It's Worse Than We Thought… Again… "Warming may be irreversible by 2017"

This was in our guest author queue, but I was never notified of its existence. Better late than never. – Anthony

Guest post by David Middleton…

EA: Warming may be irreversible by 2017

Published: Nov. 11, 2011

LONDON, Nov. 11 (UPI) — Rising energy demands could result in irreversible global warming by 2017 without strict new standards, an energy watchdog group said this week in London.

The International Energy Agency said in its latest World Energy Outlook, released Wednesday, that a “remarkable” 5 percent jump in global primary energy demand last year pushed greenhouse gas emissions to a new high due to the rebound of the world’s economies following the 2008 financial crisis.

And that, it said, bodes ill for efforts to reach a long-term target of limiting the global average temperature increase to 2 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels — especially with moves by governments to shift resources away from developing clean energy technologies as more economic problems arise.

“Without further action by 2017, the energy-related infrastructure then in place would generate all the CO2 emissions allowed” to keep the temperature rise at 2 degrees or lower, the report said

[…]

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HadCRUT3 variance adjusted global mean temperature anomaly, 12-month average. Source: Wood for Trees.
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Chris
December 5, 2011 10:57 am

Oh good. Perhaps after 2017 the AGW people will go away.

Interstellar Bill
December 5, 2011 11:09 am

Even though its too late to stop that dreadful 2 degree warming,
you can still stop an even more horrible warming of 10 degrees
if you just give us all the money and all the power.
What, you say? Sea-levels are falling and there’s no warming yet?
Well, of course not! You can thank our carbon markets for that!
Thank our mileage mandates and our fuel taxes and our bureaucracy!
Because CO2 goes up so fast, it’s only fair that Big Govt grow even faster.

crosspatch
December 5, 2011 11:09 am

Folks you have NO IDEA the extent to which you are being manipulated and indoctrinated.
For example:
http://www.garrisoninstitute.org/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=244&Itemid=1071

The Garrison Institute’s Climate, Mind and Behavior (CMB) Program works to integrate emerging research findings about what drives human behavior into new thinking on climate solutions. It crystallizes and further develops the emerging understanding of human behavior and human nature generated by behavioral and social sciences, integrating them with insights from evolutionary theory and psychology, and applies this evolving body of thought specifically to climate change policy and related ecological issues, proposing new approaches, tools and solutions.

Get that? They are basically trying to figure out how to manipulate the masses on the issue of climate change. This is NOT ABOUT SCIENCE, people, this is about using climate change to push a political agenda. Now, want a REAL eye opener? Look at the participant biographies of those attending the March 2010 symposium.
http://www.garrisoninstitute.org/index.php?option=com_docman&task=doc_view&gid=148&Itemid=1324
Any of those names look familiar to you? Several of them should.
And there’s even someone from the “International Energy Agency” there, Alan Belensz:

Alan participates in several national and international organizations focused on the climate change issue, including the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, the Global Roundtable on Climate Change, the International Energy Agency Regulators Network on Carbon Capture and Storage, and the US Climate Change Science Program. Alan holds a BS from Rutgers University and an MS from the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill.

Even Andy Revkin is there.
Look, folks, this is NOT some “foil hat” paranoid rant. These people ARE conspiring on how to manipulate the masses on this issue. WAKE UP! This is how they “win the debate”. They don’t have to convince you, they convince the upcoming generations.

Brian
December 5, 2011 11:12 am

Give me a the eco-con special with extra funding and I’d like a side order of irreversible doom please.

Dr William MacAdams
December 5, 2011 11:12 am

Better never for this mendacity.

jack morrow
December 5, 2011 11:19 am

Yup-Al Gore gave us 10 years and we have 4 years and a few days left before we burn up according to him. I better get packing-oh I am already.

Bob Diaz
December 5, 2011 11:22 am

This sort of line reminds me of a bad sales pitch, “You must act now … this offer won’t last …”
Maybe someone could remember, but didn’t we already past the point of no return according to past predictions?

