Shifting Sun-Earth-Moon Harmonies, Beats, & Biases

Paul L. Vaughan, M.Sc. – October 2011

This post has no introduction, per the author’s request, start with the graphs. A PDF of a more complete paper is linked at the end. – Anthony

Motivation

One purpose of this article is to direct the attention of sensible observers to a serious oversight in the mainstream quest for understanding of multidecadal solar-terrestrial relations (section I).

Another is to ask the community to start thinking carefully about what can be learned from rotating multivariate lunisolar spatiotemporal phase relations shared by Earth Orientation Parameters (EOP) and terrestrial climate records, while seizing the same opportunity to highlight critical omissions in “classic” works on alleged solar-barycentric terrestrial influences (section II).

These data exploration notes are volunteered in support of ongoing publicly collaborative multidisciplinary research.

Audience

The diverse audiences addressed might not be the ones preferred by some readers. Addressing rotates priority across a spectrum of functional numeracy & orientation.

Format

Volunteer time & resources are limited, so presentation is skeletal & informal.

Conclusion

The majority of recent multidecadal terrestrial variability is due to natural spatiotemporal aliasing of differential solar pulse-position by terrestrial topology over basic terrestrial cycles including the year.

It’s not the deviation of solar cycle frequency from average solar cycle frequency that’s of practical significance from a terrestrial perspective. Earth, the receiver, has no clock locked to the average solar cycle length, so the pulse-position modulation is differential.

These observations depend on neither the success nor failure of CERN’s CLOUD experiment.

Details

Vaughan, P.L. (2011). Shifting Sun-Earth-Moon Harmonies, Beats, & Biases.

Vaughn Sun-Earth-Moon Harmonies Beats Biases (1MB 25pp PDF)

Best Regards to All,

Paul L. Vaughan, M.Sc.

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October 16, 2011 9:03 am

ouch..

mizimi
October 16, 2011 9:16 am

I have read Paul’s essay several times and cannot decide if it is translated ( by Google) into english, or if his mother tongue is something other than english. Textually there are some outstanding anomolies in the way he expresses himself which suggests certain comments have been inserted into a (machine) translated text.
Nonetheless, it seems that he is postulating that the effects of a variety of oscillating gravitic fields
impact our climate in a substantial way, and that we need to better understand them if we are to understand what drives our climate. There is an excellent paper here – http://icesjms.oxfordjournals.org/content/63/3/401.full
which details exactly the kind of thing Paul alludes to…..how the moon nodal cycles affect ice content and distribution in the Arctic oceans and thus our climate.
I would echo the comments above….however good your ideas are, if you cannot communicate them effectively they are lost to the rest of us.

Bernie McCune
October 16, 2011 9:44 am

The important part of this exercise of course is to clearly communicate these new ideas but one other notion needs to be considered. That is that insight and truth are out there and as we all know they often come from some of the weirdest places and in the most unusual ways. It is very dangerous to our understanding not to at least attempt to look at some of these unusual ideas before we file them away – on the top shelf or the trash bin. Perhaps we need to slow our knee jerk reaction to laugh because there are SO many examples of one or a few rouge scientists being beaten up by even their own scientific peers and then being vindicated in the end (theory of plate tectonics just one example).
Bernie

Septic Matthew
October 16, 2011 9:47 am

DavidMHoffer:
Maybe.
I think.

Just so.
It could be an insightful synthesis of much published work; it could be a trite assembly of a bunch of already known stuff; it could be a totally confused mishmash of unrelated stuff; it could contain a profound misunderstanding of some important publications. These and more are compatible with the presentation as it is.

rbateman
October 16, 2011 9:50 am

TimC says:
October 16, 2011 at 7:52 am
Have we (that is, humanity) accurately tied down what caused the recent ~100ky regular cycles of glaciations in the quaternary, or can we predict with accuracy when the next glaciation will occur?

