any material impact in terms of reducing emissions or protecting the planet, at least you can shave a bit off your electric bill while feeling good about yourselves. And of course, you’ll be doing your part to “raise awareness”.
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Spreadsheet for the calculations: Earth Hour Calculations (.xlsx)
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If you look at it another way, the switch to DST has the same effect – once per year. The “spring forward” would save the same amount of CO2 as the “earth hour” does (that 248 metric tons). Of course, the “fall back” ADDS that much CO2 (248 metric tons) to the earth, leveling it out.
One more thing – how many of you enjoyed your every-four-years Leap Day? Using his calculations, that “extra day” added 5,952 metric tons (248 x 24) of CO2 to the earth. You’ll need 24 annual “earth days” to get rid of that amount.
Add THAT to his “…so it would require a little more than 28 years of sitting in the dark to make good on a single year’s emissions reduction target…”, and you’re beginning to see just how ineffective the effort is.
When people ask you if you participated in “earth hour”, tell them you already give to the cause by skipping an entire hour on March 11, 2012 (setting your clocks from 1AM to 2AM).
When I saw Ontario, I smiled, as I am also in Ontario. Last year when Earth hour night came, I grumbled and said “no way” was I turning off the lights just to feel good. Shortly after, my wife stepped outside and looked up and down the street. She came back in and said – turn off the lights – all the neighbors have, and I don’t want to be embarrased!
Oh well! Another confirmation of the herding instinct.
Ron
On Saturday, March 31st at 8.30pm I’ll be yawning.
Need to bring all of those 500 watt halogen light stands from the shop and fire ’em up on the front lawn.
Take that greenie dip$4!+$.
Only simpletons would turn their lights off on the order of friends of the earth and the likes. How dumb the vast majority of people are, no wonder they are so easily led, just like sheep. So sad.
Russ Rodrigues: “But details like this aren’t what Earth Hour is about. It’s about demonstrating our commitment to the planet… about taking a stand on climate change… about promoting environmental consciousness. It’s a symbol of hope for the future.”
None of the above, I hate to tell you. It is just a warmist propaganda device designed to make you think that reducing carbon emissions is a good thing the world. There is no rational reason for reducing carbon emissions because they do not cause warming as this propaganda tells us. The real science that applies to carbon is the work of Ferenc Miskolczi, a Hungarian scientist who worked at NASA. Using NOAA database of weather balloon observations he was able to demonstrate that the transmittance of the atmosphere in the infrared where carbon dioxide absorbs has been constant for the last 62 years. The amount of carbon dioxide in the air increased by 21.6 percent during this same period. This means that addition of all this carbon dioxide to air had no effect whatsoever on the absorption of IR by the atmosphere. And no absorption means no greenhouse effect, case closed. It follows that IPCC climate models that use the greenhouse effect to predict warming are all dead wrong. And since carbon dioxide does not cause warming doubling it will do nothing either. Which means that the vaunted sensitivity of temperature to doubling of carbon dioxide is exactly zero. It is time to start thinking of how to undo the damage done by numerous legislative acts aimed at reducing carbon emissions that have no rational science to back them up.
Woodstock Sentinel Review April 26, 2011, page 12 reported;
Earth day, friday evening, Ontario exported 3,230 Megawatts of wind power for 2 hours to stabilize oversupply. The price was minus $0.09/kwh for the first hour and minus $0.023/kwh for the second hour. Ontario had to pay to export energy due to Earth Day.
Source IESO , text rewritten for brevity.
My lights will probably be off during earth, but that is because I will be watching a movie on my energy sucking 60 inch plasma TV and surround sound setup. It burns a lot more energy than all of my light bulbs combined.
Just say when and I’ll turn ON both giant TVs & surround sounds, all five of my computers, my refrigerator & freezer on max, the air conditioner at the same time as the fireplace heater, both showers, the dishwasher, the electric oven, all the lights, and the pool pump with heater on max.
Maybe it’ll make up for having two hybrids.
“Earth Hour – Is it worth the effort?” That’s really a futile and stupid hold stuff. So not again, please!
sHx says @ur momisugly March 10, 2012 at 12:15 pm
As I did last year, this year too I’ll mark Earth Hour by turning on all the lights. We ought to be celebrating this great human invention, not condemning it.