Curiousgeorge
December 5, 2011 11:23 am

“……new high due to the rebound of the world’s economies following the 2008 financial crisis.”
=============================================================
Excuse me? What “rebound” are they talking about? Entire nations are about to go bankrupt. Millions are out of work and quit looking just in the USA. Energy policy related to fossil fuel is being written to ensure the de-industrialization of the planet. And all the while, taxpayers are being scammed by govt’s pushing expensive light bulbs, intermittent and unreliable energy technologies, and electric golf carts at enormous cost. What is wrong with these morons?

P.F.
December 5, 2011 11:28 am

Seems like with the Durban meeting coming up, we’re being subjected in the media to more dire predictions disconnected from reality.
It appears global warming has already reversed its irreversiblity as predicted in the late 1980s and early 1990s. Indeed, none of the dire predictions of out-of-control warming have come to pass.
Here’s another one:
http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2011/dec/04/whales-new-species-britain?fb=optOut

crosspatch
December 5, 2011 11:30 am

Now follow the money. Look at that list of attendees of people who would want to “apply” the “emerging understanding of human behavior and human nature generated by behavioral and social sciences, integrating them with insights from evolutionary theory and psychology” to “climate change policy and related ecological issues”.

Dan Abbasi is a Director with MissionPoint Capital Partners, an investment firm that specializes exclusively in financing the transition to a low-carbon economy.

Previously, Daniel worked at the World Resources Institute, where he conducted research on environmental cost accounting and risk management at Fortune 500 companies.

Cha Ching! (sound of cash drawer opening)

Dr. Rohit T. Aggarwala is Director of the New York City Mayor’s Office of Long-term Planning and Sustainability. … Under his leadership the City has begun implementing over 90% of the 127 initiatives in PlaNYC, including regulations to make the City’s taxicabs and black car fleets clean, planting a million trees throughout the five boroughs and overseeing the investment of $80 million a year to reduce City government’s greenhouse gas emissions. … Prior to joining the Bloomberg administration for the City, Aggarwala was a management consultant at McKinsey & Company.

Cha Ching!

Mark Anielski is an economist specializing in measuring the sustainable well-being of communities. … Mark wears many hats as an ecological economist, entrepreneur, professor, and president of his family-owned consulting firm, Anielski Management, Inc. … Previously, he served as senior economic policy advisor and expert in performance measurement with the Alberta Government, pioneering natural capital accounting and alternative measures of economic progress.

Cha Ching!
That is only the FIRST THREE ATTENDEES. And I am somewhat gobsmacked by the third one. “alternative measures of economic progress” indeed! Apparently they can’t use conventional methods of measuring economic progress such as “how much money do we take in, how much do we spend, how much do we have left” because that would highlight the fleecing the people are being subjected to so apparently “alternative” ways of measuring economic progress must be developed so the people look forward to the trip to the cleaners.
This is absolutely sick, people.

crosspatch
December 5, 2011 11:32 am

Oh, and you will notice that David Fenton of Fenton Communications is there, too.

December 5, 2011 11:32 am

“May be irreversible by 2017.” Maybe by 2016. Maybe by 2071. Maybe yer uncle is really yer aunt, but I wouldn’t like to see my government base its policies on that possibility.

Joe
December 5, 2011 11:44 am

Henny Youngman said it best: “My doctor told me I had 6 months to live, I told him I was broke and couldn’t pay his bill… so he gave me another 6 months.”

rw
December 5, 2011 11:50 am

Crosspatch:
Don’t get too carried away with the idea that the general public can be “manipulated and indoctrinated” that easily. (If so, why are the polls not showing it?)
All the influence in the world isn’t going to work unless the planet actually warms up.
Even Goebbels’ vaunted propaganda machine wasn’t able to convince people that the Nazis and the military were able to defend the country when the bombs were falling. (Bill Shirer has some interesting observations on this in his Berlin Diary.)
It’s also worth considering that these people may be working to maintain their own self-deception as much as anything else.