Good question. How about having a look at the combined Vostok and EPIC-A ice core record and tell me what you see?
http://www.robertb.darkhorizons.org/TempGr/Vostok.JPG
I see repeating patterns of 2 waves that are either
1.) Pulled apart into 2 lower waves
2.) Added together that produce 1 giant wave (w/ a Younger Dryas type dip after the 1st peak.)
Doesn’t look to me, from the patterns, that we have more than 1,000-2000 years left before the climate is in full plunge to the next Ice Age.
If we are already started downslope to the next glacial, then the next Little Ice Age will be the worst yet.
But, you are correct in wondering about one very important analysis that is currently represented by a near vacuum of debate. I’d chalk that up to 20 years of AGW monopoly.

kim;)
October 16, 2011 9:52 am

Mr. Vaughan,
I read your PDF.
I think what it was presenting your argument / case that there is enough evidence to warrant further study of how planetary oscillations / seasons can influence climate?
If that be the case you are making, I totally agree.
IMO, it has more evidence and could be much more revealing than that of the molestation of tree rings.
🙂 Maybe, you should apply for economic stimulus grants before Mr Mann uses / gets them all? 🙂

Schitzree
October 16, 2011 10:44 am

Oh my god, I love it. Rotating multivariate lunisolar spatiotemporal phase relations! That’s even better then Supercalifragilisticexpialidocious!

Editor
October 16, 2011 10:55 am

Pyromancer76 says: “I wonder at the ‘devasting critiques’ of so many of WUWT readers of Vaughn’s summary attempt. Maybe Leif says ‘mumbo-jumbo’, but we don’t know the cause(s) of nothin’ — PDO, AMO…”
The PDO is an aftereffect of ENSO and variations in North Pacific Sea Level Pressure, and the AMO is supposed to result from variations in meridional overturning circulation, though ENSO, Sea Level Presure, and variations in dust from the Sahara also impact North Atlantic SST anomalies. .

Myrrh
October 16, 2011 1:09 pm

Janice says:
October 16, 2011 at 8:58 am
Myrrh “What is it they didn’t see?”
So it is with harmonics on a very very large scale. You can see some of the effects, which are quite simple. But this goes beyond just seeing the harmonics. Think about the structure of the solar system, and the harmonics that seem to be basic to the system. Why are they basic? Is it perhaps because these harmonics are part and parcel of the structure, where you cannot have one without the other? Do the harmonics define the system, or the system define the harmonics? It would appear to me that the harmonics are defining the system, the ordering of the planets, the ordering of moons about the planets.
Now, we can see the effect of the harmonics (who can see the wind?). But what is actually transferring these effects? We think of harmonics as being sound, but that isn’t the medium here. So the transfer medium has to be a fundamental force. It can’t be photons, so that leaves gravity as the fundamental force which transfers the effects. Which means, we have local gravitational anomalies causing the harmonics, much like ripples on the surface of water when you put your finger in and wiggle it. The centers of gravity of the sun, planets and moons are all oscillating. But, as a series of oscillators, they all are trying to synchronize the oscillations.

Thank you Janice, that’s a lot clearer now. So this could then have an impact not just on the surface of the Earth, but internal? I’m thinking more of the longer changes to Earth’s magnetic field rather than ocean volcanic activity.
Rather than not seeing this effect, it may be poetic to say that we just didn’t hear it correctly.
The music of the spheres..? http://www.skyscript.co.uk/kepler.html

Janice
October 16, 2011 1:12 pm

Bernie McCune says: ” . . . one or a few rouge scientists . . . ”
Are those the ones with red faces?

Werner Brozek
October 16, 2011 1:28 pm

The following may be on interest from:
http://scienceandpublicpolicy.org/reprint/seven_theories.html
The following is from page 23 of this document:
[SNIP: Sorry, Werner, but that topic is one of the few that Anthony does not permit at WUWT. You can check the policy here. -REP]