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Agreed. Not only that I will turn the heat up from 50F where I normally keep it to 72F.
………….
An 80% reduction in mankind’s CO2 emissions is being discussed in the EU. Poland was the only government to veto. Climate Commissioner Connie Hedegaard of the EU’s executive arm wants “…. the roadmap lays out a route towards a long-term aim to reduce the bloc’s carbon emissions by 80 percent by the middle of the century…” http://www.chicagotribune.com/health/sns-rt-us-eu-environmentbre82817a-20120309,0,4020654.story
This is based on “reducing CO2 output by 80%” being the low end of numbers estimated to “remove” mankind’s footprint of warming according to: http://www.newscientist.com/data/doc/article/mg20427373.400/ce_new_scientist_report.pdf
SO what does that mean to us common folk?
The average energy consumption for the USA is 335.9 million BTUs per person. http://www.nuicc.info/?page_id=1467
In 1800 the USA had a per-capita energy consumption of about 90 million Btu. http://www.bu.edu/pardee/files/2010/11/12-PP-Nov2010.pdf
If the USA reduces its energy consumption by 80% it equals 45.18 million Btu. per person which is HALF that used back in colonial times. With the current population this could not be done without anarchy. With the exception of the Amish/ Mennonite type communities, none of us are adapted to live completely self sufficiently and even they need metal. Therefore the only way we could reduce our per capita carbon emissions while still having enough energy for anything close to a modern society is Nuclear. Wind Power, Bio-fuels and Solar are never going to be anything more than rich man play toys (Boondoggles), suited to certain niche markets but they are just not reliable 24/7 365 days a year. Heck they CONSUME more energy during manufacture and transport than they actually produce so their Carbon foot print is hardly zero.
Bio-fuel: http://stopogm.net/sites/stopogm.net/files/foodvsbiofuelspimentel.pdf
Solar: http://www.newton.dep.anl.gov/askasci/eng99/eng99553.htm
Wind power: http://www.windpowerfraud.com/
I will turn on extra lights in remembrance of all those who do not enjoy the easy availability of electricity.
The WWF can go fly a kite in a lightning storm.
As V. Martin has already indicated, there appears to be an unfortunate coincidence of times with Human Achievement Hour. This is the 1 hour/year where I stress test my homes electrical system by turning on every appliance and light that is connected to the electrical system. Considering that I have 200 A coming into my house, in theory I should be able to use close to 200 Kwh over this 1 hour period. Haven’t come close yet and think I used about 30 Kwh during the last Human Achievement Hour.
In terms of choice of lighting, I have 1 W LED’s outside which provide a surprising amount of light and are on all the time. Haven’t gotten around to trying higher wattage LED lights as Kamloops power is rather dirty (lost 2 computer power supplies due to transients in the last 6 months) and the cost of UPS systems for power conditioning is a lot more than the cost of buying incandescent bulbs which I stocked up on over the last few years. Heat from incandescent bulbs is welcome in this climate in the winter.
Turning off streetlights periodically to facilitate astronomic observation is an excellent idea that I would be in favor of. I do have one spot in my house where there is a deck that I light with a 1 W red LED that provides a view of a truly dark section of sky but it would be so nice to be able to see the full sky with dark adapted eyes. Perhaps the solution is to replace all street lights with high-power red LED’s which wouldn’t affect visual dark adaptation and would allow for people to view the night sky better within cities.
I propose that we make Earth Hour tonight (12 March 2012) between the hours of 2:00AM and 3:00AM! It will probably have about the same impact on the world as the previously scheduled date and time, i.e. none.
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[For those not paying attention or in non-daylight savings areas, this is the hour that is “skipped” over when US daylight savings time starts!]
Boris Gimbarzevsky says:
March 10, 2012 at 9:01 pm
As V. Martin has already indicated, there appears to be an unfortunate coincidence of times with Human Achievement Hour. This is the 1 hour/year where I stress test my homes electrical system by turning on every appliance and light that is connected to the electrical system. Considering that I have 200 A coming into my house, in theory I should be able to use close to 200 Kwh over this 1 hour period. Haven’t come close yet and think I used about 30 Kwh during the last Human Achievement Hour.