crosspatch
December 5, 2011 11:53 am

And the point of my bringing that entire “Climate, Mind and Behavior Program” into this thread is to place this particular news story about the “irreversible” melting of the ice into that context. It is designed to be manipulative by making people afraid so they will buy in to the deal.
They study human behavior and psychology. Fenton Communications, the primary PR agent for “climate change” is there. Fenton helps produce all sorts of stuff designed to shovel more money to the whole “green business” thing. This article for example:
http://www.greenbiz.com/blog/2011/03/22/mapping-out-complexities-corporate-sustainabilty
The “International Energy Agency” even picked a name to make it sound like some sort of official UN agency. It is DESIGNED to be confusing to people.

Matt G
December 5, 2011 12:01 pm

“Without further action by 2017, the energy-related infrastructure then in place would generate all the CO2 emissions allowed” to keep the temperature rise at 2 degrees or lower, the report said
Translation
“What we really mean is that with there being no evidence after all this time for alarm regarding the effects from CO2 future emissions. The scare, we are trying to keep alive (scientifically dead already), now looks likely ending very soon. Therefore please give all your cash so we can benefit before politicians become aware of this and prevents us from greed before it’s too late”

Latitude
December 5, 2011 12:11 pm

…another 6 years of temperatures falling

fp
December 5, 2011 12:12 pm
December 5, 2011 12:13 pm

The Onion has a remarkably similar article, but says we have to curtail GHG emissions by 2006…
http://www.theonion.com/articles/report-global-warming-may-be-irreversible-by-2006,26808/

More Soylent Green!
December 5, 2011 12:16 pm

May be irreversible by 2017.
Then again, it may not. But it will be irreversible in 5, 10, 15 or 20 years after that. It doesn’t matter, whenever we pass on of these deadlines without the sky caving in on us, the threat will still be just over the horizon.
Do I remember a televangelist who was going to be called home by God if he didn’t raise enough money by a certain time? Sound familiar? How did that work out?

rw
December 5, 2011 12:17 pm

crosspatch:
I wouldn’t exaggerate the extent to which these people can influence public opinion thru “behavioral science”.
It won’t work if the planet doesn’t actually start warming. (Disinformation works when people can’t test it against their own experience. Otherwise, it breaks down, no matter how sophisticated the spiel – or the “behavioral techniques”.)
This kind of thing is almost always overrated (an interesting fact in itself). This includes Goebbels’ vaunted propaganda machine, which wasn’t able to convince people on the street that they would be protected by the Nazis and the German army as soon as the bombs started falling. (Bill Shirer has some interesting observations on this in his Berlin Diary.)
I suspect that the main reason these people are promoting such stuff is that they are desperately trying to maintain their own self-deception. It’s one more demonstration of how pathetic they really are.

rw
December 5, 2011 12:18 pm

PS: Sorry for the second posting. My browser confused me – I thought the comment had been lost.

crosspatch
December 5, 2011 12:27 pm

Don’t get too carried away with the idea that the general public can be “manipulated and indoctrinated” that easily. (If so, why are the polls not showing it?)

Poll all citizens under the age of 20 and get back to me. They are doing it through the education system. You will not find a single book in a school library that challenges the notion of AGW. They all present it is established fact. Same with their “science” curriculum. Most of those people are not yet included in opinion polls. Those polls will be changing as we continue, year after year, to pump kids out of schools who believe it is established fact and only crazy toothless Republican hillbillies would believe it isn’t.

Morley Sutter
December 5, 2011 12:35 pm

Typo in introduction: “que” should be “queue”.
[Dang, and I had just fixed it when you posted. -w.]

DRE
December 5, 2011 12:38 pm

So only 6 more years and we won’t have to listen to all the BS being spread around?
Somehow I doubt it.

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