Peter Plail
October 16, 2011 1:56 pm

I found this useful in order to explain where Paul is coming from found in http://www.examiner.com/environmental-policy-in-national/solar-lunar-amplification-magnetic-process-related-to-volcanos by Kirtland Griffin (Environmental Policy Examiner)
March 9, 2010
“Last year I formed a discussion group called “It’s the Sun”. The primary candidates were scientists who either had an interest in the Sun or who had an expertise in solar phenomena including other astronomical bodies as necessary. As I saw it, there were a number of possible theories out there and combining this vast store of ideas into a discussion group could be very productive. The theory was simple. Bring a group of individuals together, each with a piece of the puzzle, and see what fits with others pet ideas. Trouble was there was little discussion at first and I wondered if it was going to fly. Well I am happy to say things are moving along briskly. Piers Corbyn, of Weather Action.com, posted one of his news releases a while ago. Paul Vaughn who describes himself as an Ecologist with a BSc (biology / math-stats), MSc (applied stats / natural climate variations, former mountain guide & park supervisor, independent climate science auditor who supplemented his education with courses in engineering, forestry and physical geography, currently resides in the Vancouver, British Columbia area. He had a few comments, suggestions and a lot of interest. Piers didn’t respond immediately so Paul started making graphs and tried to answer his own questions. His interest, and a basis of Piers work is the “Solar-Lunar-Amplification-Magnetic process or “SLAM”. As the name implies, the value is comprised of characteristics of the Sun, the Moon and an Amplified resultant Magnetic effect that is one of the tools that Paul feels Piers uses in his predictions.”
There is more on that site.

Baa Humbug
October 16, 2011 1:59 pm

Janice says:
October 16, 2011 at 1:12 pm

Bernie McCune says: ” . . . one or a few rouge scientists . . . ”

Are those the ones with red faces?