Boris, your 200A service can only supply 80% of rated ampacity continuously. (CEC 8-104).
160A X 240V = 38,400W = 38.4kw at unity power factor. Inductive loads would reduce it more.
Electricity is rigidly defined by ohms law and mathematics.
I will also *not* be turning off my lights for this “feel good”, “do nothing” event. And no one, not even the power company, can make me change my mind! I have many of my lights (and all computers) on UPS’s! Yeah battery backups! 🙂
You know, its heartbreaking to think of the hundreds of millions of human beings who have no electricity, of the hundreds of thousands of poor elderly who are unable to afford the massively increased energy bills. These self obsessed green idiots pimping their earth hour do not stop to think of the consequences of their actions, more importantly they are not being challenged. People are dying because they can no longer afford energy bills inflated by the policies the greens have peddled. Chickens have a habit of coming home to roost, these utterly foolish greens have yet to realise the reality.
Cheap and reliable electricity to the masses is a great and noble thing, there is nothing bad about the concept whatsoever, we should not feel guilty about the miracle of electricity. Rather we should celebrate this wonderful gift, at the appointed hour I urge everyone to turn on every light and appliance you own. All ecofascism can offer darkness and poverty and cold and ignorance, they wallow in their feelings of moral superiority but most have no conception of the indignities of poverty, of the awful conditions of the poorest in this world and it is the poorest who are suffering most on the alter of their ridiculous cult.
There are millions in the 3rd world who would love to have lights to turn out, there are millions of poor elderly who would love to be able to switch on a heater in winter. Most greenies are middle class guilt ridden and gullible looking for a cause, most have no idea what its like to be cold and hungry and poor. These foolish people need to be shown the door before they drag us into a new dark age, they need to see the consequences of their actions.
Always worth revisiting Ross McKitrick’s excellent thoughts on Earth Hour:
http://www.rossmckitrick.com/uploads/4/8/0/8/4808045/earthhour.pdf
The more energy I’m using the better I sleep at night. Especially if it’s from oil, coal, or nuclear sources.
This year although I have run out of tractor and truck tyres to burn on my bonfire, but I shall still have a blaze that can be seen from space. I shall ensure that my factory and dwelling is fully awake and burning around 100KWs for the hour, negating anyones attempt for miles around to drop the load on our coal fired power station. The 200 litres of used sump oil should ensure that the bonfire blazes brightly.
I’d be more inclined to turn all my lights on for that hour, because for as long as I’ve lived, which is just over 71 years, I’ve never ever left “non-essential lights” switched on intentionally.
For years I have now heated up my electric sauna during the earth hour. 6kW stove, heated up for an hour, uses about as much electricity as all the people turning their lights off in my part of town save during that hour.
Warm sauna, cold beer, annoy the greenies. Can it get any better?
Now if you shut down all the subways in NYC and DC, Amtrak’s northeast corridor, all printing presses for Sunday’s papers, all the street lights, all the traffic lights, all the TV and radio stations, all the charging stations for EVs and all the lights of Las Vegas you might make an impact for that single hour.
But most of that usage would simply be delayed to later hours and you won’t see TV stations shutting down in prime time.
How appropriate that the destruction of common sense and the corruption of science should be celebrated by making the lights go off. Unless this anti-science madness can be stopped then the lights really will go off all across the world.
I’ll be celebrating Earth Hour by putting all my lights on. I’ll be celebrating light, warmth, the fight against disease, human progress, the integrity of true science, and the vast contributions to human wellbeing from fossil fuels.
Chris
@wermet says:
March 10, 2012 at 9:12 pm
I propose that we make Earth Hour tonight (12 March 2012) between the hours of 2:00AM and 3:00AM! It will probably have about the same impact on the world as the previously scheduled date and time, i.e. none.
.
.
.
[For those not paying attention or in non-daylight savings areas, this is the hour that is “skipped” over when US daylight savings time starts!]
Hey! That’s exactly the hour I used to celebrate Earth Hour ;o)
(Clever and funny, wermet. Nice.)