No, they’re the new celebrity scientists with lipstick on their collar 🙂

Dave Springer
October 16, 2011 2:35 pm
Paul Vaughan
October 16, 2011 2:58 pm

When I was contracted (& paid) to teach and research at publicly-funded universities, I had the freedom to restructure most or all of most days. This luxury facilitated operations on the corollary of the Pareto Principle and I attained 70% good-to-excellent ratings from my online Stats students, who were mostly social science students, many with considerable math anxiety.
I presently work in a private sector environment that affords far less flexibility. I’m firmly committed to the company. It needs my attention today. Volunteer work needs to fit around core responsibilities that protect access to vital necessities.
I’ll be reading the comments above, but the next window of opportunity I’ll have to comment at a level beyond the Pareto Principle is at least 5 days out.
:
As I expected, the comments are informative. Please keep them coming. Thank you.
:
I had hoped to have time to iteratively rewrite section I.7 a few more times before release, but I could delay no longer as I need to get on to other things. I’ll share some of the notes here now. Digesting the following is prep for understanding Le Mouël, J.-L.; Blanter, E.; Shnirman, M.; & Courtillot, V. (2010) and the simple implications [asymmetrically leveraged multidecadal aliasing = http://wattsupwiththat.files.wordpress.com/2011/10/vaughn4.png ].
Most implicitly & unquestioningly equate neutron count rate with cosmic ray flux. Please be careful with such uncritical thinking.
The atmosphere is thinner (vertical distance between pressure levels) at the poles: http://ds.data.jma.go.jp/gmd/jra/atlas/isobar-1/zw200_ANN.png
The annual thermal insolation tide alternately puffs up opposite poles:
http://ds.data.jma.go.jp/gmd/jra/atlas/isobar-1/zw200_JAN.png
http://ds.data.jma.go.jp/gmd/jra/atlas/isobar-1/zw200_JUL.png
Where the GPH isolines are tightly packed, there are strong jets:
AnimPolarWind200hPa: http://i52.tinypic.com/cuqyt.png
AnimWind200hPa: http://i52.tinypic.com/zoamog.png
AnimWindZonal: http://i51.tinypic.com/34xouhx.png
AnimWind550K: http://i56.tinypic.com/14t0kns.png
Gradient steepness is a function of absolute temperature contrast. For those who want to understand: Stop thinking in anomalies and look at the fractal geometry of absolute temperature gradients.
Anim2mT: http://i55.tinypic.com/dr75s7.png
AnimTempZonal: http://i56.tinypic.com/1441k5d.png
Near the surface, friction influences circulatory pattern:
AnimWind850hPa_: http://i52.tinypic.com/nlo3dw.png
AnimPolarWind850hPa: http://i54.tinypic.com/29vlc0x.png
Suggestion for everyone:
Take a look at the first few google hits for “thermal wind“:
e.g.:
1. Thermal Wind
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thermal_wind
=—
“Jet Stream
A horizontal temperature gradient exists while moving North-South along a meridian because the curvature of the Earth allows for more solar heating at the equator than at the poles. This creates a westerly geostrophic wind pattern to form in the mid-latitudes. Because thermal wind causes an increase in wind velocity with height, the westerly pattern increases in intensity up until the tropopause, creating a strong wind current known as the jet stream. The Northern and Southern Hemispheres exhibit similar jet stream patterns in the mid-latitudes.
Using the same Thermal Wind argument, the strongest part of the jet stream should be in proximity where temperature gradients are the largest. Due to the setup of the continents in the North America, largest temperature contrasts are observed on the east coast of North America (boundary between Canadian cold air mass and the Gulf Stream/warmer Atlantic) and Eurasia (boundary between the boreal winter monsoon/Siberian cold air mass and the warm Pacific). Indeed, the strongest part of the boreal winter Northern Hemisphere jet is observed over east coast of North America and Eurasia as well. Since stronger vertical shear promotes baroclinic instability, so the most rapid development of extratropical cyclones (so called bombs) is also observed along the east coast of North America and Eurasia.
A similar argument can be applied to the Southern Hemisphere. The lack of continents in the Southern Hemisphere should lead to a more constant jet with longitude (i.e. a more zonally symmetric jet), and that is indeed the case in observations.”
—=
2. What is the thermal wind?
http://www.theweatherprediction.com/habyhints2/407/
=—
“The first word in the term is thermal. Thermal as you may have guessed deals with temperature. The thermal wind is set up by a change in temperature over a change in distance. When thinking of how the thermal wind sets up think of the polar jet stream. To the north of the polar jet stream the air is cold. Since the air is cold the thickness values (and heights) are lower since cold air is more dense. To the south of the polar jet stream the air is warm. Since air is warm the thickness values are higher since warm air is less dense. A north to south temperature gradient is set up and the height values slope over this distance. When height values slope (think of height contours close together on upper level charts) the pressure gradient force is put into action. It is the Pressure Gradient Force that causes the wind to blow. Whether it is the jet stream, a mid-latitude cyclone or a sea breeze it is the change in temperature over distance that sets the wind in motion. The thermal wind occurs above the boundary layer since friction is not an influence on altering the wind direction aloft.
The wind direction in association with the jet stream generally travels from west to east. This is because the Pressure Gradient Force moves air from higher heights toward lower heights and the Coriolis deflection deflects the air to the right of the path of motion in the Northern Hemisphere. Thus, air moving from south toward north is deflected to the east due to Earth’s rotation. […]
The thermal wind flow parallel to thickness lines. Remember that thickness is a function of temperature. […]
The magnitude of the wind will be a function of how strong the temperature gradient is. When the height contours or thickness values of packed close together then the wind will be strong.
[…] The thermal wind can be thought of as a steering influence for the direction and magnitude that storms move.
[…] the thermal wind is a wind that flow parallel to the temperature gradient in the troposphere. The thermal wind explains the magnitude and direction the wind will take when a temperature change occurs over a horizontal distance.”
—=
3. Thickness and Thermal Wind
http://www.aos.wisc.edu/~aalopez/aos101/wk12.html
=—
“Summary of the Thickness and Wind presentation [ http://www.aos.wisc.edu/~aalopez/aos101/wk12/ThermalWind.ppt ]:
• Cold air is more dense, therefore thinner
• Warm air is less dense, therefore thicker
• Temperature is the only factor that changes the thickness of a layer
• When you have a temperature contrast, you create height variations for a layer
• Height variation create a pressure gradient
• Pressure gradient creates a PGF [pressure gradient force]
• The change in the Geostrophic Wind is directly proportional to the horizontal temperature gradient
This is the Thermal (temperature) Wind relationship”
—=
4. Fronts and the Thermal Wind Equation – Narrowing the Jet Stream
http://www.mit.edu/~predawn/jetstream/thermalwind.html
=—
“One can combine the equations for the geostrophic wind and the hydrostatic balance as discussed in previous sections to obtain the Thermal Wind Equation as shown below. The thermal wind equation states that the change in wind speed with height (here expressed in pressure coordinates) is equal to the (-R/f) times the change in temperature across the front on a constant pressure surface, divided by the pressure. The most important concept from these relations, is that the steep temperature gradients created by the fronts generate winds to satisfy this thermal wind equation, proportional to the strength of the front. The winds are geostrophic and flow along the constant pressure isobars around both poles [2].”
“The effects of these polar fronts are two fold: they concentrate the west to east geostrophic flow at the frontal boundaries where the large temperature gradients induce large thermal winds. Secondly, they also increase the flow with altitude, creating the very fast Jet Stream at high levels around 250mb. […] The strong, high altitude wind centers indicate the location of the Jet Stream!”
—=
Thermal wind patterns are symmetric across neither basins nor hemispheres. Asymmetric ocean-continent contrast introduces Simpson’s Paradox into aggregations.
In some fields, the scale, shape, & orientation -dependent aggregation paradox goes by other terms, like “modifiable areal unit problem”, but that concept needs extension to include a vertical axis & time.
Bob Tisdale: Thanks for your articles on GS, IPWP, KOE, & SPCZ.
Has everyone noticed the locations of strongest semi-annual amplitude?
AnimWind200hPa: http://i52.tinypic.com/zoamog.png
AnimWind850hPa_: http://i52.tinypic.com/nlo3dw.png
Some times/places are more efficient at absorbing or bleeding heat:
AnimNetSurfHeatFlux: http://oi54.tinypic.com/334teyt.jpg
AnimHeating: http://i55.tinypic.com/317jchy.png
Ignoring circulation isn’t an option.
Notice how northern zonal summaries in particular overlook the importance of asymmetric jet-deflecting spatial patterns: 10-70N 200hPa zonal wind (highlights westerlies): http://ds.data.jma.go.jp/gmd/jra/atlas/timesrs/u_glb.png
The distribution of continents on Earth is a source of more than one type of asymmetry. A refresher on the different types of symmetry appears needed by many commenters as a prerequisite to ever being able to get a handle on natural aliasing:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Symmetry
Pay more attention to circulation & asymmetrically-leveraged pattern-aliasing:
a) reflection [meridional – trans-equatorial].
b) rotation [zonal – trans-basin] (translation on cylindrical projections).
It’s not just north-south reflection asymmetry. It’s also west-east rotation asymmetry (translation asymmetry on cylindrical projections).
The combination of asymmetries results in a higher multivariate fractal dimension for the northern hemisphere. Natural upscale spatiotemporal aliasing is inevitable due to low heat-capacity leverage.
However, the Northern & Pacific wave is riding on the more stable Southern one (loosely speaking, for economy of words). I’m willing to tentatively speculate that 30S-90S SST has been related to the integral of solar activity in recent times – (to re-emphasize: the preceding is speculation). In contrast, I’m past speculation (into assertion) about the Northern & Pacific wave [ http://wattsupwiththat.files.wordpress.com/2011/10/vaughn4.png ] (differential solar-pulse position modulation, which should not be confused with an integral), but until the topology of interannual variability is revealed publicly, it’s clear that few will acknowledge the nature of dominant multidecadal variations.
That discussion is probably years, if not decades, off in the future, but part of the interannual picture is already crystal clear, since it’s reducible to the temporal dimension (from 4D spatiotemporal):
This climatology [ http://i51.tinypic.com/34xouhx.png ] animates the annual zonal wind cycle. It doesn’t emphasize interannual variability. For comparison: The QBO is discernable to the trained [ http://ds.data.jma.go.jp/gmd/jra/atlas/timesrs/QBOraw.png ] eye in this animation [ http://ugamp.nerc.ac.uk/hot/ajh/qboanim.gif ].
“[…] with little direct change in globally averaged temperature.”
http://www.nature.com/ngeo/journal/vaop/ncurrent/full/ngeo1282.html
They should understand that due to north-south ocean-continent reflection asymmetry and west-east ocean-continent rotation asymmetry (translation asymmetry on cylindrical projections) this is not possible.
While it appears (from their attention to the westerlies) that they are starting to try to understand the seminal paper referenced here [ http://wattsupwiththat.com/2010/12/23/confirmation-of-solar-forcing-of-the-semi-annual-variation-of-length-of-day/ ], it’s clear they have not yet realized the simple implications [ http://wattsupwiththat.files.wordpress.com/2011/10/vaughn4.png ] for natural multiscale aliasing & aggregation.
“”The key point is that this effect is a change in the circulation, moving air from one place to another, which is why some places get cold and others get warm,” said Adam Scaife, one of the researchers on the paper, who heads the UK Met Office’s Seasonal to Decadal Prediction team. “It’s a jigsaw puzzle, and when you average it up over the globe, there is no effect on global temperatures,” he told BBC News.”
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-15199065
Adam’s got the latter part wrong. Probably his statement is unconsciously conditioned on the wrong variable. More than one type of asymmetry guarantees natural spatiotemporally-heterogeneous leveraging of statistical summaries.
It’s interesting to note that Scaife appears to be parroting the jigsaw analogy introduced by Piers Corbyn:
“[…] THIS holds that solar-magnetic-particle effects and Lunar modulations DRIVE the whole world’s weather and climate machine – like a 4 dimensional cosmic jig-saw […] Solving the solar-lunar-terrestrial cosmic jigsaw […] Once pieces of a jig-saw start to join up the whole takes on new meaning. Our work is game-changing – a new paradigm in sun-earth relations, weather and climate is beginning.” – WeatherActionNews2011No17
Indeed, there’s nothing critical riding on the CERN CLOUD experiment. We already have the info we need from Atmospheric Angular Momentum & Earth Orientation Parameter records.
2 last things for today:
1. There’s a spatiotemporal pattern reference I want to share, but neither I nor a generous librarian have been able to track the article down. It was a beautifully concise article assigned for reading & discussion in a directed studies course on advanced landscape ecology a few decades ago. The paper fundamentally transformed the way I conceptually organize perception of spatiotemporal information, something I never would have imagined possible beforehand. I recall that many students struggled (many even failed) to grasp the perceptual framework & paradigm. The framework has not yet been cemented into curricula. (Presentation by the professor was ad hoc. With tremendously lucid awareness, he was throwing together scattered material that had not yet been consolidated.) I will offer an update if/when possible.
2. Of course the other area where readers could use help is with wavelets. And that would require, as a prerequisite, a refresher on complex numbers. As one commenter put it, there are layers of background needed (the analogy was to a 7 course meal). Unfortunately, grossly deficient Western math education systems have not provided us with a common enough functional numeracy background to expedite communications. We all share the blame for this, along with the collective impacts. The sensible option is to attempt to take responsibility, patiently.
Regards.

Dave Springer
October 16, 2011 3:06 pm


“Sure enough, all the wavelets “converged” smack dab on 1929 which was the year that the moon’s orbit hit a minimum from both an elliptical orbit and from the plane of the orbit compared to the earth’s axis (or maybe it was a maximum?) In any event, that was the phenomenon that Beck was referring to.”
Wow. This was also the year stock market crashed, the year of the 1st Academy Awards for Films, the year the Museum of Modern Art opened in NYC, and the year the Peruvian Air Force was created.
Coincidence? I think not!!!!!!
Keep up the good work.

Dave Springer
October 16, 2011 3:20 pm

Paul Vaughan says:
October 16, 2011 at 2:58 pm
I think I’m learning to speak your language. Let me translate.
“When I was contracted (& paid) to teach and research at publicly-funded universities, I had the freedom to restructure most or all of most days.”
There’s no accountability in taxpayer funded jobs so I did whatever I felt like doing.
“This luxury facilitated operations on the corollary of the Pareto Principle and I attained 70% good-to-excellent ratings from my online Stats students, who were mostly social science students, many with considerable math anxiety.”
I taught humanities so my students were pretty much morons who couldn’t find their own ass with both hands to say nothing of being able to assess my acumen as an instructor.
“I presently work in a private sector environment that affords far less flexibility.”
I have a real job now.
“I’m firmly committed to the company.”
They’ll show me the door if I don’t perform.
“It needs my attention today.”
My boss noticed me spending too much time in the loo.
“Volunteer work needs to fit around core responsibilities that protect access to vital necessities.”
I have to spend 8 hours a day at a job I hate in order to pay the mortgage and put food on the table.

John
October 16, 2011 3:43 pm

TimC says:
October 16, 2011 at 7:52 am
Have we (that is, humanity) accurately tied down what caused the recent ~100ky regular cycles of glaciations in the quaternary, or can we predict with accuracy when the next glaciation will occur? …

Since it is quite evident from a careful and extensive search that physicists and engineers with specific and differing expertise areas can’t even agree on the physics of climate, it seems unlikely that we really do understand what drives the 100,000 year cycle of glacial epochs. There are theories out there that are reasonable and generally seem to account for most of the data, but …
The only conclusion I have been able to reach is that regardless of the mathematical and scientific expertise behind most “scientific” opinions offered regarding how climate works, and where it is headed, those opinions are by and large formed by received opinion acquired during specialist training. If that sentence reads like something Mr. Vaughan might have written, sorry.

Dave Springer
October 16, 2011 3:47 pm

Janice: Rather than not seeing this effect, it may be poetic to say that we just didn’t hear it correctly.
Myrrh: The music of the spheres..? http://www.skyscript.co.uk/kepler.html
Einstein: “’There are people who say there is no God, but what makes me really angry is that they quote me for support of such views. What separates me from most so-called atheists is a feeling of utter humility toward the unattainable secrets of the harmony of the cosmos. The fanatical atheists are like slaves who are still feeling the weight of their chains which they have thrown off after hard struggle. They are creatures who — in their grudge against traditional religion as the ‘opium of the masses’ — cannot hear the music of the spheres.’
Springer: Einstein is spinning in his grave over Myrrh not undrstanding that visible light can raise the temperature of ordinary matter. It doesn’t appear that Myrrh can hear the music of the spheres either.

u.k.(us)
October 16, 2011 4:16 pm

It’s all about presentation.
Taking the time to spell things out, while tedious, will hold the attention of new readers long enough gain some comprehension.
Then, of course, reason will be re-awakened.

Bernie McCune
October 16, 2011 4:55 pm

A pox on late night posts – slight shift of a “u” – rogue as in mischievous (or maybe wayward) with me with rouge on my face (or something red?).
Bernie

iron brian
October 16, 2011 5:05 pm

<Addressing rotates priority across a spectrum of functional numeracy & orientation.
maybe "something for / from everyone", like Esperanto.
Co-incidental meditation.
bb

Janice
October 16, 2011 5:07 pm

Bernie, you allowed us to have some fun, and we are appreciative of that. I am very careful to find all my typos . . . about two minutes after I hit Post Comment.

Claude Harvey
October 16, 2011 5:54 pm

Bob Tisdale says:
October 16, 2011 at 10:55 am
“The PDO is an aftereffect of ENSO and variations in North Pacific Sea Level Pressure, and the AMO is supposed to result from variations in meridional overturning circulation, though ENSO, Sea Level Presure, and variations in dust from the Sahara also impact North Atlantic SST anomalies.” .
Jeese, Bob! Here we have ordinary mortals trying to untangle a written Gregorian knot and you throw this one in the pot? My head hurts and it’s your fault.

Baa Humbug
October 16, 2011 6:54 pm

@Paul Vaughan
Thanks for the clarification post. Might it not been better to delay the article until you had the time to respond to questions? Never the less the 5 day wait will be worth it.
Springer
What’s up you ar$e today? Particularly negative and mischievous.